EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13276 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13540.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Is EUR/USD continuing its uptrend from the 1.126 level?Hello everyone, it's great to see all of you again in the current trading session. Let’s discuss and launch a new trading campaign together!
In general, EURUSD experienced a significant price increase yesterday, with a rise in price and a breakout above the 1.126 level. It is now trading at a new high of 1.132, the best gain at the end of April. So what are the reasons and factors that have driven this currency pair?
Regarding the influencing factors:
EUR/USD maintains a bullish trend during the first half of the week, approaching the important 1.1300 zone after a sharp sell-off of the US Dollar. Growing concerns about trade, along with new worries about the US economy, have added further pressure on the US Dollar.
Regarding the new outlook for EURUSD:
On the 1D chart, EURUSD is currently receiving strong support at the 1.126 – 1.127 level. A break below this level will lead to a significant price drop, while holding this level will lead to a price increase. Upon careful observation, we can see the pair has broken through the 1.126 resistance level. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks show that the bullish trend is gradually strengthening. If the upward momentum continues, the next bullish targets for EURUSD will be 1.140 and 1.150...
Euro StrengthECB policy outlook: Some ECB members are hinting that the bank may be nearing the end of its rate-cutting cycle, which could make the Euro more attractive.
Positive Eurozone data: Better-than-expected industrial output and quarterly employment changes in the Eurozone can provide support for the Euro.
EURUSD Sell Swing TradeHello Traders,
I stumbled across the Euro Dollar chart on the daily time-frame only to notice we are coming near a level of some significance at 1.12778
I noticed some historic bearish rejections on this key level and whilst looking at market structure, I was interested in another bearish move from this market.
I zoomed into the 4hr time frame to see what candlestick patterns I could identify to build to some value into the trade idea.
Not only did I do this, but I found a large wick rejection candle form below my structure level which I have used for entry.
I anticipate that we will see this pair take price down to previous structure lows and break lower depending on how quickly the market reacts
Entry @ 1.12518
Stop Loss @ 1.12970 - 45.2pips
Take Profit @ 1.10751 - 176.3 pips
Best of luck if you take this !!!
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.105 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area.
It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse.
It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance.
T1: 1.12355
T2: 1.13072
SL: 1.10468
Market next move
Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis:
1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure.
This may form a double-top or even a bull trap.
2. Volume Anomaly:
The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail.
3. Overextended Rally:
The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction.
If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement.
4. Bearish Divergence Potential:
If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk.
5. Fundamental Pressure:
If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
EUR/USD Sell – May 21 Bias: Bearish (4H / 1H / 15m all down) and in Orderblocks.
POI: 15m OB
Trigger: 1m BOS from 15m OB (means market reacted → valid)
Entry: On the last untouched 1m OB left behind after the BOS
TP: Final TP at gap (18RR), partial TP at 1:3RR
Risk: Asia high not swept → could spike into SL before dumping
⚠️ Key Notes
Asia High = liquidity → price might hunt it first, then reverse
If you entered before the sweep, SL spike risk is real
If you wait after the sweep and get a clean 1m OB + BOS again = higher probability entry
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The market’s ripe for a bullish grab! 💥 Place buy limit orders within the most recent 15 or 30-minute swing low/high levels. Set alerts on your chart to stay locked in. 🔔
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🎯 Targets: Claim Your Prize!
🏴☠️ Short-Term Target: 1.14700
🏴☠️ Long-Term Target: 1.17000
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🐂 Why EUR/USD is Hot!
The Fiber’s bullish surge is fueled by key fundamentals. Dive into Macro, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment, Intermarket trends, and future targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 👉🔗. Stay informed to stay ahead! 📰
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EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe)
The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment.
Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish.
📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted:
Bullish Pennant Formation:
Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant).
Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum.
Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant.
Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups.
This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout.
Support & Resistance Zones:
SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support).
Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout.
These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control.
Projected Target:
Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest.
🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy
⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk.
Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support)
Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region)
Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes:
A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone.
The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers.
Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence.
📚 Educational Takeaway:
This setup serves as a great case study in:
Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants)
Breakout-retest behavior
Measured move target projections
Trend confirmation techniques
Market psychology and structure
If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
EUR/USD Regains PaceEUR/USD Regains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.1225 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.1250 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1135 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.1200 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1225 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1340 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1339 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.1310 level. The next major support is at 1.1280. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1223 swing low to the 1.1339 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.1280, the pair could drop toward the 1.1225 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1135, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1340. The next major resistance is near the 1.1420 level. An upside break above 1.1420 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1550.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD resistance calls for attentionFollowing the EUR/USD (euro versus the US dollar) trading within striking distance of a head and shoulders top pattern’s profit objective at US$1.1049, bulls went on the offensive. Consequently, price has pencilled in an AB=CD bearish formation at US$1.1332, according to the 100% projection ratio and a 1.618% Fibonacci extension ratio of US$1.1353 (B-C reciprocal). However, in terms of a resistance zone, I would be inclined to include the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio at US$1.1386, which shares chart space with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio from US$1.1382.
Harmonic traders tend to target the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios derived from the A-D legs, which, assuming a temporary peak in price at current levels, reside at US$1.1242 and US$1.1175, respectively.
DeGRAM | EURUSD testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro rebounded from the channel mid-line and reclaimed the purple corrective trend-line; that switch from resistance to support confirms a bull-flag breakout.
● Fresh upside is opening above 1.1280 (prior swing cap). Clearing it exposes the channel top / horizontal hurdle at 1.1380; measured move of the flag aligns with 1.1550.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes US April leading-index fell for a 25th month, pulling 2-yr yields off highs, while Yahoo Finance reports German PPI turned positive m/m, limiting ECB-cut bets and lending bid to the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.122-1.128 ; objectives 1.138 → 1.155, invalidate below 1.108.
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EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Key Pullback Zone & Trade Plan📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Trend in Play 📊
In this latest breakdown, I dive into the EUR/USD pair, which is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the higher timeframes 🔥. Price action has been respecting a clean uptrend, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish market structure ✅.
In the video, I walk you through:
- The daily chart setup and what’s fueling the current move upward 🗓️
- My key interest zones for a possible pullback entry 🔁
- What I'm watching on the 4H and 30-minute timeframes for confirmation ⏱️
- Target areas, including recent swing highs and liquidity levels 🧲
Ideally, I’d like to see price pull back into equilibrium (around the 50% level of the recent range). If we get that retracement and a bullish break of structure, I’ll be looking to get long on this move 📈🟢.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🛡️📉
EURUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 2 - Target CLS LowHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
We can see longs coming to the markets. But don't fall for the trap yet. They accumulate for
weeks. We will see, most likely at least one more down week, where they will be closing shorts and adding more long positions.
Hey, what up traders, another week, another COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. I'm always trying to trade with the Big players, so knowing their positions is a good thing.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again, we as retail traders have a disadvantage, but there is the possibility to read between the lines. Remember, in the report is what they want you to see; that's why prices mostly reverse on Wednesday after the report, so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However, if the trend is running, you can read it and use it to your advantage.
📍Tip: If the level has confluence with the high volume on COT, it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Have a great trading week, see in the next report.
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD Bearish Reversal? Eyes on 1.09 and 1.02 Next!EUR/USD is approaching a critical turning point after getting rejected at the 1.14431 - 1.13200 supply zone, identified by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool on the 4H chart. The recent rally looks overstretched, and signs of exhaustion are starting to show.
Key Technical Levels:
Major Resistance: 1.13200 – 1.14431 (Strong sell zone – previous rejections evident)
Support 1: 1.09023 – a key breakout level turned support
Support 2: 1.02372 – major demand zone with significant accumulation history
Bearish Catalysts:
Price unable to break and close above 1.13200 cleanly
Lower high forming after a steep bullish move
Two major downward targets marked with arrows indicating possible retracements
Fundamental Watch:
Any hawkish comments from the Fed or dovish tone from ECB may accelerate the downside
Watch inflation data, Eurozone growth numbers, and NFP reports closely
Scenario: If we see a confirmed rejection and breakdown below 1.13000, short opportunities may open toward 1.0900 and possibly 1.0230 in the medium term.
What's your bias on EUR/USD? Comment below and let's analyze together!
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