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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD braces for U.S. tariff threat EURUSD braces for U.S. tariff threat Tariff developments continue to drive market volatility, with new headlines emerging daily. On Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump warned that tariffs on the European Union were inevitable. In response, EU leaders indicated they are prepared to retaliate if the U.S. imposes new tariffs on European goods. This follows Trump’s previous executive orders implementing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. Although yesterday, Trump announced an “immediate pause” on tariffs against Mexico after Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum agreed to deploy 10,000 soldiers to the border to curb drug trafficking and illegal immigration. The EUR/USD opened the week lower, plunging to multi-week lows around 1.0200 before finding support. Markets reacted positively to the temporary U.S.-Mexico agreement, helping the pair recover. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 25-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ahead of the 50-day and 100-day EMA convergence.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD Potential Shorts (Technical Analysis)Overall Context: The dollar's been flexing its muscles lately, and EURUSD is feeling the pressure. We saw some crazy gaps when the markets opened on Monday morning – a sign of shaky liquidity, which usually snaps back. But with the trade war rumbling on, who knows? As traders, we've got to stay prepared, expecting a correction but ready with our contingency plans if it doesn't happen. Let's dive in - Technical Outlook: Failure of the previous accumulation cycle - Classic Wyckoff stuff, cycles run their course. A re-distribution is likely on the horizon, especially if the lower timeframes agree with the bigger picture. (Fractally, we need to see the LTF accumulation fail and for distribution to align with the HTF sentiment and cycle). Price has broken to the downside and has created multiple lower highs. Trading below the 200 EMA and has recently tested and bounced of the 50 EMA (at a correlating level of supply) Keep in mind that USDJPY and EURUSD are inversely correlated and are currently in line - While the inverse correlation is a significant factor, it's not the only thing that influences these currency pairs. Interest rates, economic data, and global events can also play a role and we know how that story looks at present so this is just additional confluence for us. Potential Scenarios & Probabilities: Scenario 1 (High Probability) - Price will pull back into the supply and drop from there. Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price will continue to plummet and break structure to the downside. Trading Considerations: If price fills the gap and reaches supply levels above, you should wait for bearish confirmations to get involved. If price drops past the previous low, identify new levels of supply and trade accordingly. (I'll try to post an update if this happens). Final Notes: Strong technical picture but this week has a lot of upcoming economic events (NFP, anyone?). With the Tariffs imposed so close to the NFP release one can only assume there will be a power play by the Trump administration which we may not see coming. All we can do for now is follow the money flow to stay in the know! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY FX:USDJPY
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
4
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA
EUR/USD – Smart Money Move Incoming!Here’s a **simple and professional TradingView description** for your post: --- 📢 **EUR/USD Wave Analysis – Key Levels to Watch!** 🔥 🚀 **Market Overview:** EUR/USD is following a **five-wave Elliott structure** with a potential **Wave 4 retracement** before further downside. The key zones to watch: 🔹 **Support Zone:** 1.02052 - 1.00923 (Possible Wave 5 target) 🔹 **Resistance Zone:** 1.06664 (Potential Wave 4 completion) 🔹 **Key Level:** 1.02923 (Crucial reaction point) 💡 **Trading Insight:** We may see a short-term pullback towards **1.06664** before the final drop to **1.00923**. Watch for **price reaction at resistance** before entering a trade. 📊 **Patience is key. Follow the structure, manage risk, and stay ahead of the trend!** 🚀 #GreenFireForex #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #PriceAction
by Greenfireforex
ANALYSIS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1H - Price has recently traded into an area of Demand since trading into this area we have seen that price has put in some bullish structure. Price has spent today to clear the gap that was left in the market from the open yesterday, I feel we will see a continuation in this bullishness, with this higher TF bias being a bullish one I have gone ahead and marked out an area of Demand that I feel price may pullback into before continuing to trade us higher, this could act as an area to buy in from. We need to make sure this area in price holds. Before we look to buy into this market we need to make sure we have the confluence needed. This will come from a penetration, rejection and fractal break in structure to the upside. I feel this could be the start of the next big impulse.
Long
by Lukegforex
EUR/USD Gaps Lower as Trump's Tariff War Escalates EUR/USD gapped lower this morning, driven by Donald Trump’s fresh round of tariffs, reigniting fears of a global trade war. The US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal surged, putting the Euro under pressure. Fundamentals Weighing on EUR/USD The ongoing trade war between the US and key trading partners has created fresh uncertainties, with Trump’s tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China exacerbating tensions. A 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, is raising concerns about the impact on global trade and economic growth. In the wake of these announcements, the US Dollar has strengthened, further pressuring the EUR/USD pair. The Euro is also weighed down by diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB recently cut interest rates, citing concerns over sluggish growth in the Eurozone, while the Federal Reserve has maintained its stance, holding rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. Additionally, weak economic data from Europe, including a 0.2% contraction in Germany's Q4 GDP and a modest 0.9% annual gain for the broader Eurozone, contrasts with the more resilient US economy, which posted 2.3% GDP growth in Q4, despite coming in below expectations. Gap Signals Burst of Bearish Momentum This morning’s large gap lower in EUR/USD is significant, signalling a sharp increase in bearish momentum aligned with the dominant downtrend. EUR/USD has been trending lower for the last six months, leading to a bearish crossover of the 50-day moving average below the 200-day moving average. After hitting fresh trend lows in mid-January, the recent rebound found resistance at the 50-day moving average before rolling over at the end of the month, forming a new lower swing high. With the gap lower, the RSI has dropped sharply but remains above oversold territory, while price action is now looks set to test key support around January’s swing lows. Looking ahead, volatility is expected to remain high as markets react to Trump’s trade policies and anticipate Friday’s non-farm payrolls data. Expect the top and bottom of the gap to serve as resistance going forward, shaping near-term price action in the EUR/USD pair. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15