EURUSD SELL (DOWNTREND) H4 SHORT LOOKEUR/USD Market Analysis
Trend: Bearish
Pattern: Strong downward momentum observed after recent highs around 1.1570
Sell Entry Zone: Confirmed with bearish momentum
Target Levels:
1st Target: 1.11000 – Key psychological and technical level
2nd Target: 1.09100 – Near the 55-day SMA, strong historical support
Final Target: 1.07500 – Close to 200-day SMA and March lows
Stop Loss: 1.15500 – Just below the recent high (1.1570), to limit upside risk.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD Outlook: Head & Shoulder or Bear Trap?Mirroring the DXY, the EURUSD appears to be holding below the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern formed from the 1.1570 highs.
However, it still requires confirmation with a sustained move below 1.1270 to extend the forecast toward 1.1140 and 1.1040.
On the upside, if the 1.1270 support holds, EURUSD may reverse course, confirming a failed pattern and potentially rebounding toward 1.1420, 1.1470, and 1.1570.
From a monthly perspective, the EURUSD is pulling back above the upper boundary of the long-respected channel extending from the 2008 highs, currently holding near the key 1.1270 support. This may signal a short-term trend reset before markets regain directional clarity.
Written by: Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 1.13298 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
LOOKING FOR LONGS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has recently traded us down and into a Demand Zone, we have seen plenty of Demand being introduced into the market, which is the reason for the hawkish behaviour.
I would now like to see price break structure officially, giving us the confluence to suggest a reversal is taking place, once we have that we can begin looking to take this market long.
I have drawn a path out on how I would expect price to play out. Once we have that break its understandable that with every impulse is a correction, price will have to correct back down into something.
Should we find an area of Demand for price to set a higher low from, that is where we can look to enter in from with those longer term buy positions, as soon as I have an update I will let you all know.
EURUSD: Intraday Bullish ReversalThe EURUSD chart forms a significant head and shoulders pattern following a test of an important daily resistance level.
Breaking below the neckline of this pattern indicates a strong potential for a bearish reversal.
I believe the market will continue to decline, with the next target likely being 1.1225.
EUR/USD short: WIll Moby Dick sink the global economy?Hello traders
The allegory of our current global economy and Moby Dick, the rare white whale, hunted by the obsessed Captain Ahab, is not one I am writing about in a light hearted manner.
A refresher: Moby Dick(China) bites off Captain Ahab's(USA) leg and is subsequently relentlessly hunted by the obsessed captain who wants revenge. At the conclusion of the novel, Captain Ahab is oh, so close to killing the elusive whale but gets entangled in the rope of the harpoon and is dragged down to his own watery death by the wounded whale.
Moral of the story? Moby Dick is a classic American novel and China has not eaten the USA's lunch. I do not see any winners in this tariff war but rather the distinct possibility of a global recession and potential melt down like 2008/2009.
At the heart of this conundrum is DJT's obsession with trade imbalance going back to his first term. The irony being, the 2018 trade imbalance was the biggest ever under his watch.
I love these magnificent United States more than anything but let's get real. DJT won his second term on the persistent high inflation after COVID-19 and immigration not because we, as privileged Americans are suffering as the richest country on the planet(except for Swiss citizens). While I also support regulated immigration, we as Americans, do not want to perform the "menial" jobs that migrants are willing to do. My ancestors survived WW1, WW2, the dust bowl, the Great Depression and every subsequent calamity but never lost track of the integrity in ANY job that feeds a family.
There is a lot of whining about losing manufacturing jobs to China but I dare anyone who feels that they have missed out on a job opportunity to go and pick oranges in the blazing Florida sun with a 50 pound bag on the back or work a low paid job in a sneaker manufacturing facility.
Let's not forget what drives the USA economy: the consumer. We have benefitted from cheap/inexpensive Chinese labor and goods for a long time and will feel the pain if this tariff war is not resolved in a realistic manner. China's currency manipulation has always been geared towards boosting their exports and I do not foresee that policy changing anytime soon.
China is denying that any trade talks are happening and there is increasing day light visible between DJT and his Cabinet members. Bessant won't confirms trade negotiations and Rubio claims not to know what DJT's stance is towards Russia/Ukraine.
It all comes down to DJT's obsession with the white whale, China. Who will blink first? I do not know but this zero sum game is dangerous and could potentially plunge the entire global order into a crisis the likes of which will dwarf WW2 and 2008/2009.
I have initiated a short EUR/USD position at 1.1420 with an eye toward 1.0958 or lower. I am not claiming that the divestment in USA assets has run its course but at this point, I am inclined to reaffirm my belief in American exceptionalism but not in leadership. The Euro Zone still stands to lose more than the USA, especially in the light of tepid German economic performance and the unresolved Ukraine/Russia war.
There has been a lot of smoke and mirrors during the first 100 days with a flurry of executive orders to fight the woke culture, annex sovereign territories etc. but as human beings, we all have a need and right to shelter, food, clean water and air and the ultimate, the pursuit of happiness. And happiness goes right out the window when the aforementioned rights are not met or satisfied.
So, here lies the Moby Dick moment. Will DJT's obsession with tariffs and power drag us all down? Distinct possibility...
Thank you for listening to my two cents and best of luck with your trades. How you draw the distinction between noise and trading signals, is up to your own analysis. I can only speak for my own bank account and capital but tread lightly through this minefield that should never have happened in the first place.
EUR/USD: Short Position Setup – Testing Key LevelsKey Features of the Chart:
Short Position Tool Details:
Entry Point: 1.13211 – Price level where the short position is initiated.
Stop Loss: 1.13375 – Placed slightly above intermediate resistance to manage risk.
Take Profit: 1.12857 – Targeting a lower price level near a previous support zone.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The volume profile shows concentrated trading activity around key levels, indicating areas of interest for traders.
Volume distribution highlights potential price reversal zones, with weakening momentum below the current entry point.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance: 1.13375 – Acting as a cap on upward movement, providing a logical stop-loss placement.
Support: 1.12857 – Represents the take-profit target where buyers may re-enter the market.
Weak Support Zone: 1.13211 – Price is testing this level; a breakdown would confirm bearish momentum.
Short Position Analysis:
Bearish Setup: The short position tool aligns with the chart's bearish signals, targeting a key support zone at 1.12857.
Risk Management: The stop-loss placement ensures that risk is limited if the price retraces above the entry point and breaks through resistance at 1.13375.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment suggests sellers are gaining control, especially if price moves decisively below 1.13211.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Initiate the short position below 1.13211 after confirmation of a bearish breakdown (e.g., candlestick patterns or volume spike).
Exit Strategy: Take profit at 1.12857, or trail your stop-loss if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop-Loss: Protect your position by placing the stop-loss at 1.13375 to minimize losses.
Closing Thoughts: This trade setup highlights a clear risk-to-reward ratio with well-defined levels. Watch for confirmation signals before entering the market to ensure the bearish momentum persists. As always, maintaining consistency, discipline, and perseverance will be key to navigating the EUR/USD market successfully.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅4 hour bullish order block
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Smart Money is Not Selling Yet 🧭 EUR/USD – Smart Money is Not Selling Yet
Market Outlook: Bullish Continuation with Consolidation
🧠 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
| Timeframe | Behavior | Structure |
|-----------|-----------|-----------|
| **12M** | Bullish (new candle in development) | Strong upside push |
| **10W** | Bullish | Breakout from consolidation |
| **9W** | Bullish | Continuation strength |
| **7W** | Indecision | Buyers and sellers wrestling |
| **6W** | Bullish | Prior strong move |
| **30D (1M)** | Bullish | Solid body, no upper wick |
| **18D** | Bullish inside liquidity | 1.12414–1.11982 |
| **3D** | Consolidation | Range forming at support |
| **4H** | Testing structure | Rejections at support floor |
🔑 Key Levels:
- **Psychological Resistance:** 1.15729 – 1.16921
- **Neckline (Mid SR):** 1.14221
- **Liquidity Zone Support:** 1.12414 – 1.11982
- **Invalidation Level:** Daily close below 1.11982
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📌 What I'm Watching:
Price action is currently consolidating on lower timeframes (3D and 4H), while all
**higher timeframes remain bullish**.
A dip into the **liquidity zone** may trap early sellers and trigger a **retest of the 1.15729 zone**.
Until a breakdown confirms beneath 1.11982, this structure remains a **bullish continuation setup**.
---
📊 My Bias:
"Smart money doesn’t sell indecision – it buys time. Don’t trade noise. Trade structure."
EUR/USD Bearish Setup
Recent negative US GDP data and rising inflation risks—partly driven by potential tariff policies—suggest recession fears are growing. Yet, current monetary policy still favors a stronger dollar in the short term.
On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD has hit a key TPO resistance zone and faced a strong rejection. Price is now moving toward the 1.0927 area, which aligns with a significant fair value zone based on volume profile. Bears may take control if this momentum continues.
EURUSD SellHello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately."
Ve sonuna eklememi istediğin mesajla birlikte tam hali şu şekilde olur:
Hello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
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