EURUSD - Potential sell at LDN or NY openLooking for sell from the POI highlighted
We have raided buy side liquidity so now its time to look at the origin of the move and see if we can further capitalise on a similar set up I took yesterday in order to bank a lovely 8.5% profit on this single trade.
Will post the trade below
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD – Trade Projection (Follow-Up)
Current Price Action Development:
Liquidity beneath the VCP Range Low successfully taken via Sweep Event.
Price has reversed back inside the compression zone, signaling potential bullish reclaim.
Anticipated Scenario:
Watching for a confirmed Trend Signature Shift (TSS) to validate bullish continuation.
Entry model of choice: Retrace Precision Entry (RPE) post-TSS confirmation.
Target Zones:
Initial Target: Mid-range zone of the VCP structure.
Extended Target: Clustered liquidity within the Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) situated above current price action, aligned with HTF bullish structure.
Risk & Invalidations:
While HTF Ascend Sequence bias remains intact, vigilance is maintained for any absolute structural breakdown that would favor a Sell-Side Bias Environment (SBE).
Summary:
Favorable for tactical long setups post-TSS confirmation, scaling targets toward mid-range and OCZ, contingent on structure and momentum.
EURUSD 1:15 RR LONG TRADE IDEAEUR/USD – Long Bias
• Drivers: U.S. dollar weakness—from tariffs, rising debt, and anticipation of Fed cuts—has pushed DXY to multi-year lows  . Euro/USD is trading near 1.1775 and holding firm .
• Outlook: Forecasts project a range of ~1.17–1.19 through July .
• Bias: 🔼 Long EUR / Short USD — buy dips, target upside extension before any reversal.
EURUSD OUTLOOK 8 - 11 JULYNFP and unemployment rate came out bullish for the dollar which caused that big push to the down side. The job market is still holding well thus we are less likely to see the FED cut rates.
Other economic data is still showing that the dollar is weaker against the euro so I'm not going to change my direction bias just yet. Technical analysis also clearly shows that we are still bullish on EURUSD.
We don't have much fundamental data coming out this week so I'm anticipating price to continue lower to give a deeper pullback off of last weeks data, Then next week depending how CPI, PPI and Retails sales go we will get a clearer picture on how to trade the pair.
Last week's 4H outlook is still valid and is more useful when looking to execute trades. This daily Analysis just gives the bigger picture for more of a swing setup analysis
Dollar firms as tariff tensions resurface | FX ResearchAs US traders return from the Independence Day holiday, they'll find a stronger dollar supported by renewed trade tensions and geopolitical noise. Tariffs are back in focus ahead of Wednesday's deadline, with President Trump warning that countries aligning with BRICS policies contrary to US interests will face a 10% tariff.
Markets remain frustrated by shifting timelines as reciprocal tariffs are now pushed to August 1st. China has also announced retaliatory curbs on EU medical device imports, complicating its outreach to the Eurozone.
In Japan, real wages slumped 2.9% in May, underscoring inflation pressures ahead of key elections later this month. On a more positive note, Germany's May industrial production jumped 1.2% and the Eurozone Sentix survey beat expectations, though ECB's Centeno warned of downside risks to inflation and potential euro weakness.
In Sweden, faster-than-expected CPI data has cast doubt on near-term rate cuts from the Riksbank. Today is quiet on the data front in North America, but attention turns to ECB’s Holzmann for further policy clues.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Bull Flag PatternThe EURUSD is developing a bull flag pattern, and reinforced the pattern on the dip to the 1.1686 level, or 38% retracement. For bulls, this level will be critical to hold in the session ahead. A break back above the flag resistance at 1.1750 would reengage the dip buyers.
For the traders looking for a bigger US Dollar bounce, a move back below the 1.1686 level may open the door for a move back below the 1.1600 level.
EUR/USD Technical ReversalThe daily EUR/USD chart shows a clear rejection at the 1.1830 resistance, aligned with the 0% Fibonacci level, following a sustained upward move. The rejection candlestick pattern, combined with the formation of an ascending channel, suggests buyer exhaustion and a potential start of a correction.
Fibonacci projections indicate key support zones at 1.1198 (38.2%), 1.1000 (50%), and 1.0800 (61.8%). A sustained break below the ascending trendline and the intermediate support zone (highlighted in yellow) would reinforce the correction scenario, with a potential target at 1.0176 (100% Fibonacci).
Decreasing volume and the lack of new significant highs further support the reversal hypothesis. Momentum analysis (RSI and MACD, if present) should be monitored for additional confirmation of the weakening bullish trend.
From a fundamental perspective, the correction may be triggered by divergences in ECB and Fed monetary policies, as well as recent macroeconomic data favoring the US dollar.
EUR/USD is showing clear technical signs of reversal after rejection at a key resistance. Loss of the 1.10 and 1.08 supports could accelerate the correction toward 1.0176. Close monitoring of upcoming candles and momentum indicators is recommended for confirmation of the move.
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Entry: 1.1743
1st Support: 1.1631
1st Resistance: 1.1833
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EURUSD Bounce on the 4H MA100 eyes 1.2000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the May 12 Low. Right now it is expanding its 3rd Bearish Leg of this structure, with the previous two reaching at least either the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) or the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding.
As a result, we expect a rebound soon around the 1.16500 level to start the new Bullish Leg. The last two peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a clear Target at 1.2000.
Notice also that every time the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark, it was a confirmed buy signal. Use that to your advantage.
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EURUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17341 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17512.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1775 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1648
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1840
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Another Pullback Trade for Today 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a double bottom pattern on a key daily horizontal support.
Its neckline violation signifies a local strength of the buyers.
I think that the pair may move up and reach 1.1753 level.
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EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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#AN016: Markets Brace for Tariffs, Forex Reaction
Markets have taken a cautious tone this week, as investors digest new developments on global trade and central bank prospects. A mix of US tariff threats, higher OPEC+ oil production and surprisingly strong eurozone investor sentiment is shaping currency flows.
I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, and I want to thank our Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE in advance for helping me put this article together.
Investor confidence in the eurozone surged to a three-year high in July. This positive sentiment is reducing the European Central Bank's room to cut rates further, even as inflation remains subdued.
Meanwhile, US President Trump has ordered letters threatening tariffs of up to 70% for nations that fail to conclude trade deals by August 1, creating fresh uncertainty in diplomatic and trade circles.
Asian markets and BRICS currencies have already shown signs of weakness, while US futures have weakened on the threat.
Oil markets have also reacted sharply to OPEC+’s announcement of a higher-than-expected production increase of around 550,000 barrels per day from August, which has pushed Brent below $68 and US crude below $66.
On the European inflation front, the ECB is opting to postpone further rate cuts. Estonian Minister Madis Müller confirmed that the ECB can afford to put monetary easing on hold, given stable inflation and solid growth.
reuters.com
Forex Impact – What Traders Should Watch
The combination of strong eurozone sentiment and looming trade tensions is driving significant currency dynamics this week:
EUR/USD: The euro has room to strengthen further. Optimistic sentiment and a pause from the ECB reinforce the bullish bias, but tariff uncertainty could trigger safe-haven demand for USD.
USD/JPY and CHF: The dollar could find support amid global risk aversion, pushing JPY and CHF higher.
Commodity currencies (CAD, AUD, NOK): Under double pressure: higher oil supply and rising trade risks could weigh on crude-related currencies.
Emerging market currencies: BRICS currencies could remain under pressure due to threats of additional US tariffs; Indian rupee and other currencies could depreciate further.
US Jobs Data Supports Fed Dovish SignalsThe EUR/USD stayed in a narrow range around 1.1760 during Friday’s Asian session, with limited movement as US markets were closed for Independence Day.
The US dollar gained modestly after Thursday’s NFP data showed 147,000 new jobs in June, beating the expected 110,000.
However, private sector job growth slowed, adding only 74,000 jobs in June versus a three-month average of 115,000. This trend supports Fed officials like Vice Chair Bowman, who recently called for rate cuts due to labor market risks.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1830, while support is at 1.1730.