EURUSD trade ideas
New rise in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish movement, reaching 1,1807.
At current levels, all open buy positions should have their risk removed (e.g. stop loss at breakeven).
New buy entries are recommended only after a pullback with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Important news is expected later this week, which may lead to misleading price moves.
Reduce your risk and stay patient!
EUR/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere’s a structured summary of your EUR/USD sell trade setup:
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📉 Trade Type: SELL
Entry Price: 1.17875
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🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 1.17700
2. TP2: 1.17450
3. TP3: 1.17090
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🛑 Stop Loss:
SL: 1.18315
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🧮 Risk/Reward Overview:
Target Distance (pips) Reward:Risk (approx)
TP1 17.5 ~0.37:1
TP2 42.5 ~0.9:1
TP3 78.5 ~1.8:1
SL 44 —
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Would you like help calculating lot size, risk percentage, or backtesting this setup?
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesEURUSD is currently facing rejection at the GAP resistance area near 1.17350, combined with a lower high structure forming within the ascending channel. Price action shows clear signs of weakness after filling the GAP, and the aligned FVG zones below suggest a potential for deeper downside.
If the price remains capped below 1.17350, there is a high probability of a pullback toward the 1.16300 support area — which aligns with the long-term ascending trendline. A break below this level could extend the bearish move toward the deeper region near 1.14500.
Supporting Fundamentals:
Strong US Core PCE → reinforces expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
Weak EU manufacturing PMI → puts pressure on the euro.
FOMC minutes and NFP — if hawkish — could strengthen the USD and weigh further on EURUSD.
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1788, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1753, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.18080 a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadAnalysis Overview:
EUR/USD has shown a strong bullish structure recently, but price is currently near a key resistance zone around 1.1780, which may act as a reversal point. The chart also shows an extended wave structure, signaling possible exhaustion of buying pressure.
Bearish Setup Expectations:
If the price fails to break above 1.1780 convincingly and shows bearish confirmation (e.g. a strong bearish engulfing candle or RSI divergence), we may see a reversal toward lower support levels.
Key Support Levels (Targets):
TP1: 1.14465
TP2: 1.13329
TP3: 1.12064
TP4: 1.10000
Possible Entry: Near 1.1770 – 1.1785 (on bearish confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 1.1810 (structure invalidation)
Technical Confluences:
Potential Double Top or Rising Wedge pattern
Price at historical resistance
Overbought RSI zones may support the reversal
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📌 Note: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Use proper risk management and follow your trading plan strictly.
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17250
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )
EUR/USD Breakout Eyes 1.18 as Bullish Momentum BuildsEUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages.
The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong golden cross structure, reinforcing the bullish bias. Momentum indicators support the advance, with the RSI entering overbought territory at 73.79, and the MACD maintaining a positive spread above the signal line — a classic sign of trend strength rather than imminent reversal.
However, the overbought RSI suggests the pair could face some short-term consolidation or a shallow pullback before targeting the psychological 1.18 handle. Bulls would likely view any dip toward the breakout level (1.1576) as a potential buying opportunity.
As long as EUR/USD holds above that support, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, potentially paving the way for a full retracement toward the 1.19–1.20 zone seen last year.
-MW
$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisEURUSD swept short-term sell-side liquidity and printed a strong displacement above the relative equal highs.
Price is now in premium territory and likely hunting liquidity before rebalancing.
Bias remains bearish if price fails to form higher-timeframe continuation. Ideal setup would be a short from signs of rejection toward 1.17163 FVG zone.
Market next move Disruption Analysis – Bullish Alternative Scenario
While the current chart suggests a bearish setup from a resistance zone (around 1.1765) toward a target near 1.1630, here's a potential bullish disruption that could invalidate the bearish thesis:
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🟢 Bullish Disruption Possibility:
1. False Breakdown / Liquidity Grab:
Price may fake a dip below the red resistance-turned-support zone to trigger stop-losses before reversing.
This is known as a liquidity sweep or bear trap.
2. Higher Low Formation:
If the pair pulls back slightly but forms a higher low above 1.1700, it may signal bullish continuation.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A strong bullish candle above 1.1775 could confirm continuation toward 1.1830–1.1850.
4. Fundamental Catalyst:
Positive EU economic news or dovish signals from the U.S. Fed could support Euro strength.
Wave 5 is here... but are buyers about to get trapped1D Timeframe (Main Chart)
✅ Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1–2–3–4–5 structure is clearly marked.
Wave 5 seems to be completing near the upper trendline, aligning with potential C wave of a larger correction.
🔺 Key Zones:
Buyer zone highlighted under Wave 4 – indicating strong demand before Wave 5 push.
Resistance from the descending trendline just above Wave 5 – potential reversal/sell area.
Price region near 1.1757–1.1835 marked as a potential exhaustion zone.
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🕒 4H Timeframe (Inset Chart)
📈 Current Price:
Trading around 1.1755, approaching the resistance cluster (1.1757–1.1835).
🔻 Potential Scenarios:
1. Immediate Sell-Off:
If Wave 5 has completed, expect a retracement back to previous demand zones (around 1.1683, 1.1446, or even 1.1362).
2. Final Push Up:
If minor Wave 5 isn't finished yet, price could test the 1.1833–1.1853 area before reversing.
EUR/USD Analysis – June 29, 2025The US dollar hasn't seen such a significant decline against the euro in the past three years.
Just moments ago, EUR/USD broke above the 1.17 level, pushing into a new high.
📈 Looking at the chart, there’s a clear bullish momentum, especially impressive for a typically cautious pair like EUR/USD.
To be honest, I wasn’t expecting this much upside in the current time window —
but the ongoing strength doesn’t look like it’s going to fade easily either.
⚠️ If you're considering a counter-trend trade,
a potential short could be taken around the 1.165 area,
provided there’s a solid closing signal, targeting the 1.150 demand zone.
📌 Still, both mid-term and long-term structure remain bullish,
and a better buy setup may come around the 1.148 level.