EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD trade ideas
SELL SETUP (Counter-Trend / Short-Term Reversal)Reasoning:
Price is at the top of the channel, where prior rejections happened (circled in orange).
Psychological resistance at 1.1370 and potential double top.
Sell Entry: 1.1365 – 1.1370
Stop Loss: 1.1390 (just above the upper channel)
Take Profit:
TP1: 1.1295 (0.236 Fib level)
TP2: 1.1257 (0.382 Fib + mid channel)
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 or higher.
Weekly chart and next move opportunity Watch for a break above 1.1400, which could target 1.1450 or higher.
Consider upcoming news events and macroeconomic reports.
Analyze higher timeframes for broader context.
Note that support may form earlier, closer to 1.1300, invalidating the deeper drop forecasted.
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1363
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1282
My Stop Loss - 1.1405
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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The truth?
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Overleveraging. Overtrading. Overreacting.
Boredom isn’t a bug. It’s a feature.
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Get comfortable with boredom. That’s where the money is.
Boredom is not your enemy — it’s your ally.
Stay patient, stay consistent.
Charts & Grit
Eurusd monthly tradin bias 📌 EUR/USD Monthly Outlook – Accumulation to Distribution Phase
The monthly chart reveals a significant transition: EUR/USD appears to have completed a classic accumulation and manipulation phase and is now entering a distribution phase, targeting buy-side liquidity above key relative equal highs.
📍 Key Observations:
Price swept the previous sell-side liquidity (SSL) and rebalanced within a monthly fair value gap (MFVG).
Strong bullish momentum broke structure to the upside, aligning with the macro distribution narrative.
The recent mitigation of an order block and move through buy-side liquidity (BSL) confirms the directional shift.
🕵️♂️ What to Monitor:
Lower timeframes (H4 / Daily) may present pullback entries or continuation setups in line with this bullish expansion. Look for entries on retracements within PD arrays or refined imbalances.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This idea is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #Forex #ICTConcepts #MarketStructure #DistributionPhase #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading #TradingView
EURUSD – Testing Key Resistance, Signs of a Pullback EmergingEURUSD is gradually approaching the strong resistance zone around 1.142 – a level that has rejected price at least twice in the past. The recent bullish momentum is clear, but the current move is nearing a major barrier, increasing the likelihood of a short-term pullback.
If the price fails to break this zone and rejection signals appear, a drop back toward the support area around 1.125 is highly possible – this level aligns with the EMA 89 and recent swing lows. It will be a key area to watch where the market might “take a breath” before deciding the next direction.
The current strategy is to patiently observe price action at this resistance zone. If confirmation appears, this could offer an opportunity for short-term sell setups. However, if the price decisively breaks above 1.142, the bearish scenario would be invalidated.
Weekly Market Structure, Update 4H, 1DThe overall weekly structure was bearish, forming a descending channel. However, when zooming out, we can see that the channel has now been broken, signaling a potential shift in direction.
Zooming into the 4H timeframe, there's a clear substructure which also broke structure with a wick/shadow, suggesting momentum is building. As the market reopens, we expect a move to fill the imbalance below before potentially continuing the upward move.
🔍 Monitoring lower-timeframe substructure closely for confirmation.
done and dusted, EUR/USD goes, “Hold my beer , lets cheersEUR/USD: Smart Money Just Played a Masterclass
Price dipped below support — looked like a breakdown, right? Wrong.
Here’s the playbook they used:
Liquidity Grab: Took out sell stops sitting below key levels.
Bear Trap: Price snapped back up, leaving bears trapped and confused.
Order Block: Zoom in on the candles before the spike — Smart Money bought heavy there.
Bullish Continuation: With bears trapped and bags full, price is now free to climb.
The fake fall fuels the real rise. Classic Smart Money setup — watch this ride up.
big move. What will happen?"
1. Supply Zone:
A supply zone is an area on the chart where many sellers are present.
Price usually falls from this area.
It means there is more supply than demand.
Traders look to sell from this zone.
Example:
If EUR/USD moves up to 1.0900 and keeps falling from there, that area is a supply zone.
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2. Demand Zone:
A demand zone is where many buyers are waiting.
Price usually rises from this area.
It means there is more demand than supply.
Traders look to buy from this zone.
Example:
If EUR/USD drops to 1.0650 and bounces up every time, that area is a demand zone.
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Main Differences:
Feature Supply Zone Demand Zone
Who is strong? Sellers Buyers
Price action Price goes down Price goes up
Trading move Best to sell Best to buy
Trend Impact Starts downtrend or pause Starts uptrend or bounce
EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
EURUSD BullishEEURUSD is in uptrend. At this level EUR appears bullish. There is also hidden bullish divergence in Daily TF. Price will easily break this point after a dip.
There are two scenarios:
A: The price will to the level 1.1312 and then rise (most probably)
B: The price will break above the current resistance the rise
TP1. can be booked at level 1.41927
Later level are the monthly levels of 1.1633
EURUSD positional update🔸 Wave Structure (Elliott Wave):
The chart appears to follow a 5-wave bullish impulse structure.
Current wave in play: Wave (5), projecting a continuation of the uptrend.
Wave (4) pullback seems to have held above the bullish structure trendline — a healthy sign.
Fibonacci Extensions:
1.618 Extension of Wave (1–3): ~1.2352 — primary positional target
1.27 Extension: ~1.1926 — initial profit booking zone
Current price: ~1.1357, indicating considerable upside potential.
RSI Divergence Analysis:
RSI is showing higher lows (bullish reversal signal from Wave 4).
No immediate bearish divergence is visible — confirming bullish continuation.
RSI value ~58.18: still in a neutral-to-bullish zone, not overbought.
Pattern Formation: Rounding Bottom
The structure is a classic rounding bottom, indicating accumulation and a potential long-term bullish reversal.
This pattern often signals the end of a downtrend and the start of a sustained uptrend.
Price has broken out of the rounding base and is forming higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish continuation sign.
Volume Analysis:
Slight increase in volume during Wave (3) rally, confirming institutional interest.
Healthy volume consolidation during Wave (4) — indicating potential re-accumulation before next move.
Entry Zone:
Current price (~1.1357) or on minor dips into 1.1300–1.1250 range
Enter in tranches to manage risk
Targets
T1 (Conservative) 1.1926 1.27 Fibonacci extension
T2 (Extended) 1.2352 1.618 Fibonacci + Wave (5) peak
Stop-Loss Zone:
Below Wave (4) low (around 1.1050) OR
Dynamic trailing SL using previous swing lows
EURUSD : The past, present and futureI like to look at this chart. It seems that price do repeat itself by the look of it.
It failed the second time because instead of falling, it went up.
This is now the 3 cycle in this pattern. As we can see, this time around price is in a hurry, the slope is quite steep.
Price had just completed 5 and is now on the way to 6. A closer look at the time indicates so.
Of all the points, No 8 is the most profitable.
Good luck.
EURUSD Direction | Daily Timeframe OutlookThese are the points we can take from the daily time frame :
1.EURUSD has broken through quite strong resistance, and we have not seen any wicks on any time frame, this indicates that EURUSD is still strong for buying
2.After finishing its uptrend, Eurusd fell to the weekly support that I marked,
3.After completing the correction phase, this week there was a fairly strong closing in the market structure shift (MSS) area
4.The conclusion is, eurusd will continue its upward trend, this is useful for daily traders as a direction to determine which trading positions are profitable
EURUSD 4HLast week’s invalidation level was clearly broken , confirming the bullish direction.
The bearish sentiment will only return if 1.1249 breaks, and especially if 1.1160 is lost.
For now, as the upward move continues, we expect a 1&2 structure(BASE) to form near 1.1440, leading to higher targets:
1.1620
1.1700
Higher levels are possible, but they’ll be confirmed and shared in future updates.
EURUSD Bounce Incoming? Smart Money Reversal BrewingThis EURUSD setup is a case study in smart money accumulation after a liquidity sweep + channel break. Price action is aligning like clockwork for a long setup, and the confluences are hard to ignore.
🧠 Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Channel Structure: Market has respected this descending channel since early May — multiple taps, respected diagonals
🟡 Reversal Clues: Clean sweep of liquidity at the channel bottom with bullish engulfing candle
💰 Order Block + Discount Zone:
OB marked inside the 50%–79% retracement range
🔹 OB top: ~1.12567
🔹 Key entry: Between 1.12567 – 1.12199
🔹 SL: Below 1.1180 (clean under discount zone)
📈 TP zone: 1.15728 — previous market structure high and fib -100% level
✅ Risk-Reward: 1:5+ if played with precision
🔍 Why this setup is 🔥:
✅ Channel break = structure shift
✅ OB + Fib 61.8%–79% = strong demand confluence
✅ Liquidity below equal lows already taken
✅ Sharp bullish move after sweep = signs of big players entering
✅ Price likely to pull back to mitigate before exploding
🧠 Institutional Logic:
“Liquidity fuels price. Structure guides it. Confluence confirms it.”
The market swept lows, flipped structure, and now is likely returning to fill orders before the next leg up. This is a classic bullish mitigation play.
📊 If price taps into the OB and shows bullish confirmation — this is a sniper zone.
Set alerts. Wait for the wick. Enter on the flip. Let the market work for you, not the other way around.
EUR_USD HEAD AND SHOULDERS|LONG|
✅EUR_USD has formed a
Head and Shoulders pattern
And the pair has now formed
The last leg of it, so we are
Bullish biased and IF we see
A bullish breakout of the
Neckline of 1.1380 next week
Then we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD1. 10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-year government bond yield:
3.17% on May 22, 2025, slightly up from 3.15% the previous day and 3.10% a year ago.
This yield is above the long-term average of 2.48%, reflecting rising inflation and monetary tightening in the Eurozone.
US 10-year Treasury yield:
Approximately 4.54% on May 21, 2025.
The yield has been rising due to concerns about US fiscal policy, inflation, and Federal Reserve tightening, despite market expectations of rate cuts later in the year.
2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The interest rate differential between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is roughly:
4.54% (US)−3.17% (Eurozone)=1.37%
This differential favors the US dollar, as higher US yields attract capital inflows, strengthening the USD relative to the EUR.
The differential reflects more aggressive Fed tightening compared to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) more cautious approach amid slower Eurozone growth.
3. Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields.
With US yields higher and rising, US bond prices have declined relative to Eurozone bonds.
Eurozone bond prices have also fallen but less sharplyength against EUR.
4. Impact on EUR/USD Exchange Rate
On May 23, 2025, EUR/USD rose slightly to about 1.1368, up from 1.1281 the previous session, influenced by short-term USD weakness amid geopolitical concerns but still pressured by the yield differential favoring USD.
The yield differential remains a key fundamental driver of EUR/USD trends over medium to long term.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD 10-year bond yield differential of about 1.37% in favor of the US reflects divergent monetary policies and inflation expectations. This differential supports USD strength relative to EUR by attracting capital flows into higher-yielding US assets. Bond price movements correspondingly favor US bonds due to rising yields. While short-term geopolitical and market factors can cause fluctuations, the interest rate differential remains a fundamental driver of EUR/USD exchange rate trends in 2025.