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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

SMC Entry Models Cheatsheet✅ Smart Money Concepts & Liquidity Checklist 1. Market Structure 🔹 Identify HTF Trend (H4 or H1): bullish, bearish, or range 🔹 Confirm Break of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (CHoCH) on M15–M5 🔹 Look for lower highs/lows (downtrend) or higher highs/lows (uptrend) 2. Liquidity Zones 🔹 Look for equal highs/lows (liquidity pools) 🔹 Asian highs/lows — common targets during London/NY session 🔹 Recent internal range liquidity 🔹 Trendline liquidity — fakeouts often occur here 3. Premium & Discount Zones (PD Arrays) 🔹 Use Fibonacci from recent swing high to low 🔹 Look for entries at Discount (Longs) or Premium (Shorts) pricing 🔹 Ideal entries happen between 0.62–0.79 retracement 4. Supply & Demand Zones 🔹 Find fresh OBs (Order Blocks) that caused a break of structure 🔹 Use last bullish candle before strong drop (for short) or last bearish candle before strong rally (for long) 🔹 Confirm zone isn’t mitigated yet 5. Imbalance / Fair Value Gaps (FVG) 🔹 Identify large imbalanced candles (no wick overlap) 🔹 Ideal entries are inside the FVG aligned with direction 🔹 High probability if FVG is within OB or confluence with structure/liquidity 6. Confluences for Entry 🔹 Entry aligns with liquidity sweep or FVG/OB tap 🔹 Volume spike or rejection wick confirms interest 🔹 RSI divergence or exhaustion = bonus confirmation 🔹 Use M1/M5 for entry trigger after setup is formed on M15–H1 7. Entry Trigger 🔹 CHoCH or BOS on lower timeframe (M1-M5) 🔹 Confirmation with engulfing candle, FVG fill, or break/retest 🔹 SL below/above recent swing or OB boundary 8. TP/Exit Zones 🔹 TP1: After BOS/structure shift + partial 🔹 TP2: Next liquidity level (equal high/low or OB) 🔹 TP3: Opposite OB or major FVG 🔹 Adjust SL to breakeven after reaching TP1 9. Session Timing (Important) 🔹 Asian range → look for liquidity setup 🔹 London Open (3PM–6PM PH))→ manipulative move (liquidity grab) 🔹 NY Open (8PM–11PM PH) → continuation or reversal opportunity 🔹 Avoid high-impact news releases unless breakout 🔹 Use Forex Factory / MyFXBook for news calendar 10. Post-Trade Journaling: 🔹Screenshot HTF → LTF Setup (H4 > M15 > M1) 🔹Don’t skip journaling — it’s your #1 improvement tool.
by jeniceinocentes
1
EURUSD I Monthly CLS I KL -MOB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
38
EUR/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis – Bullish OutlookOn the daily chart, the EUR/USD pair shows a clear bullish bias in the long term, backed by strong upward momentum in recent sessions. 🔹 Price Action Overview: Last week, EUR/USD printed a strong impulsive move to the upside, indicating increased bullish interest and potential trend continuation. This momentum suggests that the bulls are firmly in control, at least for now. 🔹 What to Expect Next: With the impulsive leg completed, we are now anticipating a short-term retracement. Price is likely to pull back into a key demand zone, previously acting as resistance, and now potentially flipping into support. I've marked this retracement zone with a green circle on the chart, aligning with the price range: 📍 Key Trade Levels: Buy Entry Zone: 1.15900 – 1.16100 (Expecting price to react at this former resistance turned support) Stop Loss: 1.15400 (Below recent swing low to protect against invalidation) Take Profit: 1.17300 (Targeting the next significant resistance area) --- 🧠 Trade Idea Summary: This setup follows the classic "impulse–retracement–continuation" structure. As long as price holds above the retracement zone, we maintain a bullish outlook for EUR/USD. 🔔 Watch for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) within the buy zone before entering for confirmation.
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
2
EUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly HighEUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly High Yesterday, the EUR/USD exchange rate rose above the 1.1700 level for the first time this year. The last time one euro was worth more than 1.70 US dollars was in autumn 2019. The main driver behind the euro’s rise is the weakening dollar, largely due to decisions made by the Trump administration. This week alone, the EUR/USD pair has gained more than 2%, partly as a result of escalating tensions between the US President and the Chair of the Federal Reserve. According to Reuters, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he had three or four candidates in mind for the top job at the Fed. It was also reported that Trump had considered selecting and announcing a replacement for Powell by September or October (his current term officially runs until May 2026). Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Price movements are forming an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations: → Midweek, the price consolidated around the channel’s median line (as indicated by arrow 1); → It then broke through the 1.6300 level with strong bullish momentum (shown by arrow 2), a level that had acted as resistance earlier in the month; → The long upper wicks on the candles forming yesterday’s highs (circled) suggest increased selling pressure near the upper boundary of the channel. Given this, we could assume that in the short term, the price might form a new consolidation zone around the median line above the 1.6300 level. Significant fundamental catalysts would be required to break the developing upward trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Are Technical Charts Fully Bullish on Euro's Rebound OverheatingThe EUR/USD exchange rate is consolidating at high levels, posting gains for the seventh consecutive trading day. The pair briefly approached the three-year high of 1.1744 in intraday trading, accumulating a roughly 2% weekly gain so far. This rally is primarily driven by intensified expectations of U.S. rate cuts and temporary easing of geopolitical tensions. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD's DIFF and DEA lines continue to rise, with the red histogram expanding again, demonstrating "bullish volume expansion" and showing no signs of exhaustion in the technical rebound. The RSI stands at 70.39, nearing overbought territory but without forming a top divergence, suggesting remaining upside potential. The current price structure indicates the pair is approaching the key resistance of 1.1744. Analysts believe an effective breakout above this level would open the door to the upside target of 1.1810-1.1850. In case of a pullback due to resistance, the initial support lies at 1.1630, corresponding to the previous dense trading zone and short-term moving average support. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Long
by MyronWilson
1
EUR/USD – Potential Bearish Reversal AheadAnalysis Overview: EUR/USD has shown a strong bullish structure recently, but price is currently near a key resistance zone around 1.1780, which may act as a reversal point. The chart also shows an extended wave structure, signaling possible exhaustion of buying pressure. Bearish Setup Expectations: If the price fails to break above 1.1780 convincingly and shows bearish confirmation (e.g. a strong bearish engulfing candle or RSI divergence), we may see a reversal toward lower support levels. Key Support Levels (Targets): TP1: 1.14465 TP2: 1.13329 TP3: 1.12064 TP4: 1.10000 Possible Entry: Near 1.1770 – 1.1785 (on bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 1.1810 (structure invalidation) Technical Confluences: Potential Double Top or Rising Wedge pattern Price at historical resistance Overbought RSI zones may support the reversal --- 📌 Note: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Use proper risk management and follow your trading plan strictly.
Short
by Liam_ChartFlow
1
EUR/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on June 26 🔺 Gann Trend Analysis The red upward sloping line is a long-term Gann trendline connecting major swing lows since late May. According to Gann principles, trendlines from major pivots are often tested again before a major reversal. The annotation “a trend should be tested again” aligns with the Gann philosophy: after price rallies away, it often returns to test the base trendline. The cluster of vertical blue time cycle lines (June 26) implies an important Gann time window, potentially a reversal point. 📐 Channel & Price Structure A small ascending wedge/channel is drawn in red, signaling rising but weakening momentum. Price is now approaching key resistance zones marked in yellow and green (1.1640, 1.1650, 1.1660, 1.1683). These resistance zones suggest potential exhaustion, making the upper boundary of the channel a sell zone. 🔻 Bearish Scenario & Projections Blue arrows indicate the expected bearish path after hitting resistance. The reversal target is the Gann trendline retest zone around 1.1500–1.1520. A break below this Gann trendline could trigger deeper drops in alignment with time-based cycles. ⚠️ Conclusion This setup implies: Bearish divergence between price action and time cycles. Resistance clusters = likely reversal point. Retest of the long-term Gann trendline is highly probable.
Short
by AngleHunter
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to rise to 1.16800 during Thursday's Asian session. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) as investors worry about the future independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Final data on US GDP growth for the first quarter will be in focus later on Thursday. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he is considering three or four potential candidates to replace Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump may consider former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Other candidates include former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed Governor Christopher Waller. This raises questions about a potential weakening of the Fed's independence and a possible decline in its authority, which undermines the dollar and creates favorable conditions for the major currency pair. Across the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are concerned about the economic outlook due to Trump's tariff policy and geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau said that despite current conditions, further rate cuts are still possible. Statements by ECB policymakers may put pressure on the single currency in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16750, SL 1.16300, TP 1.17500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
EURUSD For A Long BuyThe EURUSD broke out to the previous resistance level of 1.16317 The next resistance level is 1.22147. weaknesses and instability in the US Economy and its involvement in the Iran-Israeli war, which has resulted in uncertainty (geopolitical risk) among investors. A Bullish flag pattern on the Daily Timeframe confirmed the break from the previous support, and fueled by the statement above, the Bullish flag pattern will continue to the resistance level 1.22147. The 1.24162 level could serve as a resistance level if 1.22147 were to turn into support. The highest level, 1.39710, is a level to watch out for, in the long term, if buying continues. Conclusion: Current objective is a Buy to 1.22147.
Long
by AliDapshima_01
1