EUR/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently breaking through the 1.16–1.158 zone. If it manages to hold below 1.159, we can expect further downside movement. The next targets for EURUSD are 1.15580, 1.154, and 1.148.
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EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD BUYThe EUR/USD pair edged lower in the past week, settling a handful of pips below the 1.1700 mark, further retreating from the multi-year peak posted early in July at 1.1830. Financial markets kept revolving around the United States (US) President Donald Trump's targets. With geopolitical woes cooling down, Trump’s focus returned to tariffs, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) wait-and-see stance on monetary policy.
Trump fixated on tariffs and Powell
Since the week started, speculative interest kept their eyes on the July 9 tariffs deadline. Trump announced massive retaliatory levies on over 180 trading partners in May, quickly establishing a 90-day grace period afterwards. His goal was to clinch better trade deals with all these nations. But as the date loomed, deals were scarce. The US made some trade arrangements with some minor economies, such as Vietnam, but there were none with major counterparts, nor, of course, with China
TP 1 1.162
TP 2 1.165
TP 3 1.168
RESISTANCE 1.154
EUR/USD Retracement Into Demand ZoneHello guys!
EUR/USD is currently undergoing a healthy retracement after an extended bullish trend within the ascending channel. The price is now approaching a key demand zone, which aligns perfectly with the mid-line of the channel structure.
This zone previously acted as a strong resistance area and is now expected to serve as support, confirming a classic flip in market structure. The reaction around the 1.16288 - 1.15774 area will be crucial.
If buyers step in here, the bullish momentum is likely to resume with the next major target being the upper resistance zone near 1.20000 , as projected by the upward arrow. The overall structure remains bullish as long as the price holds above the channel support and doesn't close below the last demand zone.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
EUR/USD - Final Push Before Collapse?This EUR/USD daily chart highlights a bearish setup within a weakening rising wedge.
A Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms a potential shift in structure as price pushes toward buy-side liquidity above previous highs—where retail stops are likely resting.
Once this liquidity is swept, smart money is expected to reverse price sharply, breaking wedge support. The projected move targets the 1.03 zone, representing a 7% drop, aligning with internal liquidity and a return to the discount zone.
This setup illustrates classic SMC behavior: liquidity grabs, structural shifts, and institutional unloading before a major move.
EUR/USD – Final Push Before Collapse?
BUY EURUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation BUY EURUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 1.1615
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
EURUSD – Bulls Still in Control, Trend ResumesIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I pointed out that the pair was nearing an important confluence support around 1.1620, and that – given the overall bullish trend – this zone could offer solid long opportunities.
What followed?
The market briefly dipped below that zone, even challenging the psychological 1.1600 round number. But instead of breaking down, bulls regrouped, stepped in with force, and pushed the pair aggressively higher.
📍 At the time of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1770, and my long trade is running with a comfortable 150 pips profit.
🔍 W hat’s Next?
The current structure suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the logical technical target is the recent high at 1.1830.
Until proven otherwise, this is still a buy-the-dip market.
✅ Buying around 1.1700 could be a valid setup, especially if we see buying power on the intraday chart
⚠️ The Warning Sign
Despite the bullish bias, keep in mind:
If EURUSD drops and closes below 1.1670, the structure begins to shift — and this could signal a deeper correction or even trend reversal.
📌 Until then, the bias remains bullish, dips are to be watched for entries, and 1.1830 is the next checkpoint.
D isclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Trading Divergences With Wedges in ForexTrading Divergences With Wedges in Forex
Divergence trading in forex is a powerful technique for analysing market movements, as is observing rising and falling wedges. This article explores the synergy between divergence trading and wedges in forex, offering insights into how traders can leverage these signals. From the basics to advanced strategies, learn how you could utilise this approach effectively, potentially enhancing your trading skills in the dynamic forex market.
Understanding Divergences
In forex trading, the concept of divergence plays a pivotal role in identifying potential market shifts. A divergence in forex, meaning a situation where price action and a technical indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) move in opposite directions, often signals a weakening trend. This discrepancy is a valuable tool in divergence chart trading, as it may indicate a possible reversal or continuation of the current trend.
There are two primary types of divergence in forex—regular and hidden. Regular divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs or lower lows while the indicator does the opposite, often signalling a reversal. Hidden divergence, on the other hand, happens when the price makes lower highs or higher lows while the indicator shows higher highs or lower lows, typically suggesting a continuation of the current trend.
Trading Rising and Falling Wedges
Rising and falling wedges are significant patterns in forex trading, often signalling potential trend reversals. A rising wedge, formed by converging upward trendlines, often indicates a bearish reversal if it appears in an uptrend. Conversely, a falling wedge, characterised by converging downward trendlines, typically reflects a bullish reversal if it occurs in a downtrend.
Traders often look for a breakout from these patterns as a signal to enter trades. For rising wedges, a downward breakout can be seen as a sell signal, while an upward breakout from a falling wedge is often interpreted as a buy signal. When combined with divergences, this chart pattern can add confirmation and precede strong movements.
Best Practices for Trading Divergences
Trading divergence patterns in forex requires a keen eye for detail and a disciplined, holistic approach. Here are key practices for effective trading:
- Comprehensive Analysis: Before trading on divergence and wedges, be sure to analyse overall market conditions.
- Selecting the Right Indicator: Choose a forex divergence indicator that suits your trading style. Common choices include RSI, MACD, and Stochastic.
- Confirmation Is Key: It’s best to watch for additional confirmation from price action or other technical tools before entering a trade.
- Risk Management: Traders always set stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively. Divergence trading isn't foolproof; protecting your capital is crucial.
- Patience in Entry and Exit: Be patient as the divergence develops and confirm with your chosen indicators before entering or exiting a trade.
Strategy 1: RSI and Wedge Divergence
Traders focus on regular divergence patterns when the RSI is above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold), combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern. The strategy hinges on identifying highs or lows within these RSI extremes. It's not crucial if the RSI remains consistently overbought or oversold, or if it fluctuates in and out of these zones.
Entry
- Traders may observe a regular divergence where both the price highs/lows and RSI readings are above 70 or below 30.
- After the formation of a lower high (in an overbought zone) or a higher low (in an oversold zone) in the RSI, traders typically watch as the RSI crosses back below 70 or above 30. This is accompanied by a breakout from a rising or falling wedge, acting as a potential signal to enter.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses might be set just beyond the high or low of the wedge.
Take Profit
- Profit targets may be established at suitable support/resistance levels.
- Another potential approach is to exit when the RSI crosses back into the opposite overbought/oversold territory.
Strategy 2: MACD and Wedge Divergence
Regarded as one of the best divergence trading strategies, MACD divergence focuses on the discrepancy between price action and the MACD histogram. The strategy is particularly potent when combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern in price.
Entry
- Traders typically observe for the MACD histogram to diverge from the price. This divergence manifests as the price reaching new highs or lows while the MACD histogram fails to do the same.
- The strategy involves waiting for the MACD signal line to cross over the MACD line in the direction of the anticipated reversal. This crossover should coincide with a breakout from the rising or falling wedge.
- After these conditions are met, traders may consider entering a trade in anticipation of a trend reversal.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses may be set beyond the high or low of the wedge, which may help traders manage risk by identifying a clear exit point if the anticipated reversal does not materialise.
Take Profit
- Profit targets might be established at nearby support or resistance levels, allowing traders to capitalise on the expected move while managing potential downside.
Strategy 3: Stochastic and Wedge Divergence
Stochastic divergence is a key technique for divergence day trading in forex, especially useful for identifying potential trend reversals. This strategy typically employs the Stochastic Oscillator with settings of 14, 3, 3.
Entry
- Traders may look for divergence scenarios where the Stochastic readings are above 80 or below 20, mirroring the RSI approach.
- This divergence is observed in conjunction with price action, forming a rising or falling wedge.
- Entry may be considered following a breakout from the wedge, which signals a potential shift in market direction.
Stop Loss
- Setting stop losses just beyond the high or low of the wedge might be an effective approach.
Take Profit
- Profit targets may be set at key support/resistance levels.
The Bottom Line
Divergence trading, coupled with the analysis of rising and falling wedges, offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the forex market. By integrating the discussed strategies with sound risk management and market analysis, traders may potentially enhance their ability to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of forex.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB MeetingEUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB Meeting
Today at 15:15 GMT+3, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 15:45 GMT+3. According to Forex Factory, the main refinancing rate is expected to remain unchanged at 2.15% after seven consecutive cuts.
In anticipation of these events, the EUR/USD exchange rate has risen above the 1.1770 level for the first time since 7 July. Bullish sentiment is also being supported by expectations of a potential trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to Reuters, both sides are reportedly moving towards a deal that may include a 15% base tariff on EU goods entering the US, with certain exemptions.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown bullish momentum since June, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (marked in blue).
Within this channel, the price has rebounded from the lower boundary (highlighted in purple), although the midline of the blue channel appears to be acting as resistance (as indicated by the arrow), slowing further upward movement.
It is reasonable to assume that EUR/USD may attempt to stabilise around the midline—where demand and supply typically reach equilibrium. However, today’s market is unlikely to remain calm. In addition to the ECB’s statements, volatility could be heightened by news surrounding Donald Trump’s unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT longThis is a After a strong pullback and a clear rejection at key support levels, the EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential reversal. Technical indicators suggest oversold conditions, making this an attractive entry for bullish traders.
🎯 Entry: Around 1.15873
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.19700
💰 Take Profit: 1.0750 – 1.14385
Always trade with proper risk management and confirm with your own analysis!good trade
EURUSD is close to the end of its correctionEURUSD is consolidating in a wedge. The trend is bullish, with the correction reaching the 0.7 Fibonacci zone and making a false breakout, which generally changes the market imbalance.
All attention is on the wedge resistance (red line) and the 1.17000 level. A breakout of the resistance and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the end of the correction and send the price higher.
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.160level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNELEURUSD FOUND SUPPORT, READY TO BREAK THE CHANNEL🔥
EURUSD has been trading within the descending channel since the beginning of the descending channel. Recently the price reached the major trendline, graph started to show the bullish divergence on the RSI .
What is a bullish divergence?
A technical analysis pattern where the price makes lower lows, but a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) forms higher lows, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a potential trend reversal upward.
So, another hike in this pair is expected. Possible direction: spike towards the SMA200, minor pullback and a further development of the bullish impulse.
EUR/USD Analysis : Bullish Reversal – Volume Absorption & Target🧠 Market Overview:
EUR/USD has followed a flawless Market Maker Cycle, moving from manipulation to expansion. The chart shows institutional behavior through liquidity grabs, volume absorption, and structural breaks, confirming that big players are in full control.
The current price action signals bullish strength targeting the next high-probability reversal zone, but let’s break this down from the very beginning.
🔍 Key Chart Phases and Insights:
1️⃣ Massive Bearish Impulse – Liquidity Sweep Phase
At first glance, the chart shows an aggressive drop — a strong bearish leg that looks like market weakness.
❗ But in reality, this is the liquidity sweep phase. Here’s what likely happened:
Price ran below key lows
Hit stop losses of early buyers
Created “fake” bearish sentiment
Built sell-side liquidity for institutions to buy from
🔑 This isn’t weakness — it’s a setup.
2️⃣ FMFR (Final Move for Reversal) + Instant Reaction
At the end of that drop, the market printed a sharp bullish engulfing candle from the lows — this is known as the Final Move for Reversal (FMFR).
This marks:
The end of the accumulation phase
Entry of smart money into the market
The beginning of a new bullish cycle
The size and speed of this move indicate high-volume orders were filled — classic sign of institutional presence.
3️⃣ 5x Demand Push – Start of Expansion Phase
After the FMFR, price explodes upward with 5 consecutive bullish candles. This is your expansion phase — the market is moving fast, breaking structure, and flipping direction.
Key takeaways from this leg:
Strong displacement confirms a new trend
High momentum candles reflect institutional interest
Price breaks above previous structure levels
📈 This is no longer random — it’s planned and executed by bigger players.
4️⃣ Volume Absorption in Tight Wedge – Smart Money Re-Accumulation
After the breakout, price doesn’t just continue flying — instead, it compresses in a tight triangle. This is a key phase called volume absorption or re-accumulation.
What’s happening here:
Institutions are absorbing retail orders
Low volume = no resistance = easier breakout
Price is “charging” before the next move
🔋 Think of this like coiling a spring — it’s getting ready to pop again.
5️⃣ Bullish Pattern Repeats – MMC Confirmed
Interestingly, we now see the same bullish pattern forming again on the right side of the chart, similar to the first FMFR.
This is powerful because:
Pattern repetition means consistent order flow
Smart money is using the same blueprint
It gives us confidence to follow the trend
⚠️ When the same bullish setup happens twice — it’s not by chance.
6️⃣ Structural Mapping – Road to Reversal Zone
On the far right, we’ve entered clean bullish structure, making higher highs and higher lows.
We are now targeting:
The next Reversal Zone near 1.16800
This zone could act as resistance or another trap
A strong reaction from this zone can trigger either profit-taking or short-term reversal
Price is currently in the "continuation" part of MMC, heading toward premium levels.
📈 Trading Plan Based on This Setup:
✅ Primary Bullish Plan:
Price respects current structure
Breaks minor highs with strong volume
Entry on retracement to broken structure
Target: 1.16800 reversal zone
⚠️ Alternate Bearish Setup (If Price Rejects Reversal Zone):
Sharp rejection from reversal zone
Break of structure (BOS) on lower timeframe
Entry on lower high retest
Target: Liquidity areas below 1.16200
🧵 Conclusion:
This EUR/USD chart is a blueprint of institutional market flow. From the liquidity sweep, to volume absorption, to repeating bullish patterns, we’re seeing a textbook Market Maker Cycle (MMC) play out.
Here’s what makes this chart powerful:
✔️ Volume confirms structure
✔️ Reversal zones are clearly defined
✔️ Same bullish pattern = smart money roadmap
✔️ Trade setups are clean with defined risk
✅ This is the kind of setup you wait days for — don’t rush, follow structure, and execute with confirmation.
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.161.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.155 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price printed a hammer and bullish RSI divergence on the lower rail of the 3-week descending channel (green arrow 1.1598), breaking the inner wedge that guided last leg down.
● First resistance is the channel mid-line / prior pivot 1.1632; a move through it exposes the upper band near 1.1692, where July supply and the larger bearish trend-line converge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales control-group and Daly’s “more evidence needed” remarks cooled 2-yr yields, trimming dollar support, while ECB’s Knot said additional cuts “are not imminent,” limiting euro downside.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1600-1.1620; hold above 1.1632 targets 1.1690. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.1580.
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EURO - Price will rise a little and then drop to $1.1500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price earlier carved out a pennant pattern after a strong rally, with price oscillating between converging trendlines and indecision mounting near $1.1550 resistance.
After several weeks in consolidation, sellers finally broke down below the pennant base, sending price back toward the support area and trapping late buyers.
Buyers regrouped and launched a new advance, driving EUR into a well-defined rising channel.
During this channel run, two notable breakouts above interim highs were quickly followed by exits at the upper trendline.
Price now sits in a tight consolidation just under the rising channel’s ceiling near $1.1700, forming small corrective swings on lighter volume.
I expect one more shallow rally toward $1.1750 before sellers overwhelm buyers again, pushing Euro down through $1.1550 and toward the $1.1500 points.
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EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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