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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Confirmed – Smart Money Distribution Ne📅 Posted July 18, 2025 | 🔍 VolanX Protocol Insight 📉 Market Outlook: The EUR/USD pair has rejected the premium supply zone (1.17–1.18) after failing to maintain structure above the red trendline. Price is now breaking down with bearish pressure building toward equilibrium at 1.09544. 📊 VolanX DSS Breakdown: 🔴 Premium Rejection confirms distribution by institutional players. 📈 Trendline Violation + SMC BOS = Shift to markdown phase. 🧠 VolanX Signal Score: Neutral → Bearish → Favoring short plays targeting deeper liquidity blocks. 🌐 Macro Narrative (Q3 2025): 🇺🇸 USD Strength: Driven by sticky inflation and delayed Fed cuts (Q4 expected). 🇪🇺 Eurozone Softness: Germany's PMI fell below 50; ECB’s cautious tone continues. 🏦 Rate Divergence Play: US-EU real yield gap widening → capital flowing into USD. 🎯 Probabilistic Target Path (Yellow Line): ✅ 1.1500: First liquidity gap ✅ 1.1150: Midblock retrace 🎯 1.09544: Equilibrium & High-Confidence Institutional Re-entry Zone 🛡️ VolanX Protocol Note: This forecast is part of the WaverVanir Smart Futures Playbook. All trades are structured with AI-defined probability zones, institutional positioning layers, and macro-event syncing. The VolanX engine will reassess upon retest of the 1.1500 mid-zone. #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #MacroFX #VolanX #WaverVanir #LiquidityZones #InstitutionalTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #DXY #Eurozone #FED #ECB #OptionsFlow
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EURUSD – Recovery losing steam, correction risk is risingAfter rebounding from the trendline support, EURUSD is now approaching the key resistance area around 1.17500 — a zone that has historically triggered multiple rejections. However, with French and German PMI figures coming in below expectations and the ECB holding rates steady without providing any fresh policy guidance, the euro lacks the momentum for a sustained move higher. On the H4 chart, price action is showing signs of exhaustion as it tests resistance. If buyers fail to break through convincingly, a pullback toward the 1.16800 support zone — or even deeper toward 1.16400 — becomes increasingly likely. Preferred strategy: Watch for bearish rejection patterns near 1.17500. If confirmed, this could be a favorable opportunity to initiate short positions in anticipation of a correction.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EUR/USD – 1H Smart Money Analysis Timeframe: 1 Hour | 🔍 Strategy: ICT Concepts + Order Blocks + MSS 🔍 Current Market Outlook: Bearish Shift Underway After a clean liquidity grab above equal highs, price showed: Market Structure Shift (MSS) from bullish to bearish ✅ Strong rejection from a 1H Order Block (OB) 🟥 Price is now trading under the Daily Bullish Bias Level, confirming potential bearish pressure. 🧠 Key Smart Money Concepts Applied: 🔸 BOS & MSS: First Break of Structure (BOS) confirms buyers were in control. Recent MSS indicates bears have stepped in — transition phase confirmed. 🔸 Liquidity Grab: Classic move above equal highs → stop hunt liquidity sweep, now reversing. 🔸 Order Blocks & Zones: Price rejected from a red OB (1H Supply Zone). Two strong demand zones below: 🔵 Intermediate OB 🟡 Breaker Block – high-probability reaction zone if deeper retracement happens. 🔸 Target Zones: 🎯 Primary: Day Low (1.17122) 🎯 Secondary: Breaker Block and SSL zone for deeper liquidity run. 🔧 Indicators Confluence: RSI & MACD showing bearish divergence and momentum weakness Price is also below both EMAs → bearish momentum bias confirmed 🧭 Trade Plan (Bearish Bias): Wait for minor pullback (internal retracement) into lower high Target: ✅ Blue OB zone ✅ Day Low sweep ✅ Breaker Block zone (final liquidity magnet) ❗Risk Management Reminder: Always wait for confirmation candle or lower-timeframe FVG rejection before entry. Avoid trading during high-impact news marked below the chart. 📚 Concepts Used: ICT | MSS | BOS | OB | Breaker Block | Liquidity Sweep | EMAs | RSI | MACD 🔗 Follow for more smart-money style trade ideas and live updates.
Short
by SmartMoneyProfessional
EUR/USD neutral: Proceed with cautionHello traders My short was short lived and not too damaging. This powerful EUR/USD bounce is not unusual but perhaps a little bit of a head scratcher. No economic data of note. Maybe some positioning before the ECB rate decision? I don't know what time this morning Senator Mike Lee(R) of Utah decided it was a good idea to repost a clearly fake resignation letter from Chairman Jerome Powell on X, so perhaps that was a factor. Once again, Scott Bessent calmed the markets by stating that he does not see any reason for Chair Powell to resign. The technical picture is clear. The pair has broken and closed above a long term downtrend line/channel but is at the upper boundary of the short term channel. I have noticed several ideas and minds looking for a decline to 1.1450. The intersection of the up and downtrend lines identifies that as a possible level to go long. However, I take it one day at a time and I am generally hesitant to make long term predictions, so use your own best judgment. The current economic environment is rife with uncertainty, so keep the risk small. To diversify, I have been looking for potential growth stocks to dip my toes back into the stock market. JOBY or ACHR anyone? Best of luck
by jvrfxalerts
EURUSD Breakout Trade EUR/USD – Breakout Confirmation 🔹 Multi-Timeframe Bullish Setup by PULSETRADESFX EUR/USD is showing a strong bullish shift after breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. Price reacted perfectly from the demand zone and is now pushing above descending trendline resistance across the 2H chart. This signals early signs of trend reversal, backed by confluence across intraday and higher timeframes. The structure is clean, the R:R is healthy, and momentum favors bulls after multiple rejections at key support. --- ✅ Confluences Supporting the Long: Descending channel breakout (2H ) Triple demand zone rejection Break and close above minor resistance Clean bullish momentum candle Economic catalysts ahead (watch USD data releases 📅) 📅 July 18, 2025 📊 FOREX.com | EUR/USD (2H) #EURUSD #Forex #BreakoutTrade #BullishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PULSETRADESFX
Long
by PULSETRADESFX
EURUSD SELLEUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1800 ahead of ECB decision EUR/USD remains in a bullish consolidation mode below 1.1800 in European trading on Thursday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of the European Central Bank policy announcements and the US preliminary PMI data. Mixed PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone failed to trigger a noticeable reaction. The EUR/USD pair retreated from a fresh two-week peak at 1.1781 posted during Asian trading hours, hovering around 1.1750 ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement. The US Dollar (USD) edged lower on the back of risk appetite, amid headlines indicating a trade deal between Japan and the United States (US). US President Donald Trump announced in a post on social media a trade deal with Japan that sets "reciprocal" tariffs at 15% on Tuesday, while Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba acknowledged the trade agreement on Wednesday, saying it would benefit both sides. Trump shifted his attention to the European Union (EU), noting that if the Union agrees to open up to US businesses, he will then charge lower levies. Meanwhile, the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) published the preliminary estimates of the July Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs). European growth stands at its highest in almost a year according to the surveys, as the Composite PMI rose to 51.0 in July from 50.6 in Jun,e while beating expectations of 50.8. As for the ECB, the central bank announced its decision to keep the benchmark rates on hold, as widely anticipated. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility stood at 2.15%, 2.4% and 2%, respectively. The headline had no impact on EUR/USD, which kept trading at around 1.1750. Right afterwards, the US released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 19, which improved to 217K from the 221K previously posted and the 227K anticipated. Coming up next is ECB President Christine Lagarde's press conference, and the US S&P Global preliminary July PMIs. SUPPORT 1.17118 SUPPORT 1.16767 SUPPORT 1.16316 RESISTANCE 1.17937 RESISTANCE 1.17703
Short
by Mark804
EURUSD - Sell Setup in ProgressPair: EURUSD Bias: Bearish HTF Overview: Structure leaning bearish — price respecting recent lower highs with room to fall into deeper 4H demand. Current Zone: Price just mitigated the 30M sell-side OB, showing early signs of reaction. LTF Confirmation: Still in observation mode — waiting for 5M or 1M confirmation to trigger short entries with confidence. Entry Zone: Focused on refined LTF shift beneath the 30M OB — ideal setup includes inducement or liquidity run before executing. Targets: First target is intraday low — ultimate target is the strong 4H demand zone below. Mindset Note: Let the market bring the entry to you — don’t jump ahead of confirmation. Smart patience wins. Bless Trading!
Short
by Juicemannn
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523📉 EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523 Price has retraced into the key 78.6% fib zone after completing Wave B. With clear rejection from the supply area and lower highs forming, Wave C is now in play. Expecting bearish continuation with potential downside targets around 1.1523. 🔻 SHORT BIAS (Wave C in Play) 📍 Entry Zone: 1.16530–1.16945 🎯 Target: 1.15285 ⛔ Invalidation: Above 1.17023 📊 Timeframe: 4H 📈 Pattern: ABC Zig-Zag Correction 📌 Updated Analysis by: @greenfire_forex 🧠 Note: Wait for confirmation before entering. Risk management is key. #EURUSD #ElliottWave #BearishSetup #ABCPattern #WaveC #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TradingView --- Let me know if any correction , would like to suggest
Short
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD PROBABLY!Waiting for confirmation on candles and Real Volume 5min or 15min (power of Real Volume)-without real volume I am like a blind man in a dense forest :) Tools: - real volume (proper interpretation) - Fibonacci expansion ABC (an additional, new goal every day) - Fibonacci retracement (combined with the real volume, it shows me the real probable movement for the next hours and days) - volume support and resistance levels (confirmation of the price recovery level) - oversold/overbought index (focusing on 1H and 4H something is already overvalued or undervalued) - candlestick patterns (my entry point for 5 minutes or 15 minutes candlestick formations confirmed by particularly increasing volume).
Short
by GoldenLion33
Today's EURUSD Analysis : Channel Break : EURUSD Eyes 1.19056Chart Overview: The EURUSD pair has broken out of a well-defined descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price has now approached a critical Central Zone that acts as a probable reaction or reversal area. This zone lies between minor and major supply levels. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Descending Channel: Price was previously trapped in a bearish channel. This channel was respected with multiple touches on both upper and lower bounds, showing controlled bearish structure. Breakout & Momentum Shift: The recent bullish breakout above the channel suggests buyers are gaining control. A strong candle has closed outside the structure, confirming the breakout. Major & Minor Zones: Two levels are marked just above the breakout: Minor Resistance: First possible supply zone where price may pause. Major Resistance: A stronger historical level and the top of the Central Zone. Central Zone Reaction Area (CZRA): This is the MMC's focus area — price is expected to react here. Either we see a rejection that could confirm a reversal setup, or price slices through, opening the door to the Next Reversal Zone around 1.19056. 📌 Strategic Condition (MMC Logic): Condition 1: If price respects the Central Zone and shows bearish signs (e.g., wick rejections, engulfing candles, divergence), we expect a strong pullback or reversal toward previous demand levels. If Condition 1 Fails: The annotation clearly states: “If this condition not apply, it will go 100%.” Meaning: If price breaks and holds above the Central Zone, it confirms bullish strength, targeting 1.19056 — the Next Reversal Zone (NRZ). 📊 Trader's Mindset (MMC Application): This setup is a classic MMC structure trap-break scenario: The channel traps sellers, The breakout invites buyers, And the Central Zone becomes the battlefield. Wait for confirmation, not assumption. Whether it's rejection or breakout, risk management and reaction-based trading are key.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Under Pressure After Hot CPI – More Downside Ahead?Today, the US released key inflation figures : Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (vs 0.3% forecast) CPI m/m: 0.3% (as expected) CPI y/y: 2.7% (vs 2.6% forecast, up from 2.4%) Fundamental Analysis ( EURUSD ): The slightly lower Core CPI suggests some easing in underlying inflation pressures. However, the headline CPI y/y came in hotter than expected at 2.7%, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is not yet ready to ease policy aggressively. This combination supports the US dollar, as sticky inflation could delay rate cuts. EURUSD is likely to remain under pressure in the short term unless the ECB signals a more hawkish stance or US data starts showing broader weakness. Now let's move on to the technical analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) on the 4-hour timeframe . EURUSD is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1802-$1.1602) , having simultaneously managed to break the Support lines and the lower line of the Descending Channel , and is also trying to break the Support zone($1.1642-$1.1578) . I expect EURUSD to continue its downtrend and decline to the Support zone($1.1549-$1.1520) at the first target . Second target : $1.15043 Third target : $1.1464 Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1660 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
25
EUR/USD – Smart Money Playbook | 1H Analysis🔹 Current Price: 1.1735 🔹 Session Range: Day High 1.1760 | Day Low 1.1679 📊 Market Structure: Clean bullish structure after breaking the previous range high. Liquidity grab above Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and forming a bear flag near premium zone. 🔍 Smart Money Concept Flow: ✅ Premium OB tapped → Distribution in progress ✅ Bear Flag forming → Potential break to downside 🔹 Re-accumulation zone aligned with 1H Order Block (OB) 🎯 If price retraces to 1.1680–1.1700 OB zone and holds → Bullish continuation likely 📈 Trade Idea: Wait for pullback into 1H Bullish OB zone Confirm entry via bullish reaction / iMS / FVG Target: Sweep of Day High + Mitigation of upper OB (1.1780 zone) ⚠️ Risk Note: This idea is based on smart money concepts (liquidity, structure, and OB logic). Always use proper risk management and confirmation before entries.
Long
by SmartMoneyProfessional
EUR/USD Stuck at Channel Midline — Bearish Bias Still in PlayUpdate on Previous Analysis Since there are no major economic events scheduled for today, we expect lower volatility and a relatively calmer market, unless any unexpected news hits the wires. Looking at the chart, price is still moving within a descending channel, and it's currently reacting around a key zone — an area of previous price congestion that also aligns with the midline of the channel. Our bias remains bearish on the euro, unless the market gives us clear bullish reversal signals. Until then, we continue to follow the trend.
Short
by PouyanFa
"EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation EUR/USD Technical Blueprint: Bullish Continuation Patterns and Strategic Price Zones Explained 🔹 Market Structure & Trend The chart shows a clear shift from a ranging phase into a bullish breakout: Price previously consolidated in a broad horizontal channel, with a strong demand zone (support) established between 1.16000 – 1.16600. Following a deep liquidity grab on July 17-18, the price bounced sharply from support, creating higher highs and higher lows – a classic bullish structure. Current momentum shows bullish continuation, as the price broke above local resistance around 1.16645 and is now forming a potential bull flag or bullish pennant pattern. 🟢 Bullish Momentum Confirmation Price is currently retesting the broken resistance (now acting as support at 1.16645). If the support holds and bullish momentum continues, the measured move target projects a price move toward 1.17331, the next significant resistance level. This is also supported by increased volume activity in the breakout zone, as seen on the VPVR. 📊 Key Technical Levels Level Type Description 1.16000 Major Support Historical demand zone + liquidity grab 1.16645 Support Zone Previous resistance, now retest area 1.16926 Current Price Bullish consolidation forming 1.17331 Resistance Bullish target based on breakout projection 1.17700+ Extension Potential continuation level if momentum persists 🧠 Volume & Volatility Insight Bollinger Bands are expanding post-breakout, indicating increasing volatility and a potential trend continuation. VPVR shows a high-volume node around 1.166, confirming it as a strong demand zone. 🔎 Outlook & Strategy ✅ Bullish Bias As long as the price remains above 1.16645, buying dips could be a favorable strategy. A break above 1.17000 with strong volume could open a path toward 1.1733 and higher. ❌ Invalidation Level A strong close below 1.16600 would invalidate the bullish setup and could return price to the lower support around 1.16000. 📌 Conclusion EUR/USD is displaying strong bullish momentum after breaking a key resistance level and forming a solid support base. A breakout above 1.17000 may lead to a continuation toward 1.17331 and potentially higher. This setup favors bullish positioning with tight risk management.
Long
by Mentor_Michael03
EURUSD SHORTS IDEA Key take away poins : FX:EURUSD Fundamental : The Euro has been weaker because of USA's tariff on the EU. Which caused an increased demand for USD, as the tariffs supports US economical growth, which boost the short term currency strength. Technical : EURUSD has made a break and retest of a previous SnR area. We printed a H4 engulfing after we swept liquidity. We have a strong LQ grab Price retested a really POWERFUL trendline. I will look to enter directly at the engulfing for some sell opportunities. TMAS20X, entertainement purpose only. Not financial advice.
Short
by TrendLinesMaster20X
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1751 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1708 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD – Is the rally over? Time for a collapse?The technical picture reveals that EURUSD is losing momentum after a brief rebound. The 1.1700 level stands as a key resistance – if bulls fail to break it, the bears will take the wheel! A clear scenario is forming: lower highs, FVGs filled, and a potential drop toward the 1.1580 support zone this week. The bad news for the euro isn’t over: yesterday’s Eurozone PMI data disappointed heavily, signaling stagnating growth. Meanwhile, the USD is gaining traction from strong labor data and hawkish Fed remarks, putting EURUSD under double pressure. If the ascending trendline breaks, EURUSD could plunge even further – get ready for a potential breakdown! Suggested strategy: Prioritize SELL below 1.1700, with a short-term target at 1.1580. Stop-loss: Above 1.1720 – a breakout here would invalidate the bearish setup.
Short
by Rocky_trade_