EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.12922 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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EURUSD: at key resistance: Will price rebound to 11300?Quick recap on EURUSD, seriously déjà vu of my previous analysis on EURUSD - once again we see the price coming towards the same resistance level. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed nicely to the downside as expected. For me it's definitely one to monitor, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. I am targeting a slight bounce like before, nothing major. But if price cleanly breaks out, that would rule out the bearish outlook and suggest even further upside will follow.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
EURUSD - The Bears Are Getting Started!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bullish trading within the rising blue channel.
However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of both red and blue channels.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and orange resistance zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURO - Price may make a movement up and then dropHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded between $1.0870 level inside a flat, where it after fell to bottom part and made an upward impulse.
Price exited from flat, breaking $1.0870 level too, and then made a correction, after which continued to grow.
Later, Euro reached $1.1425 level, breaking recently $1.1155 level recently, and soon price broke $1.1425 level too.
Next, price started to traded inside pennant, where it dropped from resistance line to support line, breaking $1.1425 level again.
Euro fell to support line, after which started to grow and in a short time, rose to resistance line.
Now, I think that Euro may make a movement up and then start to decline to $1.1235 support line of pennant.
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EURUSD is moving within the 1.12265 - 1.13700 range👀Possible scenario:
The euro rose 0.41% against the U.S. dollar on May 21 as concerns over President Trump's fiscal plans and political infighting weakened investor confidence. A poor 20-year bond auction further pressured the dollar, signaling waning appetite for U.S. debt.
Key U.S. data releases on May 22—including Jobless Claims and PMI reports—could impact EUR/USD. Weaker-than-expected figures may boost the euro, while strong results could trigger a pullback toward the 1.13000 level.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.13700.
EUR/USD 2H CHART PATTERNThis EUR/USD 2-hour chart illustrates a bearish flag pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the prior downtrend. After a sharp drop, price consolidated within an upward-sloping channel, forming the flag. The pattern suggests weakening bullish momentum as the price reached a resistance zone and was rejected. A projected breakdown below the channel supports a bearish outlook, with expectations of a strong downward move. The black arrow on the chart confirms the anticipated decline. This setup aligns with classic bearish flag characteristics, where the consolidation phase is followed by a continuation of the previous bearish impulse.
Entry: 1.3150
1st Target: 1.12300
2nd Target: 1.11270
EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.130.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.121.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Euro Extends Rally Ahead of PMI DataEUR/USD trades near 1.1340 during Asian hours, close to two-week highs, extending gains for a fourth session ahead of Eurozone PMI data expected to show improved growth for May.
The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets await Thursday’s S&P Global PMI. Moody’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating to Aa1, matching earlier cuts by Fitch and S&P, citing rising debt, projected to reach 134% of GDP by 2035, and a nearly 9% deficit.
Trump’s tax-cut plan cleared the House Rules Committee, but the DXY still trades lower near 99.50.
The key resistance is located at 1.1390, and the first support stands at 1.1260.
EURUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow).
● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand.
✨ Summary
Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135.
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High-Frequency Trading (HFT) in Forex and StocksHigh-Frequency Trading (HFT) in Forex and Stocks
High-Frequency Trading (HFT) has garnered significant attention due to its transformative impact on markets, reshaping the way they operate, influencing liquidity, price discovery, and overall efficiency. In this FXOpen article, we focus on high frequency forex and stock trading, its definition and its specific applications, pointing out the opportunities and challenges that this trading method presents.
High-Frequency Trading: An In-Depth Analysis
High-frequency trading represents a dynamic and swiftly evolving facet of the financial world. Understanding the basic HFT concept can help traders develop and employ advanced trading strategies.
Definition
At its essence, high-frequency trading is characterised by the swift execution of a substantial number of orders within exceptionally brief time intervals, often measured in milliseconds or microseconds. Traders engaged in HFT within the market leverage robust algorithms and state-of-the-art technology to scrutinise extensive sets of market data, facilitating swift and informed trading decisions. At the heart of HFT is its ability to harness even the slightest price differentials, allowing traders to take advantage of market inefficiencies that may elude traditional counterparts.
Key Features
The key attributes of high-frequency trading encompass remarkable speed, elevated order-to-trade ratios, and a dedicated focus on exploiting short-term fluctuations in the market. The primary objective is to execute a considerable volume of orders with precision, enabling traders to capitalise on momentary opportunities. This approach aligns with the broader domain of algorithmic trading, where pre-programmed instructions are believed to guide strategic decision-making for potentially efficient market participation.
HFT isn’t very common for retail traders. Usually, it’s done by institutional investors as this method requires significant funds and advanced software.
Strategies Employed in HFT Forex and Stock Trading
High-frequency trading encompasses a variety of strategies, each designed to exploit specific market conditions.
- Market Making involves the continuous quoting of buy and sell prices for currency pairs and stocks. HFT investors aim to capture the bid-ask spread swiftly, contributing to market liquidity. By providing liquidity, market makers facilitate seamless transactions on HFT trading platforms and play a crucial role in the efficient functioning of the markets.
- Order Flow Analysis: HFT traders analyse the order flow, seeking insights into the direction of large institutional orders. They may front-run these orders, quickly buying or selling to take advantage of subsequent price movements.
- Tick Scalping: This strategy involves making numerous small trades on tiny price fluctuations within milliseconds. HFT algorithms are designed to capture these minuscule movements.
- Machine Learning and AI: Advanced machine learning and AI techniques are increasingly used in HFT. These algorithms continuously learn from market data to refine strategies and adapt to changing market conditions.
Choosing the Right Tools in the High-Frequency Trading Landscape
The selection of the right tools is paramount for forex and stock traders, whereby several key components have to be considered.
Best High-Frequency Trading Software Can Unleash Algorithmic Power
At the heart of every high-frequency trading strategy lies powerful software designed to execute trades with speed and precision. The best high-frequency trading software incorporates advanced algorithms, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to analyse market data swiftly. These algorithms may help traders to make split-second decisions, leveraging the smallest market differentials. High-frequency trading software should also evolve quickly to meet the demands of modern traders. Such software cannot be launched on a regular PC.
High-Frequency Trading Brokers Should Facilitate Swift Execution
High-frequency trading brokers facilitate the rapid execution of trades and provide access to market liquidity. These brokers often offer low-latency connections, specialised infrastructure, and co-location services to minimise execution delays. The selection process involves the careful consideration of factors such as execution speed, fees, and reliability. High-frequency trading brokers typically offer integrated high-frequency trading apps that allow for real-time monitoring, instant decision-making, and swift trade execution. As the demand for flexibility and accessibility continues to grow, high-frequency trading technology has become an indispensable tool.
The Impact of High-Frequency Trading
High-frequency trading brings forth a dual-edged sword for forex and stock markets, with both advantages and concerns shaping its impact on financial markets. Striking the balance is essential for fostering a financial environment that encourages innovation while upholding the principles of transparency and fairness that retail traders rely on.
Advantages of HFT
One of the primary advantages of high-frequency trading is its positive impact on market liquidity. HFT strategies contribute to a continuous flow of buy and sell orders, which may ensure there is a ready market for traders to execute transactions. This increased liquidity may lead to narrower bid-ask spreads, benefiting market participants by reducing transaction costs.
Concerns and Criticisms
Critics argue that the speed and volume of HFT trades can be used to influence prices in a way that may not align with fair market practices. Strategies such as spoofing, layering, and quote stuffing have raised apprehensions about the integrity of market dynamics. HFT's role in the market has also been linked to increased volatility, especially during times of stress or uncertainty. The rapid execution of trades by algorithms responding to changing market conditions can amplify price swings, leading to concerns about stability.
Final Thoughts
Though institutional and professional traders are more likely to have the required financial resources to invest in cutting-edge high-frequency trading technology and infrastructure, retail traders can also take advantage of the HFT concept by researching the available options and understanding the market implications.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
EURUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has followed our expectations beautifully, bouncing strongly off a key support zone near 1.1270. This zone was previously a tough resistance which the pair broke through, and it’s now acting as a strong demand area. The latest bullish engulfing candle from this region signals solid buying pressure, confirming that bulls are stepping in to protect this structure. I’m now targeting a move toward the 1.17 level, which aligns with the previous high and the next major resistance on the chart.
From a macro perspective, the euro is showing resilience amid recent ECB policy comments, where officials have adopted a cautious but steady tone. Inflation remains persistent enough to delay aggressive rate cuts, keeping EUR demand intact. Meanwhile, the dollar is seeing renewed selling interest as market expectations shift toward a Fed pause, especially after softer US economic indicators including retail sales and jobless claims. This divergence is likely to support further upside in EURUSD.
Technically, this is a classic textbook retest of broken resistance turned support, backed by momentum indicators such as RSI now bouncing from mid-range and MACD showing signs of a potential bullish crossover. Volume has spiked at the support zone, confirming institutional participation. As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1270, I remain bullish and see this move extending toward 1.17 over the coming sessions.
This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity with momentum aligning with structure. The breakout and retest scenario is fully intact, and fundamentals are now favoring a continuation to the upside. Traders and swing holders should keep this on their radar as EURUSD looks ready to climb further.