EURUSD trade ideas
EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 1.14035 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan!!!
Retraces happened as expected and then the price moved higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Euro dollar, $1.15 is a major technical resistance$1.15, a technical target that was expected
Since the beginning of the year, the euro dollar has established itself as the leader of the foreign exchange market (Forex). Up by more than 10%, it has outperformed all other major Forex pairs, and this upward movement has been built up in stages from a technical analysis point of view. The major chart target of $1.15 has now been reached, a pivotal technical threshold that dates back to 2020/2021.
Since the start of the year, there have been a series of bullish reversal signals on the EUR/USD rate, with a break of resistance at $1.06 in early March, a bullish reversal pattern reminiscent of autumn 2022, and a recently validated golden cross. Elliott wave analysis suggested an end to wave 2 in February, which was validated by price action and momentum indicators.
The $1.15 mark had been the technical target since the $1.06 mark was breached, and the market could now breathe a sigh of relief below this resistance.
Below is a chart showing the performance of the major Forex pairs since the beginning of the year.
Institutional traders were again the forerunners
But what gives even more weight to this move is the behavior of institutional traders. As is often the case, they were the first to sense the bullish reversal. The COT report published by the CFTC shows that, from the beginning of March, hedge funds swung into the long camp, with their net positions returning to positive territory. Shortly afterwards, asset managers followed suit, and the entire institutional net position went bullish by over 50%, historically a major bullish signal (see the second chart below).
Now the real question is: are they still buying at these levels? Do they strengthen? If they start to lighten up, it'll be a game-changer. But for now, support is there, even if the euro-dollar rate were to pause or retrace below $1.15 resistance in the short term.
Support at $1.10/$1.12 is the guarantor of the uptrend.
Below, chart showing weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the institutional positioning curve according to the CFTC's COT report
So, can we aim for $1.20 by the end of 2025?
From a purely technical point of view, it's not impossible, but we'd need to break above $1.15/$1.17 to activate such a target. And fundamentally, it won't happen by itself. A combination of factors is needed: a euro buoyed by German economic momentum, the end of the conflict in Ukraine, an accommodating but credible ECB, and above all, a weakened US dollar, which requires a healthy “FED put”, in other words, a FED that eases because disinflation is confirmed, and not under the constraint of a recession. We also need to keep a close eye on interest-rate spreads: a spread too favorable to the dollar would break the momentum. In short, $1.20 is technically conceivable between now and the end of the year, but conditional on a macroeconomic context that is not yet present.
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 - CONTINUEDEURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Order Block
- Daily Order Block
- 15' Order Block
- Break of 15' structure
Requirements
- Setup A) Continued 15' breaks of structure. Price action pull back to point of interest.
- Setup B) Lower time frame break of structure via current 15' order block for immediate short.
- Setup C) Tap entry post break of structure
FRGNT X
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD remains weak across the board. EUR, GBP & JPY Bullish.Not much action due to the extended market break and Easter weekend but I expect more USD selling across the board in the coming weeks ahead.
Long positions are sitting tight but two areas I am keeping an eye on are 1.1200 as a base support and 1.1500 as the resistance hurdle we need to clear in order to open up the gates to 1.2000+
GBP/USD is still a bullish case for me as the short term resistance may be cracking and I'm still expecting for the JPY to advance against the USD.
It's good to get a break from the market volatility but I surely expect it to resume in the coming week!
Good Luck & Trade Safe!
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1389
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1377
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD BUY FVG has been ate, the market target is now the order block, if the order block level is broken then we can have our tp2 on the next level as underlined in the diagram
Question mark on monthly resistance level for EUR/USDWith the US dollar (USD) poised for lower terrain, this could underpin the euro (EUR) and call into question the reliability of resistance at US$1.1457 on the EUR/USD. If the pair concludes north of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.0914 this month and above resistance-turned-possible support from US$1.1134, the pendulum may swing in favour of upside towards resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930. This area comprises an equal AB=CD resistance, horizontal resistance, and a gathering of Fibonacci ratios.
Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?Building a Strategy from Scratch: Where Do You Start?
Most traders, if we’re being honest, don’t really have a strategy , they have a setup. A signal. A hunch. Maybe something they picked up on a Discord server or stumbled upon in a late-night rabbit hole of YouTube and indicators.
But building an actual strategy? That’s a whole different story.
It’s not just about drawing lines or finding that one magical entry. It’s about putting together a system that has logic, structure, and purpose—even if it’s simple.
Let’s back up: What even is a strategy?
Think of it like this: a strategy isn’t just how you get into a trade. It’s how you decide when the market environment is right for your approach. It includes how you define risk, how you manage outcomes, how you respond to different conditions, and—yes—when you sit on your hands and do nothing.
It’s a full picture, not just a moment.
Step one: Know your environment
Before anything else, it helps to understand what kind of market conditions you’re even looking to work with.
Some traders focus on strong trends, others prefer when price is stuck in a range. Some look for volatility; others avoid it like it’s a scam email.
There’s no “better” option. But knowing which type of environment you want to observe can help guide every other decision—from what indicators you consider to how you track performance later.
Step two: Build a framework (not just a signal)
The entry is the flashy part—but it’s just one component.
A framework might include:
What timeframes you observe and why
Conditions or filters that matter to you (volume, volatility, session time)
What kind of tools help you confirm your idea (maybe moving averages, maybe VWAP, maybe none)
This is where context really matters. A signal is just data. A framework is how you read that data and decide what’s worth paying attention to.
Step three: Clarify what you track
Strategy development is just theory without feedback.
That doesn’t mean you need a million spreadsheets—but a good strategy invites reflection. You might want to ask:
What happens before things work out?
What happens when they don’t?
Is there a specific condition that tends to repeat?
You’d be surprised how much you can learn from reviewing a handful of examples with that lens.
Step four: Define your version of “success”
Not everyone’s running the same race. Some people value high win percentages. Others focus more on consistency. Some want long-term performance across different assets; others are content observing one pair or index with high precision.
What matters is knowing what you’re trying to achieve—so you can actually tell if your strategy supports it.
And if that changes over time? Totally normal.
One more thing: Complexity isn’t the goal
This part’s important.
There’s a weird belief that serious trading must be complicated. That strategies need five indicators and multiple confirmations and algorithms whispering secrets behind the scenes.
Truth is, many robust strategies are deceptively straightforward. What makes them work isn’t the complexity—it’s the consistency .
Bottom line: it’s your puzzle
There’s no universal blueprint here. That’s what makes strategy building feel frustrating… and freeing.
You’re not trying to “beat” the market. You’re just trying to make sense of it your way—with tools, logic, and structure that reflect how you see the world.
And if you're experimenting, testing, or just organizing your ideas into something clearer—you're already doing more than most.
So take your time. Sketch. Observe. Iterate.
That’s where the real strategy begins.
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EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101
Stop Loss: 1.12100
Target (TP1): 1.16950
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R):
Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips
Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips
R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward
📈 Technical Observations
Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control.
Support Zone (Entry Area):
The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support.
Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart).
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover.
Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Projected Move:
The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend.
Entering on the pullback allows for:
Tighter stop loss
Better entry price
Higher R:R ratio
⚠️ Risk Considerations
A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup.
Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
EURUSD: 4H holding and is pushing for the next High. The EURUSD pair is bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.651, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.500) as despite turning sideways since last Friday, the price remains over the 4H MA50 and inside the short term Channel Up. As long as those hold, we anticipate a new bullish wave of at least 5%, like the previous one. Aim for the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.1800).
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EURO - Price can rise a little more and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a falling channel, slowly declining and bouncing from support to resistance.
Then EUR made a breakout, exited the channel, and started forming a rising wedge with clear bullish acceleration.
After a breakout, the price continued to grow and reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern on the chart.
Recently Euro touched the resistance zone and showed a bounce from the local top near the wedge's upper edge.
Now it trades inside wedge formation and stays above support area near $1.1145 without strong momentum.
In my opinion, Euro can drop from current levels and reach $1.1150 zone as next support target soon.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USDEUR/USD Short based on my analysis I saw a break of structure to the down side that leaves OB & FVG. This confluence told me price is coming back there to fill more sell order.
EURUSD breakout holds: Is a bigger rally coming?EURUSD maintains its breakout and the chart suggests the price could head much higher. What are the next steps for traders looking to get involved in this bullish trend? What details should you pay attention to? Watch the video to find out.
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EUR/USD: Head, Shoulders, and a Whole Lotta Drama Oh, EUR/USD, you’re out here living your best life, hitting 1.14 on April 10, 2025, while the USD throws a tariff tantrum (Trump, you’re a mess 🤦♂️). A head and shoulders pattern is trying to gatecrash, with a left shoulder already set and the head still puffing up its ego. But the right shoulder? Nowhere in sight—drama TBD! 🎭
RSI’s giving “maybe chill” vibes after being overbought. 🥱 Central bank moves and trade talk chaos might clip your wings, and inflation fears aren’t helping. Will this H&S finish its glow-up, or are you heading for the stars? Traders, what’s your take—bearish breakup or EUR party? Drop your thoughts! ☕ #EURUSD #ForexDrama #TradingView
Euro may correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price started its movement inside a tight upward channel, gradually rising from lower levels. After a steady climb, the Euro broke out of the channel with a strong impulse, entering a buyer zone between 1.0870 - 1.0910 points. This zone acted as a strong base, and from there, the pair accelerated upward, eventually reaching the upper boundary of a wide horizontal range. After multiple rejections near the range’s top, the pair finally made a breakout and exited above resistance, confirming the shift in momentum. The growth didn’t stop there - price continued its rally, reaching the current support area between 1.1320 - 1.1280 points, which now aligns with a strong horizontal level at 1.1280 points. This area was successfully retested and defended by buyers. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above this support, forming a local correction after the recent impulse. As long as this structure holds and the support area remains intact, the bullish pressure is likely to resume. Given the breakout, the strong base from the buyer zone, and the bullish market structure, I expect the Euro to continue growing toward the 1.1550 level, which is marked as my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD strengthen strongly. Here's the latest trading strategyUSD credibility crisis deepens, EUS/USD strengthens strongly 💪.... (👉signals👉)
During Monday's trading session, it broke through 1.1550 and reached 1.1575, further hitting a three-and-a-half-year high, indicating that the bullish momentum remains strong. In the short term, the bullish sentiment will continue to dominate. In terms of operation, we should continue to wait for a pullback and then go long.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1450 - 1.1480
TP:1.1573-1.16000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
Wave 5 Completed – Time to Ride the Correction!"Structure Overview
Wave Count: You’ve marked the end of wave (5), indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
Bearish Setup:
Price rejected the orange supply zone post wave (5), suggesting bearish pressure.
Entry appears to be near the top of the small pullback into that zone.
Target is set near the larger demand zone around 1.12274.
Right-Side Box (Key Idea Summary):
Suggests a range-bound market, followed by:
A lower high into a new supply zone (brown box).
A sharp drop into a deeper demand zone at the base (green zone).
Key Price Levels:
Resistance/Supply: 1.14153, 1.15205
Support/Demand: 1.12274, lower box near 1.11400
Possible Strategy:
Sell setup: Look for confirmation candles or patterns near the orange/brown zones.
Target: Previous demand zone or lower if structure breaks.
SL: Above the orange/red zone to manage risk.
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View
LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15
Endogenous strength improving each month
Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models
USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT
📅 Seasonality
📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April
📉 USD Index bearish all month
🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30
📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support
Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation
Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long
📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424)
🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional)
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+
EURUSD 15m FORECASTHello guys, I hope you are well let me tell you that we will be selling now and our target will remain the OB Bullish
SMC Precision Short on EURUSD | SMT + Liquidity Grab = Clean Set📉 EURUSD 15M | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Trade Idea
🔍 Market Structure & Bias:
- High Timeframe POI (1H): Price tapped into a 1H Supply Zone, indicating potential short setups aligning with HTF bias.
- Break of Structure (BOS):Clean BOS to the downside confirms market intent shifting bearish.
🧠 Smart Money Logic :
- Liquidity Grab: Price swept liquidity above the equal highs and immediately rejected the 1H supply zone.
- Refinement: On the 15M, an entry block (OB) formed right after the SMT
- Mitigation: Price mitigated a lower timeframe demand and then gave an impulsive move down confirming intent.
- Entry: Entered short at the mitigation of the refined 15M supply zone.
- Stop Loss: Above the recent high (liquidity sweep).
- Target:
TP1:At the internal liquidity low (marked green @ 1.13152).
TP2:Final target at external liquidity below swing low @ 1.12637
Trade Details :
- 📍 Entry: 1.1372
- 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.1391
- 🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 1.13152
TP2: 1.12637
Thanks for your time..
