EURUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.1736, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.1712 a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1768, which is above a swing high resistance level.
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EURUSD trade ideas
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1660
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1593
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1813
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update –Classic Wave 5 Breakout OpportunityThis chart of the EUR/USD pair shows a well-structured Elliott Wave impulse pattern unfolding on the 4-hour timeframe. The price action is currently progressing in the final Wave (5) of the impulse cycle, which typically represents the last bullish leg before a larger correction begins.
Wave (1): The initial move up from the bottom (early May), showing a clean 5-wave internal structure.
Wave (2): A healthy retracement after Wave 1, forming a base for further upside.
Wave (3): The strongest and steepest rally, as expected in Elliott theory. It broke past previous highs and extended sharply.
Wave (4): A corrective phase that formed a falling wedge pattern — typically a bullish continuation pattern.
Wave (5): Currently in progress. The wedge has broken to the upside, confirming the potential start of Wave 5.
Target 1 (T1): 1.18306
Target 2 (T2): 1.19012
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16600
After a strong uptrend, the market went sideways in a wedge pattern (a typical wave 4 behavior). It has now broken out, signaling the start of the final wave 5 move. This is often a strong and sharp push. Since the breakout is clean and the Elliott wave count aligns well, this creates a favorable long opportunity
Short-Term Pullback Within a Bullish Higher Timeframe StructureHey Traders, hope you're all doing well! 👋
Price has recently broken above the previous weak high, showing strong bullish momentum. At the moment, we're seeing a short-term bearish pullback — a common market behavior aimed at filling buy orders near the demand zone.
Despite this minor retracement, the Higher Timeframe (HTF) remains firmly bullish. As long as that structure holds, this pullback could present a solid opportunity to rejoin the trend. Wait for bullish confirmation before executing any entries to stay aligned with the prevailing market direction.
EUR/USD – The Cleanest Buy Setup This Quarter
Channel respecting every pivot.
Liquidity beneath – Smart Money needs fuel.
This is not an entry.
This is a precision blueprint.
🔹 Tap into the demand zones at 1.15824 or 1.13862, and ride the next impulse to 1.19614+
Wave D correction underway.
Wave E coming to steal the spotlight.
🧠 Elliott wave structure. Liquidity mapping. Channel geometry.
You’re either chasing price... or anticipating it. I prefer the second.
📍Forex | Where Price Meets Purpose
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#EURUSDSetup | #WaveEIncoming | #SmartMoneyMoves | #ForexBlueprint | Forex | Trading | #InstitutionalFlow | #LiquidityHunt
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EURUSD on the riseYesterday, EURUSD broke through the 1,1720 resistance level with strong momentum.
This confirms the uptrend and opens up opportunities for buying.
The ECB is set to announce interest rates tomorrow, which could trigger increased market volatility.
Keep an eye out for higher lows and signs of the uptrend continuing.
EUR/USD neutral: Proceed with cautionHello traders
My short was short lived and not too damaging.
This powerful EUR/USD bounce is not unusual but perhaps a little bit of a head scratcher.
No economic data of note.
Maybe some positioning before the ECB rate decision?
I don't know what time this morning Senator Mike Lee(R) of Utah decided it was a good idea to repost a clearly fake resignation letter from Chairman Jerome Powell on X, so perhaps that was a factor.
Once again, Scott Bessent calmed the markets by stating that he does not see any reason for Chair Powell to resign.
The technical picture is clear. The pair has broken and closed above a long term downtrend line/channel but is at the upper boundary of the short term channel.
I have noticed several ideas and minds looking for a decline to 1.1450. The intersection of the up and downtrend lines identifies that as a possible level to go long.
However, I take it one day at a time and I am generally hesitant to make long term predictions, so use your own best judgment.
The current economic environment is rife with uncertainty, so keep the risk small. To diversify,
I have been looking for potential growth stocks to dip my toes back into the stock market.
JOBY or ACHR anyone?
Best of luck
2025.07.22 LONG EURUSDThis is a long trade on EURUSD utilizing smart money concepts.
There are multiple areas of liquidity pooling above, and now that trendline liquidity has been broken, trade management parameters are in place.
Orders have been transmitted, and this is a swing trade potentially lasting 4-8 weeks.
happy trading all
-kevin
Dollar dips as politics cloud Fed picture | FX ResearchThe dollar extended its slide on Tuesday, weighed down by soft US regional data and renewed political pressure on the Fed, reinforcing the market's dovish bias. The Richmond Fed manufacturing index plunged to -20, far below expectations, while business conditions and the Philly Fed survey showed slight improvements but remained in contractionary territory.
Treasury Secretary Bessant added to the day's drama with mixed messaging, praising Fed Chair Powell's capabilities while simultaneously calling for an internal review and pressing for rate cuts, aligning with President Trump's stance that rates should be 300 basis points lower.
Trade headlines added to the noise with Bessant signaling a hard August 1 deadline for trade talks and Trump announcing a new deal with Indonesia, albeit one that still includes steep tariffs.
With the Fed in blackout mode ahead of its next meeting, markets are left to navigate a fog of political theatrics and economic uncertainty. The euro climbed to near one-month highs as the dollar softened. And traders now turn to upcoming US data and a heavy Treasury supply schedule for further direction.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1812
1st Support: 1.1608
1st Resistance: 1.1903
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EUR/USD 6E Futures Risk Management: Navigating Macro Divergence As Risk Manager at WaverVanir International, I’m constantly evaluating asymmetrical setups where macroeconomic divergence aligns with technical structure. The current EUR/USD trade is one such instance—an evolving case of volatility compression within a descending triangle, positioned beneath key resistance at 1.1730.
🔻 Bias: Bearish
🧮 Structure: Daily lower highs + descending triangle
📉 Key Break Level: 1.1612 (horizontal support)
⚠️ Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1730
📊 Probability: 65% likelihood of downside continuation into August, driven by USD real yield strength and ECB rate path lag
We’re managing this trade with dynamic risk protocols:
🔐 Option hedge overlay for tail protection
🎛️ Exposure throttle post-FOMC volatility
💡 VolanX protocol flags 1.1530 and 1.1360 as likely liquidity pools if 1.1612 gives out
🧠 Remember: It's not about being right—it's about being protected when wrong.
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This post is part of our ongoing commitment to transparency, system-level discipline, and volatility-aware macro execution.
#WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #MacroTrading #RiskManagement #6EFutures #EURUSD #OptionsFlow #InstitutionalTrading #ForexStrategy
EURUSD: Mid-Term Analysis💶 EURUSD Analysis
The blue boxes under liquidity look good.
📍 The Plan
If price moves into these blue boxes:
✅ Watch for footprint absorption (buyers stepping in)
✅ Look for CDV support or bullish divergence
✅ Wait for a structure reclaim to confirm entry
⚡ Why This Matters
No chasing. No guessing.
These zones are where I’m interested if the market wants to give an opportunity.
🎯 Action Point
If signals align, I will consider a risk-managed long.
If not, I am fine waiting.
Patience and clarity. The right price, or no trade.
Why EUR/USD Dropped: A Step-by-Step Breakdown for Learners📉 Overview:
The EUR/USD has recently approached a key resistance zone near 1.17726, showing signs of a potential rejection after a bullish rally. The price is currently hovering around 1.17468, forming a short-term bearish setup that could lead to a retracement or reversal.
⸻
⚙ Key Technical Zones:
• 🔼 Resistance: 1.17500 – 1.17726
Price was strongly rejected after testing this area. This level has historically acted as a supply zone.
• 🔽 Support: 1.15500 – 1.16000
This is a historically significant demand zone, where price previously consolidated and reversed.
• 🎯 Target Zone: 1.16308
Marked as a potential take-profit level based on prior price structure and volume profile imbalance.
⸻
🧠 Indicators & Tools:
• Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band in overbought conditions, suggesting a possible mean reversion.
• Volume Profile (VRVP): Indicates declining volume near resistance, pointing to weak buyer momentum.
• Price Action: Bearish engulfing candle and strong rejection wick at resistance, confirming selling pressure.
⸻
🧭 Market Bias:
📌 Short-Term Bearish
A short opportunity is forming based on the rejection from resistance and overextension of price.
⸻
🧩 Possible Scenario:
1. Breakdown below 1.17061 (mid-level support) could trigger acceleration to the downside.
2. 1.16500 and 1.16308 are ideal short targets before reevaluation for continuation or bounce.
⸻
🛑 Risk Management Tips:
• Consider SL above 1.17800 (previous high).
• Monitor for confirmation before entry (e.g., bearish candle close below 1.17000).
• Adjust size and risk-reward ratio appropriately.
"EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation Patterns and Strategic Price Zones Explained
🔹 Market Structure & Trend
The chart shows a clear shift from a ranging phase into a bullish breakout:
Price previously consolidated in a broad horizontal channel, with a strong demand zone (support) established between 1.16000 – 1.16600.
Following a deep liquidity grab on July 17-18, the price bounced sharply from support, creating higher highs and higher lows – a classic bullish structure.
Current momentum shows bullish continuation, as the price broke above local resistance around 1.16645 and is now forming a potential bull flag or bullish pennant pattern.
🟢 Bullish Momentum Confirmation
Price is currently retesting the broken resistance (now acting as support at 1.16645).
If the support holds and bullish momentum continues, the measured move target projects a price move toward 1.17331, the next significant resistance level.
This is also supported by increased volume activity in the breakout zone, as seen on the VPVR.
📊 Key Technical Levels
Level Type Description
1.16000 Major Support Historical demand zone + liquidity grab
1.16645 Support Zone Previous resistance, now retest area
1.16926 Current Price Bullish consolidation forming
1.17331 Resistance Bullish target based on breakout projection
1.17700+ Extension Potential continuation level if momentum persists
🧠 Volume & Volatility Insight
Bollinger Bands are expanding post-breakout, indicating increasing volatility and a potential trend continuation.
VPVR shows a high-volume node around 1.166, confirming it as a strong demand zone.
🔎 Outlook & Strategy
✅ Bullish Bias
As long as the price remains above 1.16645, buying dips could be a favorable strategy.
A break above 1.17000 with strong volume could open a path toward 1.1733 and higher.
❌ Invalidation Level
A strong close below 1.16600 would invalidate the bullish setup and could return price to the lower support around 1.16000.
📌 Conclusion
EUR/USD is displaying strong bullish momentum after breaking a key resistance level and forming a solid support base. A breakout above 1.17000 may lead to a continuation toward 1.17331 and potentially higher. This setup favors bullish positioning with tight risk management.
EURUSD Long Swing FX:EURUSD price had stopped falling and I was waiting for bullish volume to kick inn, initial bullish volume started jumping inn, so taking long now.
With my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
I manage trade on daily basis.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Euro / U.S. Dollar 4h Chart - OANDA4-hour candlestick chart showing the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the U.S. Dollar (USD) from May to August 2025. The current rate is 1.16416, with a 0.14% increase (+0.00161). The chart highlights a peak around late June to early July, followed by a decline, with notable support and resistance levels marked at 1.17647 and 1.16416, respectively.
EURUSD| Back Aligned Bullish - Still in Analysis ModePair: EURUSD
Bias: Bullish
Following price closely and adapting to the market’s rhythm.
Recent structure showed that price is still respecting last week’s key zones — so I’ve realigned with the bullish bias accordingly.
No entries yet — still in analysis mode, which honestly is the best part 😉
Watching for clean LTF confirmations before engaging. No guessing. No forcing.
Price always tells the truth — you just gotta stay patient enough to listen.
#EURUSD #SMC #bullishbias #marketstructure #inducementking #smartmoneyflow
Bless Trading!
EURUSD Bearish Sentiments Below LowEURUSD looks bearish at H1 for a bias of 1.15377. It's an unusual price action; the overall trend in a higher time frame is bullish, but the 1.1700 had strong bearish pressure.
The current momentum is bearish below 1.16625, making that level a key area zone.
Happy Trading,
K.