Has EUR/USD entered a medium-term correction?The EUR/USD has experienced a corrective pullback in a range-bound manner, touching the 1.14 level during the European session, approaching the Bollinger Band Midline support at 1.129. Earlier, the exchange rate retreated after encountering resistance near the 1.1450 key resistance level. Influenced by Euro-U.S. economic data divergences, the broader European market weakened, exerting downward pressure on the euro. Ahead of this week's ECB monetary policy meeting, the pair is likely to remain range-bound between the 1.1350 support and 1.1500 resistance levels.
If the ECB signals further monetary easing, the exchange rate may decline to test the 1.1350 support zone, with a potential extension of the downward move targeting the Bollinger Band Midline at 1.1292. Conversely, if the market deems the rate-cut expectations to be fully priced in and the ECB delivers a neutral policy stance, this could prompt the EUR/USD to retest the 1.1500 resistance level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.13500-1.13600
TP:1.13800-1.13900
EURUSD_W trade ideas
Bearish Momentum Builds on Hourly EUR/USD ChartThe EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a short-term trend reversal, with technical indicators turning decisively bearish on the H1 timeframe. After a sustained uptrend, the pair has broken below a key ascending trendline around the 1.04060 area.
As of 11:00 AM 6/3/2025, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1391, down from recent highs near 1.1450. The breakdown comes amid weakening momentum, as confirmed by multiple technical tools.
Indicators Confirm Bearish Shift
The MACD (12,26,9) and MACD (19,39,9) indicators have both printed bearish crossovers, with expanding negative histograms, suggesting downward momentum is strengthening.
Meanwhile, the Momentum (50) indicator hovers just above the neutral 100 level, offering a potential clue of ongoing weakness unless a sharp rebound occurs.
Bearish Trading Setup
My EUR/USD position is currently short with initial downside soft targets at 1.1350, followed by 1.1280 if bearish pressure accelerates. A break above 1.1445 would invalidate bearish setups and shift focus back to the upside.
Technical Summary:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Opened 6/3/2025 5:03 am USA Eastern at 1.14060 (MT4)
Trade Invalidation: 1.1445
Soft Targets: 1.1350, then 1.1280
Hard Target: None. Holding until MACD (19,39,9) reversal.
The technical landscape suggests traders should remain cautious on long positions unless the pair reclaims the 1.1445 resistance zone. Until then, the bears appear to be in control.
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The above is an analysis of what I see using my own technical setup and is not investment advice.
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY HAS ARRIVEDTeam,
I hardly trade EURUSD but the last time, we went long EURUSD when it was 1.03-1.04 - properly 2 months ago.
Now we decide to short, please follow the strategy given out in the chart.
Today, we have successfully hit target on SHORTING GOLD, you can check it yourself yesterday post. We do LIVE trading SHORT UK hit both target, Yesterday we went LONG USDCHF- you can check my post, target hit today as well.
and 15 minutes ago, we do LIVE trading and our soft target for EURUSD hit again.\
Now, we are reshort the EURUSD, please make sure follow the chart accordingly.
Once it hits the 1st target, bring stop loss to BE.
REMEMBER always care about how much you are taking the risk on each of your trade.
Euro will rise to seller zone and then drop to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. At first, price was moving inside a downward channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. Each rejection from the resistance line pushed the price lower, and the structure remained bearish until the price reached the buyer zone near 1.1210 - 1.1185 points. A strong rebound from this area triggered a breakout from the channel, signaling a shift in market dynamics. After this breakout, the trend reversed and price started forming an upward channel, with clean impulses and structured corrections. Bulls began stepping in from higher support levels, and the market started respecting the new rising support and resistance lines. Now the price is approaching the seller zone at 1.1435 - 1.1460 points and has already shown signs of rejection from that area. Given this setup, I believe EURUSD may start to decline and fall back toward the support line of the upward channel. That’s why I’ve placed my TP at 1.1325 points, which aligns with the channel's support structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURO - Price can boucne up of pennant, breaking resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, price entered to pennant pattern, where it at once bounced up from support line and reached $1.0850 level.
Next, it broke this level and continued to grow to resistance level, and when Euro reached it, price broke it.
But, after price reached resistance line of pennant, it started to decline and soon broke $1.1380 level one more time.
Price fell to support line of pennant and then turned around and, in a short time rose to resistance area.
After this, price fell to support line of pennant, but recently started to grow and now trades near resistance level.
I believe Euro can correct slightly and then launch upward toward $1.1600, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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EURUSD: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the H4 descending channel roof and reclaimed 1.130 support; the breakout is holding above the long-term blue trend-line, creating a fresh higher-low cluster.
● Momentum is compressing in a bull flag between 1.1420 resistance and 1.1330 support; flag depth projects to 1.1565-1.1600 near the violet channel cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Flash EZ CPI jumped to 2.6 % y/y vs 2.5 % est. while US ISM mfg. slid to 48.1, trimming Treasury yields and widening EUR-USD rate appeal.
✨ Summary
Long 1.133-1.136; flag break >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Trend risk flips on a close below 1.126.
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EUR/USD Market Analysis: Inflation Drop Spurs ECB Rate Cut ExpecTechnical Analysis
On the 1-hour chart, EUR/USD is trading near 1.1408, showing a corrective pullback after recent gains. The pair breached a rising trendline support around 1.1411 and is approaching key Fibonacci retracement levels derived from the recent swing low to high. Immediate support lies at the 100% Fibonacci level near 1.1368, with further downside targets at the 127.2% extension at 1.1399 and the 161.8% extension at 1.1385. The 61.8% retracement at 1.1427 now acts as a resistance barrier.
Otherwise, buyers have to reclaim the 1.14276 hurdle to alter the downward movement.
Conclusion
EUR/USD remains in a phase of consolidation shaped by diverging central bank policies and fresh inflation signals. The softer Eurozone inflation grants the ECB room to ease, which weighs on the euro, while the U.S. dollar finds support amid stable economic data and hawkish Fed outlooks. Traders should monitor the ECB meeting closely for guidance cues and watch technical levels at 1.1368 support and 1.1427 resistance for potential directional confirmation.
The interplay of these fundamental and technical factors will define the pair’s trajectory in the coming sessions.
EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.129 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.143 level.
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EURUSD Coiling pattern, energy build up support at 1.1520EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Trend Overview:
EUR/USD continues to exhibit bullish price action, supported by a rising trend structure. The recent intraday movement shows signs of sideways consolidation, suggesting a potential continuation pattern rather than reversal.
Key Support Level:
1.1520 – Marks the lower boundary of the previous consolidation range and serves as a critical pivot for directional bias.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias):
A corrective pullback into the 1.1520 zone followed by a bullish reversal would confirm continued upward momentum.
Upside targets include:
1.1664 – Near-term resistance.
1.1723 – Mid-term target.
1.1780 – Long-term resistance aligned with prior highs.
Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A decisive break and daily close below 1.1520 would invalidate the current bullish outlook.
This would signal a shift toward a deeper correction, targeting:
1.1460 – Initial retracement level.
1.1345 – Major support zone on a broader timeframe.
Conclusion:
The broader trend in EUR/USD remains bullish, with the 1.1520 level acting as a key support threshold. A bounce from this level would support continued upside movement toward 1.1780. However, a confirmed break below 1.1520 would shift momentum to the downside and expose the pair to a deeper retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead Tuesday, June 17 – Market Summary (Key Data & Events)
U.S. Focus:
Retail Sales (May) – Key consumer demand gauge; strong data may lift USD and yields.
Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization (May) – Insight into manufacturing health; impacts USD, rates.
Import/Export Price Index (May) – Inflation clues; affects Fed expectations.
NAHB Housing Index (June) – Early read on housing sentiment.
NY Fed Services Index, Business Inventories (April) – Lower-tier data.
5-Year TIPS Auction – Watch for inflation expectations via demand.
Global Data:
Germany & Eurozone ZEW Surveys (June) – Investor sentiment; EUR-sensitive.
Canada International Securities Transactions (April) – Tracks foreign capital flows; affects CAD.
Central Banks:
BoJ Decision – High impact for JPY, JGBs, and Nikkei; watch policy tone.
ECB Speakers (Villeroy, Centeno) – May guide rate expectations and EUR.
Trading Relevance:
FX: USD, JPY, EUR in focus.
Equities: Retail data, BoJ stance may drive risk appetite.
Rates: Data-heavy day for yields; TIPS auction key for inflation outlook.
Commodities: Industrial activity and prices affect demand/inflation views.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD) back to bearish Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Trading Idea Summary: EUR/USD Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Rejection at Resistance Zone
Resistance Level (~1.1600): Price has tested this level twice (red arrows) and faced strong rejection, suggesting it’s a firm supply zone.
This double top near resistance signals potential downside pressure.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Price action shows a break in short-term bullish momentum.
Bearish trend arrows and structure indicate expected continuation to the downside.
3. EMA Resistance
The 200 EMA (blue line) at 1.14356 is above the key support zone, acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
4. Target Levels
First Target: 1.13694 (Key Support Level)
Previous structure zone with strong historical price reaction.
Final Target: 1.12025 (Major Support Zone)
Larger demand area where buyers previously stepped in.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This analysis suggests a potential short setup with confirmations from:
Repeated resistance rejection
Bearish price structure and trend arrows
EMA as added confluence
Clear downside targets: 1.13694, then 1.12025
> Bearish bias remains valid unless price reclaims and closes above the resistance zone (~1.1600).
pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Market Review ( DXY & GOLD & EQUITIES & CURRENCIES ) 2025-06-17DXY:
Prediction: Continued bearish pressure, targeting your swing target of 95.00. The fundamental backdrop of potential Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty weighing on safe-haven demand for the dollar supports this outlook.
Recommendation: SELL on rallies. Traders should look for opportunities to short the DXY, utilizing resistance levels around 98.50-99.00 for entry. Long-term investors should consider reducing USD exposure in their portfolios.
GOLD:
Prediction: Strong bullish momentum to continue, with a high probability of reaching and exceeding your swing target of 3600. The confluence of safe-haven demand and a weakening dollar provides a powerful tailwind.
Recommendation: BUY on dips. Swing traders can look for pullbacks to key support levels for entry, while long-term investors should consider accumulating gold as a hedge against market volatility and currency depreciation.
EURUSD price Bullish moment The Euro continues to gain strength against the US Dollar within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel. After a period of consolidation between June 6–10, price broke out with strong bullish momentum and is now respecting the channel's structure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.16083 – 1.16419
🔺 Upper Target: 1.16832 – 1.17000
🔻 Immediate Support: 1.15256
🔻 Strong Support: 1.14949
📈 Bullish Scenario : If price holds above 1.15256, we may see a move toward 1.16083 and potentially a breakout to test 1.16419 and 1.16832.
📉 Bearish Scenario: A drop below 1.15256 and a break of the ascending trendline may expose 1.14949 as the next key support.
🧠 Market Insight: This setup favors a bullish continuation while within the channel, supported by recent strong upside moves. Traders should look for confirmation around 1.16083 before expecting a breakout.
✅ Plan your entries wisely. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
EURUSD awaits upcoming newsYesterday, EURUSD climbed back above 1,1600, testing the previous high.
Tomorrow, the market is anticipating the FED’s interest rate decision.
For now, the trend remains clear, with expectations of increased volatility.
Keep an eye out for a higher low and a breakout above the previous high.
EUR/USD Slips — Setup or Selloff?EUR/USD kicked off the week under pressure, hovering near 1.1540 during the Asian session. The drop comes as the U.S. dollar regains strength, driven by safe-haven demand amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
In times like these, the greenback shines — and riskier currencies like the euro naturally take a hit. If the situation escalates further, the pair could extend its decline in the near term.
But let’s flip the perspective: while some see risk, others see opportunity. This dip might just be the pullback that buyers have been waiting for — especially if the fundamentals shift or tensions ease. Timing, as always, is everything.
EURUSD RISE I believe EURUSD could possibly even rise to 1.18000 . Rejecting sell side pressure no 4hr closure to the downside and break out of liquidity trends . If I continue to see big rejection candles and lack of closure with posturing to the upside I will enter for this long position and scale in positions .
Euro Testing Significant Resistance Level! Hey Traders so today was watching Euro it is in strong uptrend confirmed with my favorite 3 bar trendline. So normally best way to trade the trend is buy when it pulls back to the trendline. I like to use a candle that might hold support around 1.1457 but we also have strong high at 1.576
So aggressive entry would be to buy at that pullback 1.1457-1.1475 wide stop loss below support.
Conservative would be wait for break above that 1.576 high proving market wants to move higher then wait for it to come back and test that level again on pullback and buy at 1.576
If your bearish I don't think it's good to short right now with uptrend showing signs of strength. I would wait until market trades below trendline before considering taking bearish position.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford