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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD // plan for the countertrend breakThe countertrend of the primary short trend is valid, and it turns into a primary long trend only above the daily impulse base. Until it's traded below that level, the primary short trend may resume any time. 💰 The condition: significant break below the trigger zone. Since H4 is already down, the next wave south has the chance to go to the first target, that is the daily target fibo 161.8. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<boost🚀 if you enjoy💚
Short
by TheMarketFlow
EUR/USD: Is Parity (1.00) in Play?Chart Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has extended its downtrend, decisively breaking below the critical support at 1.0340, which previously held as a major floor. The pair is now trading at 1.0265, hitting levels not seen in recent months. 1️⃣ Key Breakdown: The breach below 1.0340 confirms a continuation of the bearish trend, with sellers firmly in control. This level may now act as resistance on any retracement. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.0578, far above the current price, reinforcing bearish short-term momentum. 200-day SMA (red): At 1.0806, reflects the broader downtrend and significant distance from current levels. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 29.46, firmly in oversold territory, which may lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Deeply negative, confirming strong bearish momentum with no signs of reversal yet. What to Watch: Immediate support levels: The next downside target could be 1.0200 or even lower if bearish momentum persists. Oversold RSI: While the RSI signals a potential pause, the trend remains firmly bearish until a reversal pattern emerges. For bulls to regain control, a move back above 1.0340 and the 50-day SMA would be needed, which seems unlikely in the near term. The EUR/USD remains under heavy selling pressure after breaking key support. Watch for further declines or a potential relief bounce from oversold conditions. -MW
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan --- Trade Setup Overview: - Instrument: EURUSD - Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG. - Technical Confluences: - Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals. - Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum. - Risk Management: - My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice). - Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 - Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss. --- Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long: 1. US Interest Rate Dynamics: - Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength. - However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength. - Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper. 2. Eurozone Economic Factors: - Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR. - Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery. 3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes: - The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones. - Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long. --- Personal Notes: This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice. Good luck and trade safely!
Long
by Fondera
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
2
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
Bearish EUR/USD, short termEUR/USD is showing strong bearish momentum, with consistent lower highs and lows, pointing to a continuation of the current downtrend. The price is approaching a critical support level at 1.03109, which has been tested multiple times, weakening its strength. A break below this level aligns with the broader trend and suggests a move to the next significant zone of interest, reflecting the measured progression of the previous downward swings. With sellers maintaining control and limited buyer interest during recent retracements, the pair is likely to extend its decline unless a strong reversal catalyst emerges.
Short
by Mcenzy
EUR/USD Year-End Review: A Bearish Outlook for 2025As the curtain fell on 2024, the EUR/USD currency pair concluded the year under a veil of bearish pressure, aligning closely with the predictions outlined in previous analyses. On the final trading day of the year, the pair reached a significant low, hitting our predetermined take profit level at 1.03500. This movement signifies the prevailing market sentiment as we transition into 2025, with indicators suggesting that the bearish trajectory remains firmly in place. The backdrop of this price action is rooted in a risk-averse atmosphere that has characterized global markets. Investors seeking safety gravitated towards the US Dollar (USD), further dampening the EUR/USD pairing as we approached the New Year break. Such aversion to risk has historically led to a strengthening USD, which paints a challenging picture for the Euro amid ongoing economic transformations across Europe. As we move into the first week of 2025, all eyes are on the forthcoming US economic indicators, particularly the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. Analysts predict that the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits will climb to 222,000, a modest uptick from the previous week's 219,000. Should the actual figures exceed expectations, this could lead to a weakening of the USD in the latter part of the day, introducing an element of volatility into the market. On the other side of the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde provided insights into the ECB's progress in combating inflation throughout 2024. In her recent statements, she expressed optimism about hitting the inflation targets set for 2025, stating, "Hopefully, 2025 is the year when we are on target as expected and as planned in our strategy." Despite these assertions, the market reaction to her comments was tepid at best, illustrating a possible disconnect between the ECB's hopes and the stark realities facing the Eurozone. Lagarde’s emphasis on the progress achieved in 2024 indicates a deliberate and strategic approach to monetary policy; however, the actual impact on the Euro remains to be seen. The broader economic conditions in Europe, including persistent inflationary pressures and slower economic growth compared to the United States, add layers of complexity to the Euro's valuation against its American counterpart. Previous Idea with Take profit reached: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1