EURUSD trade ideas
Mitigation Block in Forex Trading: What It Is and How to Use It?What a Mitigation Block Is, and How You Can Use It When Trading Forex?
Understanding specific market mechanisms like mitigation blocks may enhance strategic decision-making. This article delves into the concept of mitigation blocks, detailing their definition, function, and practical application within forex.
Definition and Function of a Mitigation Block
A mitigation block in forex trading refers to a specific order block on a chart that indicates where previous movements have stalled and reversed, marking it as a potential area for future market turns. This concept within the Smart Money framework is crucial for traders looking to manage their positions by taking advantage of strategic entry and exit points.
The idea behind these areas is rooted in the dynamics of supply and demand within forex. When a currency pair reaches a level where buyers or sellers have previously entered the market in force, causing a reversal, it suggests a potential repeat of such actions when the price returns to the area.
Characteristics and How to Identify a Mitigation Block
Mitigation blocks can be bullish or bearish, each with distinct characteristics:
- Bearish Mitigation Block: This type forms during an uptrend and is identified by a significant peak followed by a decline and a failed attempt to reach or surpass the previous high, creating a lower high. When prices drop below the previous low, the order block above the low becomes mitigation. It may be characterised by an increase in selling volume as the price approaches the level, signalling resistance and a potential downward reversal.
- Bullish Mitigation Block: Conversely, a bullish type is established during a downtrend. It is characterised by a significant trough, followed by a rise to form a higher low, and a failure to drop below the previous low. As the pair moves up, the order block below the high marks mitigation one. This area often shows an increase in buying volume as the price approaches, indicating support and a potential upward reversal.
Mitigation Block vs Breaker Block
Mitigation and breaker blocks are both significant in identifying potential trend reversals in forex trading, but they have distinct characteristics that set them apart. A mitigation block forms after a failure swing, which occurs when the market attempts but fails to surpass a previous peak in an uptrend or a previous trough in a downtrend. The pattern indicates a loss of momentum and a potential reversal as the price fails to sustain its previous direction.
On the other hand, a breaker block is characterised by the formation of a new high or low before the market structure is broken, indicating that liquidity has been taken. This means that although the trend initially looked set to continue, it quickly reverses and breaks structure.
In effect, a breaker appears when the market takes liquidity beyond a swing point before reversing the trend. A mitigation appears when the price doesn’t move beyond the trend’s most recent high or low, instead plotting a lower high or higher low before reversing the trend.
How to Use Mitigation Blocks in Trading
Areas of mitigation in trading can be essential tools for identifying potential trend reversals and entry points. When they align with a trader's analysis that anticipates a reversal at a certain level, it can serve as a robust confirmation for entry.
Traders can effectively utilise these zones by simply placing a limit order within the area once it is considered valid. Validation occurs after a new peak or trough is established following the initial failure swing that forms the mitigation area.
If a liquidity void or fair-value gap is present, the trader may look for such a gap to be filled before their limit order is triggered, potentially offering a tighter entry. Stop losses might be placed beyond the failure swing or the most extreme point.
Furthermore, if a mitigation block is identified on a higher timeframe, traders can refine their entry by switching to a lower timeframe. This approach allows for a tighter entry point and potentially better risk management, as it offers more granular insight into the momentum around the area.
Common Mistakes and Limitations
While these blocks are valuable for forex trading, they come with potential pitfalls and limitations that traders should know.
- Overreliance: Relying solely on mitigation blocks without corroborating with other trading indicators can lead to misjudged entries and exits.
- Ignoring Context: Using these zones without considering the broader market conditions may result in trading against a prevailing strong trend.
- Misinterpretation: Incorrect identification can lead to erroneous trading decisions, especially for less experienced traders.
- False Signals: Mitigation blocks can sometimes appear to signal a reversal but instead lead to a continuation of the trend, trapping traders in unfavourable positions.
The Bottom Line
Understanding mitigation blocks offers traders a strategic edge in navigating the forex market. They can be vital for recognising potential price reversals and improving trading outcomes.
FAQs
What Is a Mitigation Block?
A mitigation block in forex trading is an order block that identifies potential reversal points. It signals where a currency pair has previously stalled, indicating strong buying or selling pressure, suggesting a potential for similar reactions in future encounters with these levels.
How Do You Identify a Mitigation Block?
Mitigation blocks are identified by analysing charts for areas where previous highs or lows were not surpassed, leading to a reversal. Traders look for a sequence of movements, including a swing high or low followed by a retracement that fails to exceed the previous swing.
What Is the Difference Between a Breaker Block and a Mitigation Block?
While both indicate potential reversals, a breaker block forms when the price makes a new high or low before reversing, suggesting a temporary continuation of the trend. In contrast, a mitigation block forms without creating a new extreme, indicating a direct loss of momentum and an immediate potential for reversal.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15691.Colleagues, I believe that wave “5” of higher order has actively started an upward movement.
At the moment I see movement in wave “1” of medium order and it means that a correction in wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level (1.12434) is expected. But I would still advise to consider only upward movement and use pending limit orders.
I see the maximum of wave “3” - resistance area 1.15691 as the target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis
● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective.
● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm.
✨ Summary
Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470.
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EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔸 Triple Rejection Zone:
Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance.
🔸 Strong Support Bounce:
Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest.
🔸 Break and Retest Formation:
Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation.
🔸 Projected Bullish Move:
If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked.
📌 Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250
✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure
🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum
📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000
🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750
🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
(iFVG) before continuing its fall.EUR/USD is now ready to move downward. The market has already cleared out all the liquidity above, which suggests that it's now in the mood to drop. Earlier, on the 4-hour timeframe, the market had formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), but that has now been broken to the downside.
Currently, there are chances that the market might touch the imbalance (iFVG) before continuing its fall. Keep an eye on that level and observe how the market reacts there. It could be an important zone.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish SetupA new SELL signal has emerged on the EUR/USD chart, signaling potential downward movement.
SELL Signal: Activated at 1.16500 after price tapped into a supply zone and rejected from a weak high, indicating a potential short-term reversal.
TP Zones:
TP1: 1.14881
TP2: 1.14284
Final TP: 1.13688
This setup offers a potential profit range of 160 to 280 pips.
Market Structure: Price is reacting strongly from the supply area and failing to break the weak high. With bearish momentum building, price may continue down toward the imbalance and demand zones.
Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
EUR/USD - Daily highs taken, now what?Introduction
The EUR/USD made a strong move higher today, establishing a clear uptrend on the 4-hour chart. With this latest push, it swept the daily liquidity above the previous high. The question now is whether the EUR/USD will continue moving higher or if there are opportunities for long entries at lower levels.
Liquidity Sweep
EUR/USD has taken out liquidity above the daily highs, where many stop losses are typically positioned. These stops have now been removed from the market. This area could potentially act as a support and resistance flip. However, if we see a 4-hour candle close below the previous daily high, further downside becomes likely.
Where Can We Look for Buys?
During the recent 4-hour move higher, significant progress was made. This upward movement created a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $1.149 and $1.145. This FVG aligns perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci level, drawn from the swing low to the swing high. As a result, this zone forms a strong area of confluence for potential buy positions to target a retest of the highs.
Conclusion
Although we are currently breaking above the previous high, this move has yet to be confirmed as sustainable. Holding above this level is crucial. If a 4-hour candle closes below the previous high, it becomes likely that we will revisit the daily FVG and golden pocket Fibonacci zone.
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#AN007: Israel Attacks Iran, What's Happening? in Forex
Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, creator of the SwipeUP Elite FX Method, which allows me to analyze and operate in the Forex world as if I were a Hedge Fund or an Investment Bank. Today I want to talk to you about the relevant news of the last few hours, namely Israel's attack on Iran.
⚠️ What happened
Israel launched a massive preemptive air strike on numerous nuclear and military installations in Iran, including sites in Tehran and Natanz. Among the victims were key figures such as Revolutionary Guard commander Hossein Salami and several high-profile nuclear scientists.
The operation was completely "unilateral", with no direct involvement of the United States, according to official sources
reuters.com. However, it was previously coordinated with Washington, which received notification before the attack.
Iran has responded by announcing that it will respond “hard and decisively” and has begun planning missile and drone strikes against Israeli targets, with a response that could come as early as the next few days.
🌍 Global reactions
Australia, New Zealand, Japan and the UN have expressed alarm and called for maximum restraint.
Oil prices have reacted with a surge: WTI +9% due to fears of supply disruptions.
💱 Impact on Forex
↑ Oil prices → Strengthens CAD, NOK, and commodity currencies in general.
Global risk-off mode → Benefits safe haven currencies such as JPY, CHF, and temporarily also USD.
Rising geopolitical risk → USD may have swings: drops in risk-off phases, but bounces as a safe-haven.
EUR under pressure due to general risk aversion and physical demand for USD, CHF, JPY.
Finally, emerging markets (BRL, MXN, INR) could suffer high volatility: outflows towards safer assets.
🧩 Operational focus for Forex traders
Monitor oil and US yield bonds: rising signals could push commodity currencies.
Follow movements on USD/JPY and USD/CHF: potential breakouts in case of escalation.
Watch out for volatility on EUR/USD: the geopolitical crisis rewards USD and CHF.
Stay ready for emerging currencies to react: possible flash crashes or speculative rebounds.
To receive other news or other analyses, continue to follow me.
EURUSD follow the ascending channel selling now from bearish obEURUSD – Bearish Setup in Play! 🚨
4H Timeframe Analysis
EURUSD has been respecting the ascending channel, but price just tapped a key supply zone at 1.15700 and showed strong rejection. This signals a potential sell-off from current levels. 📉
🔻 Technical Targets:
📍 1st TP: 1.14200
📍 2nd TP: 1.12700
📍 3rd TP: 1.10800
A clean break below 1.15000 could accelerate the move. Watch closely for momentum confirmations! ⚠️
🧠 Smart traders plan, not chase.
💬 Drop your thoughts below
❤️ Like if you caught the move
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— Livia 😜✨
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25
PERHAPS THE LAST CHANCE FOR SHORTS- GRAB A THE BEST DISCOUNT !
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 13, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention today:
12:00 EET. EUR - Foreign trade balance
17:00 EET. USD - University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
EURUSD :
EUR/USD interrupted its four-day winning streak, retreating from 1.16310, its highest level since October 2021, and is currently trading around 1.15300 in Asian hours on Friday. The pair is depreciating as the US dollar (USD) gains support as traders shift to increased demand for safe-haven assets due to rising tensions in the Middle East.
Israel has attacked dozens of targets across Iran to eliminate its nuclear programme. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel could face a missile and drone strike after Israel's pre-emptive strike on Iran. Katz declared a special state of emergency in the country, Axios reports.
In addition, White House Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a statement: ‘Tonight, Israel took unilateral action against Iran. We are not participating in strikes against Iran, and our top priority is to protect American troops in the region.’ ‘President Trump and the administration have taken all necessary measures to protect our troops and are in close contact with our regional partners.’ ‘Let me be clear: Iran should not target US interests or personnel,’ Rubio added.
However, the decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited, as the US dollar (USD) may face difficulties after US President Donald Trump's new threat to extend steel tariffs from 23 June to imported ‘steel-derived products’ such as household appliances, e.g. dishwashers, washing machines, refrigerators, etc. The tariffs were initially introduced in March at 25% and then doubled to 50% for most countries. This is the second time that the scope of the duties has been expanded.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15300, SL 1.15500, TP 1.14400
EUR/USD is in an uptrend EUR/USD is in an uptrend and recently broke above the ascending channel before pulling back to retest the breakout zone near 1.1517. If this level holds, the price is expected to resume its upward movement toward 1.1600–1.1630. A break below 1.1490 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Risk-off sentiment in EUR/USDYesterday, EURUSD hit a new high, reaching 1,1632.
This morning, we're seeing a pullback due to increased demand for safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran.
Avoid rushing into new positions today and keep an eye on how the pair reacts around key support levels.
Next week, all eyes will be on the upcoming interest rate decision from the Fed.
EURUSD Long-Term Breakout Setup? Wyckoff + High Volume Breakout📍 Chart: EURUSD — Monthly
📈 Tools Used: Wyckoff Logic, Volume Profile, Candle Volume Analysis, Trendline Structure
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🔍 Market Context
Since 2015, EURUSD has been ranging between ~1.05 and ~1.15, forming a broad horizontal consolidation zone. This structure appears to resemble a potential long-term accumulation phase , according to Wyckoff theory.
Recently, we've seen a breakout of a multi-year descending trendline , accompanied by a candle with volume significantly above the historical monthly average . This is not a minor signal — it could indicate strong institutional interest and a possible Change of Character (ChoCh) .
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📊 Volume Profile Observations
- Volume has been heavily concentrated around the 1.13–1.14 region, suggesting this may act as a springboard for higher prices.
- The breakout candle didn’t yet escape the overall range, but its volume and momentum show a clear deviation from previous attempts .
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📐 Technical Structure
- ✅ Break of descending trendline (in place since 2008 highs)
- 🔺 Monthly close above trendline with strong volume
- 🟧 Price still within the upper half of the 2015–2024 range and pushing
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🧠 Wyckoff Interpretation
This could be a Phase D transition — where price begins testing the upper boundary of the accumulation. If a breakout above 1.20–1.22 occurs with confirmation, we may see Phase E : the mark-up.
In this case, a major macro trend shift may be underway .
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📌 Conclusion
EURUSD may be in the early stages of a long-term bullish reversal. Volume, structure, and context all support this hypothesis — though confirmation would come only with a decisive breakout from the range.
Many trades and allocations oportunities on the way.
Not financial advice. Educational use only.
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🧭 What to watch next:
- 🔹 Monthly close above 1.16 (high volume candle)
- 🔹 Volume confirmation in breakout
- 🔹 Retest of volume cluster around close of high volume candle (1.13-1.14)
EURUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 1.14737, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.1570, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1400, an overlap support.
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euro/usdTRADE 5 i belive that e/u is deffently bullish
but i do see a reversal happening allthough i belive this pair to retrace you could catch the pull back to pull the trigger on a new higher higher but i wouldnt personally jump in on the trade on this one i would wait to see where the retracment goes before i jump in remmeber this best part of trading is LEARNING WHEN NOT TO TRADE protect your wealth people i cant stress enought how manyt account i have blown by not knowing when to shut my computer and waiting for a better entry saying that i do belive e/u will go down to come back up lets see where it goes who know I COULD BE WRONG
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting.
🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Context:
EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below.
📊 Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530
Target 1: 1.1268
Target 2: 1.1086
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC)
🪙 Leading Asset Clue:
Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics.
⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch:
🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12)
📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13)
💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference
📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines
🧠 Risk Factors:
Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness
Market overreacts to rate cut expectations
Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD
Bearish
Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias
Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk)
FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell
📌 Final Note:
Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.