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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Long
by dkb14246
1
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart) 🧭 Chart Overview: Current Price: ~1.1350 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400 Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern. Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area. 🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345 Currently acting as a decision zone. If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg. 🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130 Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone. Potential target for the anticipated drop. 🧠 Price Action & Structure: Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels. Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top. Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone. ⚙️ Possible Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support. Target: 1.1110 area. Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum. Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+. 🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias: Lower high formation potential. EMA 50 starting to flatten. Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance. Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks. 📉 Conclusion: This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Short
by MrStellanSight
13
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete. The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683  and  1.15894
by Money_Dictators
2
Playing the continuation longAlways trying to keep things simple: Trend if clearly UP and it's not showing sign of weakness so far. So until that changes, I'll be looking to enter a long at a discount. Right now we over extended quite a bit especially on monday 21st during the easter holiday with low volume. And today (22nd) was an eventless day with no important news and while we had a tweet from bessent about china's deal, it wasn't really anything important at all. So given all of that, we could expect a pullback and most likely a bit more of a pullback tomorrow. Now we have two possibilities for the continuation in my opinion. Either the previous week range was the consolidation needed for the price to make the next leg up and we're just gonna tap into that liquidity before moving back up (in which case an entry around the weekly pivot at 1.136, right below the golden zone from last week range to yesterday's highs fib with a great support at the 4H gap at 1.129 on the weekly R1 to limit our risk. Or second option is a deeper retracement back into a much stronger confluence (but also less likely to happen) at the weekly support which happens to coincide with a bit daily FVG, weekly R3 and the golden zone from the fib from before the big impulse up we just had until now: That would take us all the way down to 1.115 (not in a straight line though) which is why I said it's the less likely scenario. That being said, if we were to go down all the way there I would definitely take a stab long at that level for a great risk:reward potential. With those two options on the table I'll just wait for a sign of reversal on the LTF before going in either of those trades but we can see on the 1h chart that the RSI is forming a hidden bullish divergence already so things are looking alright for the first idea. I'll try to post more updates as we get to the entry and see if I take the trade. I want to mention one very important thing in this idea though: those are VERY trying times for any traders, be it in stock, forex, crypto or even investors. It's a fact and bear markets/volatile markets are notoriously hard to navigate. You might have the right idea but get stopped before price going for your target despite using proper SL management at proper levels etc as any news/tweet can take you out in an instant in a news driven environment. What I'm trying to say is: do not trade in the coming days/weeks if you don't have to. Practice, paper trade, have fun with a cheap prop firm challenge to limit the risk to a couple dozen bucks etc. I trade for a living so I have to keep going but it is a lot harder even if you try to trade with the trend and apply the rules that makes you profitable for years. April so far is a red month for me (down about 2.5%), the first red since march of last year, that says a lot. It's fine and I'm not worried, but using proper risk management and knowing when to stay out is just as important as charting and finding out ideas, especially during those times. That's why I'm only down a few thousands instead of blowing up or wiping months of progress. Things will calm down in due time and it will be a lot easier with price respecting levels, not running away at every opportunity and not retesting breakout levels etc etc. Those are much easier time to make a lot of money despite having lower volatility and less pips/day moves. Be patient and consistent, now is not the time to look for new trading strategies, youtube gurus, magical indicators or whatnot! Good luck to you all traders out there!
Long
by Nordic_Wings
4
UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 1H - As you all know I am looking to take this market long as soon as price has given us the confluence and confirmation needed in order to take it long. I want to see price trade down and into a relevant area of Demand in order to deem us a refined entry, once price trades down and into the Demand Zone we then want to see relevant breaks in structure. This is because a break in the structure that traded price down, the correction, would essentially confirm to us that it has come to an end and enough Demand has been introduced to see the market now trade higher. Once we have the break in structure and we have the confirmation needed, its then a case of waiting for price to pullback, trading into a more refined area of interest, this is where we enter from.
Long
by Lukegforex
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 22.04.25)Overall Trend & Context: This pair is in an overall uptrend and has broken above last weeks highs. Technical Findings: Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on the daily and 4H charts. Overall Bullish price action is evident. Price has been consolidating through London session thus far, we can expect a tap into the demand below the liquidity (relative equal lows) before continuation of bullish cycles. Notes: Price is currently at a weekly supply level, we may bounce in and out of it a few times, so manage your risk and take this setup based on your own analysis as well.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1490 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1559 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.1399 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: Enters Weekly Supply Zone After Powerful RallyWEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔍 OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — Despite the recent bullish impulse, the overarching structure remains a downtrend. Price is now testing a key area of interest. 🔴RESISTANCE & SUPPLY ZONES 🔴 1.15734 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 1.15044 — SELL ORDER II | SUPPLY ZONE 🔴 1.14849 — RESISTANCE (Major) 🔴 1.13648 — SELL ORDER (Downtrend Confirmed) 🔴 1.10990 — SELL ORDER & TP 1 🔴 1.08757 — SELL ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT 🔴 1.07111 — SELL ORDER & TP 3 🔴 1.04570 — EXIT SELL & TP 4 🟡SUPPORT & BUY ZONES 🟢 1.03959 — BUY ORDER 🟢 1.02477 — BUY ORDER II 🟢 1.01779 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW 📉LONG-TERM SUPPORT LEVELS (WEEKLY) 🟡 0.98605 — SUPPORT (PROXIMAL) 🟡 0.98000 — SUPPORT (MAJOR) 🟡 0.97500 — SUPPORT (MAJOR) 🟡 0.95396 — SUPPORT (DISTAL) 🧠STRUCTURAL NOTES EURUSD has surged into a weekly supply zone between 1.15133–1.16165 Price is currently reacting at a confluence of a PIVOT HIGH and MAJOR RESISTANCE A rejection here could initiate a multi-week pullback toward 1.08757 or lower Aggressive sellers may begin positioning around the 1.15044 zone with stop above 1.15734 Buyers are expected to step in near 1.02477 and 1.03959 zones TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📉 Short-Term Bearish Bias while inside supply zone 📈 Bullish structure only resumes on decisive close above 1.15734 👀 Watch for reaction near 1.13648 — potential sell-off trigger 📊 Mid-term reversal opportunities exist at 1.08757, 1.04570, and 1.02477 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following): — Wait for rejection at 1.15044 — Short Entry below 1.13648 — TP Levels: 1.10990 / 1.08757 / 1.04570 — SL: Above 1.15734 RISK-REWARD BUY SETUP (Countertrend): — Buy Orders: 1.03959 and 1.02477 — TP: 1.07111 / 1.08757 — SL: Below 1.01779 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
Short
by ProfessorCEWard