EURUSD_W trade ideas
EURUSD RISE I believe EURUSD could possibly even rise to 1.18000 . Rejecting sell side pressure no 4hr closure to the downside and break out of liquidity trends . If I continue to see big rejection candles and lack of closure with posturing to the upside I will enter for this long position and scale in positions .
Euro Testing Significant Resistance Level! Hey Traders so today was watching Euro it is in strong uptrend confirmed with my favorite 3 bar trendline. So normally best way to trade the trend is buy when it pulls back to the trendline. I like to use a candle that might hold support around 1.1457 but we also have strong high at 1.576
So aggressive entry would be to buy at that pullback 1.1457-1.1475 wide stop loss below support.
Conservative would be wait for break above that 1.576 high proving market wants to move higher then wait for it to come back and test that level again on pullback and buy at 1.576
If your bearish I don't think it's good to short right now with uptrend showing signs of strength. I would wait until market trades below trendline before considering taking bearish position.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Long trade
🟢 EURUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.15748
Take Profit: 1.16144 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 1.15581 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.29
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This buyside trade was executed after price swept the sell-side high from Monday, 21st April 2025, triggering liquidity above the previous swing, and then sharply rejecting back into structure. The reaction occurred above a 1Hr Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicative of a directional bias.
Breaking: Euro's Momentum Could Trigger $1.19 Surge
Current Price: $1.1546
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $1.1700
- T2 = $1.1900
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.1400
- S2 = $1.1300
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro trading.
**Key Insights:**
The Euro has shown strong resilience despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The European Central Bank (ECB)'s signaling of a more neutral stance regarding rate hikes has bolstered confidence in the currency. Furthermore, economic challenges within the Eurozone—such as weaker industrial output and shrinking trade surpluses—present medium-term hurdles but align with structural optimism for strategic positions in EUR/USD. Traders are closely watching key support levels as bullish momentum begins to gain traction.
The weakening U.S. dollar, alongside dovish Federal Reserve messaging, plays into Euro strength on the back of favorable interest rate differentials. Additionally, geopolitical factors such as stability concerns surrounding emerging market economies have directed investor interest toward safer currencies like the Euro.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past week, EUR/USD has hovered around $1.1546 with limited volatility, reflecting strong support levels amidst subdued trading activity. Despite facing negative economic data on industrial production (-2.6% m/m) and trade surplus contraction (€30B to €10B), the pair continues to indicate upside potential fueled by positive speculative sentiment and ECB policy interpretation. Seasonal trends suggest historical Euro strength in mid-year trading windows.
**Expert Analysis:**
Forex analysts widely express bullish sentiment on EUR/USD, supported by ECB communication and diminishing macroeconomic risks. Several technical setups are aligning with long-term resistance breaks near $1.17, with momentum indicators signaling high buying interest. Many see pullback opportunities to nearby support levels ($1.1400 - $1.1300) as high-value entry points for future gains.
On the technical front, the MACD shows a bullish crossover while the RSI remains in moderate territory, suggesting room for potential upside moves without overbuy signals. The Euro's price action momentum also suggests increased trading volume near critical levels, indicating strengthening trend formation.
**News Impact:**
Upcoming ECB speeches, coupled with Eurozone CPI releases, could solidify expectations on inflation and monetary positioning—factors likely to increase Euro demand. Additionally, tariff announcements targeting electric vehicle imports and other related trade dynamics are projected to strengthen Euro-backed industry sentiment. Recent repatriation of global investment capital into Euro-dominated equities adds to structural Forex tailwinds.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Traders should consider taking a bullish stance on the Euro, supported by strong technical indicators and positive macro factors. Entry near current price levels offers favorable risk-reward metrics, with stop-loss placements below $1.1400 providing downside protection. Elevated resistance levels at $1.1700 and $1.1900 manifest as achievable targets in the short- to medium-term horizon, with sustained caution on event-driven volatility.
EURUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.157.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.165 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD is moving within the 1.14865 - 1.16330 range👀 Possible scenario:
The euro fell 0.28% on June 13, snapping a four-day winning streak against the U.S. dollar as investors turned to safe-haven assets amid rising Middle East tensions. Despite the pullback, the euro remains on track for a second straight weekly gain, supported by eurozone resilience and shifting U.S. rate expectations. Uncertainty over U.S. trade policy also pressured the dollar. President Trump’s tariff threats rattled markets, though Treasury Secretary Bessent hinted at a possible extension of the current moratorium.
Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data added to dollar weakness, reinforcing bets on Fed rate cuts. With no key data on June 16, the EUR/USD is likely to stay range-bound. Watch support at 1.14865 and resistance at 1.16330.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.14865
Resistance level is located at 1.16330
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500.
● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480.
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EurUsd Daily Profile and expectation for New YorkMy Monday Protocol normally is to sit on my hands and see how Monday prints and trade from Tuesday onwards. With FOMC coming Wednesday, I'm allowed to deviate from this because Monday can be trending to "get somewhere in a hurry", trap Traders and go the other way during FOMC.
When I now look at the Market I see that London kept Asia Lows in tact and expanded higher leaving Failure Swings. Now consolidating which is normally a continuation signature... But then it should first sweep the consolidation Low and make a Reversal Signature. When we sweep or run the Consolidation High first, then the Long idea is not valid anymore.
Im watching the FVG below and see how we trade there and then decide if a Long is in play... I don't want to lose the Equilibruim Level of London Session otherwise the Failure Swings below the Market are the target.
Bottom Line, no hard Bias because its Monday. Favoring the Bullish side with FOMC on the Agenda this week, but not in a hurry to trade.
Hope you appreciate my content 👍
Happy Hunting, Stay Safe!
Warm Regards,
Mariinus
EURUSD 4H: Bullish Trend & Key Support TestChart Overview:
The EURUSD 4-hour chart displays a clear bullish bias, trading within a well-defined ascending channel. After making new highs, price is now retracing to test crucial support, presenting a potential trend continuation opportunity.
Trend & Structure:
Since April, EURUSD has maintained a strong uptrend, consistently respecting an ascending channel. An early May correction saw an "internal break," but a subsequent "MSS" (Market Structure Shift) confirmed the bullish trend's resumption, pushing price to a new local high at 1.16321 and above.
Current Price Action & Immediate Support:
Price is currently undergoing a healthy retracement from its recent peak. The primary focus is the "Immediate Support Area" between 1.14416 and 1.14663. This zone is significant due to a confluence of factors:
The 0.5 & 0.618(Golden Ratio) and 0.71 Fibonacci retracement levels of the latest bullish swing.
Prior resistance that has potentially flipped into support. The lower boundary of the overarching ascending channel. Below this, a "Key Level" around 1.1100-1.1150 is identified as a deeper, secondary support.
Potential Scenarios & Outlook:
Bullish Continuation: A strong bounce and confirmation from the "Immediate Support Area" would signal renewed buying pressure. This would likely see price target the recent high (1.16321) and the upper channel boundary, resuming the uptrend.
Bearish Rejection: A decisive break down below the "Immediate Support Area" and the ascending channel's lower boundary would invalidate the immediate bullish setup, potentially leading to a test of the "Key Level."
Conclusion:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point within its ongoing bullish trend. Traders should closely monitor price action at the "Immediate Support Area." A successful hold and rebound here would reinforce the bullish outlook, while a clear break below would warrant caution and re-evaluation.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Bullish Trend Continuation I’m expecting a bullish continuation after price mitigates the newly formed 4H demand zone. The zone was created after a strong impulsive move, and I’ll be looking for LTF confirmation to go long, targeting the recent 4H high and daily liquidity above. Invalidation is a clean break below the zone.
Still keeping a close eye on a potential USD pop...Although the EUR/USD and GBP/USD popped higher late last week, I'm still keeping a close eye to stay short on the EUR/USD considering the bearish rising broadening pattern coupled with a yearly pivot point inter-median level and negative divergence on the MACD. This is all based on the daily chart.
Many factors are in play right now with what's going on between Israel and Iran along with FOMC this week and Tariffs still in play.
On a purely technical analysis point of view, I potentially expect a bullish retracement in the USD while remaining long term bearish across the board.
we'll see how this one develops.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EUR/USD Retesting Broken Resistance
EUR/USD has recently broken above the ascending channel and is now retesting the previous breakout zone between 1.15205 and 1.15325. This area may act as new support.
If the level holds, we may see continuation toward 1.15701, with potential extension to 1.16309 if bullish momentum continues.
A confirmed break back below 1.1520 would invalidate the bullish idea and suggest a false breakout.
🔹 Support zone (retest): 1.15205 – 1.15325
🔹 Target 1: 1.15701
🔹 Target 2: 1.16309
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Structure: Retest of breakout level
EURUSD - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For this long off 1.1193 targeting 1.1909 vs. a retrace back under 1.1193, I’d peg the probabilities roughly as:
Outcome Probability
Rally above 1.1909 first ~75%
Drop below 1.1193 first ~25%
Rationale
Bullish breakout: EUR/USD has convincingly flipped 1.115–1.120 into support and cleared the 1.15–1.16 ceiling with follow‐through.
Momentum: Daily candles show clean advances with little upper‐wick rejection; RSI/MACD remain in bullish territory without overbought exhaustion.
Bear case stretch: To return under 1.1193, price would need to wipe out the entire breakout and break multiple support layers (1.1550, 1.1400, 1.1200) — a lower‐probability scenario absent a major macro shock.
eurusd 1hEURUSD – 1H Demand Zone (Outside the Range)
EURUSD is currently trading within a clear consolidation range. However, a 1H demand zone has formed outside the current range, indicating potential for a breakout-retest scenario. This demand lies below the consolidation structure, making it a set-and-forget style entry if price sweeps liquidity and returns to this zone.
Long IdeaWhen this occurs, it is not uncommon to see price approach the line, and
"throw a spike" over the line. At other times price might approach but not
quite reach the previous high or low. This tells you that the current price is
already on the correct side. You will therefore expect the price to "bounce
down” or “bounce up" as the case may be. This will most often occur
around the time of the London open. You should recall that this is likely to
be part of the market makers aim of keeping traders trapped. If they've
already made a high for instance, and there are positions trapped here then
they will not want to push price above it again but will then approach it,
perhaps even spike with an enlarged spread and pull away again.
Caught EU clean today. Waited patiently for that textbook 30M liquidity sweep, then stalked the LTF entry like a sniper. No rushing—just letting price do its thing until it stopped running. Then we pounced. 💥
Execution was sharp. Setup was smooth.
This is how we trade over here—precision, patience, and purpose.
📉 Stay tuned for the breakdown and upcoming analysis.
Would love to hear y’all thoughts on this one 👀👇
#SMC #Forex #InducementKing #EUTrade #SmartMoneyFlow
Bless Trading!