EURUSD - Longs Today
📉 How This Trade Could Have Played Out – EURUSD, 15min Chart
This chart demonstrates a textbook example of how to use the ELFIEDT RSI + 3SD Reversion Strategy with additional RSI divergence to identify a high-probability reversal setup.
🟢 What Happened Here:
✅ Buy Signal Triggered
The script printed a green "UP" signal as price dipped sharply — closing beyond the lower volatility band with momentum in oversold territory and a spike in volume. This marked the initial mean reversion opportunity.
📉 RSI Divergence Formed
Just after the price made a lower low, the RSI formed a higher low — classic bullish divergence, showing underlying strength even as price dropped. This added confluence to the signal.
💡 Divergence-Based Entry Zone
With price recovering above the signal bar and RSI breaking upward, traders could use this divergence as a secondary confirmation entry — improving timing and confidence.
📈 Momentum Followed Through
After the signal and confirmation, price reversed strongly upward with a clear multi-candle move, offering multiple reward opportunities depending on your exit style.
✅ How to Trade It (Step-by-Step)
Wait for a signal label (green/red) from the script — this marks a statistically stretched price condition with volume support.
Add the RSI indicator to your chart.
Watch for divergence (price making a new low, but RSI not confirming) near the signal — this gives you a stronger reason to enter.
Look for a reversal candle (like a bullish engulfing, pin bar, or inside bar) for clean entry timing.
Use the previous low as a stop and target a 1:2 or better reward-risk ratio based on price structure.
🔁 Pro Tip: Top-Down Boost
This exact signal is even more powerful if a similar setup appears on the 1-hour and 5-minute charts around the same area.
✅ When multiple timeframes agree, it’s a higher-probability zone to enter.
🧠 This approach blends statistics, momentum, and price action — giving you structure and flexibility as a trader.
EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD shortThe Setup:
1. A-B: Strong impulsive drop on increasing volume → clear evidence of real selling pressure.
2. B-C: Pullback forms on decreasing volume → classic corrective behavior, not buyer aggression.
3. C-D: Entry just below point C as new volume confirms sellers stepping back in.
4. Targeting >3R with stop tucked above C — logical structure, clean invalidation.
✅ Volume confirms the trend
✅ Structure is tight, no randomness
✅ Timing aligns with volatility spike (news at the bottom?)
✅ Clear bearish continuation pattern
what do you think of this a head of cpi?
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that after some fluctuations and corrections within the current range, the continuation of the upward trend will take place. Confirmation of the upward trend will be the consolidation of the price above the resistance range. Otherwise, the continuation of the downward trend to the specified support ranges will be possible.
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EURUSD SHORTDollar strength this week and month looks promising we have had some good meetings with China this week and there’s a lot of optimism around the dollar . However there’s a many stop losses above as we have many sell positions so i belive we will see a rally up and a big rejection and this trade could happen quickly .
We already had a successful setup with this thought process yesterday and i caught a long and a short however the real moves should kick in today .
Bearish drop?Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.1449
1st Support: 1.1371
1st Resistance: 1.1496
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Important EURUSD UpdateYesterday, EURUSD continued to move sideways, with the market waiting for key news.
Today at 1:30 p.m. (London time), U.S. inflation data will be released.
This report has a strong impact and is likely to determine the next major move.
It is advisable not to open any new positions before the news is published.
Fiber holds Bullish (but not for long)## 1 Hour (Intraday)
!
1. **Order-block / Fair-Value Gap**
* The small 1H consolidation you’ve boxed (roughly 1.1420–1.1450) is a late-hour fair-value gap (FVG) that often resolves with a quick run to its edge.
* A drop into the lower end (1.137–1.138) gives you liquidity for your long and aligns with the 1D 50 % retrace (1.13475).
2. **Pending Entries**
* **Buy-limit @ 1.1300**: Still unfilled. If price dips there, it converges the 1D 62 %–70.5 % zones (1.1312–1.1287) plus the old daily high → high-probability long.
* **Sell-limit @ 1.1600**: Above today’s high, overlapping the 6 M FVG at 1.1575 and the 3 M opposing block.
3. **Probability & Timeline**
* **To 1.1300**: \~30 % shot over the next 24–48 h as banks chase stops under 1.135.
* **To 1.1600**: \~25 % chance intraday if FOMC jitters push USD weaker post-June 18.
---
## 1 Month (Position)
!
1. **Longer-term Fib & Time-zones**
* The full trough-to-peak fib (0 %→100 %) defines the 127 % extension at \~1.310, 227 % at \~1.214, 327 % at \~1.246.
* Your current clip sits just above the 127 % (1.310) retracement zone on a mini scale; the next *real* hurdle is the 227 % zone near 1.214/1.234 (old highs).
2. **Macro-Blocks**
* **3-month OB @1.1600**, **6-month FVG @1.1575**: your first “stop‐runs” on the way to the big opposing block at 1.2750 (500 %).
* Seasonal tailwinds tend to kick in around July–August as EU carry trades re-enter.
3. **Timeline & Odds**
* **Lift into 1.1575–1.1600**: \~60 % chance by late June → early July.
* **Extension toward 1.214–1.234** (long-term target): \~30 % chance by Q4 2025, assuming US yields peak and EUR carry resumes.
---
### Live-Data Check (Today ≈ 1.1415)
* **Above 1.1375** (daily 50 %) → bullish tilt until proven otherwise.
* **Below 1.1450** (1H FVG top) → still in consolidation zone; gives you a low-risk long if you see a wick down to 1.137–1.138.
* **No invalidation**: you’ve got room to run both your buy and sell limits without being stopped out today.
---
## Overall Probability & Path
| Leg | Zone | Prob. | Target Window |
| -------------- | --------------------------- | ----- | -------------- |
| Intraday sweep | 1.137→1.145 consolidation | 70 %↑ | next 1–2 days |
| Buy-zone test | 1.1300 (62–70 % daily fib) | 30 % | next 24–48 h |
| Swing rally | 1.1575–1.1600 (6 M FVG/OB) | 55 % | June 18–July 5 |
| Position drive | 1.214–1.234 (227–327 % fib) | 30 % | Q3–Q4 2025 |
1. **Catalysts**:
* **June 18 FOMC** (watch the red line) will likely ignite the swing leg.
* **July seasonal flows** (month-end rebalancing) give the first bump into your fair-value blocks.
2. **Risk management**:
* Keep your stops below 1.1340 for intraday longs, or below 1.1250 for the monthly swing.
* Scale out 50 % at 1.1575, trail the rest into the big opposing block.
---
— S.Atrial
EURUSD SHORTFrom April 7th to June 2nd 2025, the market have been rejected at the monthly S/R/PP aera many times and now sells have step into the mkt and they are pushing the mkt to the down side. On the daily time frame at the monthly support resistance piovt point aera the mkt form an INSIDE BAR CANDLESTICK PATTERN that shows that there is a consolidation going on on the 1h TF, so at this point the mkt is telling me that is time to go down 👇. My own thought
EUR/USDTRADE 5 again eu has hit a level and i believe it to go short, this doesnt mean jump into the trade im just looking at where price could go. i belive it to be a good move and we can start to catch these small moves and make profit from them but for now we will just keep are eye on the supply and demand box and see what happends with it
$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisBias: Bearish after liquidity grab at 1.14392
Setup: Wait for the sweep ➤ BOS ➤ Enter short
Target: 1.13600
Price is forming a range-bound consolidation, but the internal structure shows liquidity building below and above.
The market seems poised to run the 1.14392 high, grabbing buy stops above the short-term high.
After that sweep,i see a rejection and shift in order flow, setting up a bearish leg.
Key POIs :
Sweep Zone: 1.14392 (Buy-side liquidity)
Sell Target: 1.13600 zone – a clear sell-side liquidity draw
The red line marks an untapped liquidity pool, aligning with a previous support level.
Trade Idea (Short Bias) :
Let price sweep the 1.14392 high, form a bearish shift (change of character).
Ideal entry after confirmation of rejection.
Target: 1.13600
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.14500
EURUSD Volatility EURUSD: April saw notably elevated volatility. MUFG Research reports the euro surged from 1.0811 to 1.1325 in April, a sharp 2.9% monthly gain, the most significant since early-COVID volatility.
NewbridgeFX describes April as “a month marked by heightened global market uncertainty”, with EUR/USD experiencing considerable swings amid trade tensions, inflation data, and central-bank decisions.
DailyForex highlighted volatility spikes in early April, with sharp moves around tariff announcements and inflation reports
Was April the Most Volatile Month of 2025?
April ranks among the most volatile, if not the top, due to:
Trump's April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs, triggering global market turbulence.
ECB rate cut and euro strength, adding fuel to price swings
May also remained volatile, but analysis like MUFG and DailyForex suggests volatility slightly subsided compared to April.
📊 Conclusion
April 2025 likely stands as the most volatile month for EUR/USD this year, primarily driven by trade-policy shocks and central bank actions. It appears to edge out volatility in May, making it the standout month.
Market research conducted by Ilyas Khan with assistance from #ChatGPT by #OpenAI.
#eurusd #forex #eur #usd #economics #science #math #mathematics #economy #usa #unitedstatesofamerica #europe #bloomberg #ctv #cnbc #marketnews #market #marketresearch
EUR/USD – 1H Chart SetupMarket Phase: Distribution
Trade Bias: Bearish Breakdown
We’re currently observing a distribution phase on EUR/USD, with well-defined support and resistance levels. A breakdown below Support Level 2 will trigger our short entry, confirming bearish momentum.
📌 Trade Setup Details:
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 1.13080
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.13600 (above Support Level 1)
🔹 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12560
🔹 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.12040
🔹 Lot Size: 0.19
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratios: 1:1 and 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200 💸
🔹 Reward: Up to $300 💰
This setup is based on a clean structure break, expecting downside continuation after the distribution completes. We’ve marked the key zones on the chart and are waiting for confirmation through a support break.
Keep an eye on price action and volume near the entry to validate the breakdown.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #BearishSetup #DistributionPhase #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradeSetup #RiskReward #BreakdownTrade #ForexSignals #1HChart
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Eurusd !!! Ascending Wedge Pattern Signals a Major Reversal! Time': 30 min
Technical analysis:
Ascending Wedge Pattern 📈: A clear ascending wedge signals a potential bearish reversal. The price has just completed Wave ⑤ at the top trendline, a classic trigger point for sellers.
* Elliott Wave Confirmation 🖐️: The wedge contains a perfect 5-wave Elliott structure, reinforcing our bearish bias as the final impulse wave concludes.
* Live vs. Textbook 👨🏫: Our live chart is mirroring the ideal "textbook" example shown, increasing confidence in the setup's validity.
The Trade Plan 🎯
* Entry ▶️: Short position initiated in the "Risk Zone" after rejection from the wedge resistance.
* Stop Loss ⛔️: Placed tightly above the Wave ⑤ high at ~1.14821.
* Take Profit 💰: Targeting the major support level at ~1.12925.
Conclusion ✨
This setup presents an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio. The combination of a reliable chart pattern and Elliott Wave count gives us a high-conviction bearish outlook for EUR/USD.
Disclaimer ⚠️: This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management. Trade safe!
EURUSD| Buy Flow In PlayGot price respecting my top-down flow — 4H to 5M is in full alignment right now. We swept key liquidity levels and price held structure clean, giving me reason to look for a buy continuation.
Could’ve posted a more detailed breakdown (order blocks, FVGs, etc.), but I’ll save that sauce for another time. Just curious what y’all see here — feel free to share your take on this play. I’m always open to sharp minds tapping in.
Let’s see how this unfolds. 🧠💧
#EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquiditySweep #PriceActionTrading #TopDownAnalysis #InducementKing
Bless Trading!
Bearish drop off major resistance?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1433
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1481
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1361
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.14198 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13966.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Can EUR/USD Break Through the Range Constraint?The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to maintain a range-bound consolidation trend, currently trading around 1.1400. The dovish statements from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are offset by the positive economic signals in the Eurozone, leading to a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. In the short term, the EUR/USD exchange rate is expected to remain in a narrow range consolidation pattern. Technically, the exchange rate needs to break through the recent high to sustain the upward momentum; otherwise, it may return to the broader range of 1.12-1.15.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.