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EURUSD trade ideas

HelenP. I Euro may fall to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price traded near Support 2, which coincided with the support zone, before breaking this level and dropping to the trend line. Upon reaching the trend line, EUR turned around and started to rise. In a short time, the price climbed back to Support 2, broke it, and then made a retest. After this movement, EUR continued moving up and eventually reached Support 1, which also aligned with another support zone. The price traded within this area for some time before breaking Support 1 and then started trading near this level. Later, the Euro rebounded from this area and attempted to push higher but failed, leading to a decline. It quickly dropped to the support level, and more recently, the price even reached the trend line before bouncing back up. At this point, I expect EURUSD to correct toward the trend line before continuing its upward movement. Based on this scenario, my gaol is set at 1.1050 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
5
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: As indicated in the analysis from the previous week, the Euro has commenced an upward trend, successfully retesting the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.086 and advancing toward the Mean Resistance level at 1.093. Consequently, the currency is currently experiencing a retreat and is directing its focus toward the Mean Support level at 1.078, possibly declining further to the Mean Support level at 1.061. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend fail to materialize, it is plausible that the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.093 and subsequently aim for the completed Outer Currency Rally level of 1.124, traversing Key Resistance at 1.119 along the way.
by TradeSelecter
Eur usd EUR/USD Price Action Update 📊 Pair: EUR/USD ⏳ Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart 📈 Current Trend: Volatile with Mixed Signals The EUR/USD pair is currently fluctuating within a tight range, facing resistance near 1.0885-1.0890 and support around 1.0870. Recent price action shows a rejection from higher levels, indicating possible selling pressure. However, strong buying volume could lead to a breakout. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.0890 / 1.0900 Support: 1.0870 / 1.0855 📌 Trading Outlook: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.0890 could push the price toward 1.0905-1.0920. Bearish Scenario: If the price drops below 1.0870, expect further downside toward 1.0855-1.0845. 📢 Recommendation: Wait for confirmation near key levels before entering a trade. Watch price action and volume for stronger signals. 🚀 What’s Next? If bullish momentum increases, EUR/USD could test new highs. Otherwise, a breakdown below support could lead to a short-term bearish move.
by officialsahilbishnoi
Forex Trend Trading: A Complete Guide for Traders📊 Market Structure: Uptrend vs. Downtrend 🔼 Uptrend Market Structure (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) Price makes higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Indicates buyers are in control. Traders look for buying opportunities at key support levels. Example Structure: 📍 HH → HL → Higher HH → Higher HL (trend continuation). 🔽 Downtrend Market Structure (Lower Highs & Lower Lows) Price forms lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Sellers dominate the market. Traders look for selling opportunities at resistance levels. Example Structure: 📍 LL → LH → Lower LL → Lower LH (trend continuation). 📌 Steps to Trade Trends Effectively 1️⃣ Identify the Trend ✅ Use a higher timeframe (H4, D1, W1) to determine the major trend. ✅ Look for HH & HL (uptrend) or LH & LL (downtrend). ✅ Use trendlines, moving averages, and price action for confirmation. 2️⃣ Find Key Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Use previous swing highs and swing lows to mark key levels. ✅ Identify trendline support & resistance zones. ✅ Look for breakouts or retests for entry confirmation. 3️⃣ Use Technical Indicators for Confirmation 🔹 Moving Averages (MA) – 50 EMA & 200 EMA for trend direction. 🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Overbought (>70) or Oversold (<30) for trend exhaustion. 🔹 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Confirms trend strength & momentum. 4️⃣ Plan Your Entry & Exit Points ✅ Entry Strategy: Buy at higher lows (HL) in an uptrend. Sell at lower highs (LH) in a downtrend. Use candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles) for confirmation. ✅ Exit Strategy: Place Stop Loss (SL) below last HL (uptrend) or above LH (downtrend). Use Take Profit (TP) at key resistance/support levels. Consider trailing stop losses to maximize gains. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Trade Execution ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – Aim for at least 1:2 or higher. ✅ Position Sizing – Risk only 1-2% of your capital per trade. ✅ Monitor Trade – Adjust SL/TP as the trade progresses. 🎯 Trend Trading Strategies 📌 Pullback Trading Wait for a retracement to a support/resistance level. Enter at key Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%). Confirm with price action signals. 📌 Breakout Trading Enter when price breaks a major resistance (uptrend) or support (downtrend). Wait for a retest of broken structure before entering. Avoid false breakouts using volume confirmation. 📌 Trendline Trading Draw trendlines connecting HLs (uptrend) or LHs (downtrend). Enter when price bounces off the trendline in the direction of the trend. ⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid ❌ Trading against the trend without confirmation. ❌ Ignoring risk management and overleveraging. ❌ Entering too late in an extended trend. ❌ Ignoring economic news & fundamental factors. 📌 Final Thoughts ✅ Trend trading is a powerful strategy when used with proper market analysis. ✅ Always confirm trends with technical indicators & price action. ✅ Stick to your plan, manage risk, and stay disciplined for long-term success. 🔹 Happy Trading & Stay Profitable! 🚀📊
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
25
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bank Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.04000) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair. 🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators: GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators. Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade. 🌟United States Economic Indicators: GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators. Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade. The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce. ⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair: Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook. Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook. Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance. Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook. ⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements: Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted. Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies. Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation. Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis. ⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing: For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report. Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels. Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move. ⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation: EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations. Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends. Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights. Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend. ⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis Technical analysis provides insights into price trends: At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide. Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal. ⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations: Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD. Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts. Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength. ⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward: The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800. Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength. Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks. ⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term. ⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction Trend: Bullish Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Multi-Timeframe Trade Setup for EUR/USDTrade Bias: Bearish - but maybe only for next week... need to wait Looking at all three timeframes (15m, 1H, 4H), we can observe that while EUR/USD had a strong bullish trend from late February through early March, price action is now showing signs of exhaustion and a potential reversal. The recent price action shows a failure to maintain the highs above 1.0950 and a subsequent breakdown. Entry Price: 1.0825 Entering on a pullback to the 1.0825 level, which represents a significant intraday level that could act as resistance after being broken to the downside. Stop Loss: 1.0860 With 35 pips max risk parameter, placing the stop loss at 1.0860 keeps us within that limit while positioning above the recent swing high on the 15-minute chart. Take Profit Levels: Primary TP: 1.0780 (45 pips reward) Extended TP: 1.0740 (85 pips reward) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Primary target: 1:1.3 (35 pips risk for 45 pips reward) Extended target: 1:2.4 (35 pips risk for 85 pips reward) Trade Rationale (Multi-Timeframe Analysis): 4H Chart: Shows price recently reached a significant high around 1.0950, created a double top formation, and is now showing signs of reversal. The long-term uptrend that began in February may be losing momentum. 1H Chart: Reveals clear bearish momentum with a breakdown from recent consolidation. Price has formed lower highs and lower lows, indicating a shift to a short-term downtrend. 15m Chart: Provides the most immediate confirmation of bearish momentum with strong downward pressure and very little bullish correction. Entry Confirmation: Wait for one of these conditions: A bearish rejection candle at the 1.0825 level A break below 1.0805 with a subsequent retest of 1.0825 Trade Management: Consider moving stop loss to breakeven after price moves 20 pips in your favor Partial profit taking at primary target (1.0780) Trail the remainder of position with a 15-20 pip trailing stop
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
EUR/USD on high time frame "Hello traders, focusing on EUR/USD on high time frames, the price has reached a strong ORDER BLOCK area weekly and is showing signs of potential reversal. Considering the price action during the Asian session on Monday, this might present a good opportunity for a short position. My initial take profit target is 1.078. Upon reaching this zone, I will analyze the price further and provide updates on the next potential movement." If you need further refinement or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Short
by somayehbasiri
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.04500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔴Fundamental Analysis - The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy. 🟤Macro Analysis - The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target. - The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit. 🟠Sentimental Analysis - Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish. - Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%. 🟣COT Analysis - The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%. - Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%. 🟡Trader Sentiment - Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish. - Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%. 🔵Bullish and Bearish Data: - Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12% - Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4 🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURUSD : I wasn't joking .......... when i mentioned the Golden Line/alarm. Anyway, it is just a name I gave it. There are still many things to be discovered when looking at the chart. Playing the 'D' is one of the things I found to be useful. But when I first encountered it, I did find it silly. This 'Golden thingy' also looks silly at first, until I backtested it. Somehow, I think it is a way that the MARKET MAKER is trying to tell the whole world that they are indeed in charge. Hey look, I can do whatever I want! Let's ALL make some money. I can see a low risk, HIGH reward situation here. Good luck.
Short
by i_am_siew
EUR/USD Fibonacci Resistance In-PlayEUR/USD strength continued through the early part of the week, but a big level came into play that ended up holding the high at 1.0943. That's the 50% mark of the 2021-2022 major move, and it's related to the 1.0200 level that came in to hold support in February, leading to a stall in the sell-off that month that pushed into a bullish breakout in March. Bulls remain in control but the next 100 or so pips overhead brings quite a bit of resistance, such as the 161.8% extension of the shorter-term move, from December to the February low, or the 1.1000 psychological level. There's also the matter of RSI to consider, as RSI on the daily chart of EUR/USD pushed back-below the 70-level and that was the first such instance since last August. Of course, the pair hadn't quite topped yet, as bulls drove through September finally to relinquish control around the Q4 and October open, so overbought RSI isn't necessarily an indication of timing. More pertinent, however, is bullish defense and now the 1.0611 Fibonacci level is set up as support potential. There's also possible support at the 1.0750 psychological level, or the 200-day moving average which plots about 20 pips below that. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Trade Execution March 14 EURUSD Trade Execution March 14 London 4 macro set up logic I stated in my journal this morning I was looking for higher prices. My analysis showed that yesterday Price took sell side and rebalanced FVG on the low side. Coming into Asia Price was in a double discount. DXY was in a double premium on session and weeks range. Asia consolidated and lowered to the clean equal lows I suspected that price would clear equal low to set up for a long. At 2 macro when it was shorting I was calm and trusting that price would lower. I patiently waited for Price to take the clean equal lows and come down to the .618. At 4 macro Eur broke its levels first, while both DXY and GBP lagged behind. I was a bit early on my first entry with ICT FVG entry technique with a very small stop loss. So I went again. All factors for my model were accounted for and I trusted my analysis. The heat was the consolidation that took place from 4:15 to 5:45. I suspected that London would make the high and it would rally to the noted buy side imbalance. It did and I exited a couple pips above. Very happy considering the week was filled with not following the rules and being emotionally charged. I feel todays proves that I can follow my model rules, be patient and trust my analysis. Still a long way to go and yet extremely happy with what feels like a great day to build from. Patience, clean entry, proper stop loss, know target, great cross referencing analysis, and trust after a dismal week.
Long
by LeanLena
6
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ? EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) . According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel . Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
5