Euro will break current support level and drop to 1.0735 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, the price completed a pennant pattern, which resulted in a breakout to the upside. This breakout, however, didn’t gain much ground - the movement quickly lost momentum inside the resistance area between 1.0955 - 1.0985 points, where Euro sharply turned around. The reversal from this zone wasn’t unexpected, considering this level had already acted as resistance earlier. What followed was a clean break below the current support level at 1.0955 points, which shifted the market structure back to bearish. Now the price is trading lower, and the bearish impulse looks set to continue. My expectation is a further decline toward the support level at 1.0735, which also aligns with the buyer zone between 1.0695 - 1.0735 points. This level may act as the next potential area of interest where buyers could attempt a defence. The invalidation of local support, weakness after the breakout, and strong supply reaction from resistance all point to a high probability of continuation down toward TP 1 - 1.0735 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD trade ideas
DeGRAM | EURUSD came out of the triangleEURUSD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
Price is moving from the lower trend line, lower channel boundary and support level.
The chart, maintaining the ascending structure, has exited the triangle and is holding above the support level coinciding with the 38.2% retracement level.
The relative strength index is above 50 pips on the major timeframes.
We expect a retest of the current support level with further movement towards $1.1145.
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OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull SwingOTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – Fishing for the Next Intramonth Bull Swing 🎣💶
OTEUM is back on the hunt—this time fishing for the next bull swing on the D1 chart 📈. Major fundamental forces are aligning in favor of the euro 🌍⚖️, giving this setup solid macro backing.
The only real risk? A surprise liquidity event triggering sharp dollar strength 💥💵. Until then, we stay positioned for upside with precision and patience 🧠🎯.
#EURUSD #Forex #OTEUM #BullSwing #FundamentalsFirst
My SRT Strategy Suggests a potential LongHello folks. This looks like a good one. In most cases I wait for the market to act for such setups. I am mostly bullish on this symbol due to the fact that several support areas have been held for a while.
I expect a good 1:2 trade upon break. The symbol will proceed to a downtrend very soon after this.
EURUSD I Daily CLS I KL - HTF OB, Model 1 I Target new highsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD Silver lining as the USD continues to fall - 1.1610The EUR/USD is looking somewhat positive.
I assume because the Exports to the US is under 1 -2% per country, it won't cause major havoc for Europe's GDP even though it's still not great.
Investors are finding a safe haven within the EUR and out of the USD.
Other reasons for the EUR/USD include:
🇺🇸 U.S. Tariffs & Uncertainty
Trump's new 104% tariffs spooked markets and hurt the dollar.
🇪🇺 ECB Support Talk
The ECB said it's ready to step in to keep inflation on track.
📉 Dollar Weakness
Investors are pulling out of the dollar amid global slowdown fears.
🧠 Sentiment Shift
Traders are betting on the euro with the dollar under pressure.
TECHNICALS
Inv Head and SHoulders and the Neckline has finally broken up signalling upside for the EUR.
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD - Breakout & Retest Entry I have entered a long position on EUR/USD following a confirmed breakout and close above the descending trendline and recent horizontal resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. After the breakout, price pulled back and formed a bullish 4H candle that closed above the new support, validating the continuation setup.
Entry: 1.10200 (Pullback confirmation after breakout)
Stop Loss: 1.08800 (Below recent structure support)
Risk Management Level: 1.11800 (Move SL to BE once TP1 is hit)
Target Levels:
TP1: 1.11800 – Moving SL to BE at this point to manage risk
TP2: 1.13700
TP3: 1.16500
Trade Rationale:
The 4H breakout above both trendline and horizontal resistance confirms bullish intent, followed by a clean retest.
Weekly chart also shows a significant breakout above a long-term descending trendline dating back to 2008 — a major structural shift.
Risk is managed with a stop below recent consolidation lows, allowing room for healthy price movement.
Targets are based on key HTF resistance zones and previous price reaction levels.
EURUSD : The not so apparent oneThis is something I know about. Perhaps some of you may also know this unique way of counting the D.
US10Y is showing a lot of panic - yield is rising because a lot of people are forced to dump their treasuries. Not that they want to. I guess they are forced to.
OIL is now below $63.50, which means recession is CONFIRMED.
Now we wait for US10Y to drop BELOW 3.70%. This is the FINALE.
Good luck. Stay safe.
EURUSD Found Support at $1.0992FenzoFx—EUR/USD trades bullish above the immediate support level of $1.0992, in conjunction with the 50-period simple moving average.
The bullish trend remains valid above this level. In this scenario, the price can potentially revisit $1.1090, followed by $1.1147.
>>> Trade EUR/USD with low spread, and no swap at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker.
EUR/USD Weekly Charts – Decade-Long Trendline Break in PlayEUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1009, sitting right between two major trendlines:
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2022, forming a solid base for higher lows and signaling a potential macro reversal.
🔴 Multi-Decade Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped EUR/USD since the 2008 highs, forming a dominant long-term downtrend.
We’re now at a critical confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price has pushed just above the red resistance, hinting at a potential breakout—but confirmation is still pending.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout: A sustained weekly close above the red trendline could confirm a long-term trend shift. Targets: 1.15, 1.25, and possibly 1.35+ in the coming years.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If this breakout fails, EUR/USD could drop back toward green trendline support (~1.05). A breakdown below that would reintroduce downside pressure toward 1.00 or lower.
Dollar Under Pressure from Recessionary SignalsEUR/USD climbed about 80 pips to 1.1040 on Wednesday as the dollar index slipped below 105.5, marking a second day of losses. The U.S. dollar weakened amid growing fears of recession, triggered by President Trump's sweeping tariffs. China now faces a 104% levy, with Beijing vowing to "fight to the end." Market sentiment remained cautious as trade negotiations stalled, despite Trump’s outreach to major partners. Concerns that the escalating trade war may tip the U.S. into recession have increased expectations of further Fed rate cuts, weighing on the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25
Welcome Traders! Let's be dynamic. Here an image of my updated thoughts regarding EURUSD short position. Can price action snap the lows of Asia, creating bearish price actions, Leaving a point of interest for us to short from?
Lets see how it plays!
Until then !
FRGNT X
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 9, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes
GBPUSD:
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair broke a two-day losing streak, finding a technical bounce off the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) just north of the 1.2700 mark. Price action remains in a state of uncertainty ahead of the planned imposition of tariffs in the US, with investors maintaining a subdued outlook in anticipation of key US inflation and sentiment data due for release later this week.
Overall, the week has been relatively quiet on the UK economic data front, with Tuesday providing a welcome respite from the usual deluge of geopolitical and trade headlines that have become the norm for the Trump administration in recent weeks. Nevertheless, several key policymakers from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have provided insights, cautioning that uncertainty and unintended inflationary consequences from US tariffs could complicate, rather than facilitate, the Fed's rate-cutting efforts.
However, traders continue to bet that the Fed will be forced to cut rates before the end of the year, as the negative economic fallout from the same tariffs could lead the U.S. into recession. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, rate swap traders are beginning to raise hopes that the first quarter-point rate cut could come as early as May. However, most betting market participants still see a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in July as more likely, and 100 bps or more by the end of the year.
On Thursday, US consumer price index (CPI) data will be released, followed on Friday by the producer price index (PPI) and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey. This will be the latest in a series of key US inflation and sentiment data relating to the 'pre-tariff' period of 2025, which will be a key indicator for the remainder of the calendar year.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.28600, SL 1.27800, TP 1.29600
POTENTIAL TRADES ON THE EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has recently traded beneath the low that was set before the highest high traded into the Supply Zone above, this would be considered a fractal break in structure.
Now in order for us to look to get involved in this market we need to see price trade back up to set its initial high acting as an area of interest for us to enter in from. To deem a valid entry there are some things we need to see.
We want price to trade in clearing the area of inefficency, one price has done that we expect that enough Supply has been introduced to flip the balance, this should cause price to break again fractally.
Once we have been delivered with a fractal break in structure in and around the area that we have marked out, this is when we can begin looking to take the market short as it confirms the new bearish leg.
EUR/USD (1-Hour Chart) Analysis **EUR/USD (1-Hour Chart) Analysis
📍 **Current Price:**
- **EUR/USD:** 1.09484
- **Price Action:** Trading slightly higher (+0.13%) and nearing the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern.
**Technical Overview:**
🔺 **Chart Pattern: Triangle**
- **Type:** Symmetrical Triangle (Consolidation)
- **Implication:** Price is coiling up and preparing for a breakout. The direction (up/down) will be confirmed by a break above or below the triangle trendlines.
📊 **Key Moving Averages:**
- **EMA 7 (short-term):** 1.09400
- **EMA 21 (medium-term):** 1.09447
- **EMA 50 (long-term):** 1.09540
➡️ Price is currently trading **around all three EMAs**, showing indecision and consolidation within the triangle.
**Volume:**
- Moderate volume recently, with some increase on larger price candles.
- Volume spike expected on breakout confirmation.
**Levels to Watch:**
- **Resistance:** 1.0960 (triangle upper boundary & above EMA50)
- **Support:** 1.0925–1.0930 (triangle lower boundary)
**Scenarios:**
✅ **Bullish Breakout:**
- Break above triangle & EMA50 (1.0954)
- Target: 1.1000+ (psychological resistance)
- Trigger: USD weakness or positive Eurozone data
❌ **Bearish Breakdown:**
- Break below triangle support (1.0925 area)
- Target: 1.0880–1.0850
- Trigger: Strong USD or weak Eurozone sentiment
**Summary:**
EUR/USD is consolidating inside a triangle on the 1H chart, with price hovering around key EMAs. A breakout is likely imminent — direction depends on fundamental drivers like US data releases and overall USD sentiment. Watch closely for a decisive move outside the triangle with volume confirmation.
EUR/USD - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
This major pair is testing a key confluence of support.
Quality bullish behavior, if support holds: Rally will continue.
A deeper 4HR correction is always possible with a potential pullback at the end:
1) Monitor price @ 1.09945 closely if above mentioned scenario unfolds.
2) Monitor price @ 1.09721 closely if above mentioned scenario unfolds.
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
EURUSD Forms Triangle Just Below 17-Year Long-Term TrendlineAfter a strong rally from around 1.03 to the 1.10s, EURUSD traders now appear undecided. The white line shown is the 17-year-long trendline, which is currently acting as major resistance. However, this is not a typical short-term resistance level, it's more appropriate to focus on weekly and monthly closes around this area.
Still, its presence alone is enough to give Euro bulls something to think about.
For more context about long-term outlook, please check our earlier post below:
In the short term, the chart has taken the shape of a descending triangle. If the TVC:DXY bounces, EURUSD may face some downward pressure. 1.0880 seems to be the support to follow for direction. Although descending triangles are typically bearish patterns, this one still has a chance to break to the upside due to supportive fundamentals.
In either case, the medium- to long-term outlook for EURUSD is turning increasingly bullish.
EURUSD may accelerate growth on the back of DXY declineEURUSD takes a chance amid a weaker dollar after the US increased tariffs on China. Euro rises with weak dollar
Scenario: Breakout of downward resistance followed by a rise to the zone of interest and key resistance.
A consolidation above 1.098 will signal
The fundamental background is not in favor of the dollar, which is falling due to Trump's policies. Euro is rising.
EUR/USD SHORT IDEA – 15-Min TimeframeThis chart presents a bearish setup on EUR/USD after price tapped into a strong supply zone, aligning with previous liquidity grab and resistance levels. The trade idea anticipates a reversal from the top and a potential short entry for intraday traders.
🔸 Key Zones:
🔴 Supply Zone: Around 1.10880–1.10930, marked by the red zone. Price recently tested this area with a sharp wick rejection, indicating strong seller presence.
🔵 Resistance Line: Horizontal blue line just below the supply zone, showing a previous resistance level which aligns with the recent lower high structure.
🟡 Previous Liquidity Grab: The yellow rectangle marks a key area where price previously broke structure, collected liquidity, and reversed. It now acts as a support-turned-resistance zone.
🔻 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near rejection from the supply zone (current level around 1.1056).
Stop Loss: Above the recent wick highs inside the supply zone.
Take Profit: Targeting previous structure lows around 1.0941, aligned with the green arrow projection.
📈 Market Structure:
Price broke out impulsively and formed a rising wedge (blue trendline).
Bearish divergence possible as momentum slowed down near the top.
Expecting price to break the wedge downside, retest support (potential pullback), and then continue lower as per green projection.
📉 Risk-Reward Ratio: High R:R setup with favorable downside potential if confirmed by volume/price action.
⚠️ Caution: Wait for bearish confirmation such as:
Bearish engulfing candle.
Break and close below wedge support.
Retest of broken structure before entering full position.
✍️ Published by @ansarionline – April 9, 2025
Markets in Flux: EUR/USD Chart Hints at BreakoutGood morning Traders,
Trust you are well.
Below is my analysis of the current price action on EURUSD amidst the trade war.
Overview
EUR/USD is trading within a descending channel, showing signs of a potential bullish breakout. Price recently rejected the 1.08115 support zone with a strong wick, suggesting buyer interest. Globally, trade tensions are escalating—President Trump reintroduced 34% tariffs on China, with China responding in kind. The EU is also planning a 25% tariff on U.S. goods, sparking further risk-off sentiment. US hinting at further extending tariff on China to 50%.
Idea
This analysis suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity near 1.08115, with a likely breakout toward 1.10127 and beyond. Safe havens like CHF and JPY are gaining, reflecting rising risk aversion. Despite the short-term USD strength, prolonged trade wars could eventually weigh on the dollar.
Conclusion
EUR/USD is gearing up for a move. I will watch for a dip to support before a bullish push around 1.08115 and 1.07689. With trade wars heating up and risk sentiment dipping, commodities and currencies are about to get spicy.
Do trade with caution.
Cheers and Happy trading!