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EURUSD trade ideas

EUR USD - the battle of parityG'day traders, Welcome back to a new trading year. First up, i'll be taking a look at the EURO/USD as it is still in a strong downward to the right pattern respecting the strong curve of the weekly trendline. Please see below the Daily and weekly charts marked up. Follow along the video and hope it assists with your trading. I'll be looking for sells upon daily closes, weekly set and forget supply limits. Demand limits. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Previous charts Daily Chart Weekly Chart Updated in line with the video: Daily Weekly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. LVPA MMXXV
Short
by LupaCapital
EUR/USD SELL $$$ Today we have important news for Europe and America and this makes trading a little more difficult for today. The Euro has reached its daily resistance area and liquidity has gathered the Asian ceiling. Now we have to wait for the breakdown of the last 15-minute uptrend downwards. In the order block area formed, the factor of the breakdown of the 15-minute area. We wait for the confirmation of 5 or 3 minutes to the 1-hour support areas and the Asian floor and 1-hour liquidity. Save profit on each of these areas. Because there is a possibility of a return to the top. FOLLOW FOR MORE DAILY ANALYSIS.
Short
by aryaaparsii
EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation after BOS 2️⃣ 🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. 🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure). 🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high. 3️⃣ 🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply. 🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase. 🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish. 🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme. 🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase. 🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High. 🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge. Key Details: Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move. Targets: Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels. Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point. This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
Long
by Charts_M7M
EUR/USD UPDATED ANALYSIS EUR/USD 4H - Again we have some updated analysis on this pair, as you can see the trading opportunity I gave you all at the start of the week and the end of last has played out perfectly. Price did pullback into a FVG giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market in further longs, however with me being strapped to this challenge I didn't get chance to let you al know. I have gone ahead and marked out another area I feel price may trade back down and into presenting us with another opportunity to take part in long positions. Once price trades us down I will be back with another update. When price does trade us down and into the zone we are looking for price to react well, breaking structure to the upside fractally telling us that the pullback down has finished and the move to the upside is ready to take place.
Long
by Lukegforex
EURUSDKey Elements in the Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels (Blue Lines): These horizontal lines mark important price levels where the market has historically reversed or consolidated. Key Resistance: 1.05267 and 1.05208 are likely resistance levels where price has previously struggled to break above. Key Support: 1.03465, 1.02636, and 1.01843 serve as significant support levels where price might bounce higher if it retraces. Current Price Action: The market is in an uptrend, with price breaking above previous resistance levels (e.g., 1.04213). A bullish momentum is evident, with the price approaching a major resistance zone near 1.05208–1.05267. Trade Setup: Green Box: This likely represents the take-profit zone for a long position, indicating where the trader expects price to reach. Red Box: This is the stop-loss zone, set below the breakout level to minimize losses if the trade goes against expectations. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel): The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 64.34, approaching the 70 level, which is considered the overbought region. This suggests the bullish momentum is strong but could face resistance soon. Trading Idea: The trader appears to have entered a long position after the breakout above 1.04213, targeting the next resistance zone at 1.05267. The stop-loss is placed just below the breakout level at 1.04213 to account for potential invalidation of the bullish trend.
Long
by Dee9549
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings. Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook. US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure. 3️⃣ 🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required. 🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT) 🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme) 2️⃣ 🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure. 🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday. 3️⃣ 🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
by Amr-Sadek
eurusd sell now EUR/USD Analysis and Signal (4H Chart) The EUR/USD pair remains in a bearish consolidation phase, trading at 1.02930. The price has failed to break the resistance level near 1.03548, indicating potential further downside. Sell Signal: Active! Targeting the 1.02248 and 1.01845 support zones. Stop Loss: Place above the 1.03548 resistance level. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable for short positions. Guidance: Monitor the price action closely for continued bearish momentum. A break below 1.02248 could lead to further selling pressure. Keep positions protected with stop-loss adjustments and secure partial profits along the way.
by FOREXQUEEN_1
Eurogroup and Trump: Economic challenges in 2025The Eurogroup has kicked off the year with a strategy meeting in Brussels, coinciding with the inauguration of Donald Trump for his second term as president of the United States. The meeting, chaired by Paschal Donohoe, seeks to address the Eurozone's main economic challenges, including climate change, disruptive technologies and geopolitical uncertainties, with a special focus on transatlantic relations. Spain, represented by Minister Carlos Cuerpo, sees this meeting as key to strengthening European unity in the face of possible changes in U.S. policy. In addition, the forum will discuss innovations in wholesale payments and advances in the digital euro, reflecting its commitment to financial modernization. On the other hand, although outside the official agenda, France's fiscal deficit assessment will be highlighted, as it seeks to reduce it to 5.4% of GDP by 2025. The Eurogroup starts the year balancing internal and external priorities in a context of high global uncertainty. The Eurogroup meeting and Donald Trump's inauguration may have a significant impact on the EUR/USD pair, as both events generate uncertainty and expectations in financial markets. 1. Transatlantic relations and geopolitics: Trump's policies could influence U.S.-European trade and economic relations. If there is a perceived protectionist stance or increased tensions, this could weaken the euro against the dollar as investors seek safer assets in the US. 2. Technological innovations and the digital euro: Developments discussed at the Eurogroup, such as the digital euro, could build confidence in the modernization of the European financial system. This, in the medium and long term, could strengthen the euro if markets interpret that Europe is making progress in its financial competitiveness. 3. Fiscal policy in Europe: The lack of consensus on fiscal plans, as in the case of France, could raise concerns about economic stability in the Eurozone. This could put downward pressure on the euro if markets perceive that fiscal policies are not sufficiently sound. 4. Market sentiment: If the Eurogroup meeting shows unity and defines clear strategies in the face of global challenges, the euro could strengthen against the dollar. However, any sign of internal disagreement could be interpreted negatively, affecting the EUR/USD. Technical Analysis EUR/USD 1. Trend: Sideways consolidation with possible breakout. 2. Supports: 1.02603 and 1.1809 (key). 3. Resistances: 1.03303, 1.03524 (key). 4. Indicators: o RSI at 60.99% slight oversold. o MACD has crossed Signal softened at 2am. o 50 moving average has crossed with the 100 today at 6am. On track to cross with the 200 to indicate possible uptrend. 5. Scenarios: o On the upside: Breaking 1.0900 may lead to 1.1000. o Down: Losing 1.0800 points to 1.0730. 6. Key: In summary, the impact on EUR/USD will depend on expectations about Trump's policy and the markets' perception of the Eurogroup's ability to address economic and geopolitical challenges. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
by ActivTrades
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
Long
by ew-forecast