EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This is a 1-hour chart of the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) currency pair, showing a potential bullish trade setup. Here's the breakdown:
Current Price: 1.12823
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the current market price (1.12823)
Target (Take Profit): Near 1.13150 (marked with the bullseye and green zone above)
Stop Loss: Around 1.12232 (red zone below)
Pattern Insight:
The chart shows a bullish flag or correction channel after an uptrend.
The price broke out of the descending correction, suggesting a potential continuation of the prior uptrend.
Summary of Setup:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, with stop loss tightly placed under recent lows
Bias: Bullish, expecting upward momentum continuation
Would you like a combined analysis of all three trade setups (BTC/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/USD)?
EURUSD Bearish Divergence – Short Trade Active (1H)Description:
EURUSD formed a bearish divergence on the 1-hour timeframe — with RSI showing lower highs while price created higher highs. This signaled weakening bullish momentum and a potential reversal.
✅ Breakout Confirmed:
The recent low has been broken, confirming bearish structure. I've entered the short position accordingly.
🔽 Live Trade Details:
Entry: After breakout of divergence low (marked on chart)
Stop Loss (SL): Above recent swing high
Take-Profit (TP):
TP1: Near next support zone
TP2: Trail depending on price action / momentum
📌 Key Factors:
Bearish divergence confirmed by RSI
Break of structure = entry trigger
Defined risk with favorable R:R
Trade is being managed actively
📅 Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Trade in progress – managing position based on developing price action.
Euro will start to grow from support and then leave pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Previously, price was moving confidently inside an upward channel, forming steady higher highs and higher lows. After a clear breakout from that structure, the price started consolidating inside a new pattern, an upward pennant. This formation usually appears as a continuation structure, where the market builds pressure before a new impulse. Currently, the price is trading near the middle of the pennant, after rolling down from the resistance line and rebounding up from the support area. The structure is compressing, and a retest of the support line near 1.1155 may occur before a breakout happens. Given the confluence of the pennant structure, the strong support area, and the previous bullish momentum, I expect the Euro to rebound again from the lower trend line and initiate an upward breakout. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 1.1500 level, a logical target aligned with the upper boundary of the pattern and next key resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – Quick Intraweek Swing in Play? OTEUM EXPERT CALL: EUR/USD – Quick Intraweek Swing in Play? 🕰️💶
The play is set. We’re camped out by the red box 🎣, waiting for that quick liquidity flush—then it’s load-up and launch 🚀 into tomorrow’s data fireworks.
No dip, no trade. Stay cool, size small, and keep the trigger finger ready. Let the market come to us.
#EURUSD #Intraweek #ValueHunt #DataWatch #OTEUM
EURUSD Under Pressure After Weak Eurozone PMIsEurozone PMIs disappointed, and EURUSD is feeling the negative pressure as a result. After breaking above 1.1275, EURUSD is now trading within the 1.1275–1.1375 range. Despite the weak PMI, shaky U.S. bond markets and a stronger Japanese yen are contributing to a weaker dollar, which is offering some support to EURUSD.
The Eurozone composite PMI fell to 49.5 from 50.4, missing expectations of a rise to 50.6. After just four months above 50, the drop back into contraction territory highlights that the Eurozone remains far from recovery. On a positive note, the manufacturing component is starting to show signs of improvement.
Following the data and the news that the "big, beautiful bill" passed in the U.S. House, EURUSD is trying to hold the former resistance at 1.1275, which is now acting as support. If this level fails, the next downside target would be 1.1215.
On the upside, 1.1375 and 1.1425 remain key resistance levels. While 1.1425 holds greater long-term significance, 1.1375 may cap gains for the remainder of the week.
EURUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1348
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1396
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1273
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Rebounds, Eurozone Data EyedEUR/USD climbed to around 1.1310 during Friday’s Asian session, rebounding as U.S. Treasury yields declined, the 30-year yield slipped from its 19-month high of 5.15%, weighing on the dollar. The recovery follows the House passing Trump’s fiscal bill, which revived deficit worries. Earlier, strong U.S. PMI figures (Composite: 52.1, Manufacturing & Services: 52.3) had briefly strengthened the dollar.
Fed Governor Waller hinted at possible rate cuts if tariffs stabilize, while Trump renewed threats of higher tariffs on the EU. On the European front, ECB officials expect inflation to return to near 2% by end-2025, though growth remains subdued. Eurozone PMIs showed services at 48.9 and manufacturing at 49.4. Focus now shifts to Germany’s GDP release.
Resistance is at 1.1390, with higher levels at 1.1460 and 1.1580. First support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
EURO/USD bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend.Ichimoku Cloud is applied, showing trend momentum and support/resistance.
Price Levels:
Current price: 1.1342 SELL / 1.1343 BUY
OB: Marked as a potential Order Block zone (smart money concept), indicating prior institutional activity or demand area.
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Trend Analysis
Market appears to be in a bullish recovery phase following a previous downtrend.
Diagonal trendline support is holding (marked by upward arrows), confirming an ascending structure.
Breakout scenario is expected as price approaches consolidation near resistance.
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Cloud Interaction
Price has broken above the Ichimoku Cloud, a bullish signal, indicating potential for continuation.
The cloud now acts as dynamic support, confirmed by the bounce shown with the blue arrows.
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Projection
The chart outlines a projected bullish path:
Retesting the trendline or cloud support
Moving upward toward the green resistance zone
Final bullish target at 1.1550–1.1600 area, labeled “TARGET POINT”
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Summary
This is a bullish continuation setup on EUR/USD:
Support respected (diagonal trendline + Ichimoku cloud)
Price structure forming higher lows
A clear roadmap to a bullish breakout toward a predefined target zone.
This chart reflects strategic, institutional-style trading, combining smart money concepts (Order Block), Ichimoku trend following, and breakout potential. Let me know if you want a trade setup drafted or a risk-reward breakdown.
EURUSD – 1H Update on Our Previous EURUSD Post +60 PipsAs expected from our last idea, price reacted well to our 1H Order Block zones.
🔹 Upon receiving bullish confirmation on the 3-minute timeframe, we entered a long position, which has now moved 60 pips in our favor.
📍 Current Setup:
Price is now at a decision point – around yesterday’s high (PDH) and the 1H supply (OB).
✅ If price breaks above PDH (dashed yellow line), it could lead to a clean break of the 1H resistance and continuation to the upside.
🚫 However, if bullish momentum weakens, there’s a real chance price may pull back to collect buy-side liquidity in the blue and green demand boxes below.
⚠️ It’s Friday – trade with caution!
Late-week volatility and false spikes are common before weekly close.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
EUR/USD M15 Break & Retest Setup Price has broken above the key resistance zone around 1.13200–1.13250 and is currently forming a potential pullback. I'm watching for a retest of this zone to act as new support.
If we get a bullish rejection or strong engulfing candle at this level, I'll consider a long entry targeting the next liquidity zone above 1.13500+. Setup aligns with EMA20/50 bullish crossover and momentum shift.
Plan:
✅ Wait for price to revisit and hold above 1.13200–1.13250
✅ Look for bullish confirmation
🎯 Target: 1.13550+
🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below 1.13150
Let’s see if the retest holds!"**
EURUSD WEEKLY PLAN: Bullish Breakout Toward Multi-Year Highs?EURUSD is showing a strong bullish structure after breaking above a key resistance zone. Price is now retesting a former SBR (Support Becomes Resistance) level, with potential for a continued rally toward higher zones.
📌 Scenario Outlook:
A retest of the 1.1600–1.1800 area could act as a launchpad.
If buyers hold control, the market may aim for targets near 1.2100–1.2300, aligning with previous highs.
⚠️ Monitor for bullish price action confirmation during the retest phase. Break above the 1.20 handle could signal strong momentum into 2025.
Lingrid | EURUSD potential Trend MOMENTUM ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD continues its recovery within the upward channel, having rebounded strongly from the 1.1316 support, aligned with the rising trendline. The pair is forming a higher low, and the structure hints at another bullish leg, potentially pushing into the 1.14 resistance near the channel's top. As long as price holds the 1.1316 zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below would shift the bias back toward the 1.1217 support area.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.1316 – 1.1330
Buy trigger: bounce continuation from trendline
Target: 1.1400
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.1316
💡 Risks
A hawkish tone from the ECB could cause volatility.
False breakout patterns near resistance might trap buyers.
Loss of the trendline would weaken bullish conviction.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD FRIDAY🔻 SELL @ 1.13598
🛑 SL 1.13718 (12 pips)
🎯 TP 1.13168 (43 pips)
⚖️ R:R ≈ 1:3.6
📌 Why? Price just retested a 15 m supply zone that lines up with H1 resistance — bearish wick rejection on the test.
🔺 BUY @ 1.12874
🛑 SL 1.12779 (9.5 pips)
🎯 TP 1.13196 (32.2 pips)
⚖️ R:R ≈ 1:3.4
📌 Why? Price touching a 15 m demand zone backed by H1 support — bullish engulfing candle confirms the bounce.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention today:
17:00 EET. USD- Volume of home sales on the primary market
EURUSD:
EUR/USD is recovering its recent losses from the previous session and is trading around 1.1310 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair is rising on the back of lower US Treasury yields, which continue to decline after the US 30-year bond yield retreated from 5.15 per cent, the highest in 19 months.
US President Donald Trump's ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ has passed the House of Representatives and is on its way to the Senate, sparking fears of a widening budget deficit in the United States (US).
However, EUR/USD lost around 0.50 per cent on Thursday as the US dollar gained as the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May came in at 52.1, up from April's 50.6. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.2 previously, while the services PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.8.
Fed Chairman Christopher Waller noted on Thursday that markets are watching fiscal policy. Waller also said that if rates are close to 10%, the economy will be in good shape for H2 and the Fed may be in a position to cut rates later this year.
The Financial Times reported that President Trump is pushing the European Union (EU) to cut tariffs or impose more duties. US Trade Representative Greer is set to tell fellow EU Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, Maroš Šefčovič, that the recent ‘explanatory memorandum’ does not meet US expectations.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13200, SL 1.13000, TP 1.14200
Taking Profits on EURUSDEURUSD continues to follow the analysis precisely, but it’s time to start watching for profit-taking opportunities.
The trend remains intact, though a deeper correction is possible.
Keep an eye out for signs of exhaustion after breaking the previous high and a potential rejection.
At these levels, avoid opening new positions - instead, focus on managing and closing active ones.
Once the correction plays out, there will be better setups for new trades.
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
Price has entered a support area and is expected to bounce.
Two possible bullish paths (blue & yellow arrows) suggest a continuation toward the marked target zone.
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Disruption Thesis: Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Overextended Rally Into Resistance
The move up into the “support area” is sharp and fast, suggesting it's a liquidity grab.
This zone might actually be a supply zone, where smart money is offloading.
Disruption Call: Price could stall or reverse sharply from this area due to lack of follow-through volume.
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2. Volume Profile Weakness
Volume peaked earlier in the rally and is now diminishing, which often signals buyer exhaustion.
Disruption Call: Fading bullish momentum implies a fakeout, not a breakout.
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3. False Breakout / Bull Trap
The green arrow assumes a bounce, but price may just be hovering to bait longs before dropping.
Previous swing highs near 1.1320 may act as a strong rejection point.
Disruption Call: A sudden drop below 1.1300, with a new bearish wave back to 1.1250 or lower.