EURUSD Reversal? Key Levels to Watch NowA reversal candle is forming on the weekly chart. Watch 1.1270 for confirmation of a short-term trend shift in EURUSD.
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EURUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Gap Filled, 4H Structure Supports Bullish ContinuationEUR/USD has just filled the previous gap on the 4H chart and is now forming higher lows right below a descending trendline. Price is currently sitting above a key structural support zone.
In my view, if price can break above this trendline with confirmation, thereโs a good chance weโll see a move toward the 1.13732 resistance area. The recovery structure looks solid so far, and MACD is starting to turn bullish.
๐ Key Points of the Setup:
Gap has been filled โ
Price holding above structure support
Target: 1.13732
Stop loss: below 1.11357
A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation
This is a personal trade idea, not financial advice. Please manage your own risk.
EUR/USD - Bullish opportunity for 23 pip short term trade
On the daily chart we can see that price is hovering around a significant support/resistance zone. This area has been touched twice 8-9 months ago, forming a double top reversal pattern, and continuing downward. Price broke this level about a month ago on high volume and was unable to sustain such high prices, resulting in a recent break below this significant support/resistance zone. Price then re-tested the zone and failed to confidently close above the zone, now lingering below it.
A trendline is placed connecting two recent lows, creating a 47 degree angle, signaling a healthy uptrend. This trendline is broken, in addition with the significant support/resistance zone also being broken, signaling a possible downtrend.
Zooming down into the 1 hour, we can identify a downward channel that price has traded within. The significant break below the channel on high volume signaled an exhaustion move. This could be interpreted as a selling climax and one could expect prices to begin rallying up from this point, for a possible reversal. However, prices returned into the channel and were unable to move above the SMA 200 or outside of the channel, thus the downtrend remains intact. Moreover, this exhaustion move broke the significant support/resistance level that we mentioned earlier, and because prices could not move above the SMA 200, this was a successful break of the level, retest of the level, and now continuation of the break.
From a day trading perspective, there is an opportunity to take a quick short term trade of 20-25 pips in a long position. A fair value gap exists due to the red candle at 10:00 AM on Friday so there is a liklihood that price will fill this gap and then proceed downward. The best moment to capitalize on a trade like this would be at market open around 6:00pm EST when spreads are lowest. The goal being to get into a trade that fills the fair value gap/targets the significant support/resistance zone, and setting a stop loss that grants a 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. The expectation being that price will continue to rally and not make any downturns while it fills the gap. As always with any trade, there is a risk that it will not work and your stop will hit before the profitable move takes place.
My thoughts on EUR/USDSince January 31st, EUR/USD had been in a bullish trend--a bullish channel in the 4H and 1D. I knew we were about to break out of this bullish trend. I had been anticipating a very strong reversal for a while, given we recently retested the top of another stronger Trendline. A much more reliable channel. the channel I speak of is the 3M, 1M and 1W timeframe channels, they are bearish. We once again hit the resistance of this monthly channel, while, at the same time being in a bullish trend in the 4H and 1D timeframes. So obviously I presumed the 4H bullish trend would end and reverse-which it has and did. This monthly bearish channel has been active for 14-17 years and has perfectly retested the support and resistances numerous times--making it a valid A+ setup in my book. To further this, on the 4H-1D timeframes, while we were still inside this 4H bullish channel, we saw a perfect Head and Shoulders pattern and quickly got our confirmation when it crossed the neckline. All of this indicates we will see strong selling pressure very soon.
So, where are we headed exactly? Well we know that we have FVGs and strong Supports. key areas for TPs are 1.09, 1.06, and on the monthly as low as 0.82.
If you guys have any questions feel free to ask. And share your thoughts and opinions on EUR/USD--thanks :)
Example Short Orders
SL 1.137
Limit order 1.255
TP1 1.09
TP2 1.06
TP3 1.02
TP4 0.82
(Maybe i am wrong, but if I am it will be the first time in 17 years for EUR/USD.. I like the odds)
OANDA:EURUSD
EUR/USD 1H AnalysisWhat weโve got here on EUR/USD looks like a clean Elliott Wave setup shaping up.
Thereโs a strong 5-wave move up that likely forms Wave 1, followed by a simple ABC correction โ that gives us Wave 2.
Now price is reacting from that C point, and this could be the beginning of Wave 3, which is usually the most powerful part of the trend.
๐ฉ Entry Zone: 1.114 โ 1.12
๐ฏ TP: 1.14
๐ SL: 1.109
โ๏ธ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
๐ก Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Keep an eye on it โ could be a solid setup if it confirms. Drop your thoughts if you're trading this too ๐
Buying Opportunities on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD held steady around the 1,1200 level and looks to be gearing up for the next move upward.
Keep an eye out for a higher low followed by a fresh push to the upside.
The first support level to watch is 1,1140 - a potential starting point for the next bullish movement.
The goal is to see the uptrend continue with new highs ahead.
Trade only in the direction of the main trend and always manage your risk carefully!
EURUSD 4H Short๐ Educational Caption for Your Trading Chat
๐ฅ EURUSD 4H Short Setup โ Smart Money Play
I'm shorting EURUSD from 1.12616, after a clear Break of Structure and a return to a premium supply zone.
๐ป Price grabbed liquidity above equal highs and rejected off the descending trendline, giving strong bearish intent.
๐ Entry: 1.12616
๐ฏ Target: 1.11595
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss: 1.12954
โ๏ธ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.1
This is a classic Smart Money Sell Model โ BOS โ Return to Supply โ Premium โ Liquidity Sweep โ Entry.
๐จ Note: Trade setups are for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk wisely.
EURUSD Potential Shorts - Technical Outlook 15 May 2025Since the beginning of May, 2025, the EURUSD pair has been bearish
Technical Analysis:
The pair is approaching a significant resistance/demand zone near 1.12430.
The level at 1.11755 is a LTF support zone that could hold short term.
The daily chart is finding resistance on the 25 EMA and the 1H is trading below the 200 EMA suggesting continued bearish price movement.
Wyckoff Method Perspective:
Distribution Phase: The recent price action suggests a possible re-distribution phase.
Spring Test: We haven't seen this happen yet however signs indicate a potential spring could happen with the evident liquidity pool and supply feed.
Fundamental Factors:
The U.S. dollar has been weakening recently due to:
Trade Tariffs and Tensions: New tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods have disrupted trade, reducing demand for the dollar.
Inflation Fears: Uncertainty about inflation has eroded confidence in the dollar's value.
Federal Reserve Policy: Expectations of looser monetary policy or slower tightening have pressured the dollar.
De-dollarization Trends: Some countries are reducing reliance on the dollar, favoring other currencies or gold-backed alternatives.
Economic Slowdown Signals: Data suggesting a slowing U.S. economy, partly due to tariff impacts, has weakened investor confidence.
Trade Deficit: A growing U.S. trade deficit, now significantly larger, has further strained the dollar.
These factors have combined to drive a sharp decline, with the dollar hitting its worst month in years.
Conclusion:
I will be looking to short EURUSD until the trend reverses. Possible long term shorts may be on the horizon.
EUR/USD โ BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD โ BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
๐ง Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
๐ Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
๐ Trade Scenarios for Today:
โ
High Probability โ SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangleโs base near 1.1185โ1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
โ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 โ 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
๐ฏ TP: 1.1180 โ 1.1150 โ 1.1120 โ 1.1100
๐ SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
๐จ Lower Probability โ SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) โ short-term bullish reversal.
๐ต BUY ZONE: 1.1250 โ 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
๐ฏ TP: 1.1290 โ 1.1325 โ 1.1350
๐ SL: 1.1215
๐ Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 โ 1.1150 โ 1.1110
๐ฏ Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries โ let price come to your levels.
โ ๏ธ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
โ
Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
EURUSD: Growth Is Coming! Buy!Driven by the lower-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, the EUR/USD exchange rate oscillated higher and broke through the 1.1200 threshold. During the North American trading session, EUR/USD rose 0.25% and traded near 1.1200, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening.
The EUR/USD has successfully broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.1200, forming a strong upward breakout pattern. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross formation, with the histogram turning from negative to positive, signaling a shift in momentum to bullish. In the short term, EUR/USD is expected to continue its upward momentum, with the primary target being the previous high of 1.1230. If this level is effectively breached, it could challenge the 1.1250โ1.1275 area.
For support levels, 1.1180 serves as a key short-term support, followed by the 1.1150 zone.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD togetherโบ๏ธ
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11806 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.12047.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
EURUSD Technical Analysis.This image is a trading chart for the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour (1h) timeframe, published on TradingView. Hereโs a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Current Price: The price is around 1.12121, showing a slight increase of +0.34%.
2. Trading Zones:
The green zone indicates a potential bullish target area, with a possible price target around 1.12874.
The red zone at the bottom shows a stop-loss area, with a critical support level at approximately 1.11641.
3. Chart Analysis:
There is a consolidation area (black rectangle), suggesting a potential breakout.
The projected upward arrow indicates a bullish movement, suggesting that if the price breaks above the consolidation, it might continue to the upside.
4. Trading Plan:
The plan seems to be to buy on a breakout above the consolidation zone with a target at the upper green level.
Stop loss is placed below the lower red zone to manage risk.
Would you like an analysis of potential scenarios or trading strategies based on this chart?
Liquidity Sweeps Explained โ Master This Key Price Action ConcepUnderstanding liquidity sweeps is essential for avoiding traps and trading with smart money. A liquidity sweep happens when price briefly breaks a key level, triggers stop losses, attracts breakout traders, and reverses direction.
Institutions use this tactic to hunt orders and create liquidity for big moves. Focus on these sweeps around strong support/resistance zones to improve your precision.
Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations for EUR/USDThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. ๐๐ผ๐๐ผ๐๐ผ
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of the EUR/USD currency pair shows limited bullish potential. The pair has retreated from the bearish 20 - day Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the second consecutive trading day, currently creating a dynamic resistance level at around 1.1275. The 100 - day and 200 - day SMAs are well below the current level, with the longer - term one nearly flat, reflecting a weakening of long - term upward momentum. Finally, the technical indicators have flattened out between negative and neutral values, not sufficient to confirm an impending downward trend.
In the short term, according to the 4 - hour chart, the trend of EUR/USD has turned neutral. The converging 100 - day and 200 - day SMAs form a dynamic resistance level at around 1.1270, while the direction of the 20 - day SMA is unclear and slightly below the current level. Meanwhile, the Momentum indicator fluctuates directionlessly around the 100 line, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator points to a relatively low level of around 52, failing to provide clear directional cues.
EURUSD
buy@1.20000-1.12200
tp:1.12800-1.13000
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.๐๐ฝ๐๐ฝ๐๐ฝ
EUR/USD โ Daily Time Frame AnalysisEUR/USD โ Daily Time Frame Analysis
The Euro is gaining strength against the US Dollar, driven by recent positive economic data from the Eurozone and increasing speculation that the European Central Bank may delay further rate cuts. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under slight pressure due to softer U.S. inflation expectations and a more cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, contributing to short-term bullish momentum in EUR/USD.
On the technical side, EUR/USD on the daily time frame has broken a major resistance level at 1.2200. We observed a previously formed double top and a descending trendline with three touches, confirming the significance of this key level. Following the breakout, accumulation has begun and buyers have stepped in with long positions. Price briefly retraced, triggering stop-losses below the liquidity zone โ a typical liquidity grab.
Currently, we are waiting for price to break above a minor key resistance. Our area of interest is at 1.13300. Risk is managed below the liquidity zone at 1.10070, and our target profit is set at the next minor key resistance around 1.23530.
๐ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1332
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1242
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Key Pullback Zone & Trade Plan๐ EUR/USD Technical Analysis โ Bullish Trend in Play ๐
In this latest breakdown, I dive into the EUR/USD pair, which is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the higher timeframes ๐ฅ. Price action has been respecting a clean uptrend, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows โ a textbook bullish market structure โ
.
In the video, I walk you through:
- The daily chart setup and whatโs fueling the current move upward ๐๏ธ
- My key interest zones for a possible pullback entry ๐
- What I'm watching on the 4H and 30-minute timeframes for confirmation โฑ๏ธ
- Target areas, including recent swing highs and liquidity levels ๐งฒ
Ideally, Iโd like to see price pull back into equilibrium (around the 50% level of the recent range). If we get that retracement and a bullish break of structure, Iโll be looking to get long on this move ๐๐ข.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly. ๐ก๏ธ๐
EUR/USD Building Momentum โ Is 1.15 the Next Target?The EUR/USD is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after bouncing strongly from a demand zone near 1.11128, as highlighted by LuxAlgoโs Supply and Demand indicator.
Currently trading at 1.12031, price has stabilized above the orange zone and is consolidating just below minor resistance at 1.13260. A breakout above this level could trigger a fresh leg up toward the major supply zone at 1.15029.
Why this chart matters:
Strong reaction from a clear demand zone โ bulls stepping in.
Price holding higher lows = early bullish structure.
USD news events (NFP, CPI) have passed with limited bearish continuation.
ECB event coming up may drive the next breakout move.
Targets:
Short-term: 1.13260 โ intraday breakout level.
Mid-term: 1.15029 โ major supply zone and previous high.
Trading Plan:
Watch for a confirmed break and close above 1.13260.
Buy on pullbacks above that level, with stop-loss below 1.12000.
Exit partials at 1.14 and final at 1.15 zone.
Comment below:
Do you think EUR/USD can reach 1.15 this week?
Follow for more clean FX setups and breakdowns!
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #TradingView #BreakoutStrategy #ForexSetup #EuroDollar #ECB
EUR/USD attempting to break higherThe EUR/USD is looking quite interesting as it tries to break out from a continuation pattern to the upside. So far, we haven't seen strong upside follow-through, which could be concerning for the bulls. Nevertheless, if it manages to break above the trend line of the falling wedge pattern, then this would suggest that the short-term path of least resistance is again to the upside, following a period of consolidation. From there, we could be heading up towards 1.1380, which is the next level of resistance on the daily chart. Above that, 1.1500 is the most significant resistance to watch on EUR/USD.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com