EUR/USD retracement line and go longHigh volumes before the start of a fair value gap at 1.1438 area. When price approaches I shall short and reverse into a long as the level is hit.
EURUSD_W trade ideas
EURUSD long 30m*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
# EURUSD H1 MJ MSS WITH LIQUIDITY # EURUSD H1 MJ MSS WITH LIQUIDITY
~ EU MSS in H1 , in LTF with valid MSS Conformation then short entry with little pips of SL and long TP.....
~ 1st TP - @ 1.11760
~ 2ns TP - @ 1.10000
~ 3rd TP - @ 1.07780
Be Patient's on Your Trade
~~* KGB Priyabrta Behera *~~
* ICT & Advance Mapping SMC Trader *
EURUSD Weekly Key Level + Liquidity SweepPrice swept weekly high, watching for possible rejection around 1.16921
EURUSD - Long from hereDue to having internal Breaks of Structure to the upside here I have entered a long position as it is a reasonable area to potentially get long as it is a strong area of demand.
I'm aware that there isn't much liquidity built up in and around this area before hitting the demand but its a risk im willing to take as price may just be filling the FVG from all the buying pressure that was in the market yesterday
Any questions please message
Why Most Traders Fail Trading Psychology BreakdownA visual summary of common trading mistakes and how a structured mindset can change your execution. Shared for educational purposes only.
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish SetupA new SELL signal has emerged on the EUR/USD chart, signaling potential downward movement.
SELL Signal: Activated at 1.16500 after price tapped into a supply zone and rejected from a weak high, indicating a potential short-term reversal.
TP Zones:
TP1: 1.14881
TP2: 1.14284
Final TP: 1.13688
This setup offers a potential profit range of 160 to 280 pips.
Market Structure: Price is reacting strongly from the supply area and failing to break the weak high. With bearish momentum building, price may continue down toward the imbalance and demand zones.
Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 13, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention today:
12:00 EET. EUR - Foreign trade balance
17:00 EET. USD - University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
EURUSD :
EUR/USD interrupted its four-day winning streak, retreating from 1.16310, its highest level since October 2021, and is currently trading around 1.15300 in Asian hours on Friday. The pair is depreciating as the US dollar (USD) gains support as traders shift to increased demand for safe-haven assets due to rising tensions in the Middle East.
Israel has attacked dozens of targets across Iran to eliminate its nuclear programme. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel could face a missile and drone strike after Israel's pre-emptive strike on Iran. Katz declared a special state of emergency in the country, Axios reports.
In addition, White House Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a statement: ‘Tonight, Israel took unilateral action against Iran. We are not participating in strikes against Iran, and our top priority is to protect American troops in the region.’ ‘President Trump and the administration have taken all necessary measures to protect our troops and are in close contact with our regional partners.’ ‘Let me be clear: Iran should not target US interests or personnel,’ Rubio added.
However, the decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited, as the US dollar (USD) may face difficulties after US President Donald Trump's new threat to extend steel tariffs from 23 June to imported ‘steel-derived products’ such as household appliances, e.g. dishwashers, washing machines, refrigerators, etc. The tariffs were initially introduced in March at 25% and then doubled to 50% for most countries. This is the second time that the scope of the duties has been expanded.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15300, SL 1.15500, TP 1.14400
Euro hits 2025 high as ECB signals end to cuts | FX ResearchThe US dollar has extended declines in the aftermath of Wednesday's softer US CPI print. Interestingly enough, the data has failed to inspire much confidence in risk assets—presumably due to distractions around the escalation in geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
President Trump's push for unilateral tariffs within two weeks ahead of the July 9th deadline has also added pressure, while Japan's PMIA noted persistent trade tensions with the US.
The FX market has also been selling US dollars due to tariff-related risks, with the euro outperforming. The euro has not only extended to a fresh yearly high but has traded up to its highest level against the dollar since October 2021.
ECB officials, including Schnabel and Lagarde, signaling that interest rate cuts may soon end, has only added to the euro bid.
Despite weak UK data, including a negative 0.3% GDP drop, the pound has also been better bid.
Upcoming US producer prices and jobless claims data are now in focus.
EURUSD Sell around 1.1600The Euro has seen a large rise in 2025 due to US policy uncertainty, but yield curve differentials favor the USD. I expect the USD to strengthen as EU and other countries aka SNB go towards NIRP and EU investors lose interest in EUR as a safer haven currency.
- ERAZ
EURUSD broke the Resistance level 1.14960 👀 Possible scenario:
The euro rose 0.56% against the dollar on June 11 after President Trump signaled flexibility in trade talks, suggesting a possible delay to the July 8 tariff deadline. This eased market fears of escalating tensions.
Meanwhile, growing expectations of a Fed rate cut, driven by soft data and dovish comments, added pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for alternative currencies. Markets now eye the June 12 U.S. PPI report (expected +0.1% core). A surprise uptick could push EUR/USD toward the 1.15780 level.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.13640
Resistance level is located at 1.16440
EUR/USD long (Daily chart) - Trend line indicating an uptrend
- Fib tool: Buy zone aligns with my fib tool
- Demand zone: The demand zone is lining up with previous rejections. I believe a retracement will happen
- Market structure - Clear as day on the daily timeframe
Judas Swing Monday Recap – Sticking to the Plan Pays 09/06/2025In case you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy, here’s the strategy in a nutshell:
It’s a classic price manipulation strategy where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), usually after the 00:00–08:30 EST window, before sharply reversing. This tactic is often used by smart money to trap retail traders around key highs/lows, followed by a reversal into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) for entry confirmation.
We began Monday spotting a textbook Judas Swing on FX:EURUSD which was our first trade of the day. Price took out session lows, grabbing liquidity, then gave us a break of structure to the upside and a clean reversal into the FVG.
We entered long with our stop loss below the manipulation low. The trade moved nicely into profit and came within points of our target but just as we were anticipating a clean 1:2, price stalled and reversed aggressively, stopping us out.
Trade Outcome: Loss
Risk-Reward: -1%
Lesson: Even the most valid setups will sometimes fail
The next Judas swing setup came on $GBPUSD. Price swept the low of the zone, then gave a break of structure, with price retracing into the FVG. We entered long, placing the stop loss 10 pips below entry price.
The trade rallied hard post-entry, hitting our target with minimal drawdown
Trade Outcome: Win
Risk-Reward: +2%
This is why we take every valid setup. The win here offset the earlier FX:EURUSD loss, keeping us net even on the day at this point
The final Judas swing setup on Monday was on OANDA:AUDUSD , and it couldn’t have been cleaner. After a strong sweep of previous lows, price reversed and broke structure convincingly. An FVG formed and price retraced into it beautifully.
We entered long, placing the stop below the liquidity sweep. Price then rallied steadily throughout the session, and retraced almost hitting our stop loss but turned around and hit our 1:2 target.
Trade Outcome: Win
Risk-Reward: +2%
Despite starting the day with a loss, staying disciplined and trading all valid Judas setups left us with:
1 loss ( FX:EURUSD -1%)
2 wins ( FX:GBPUSD +2%, OANDA:AUDUSD +2%)
Net Gain: +3R
This is why a rules-based approach beats emotional trading. Stick to the process, and the edge takes care of the rest.
EU 6/11/25 NYPre-Analysis
1) Session Break (NY& L took out A)
2) Expecting? (Trend)
3) High Volume located at (Breach)
4) Leg being traded? (2)
5) Market digestion? (15min)
6) Edge? (S1) higher TF is (1hr)
7) Edge Specifics? (S1)
8) Continuation
9) Micro Timeframe (5min)
10) Class (A )
EURUSD LongHere is our EUR USD Signal that we posted
As you can see it's running nicely at 258 Pips.
EURUSD Buy
📊Entry: 1.13538
⚠️SL: 1.12594
✔️TP1: 1.14732
✔️TP2: 1.16256
✔️TP3: 1.18194
We have 5 big swing trades running at present, all of which comes from our trading strategy that is solely based on pure maths. So far in 2025 we have hit 1 stop loss from over 100 trades.
My point to this post is to encourage you all to keep trying, don't give up. It took us over 2 years to perfect this strategy, and we know it works.
If you want any help just ask me, and I will help you.
#AN006 Forex: Dollar, Yen and Emerging Currencies Collapse
Hello, I'm Forex trader Andrea Russo, creator of the SwipeUP Elite FX Method that analyzes the market like a Hedge Fund. Today I want to talk to you about the most important economic news of the last few hours and how these are influencing, in real time, the global currency market.
## 🔜 US inflation: is the Fed heading for a cut?
The CPI data released yesterday surprised the markets: annual core inflation stopped at +2.8% while the general figure stood at +2.4%, below expectations. This inflationary cooling immediately triggered speculation about a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve as early as September. The Dollar Index (DXY) reacted negatively, losing ground and touching the lowest levels since April.
### Forex Impact:
* The dollar weakens across the board.
* EUR/USD tested the 1.15 area
* GBP, JPY and CHF strengthened in counter-balance.
## 🌐 US-China trade tensions: half-way deals
Over the past 24 hours, President Trump spoke of "partial progress" in talks with China on tariffs and rare metals. However, the lack of a definitive deal keeps global uncertainty high. Investors are weighing the risk of a new escalation, especially in strategic sectors such as technology and raw materials.
### Forex impact:
* AUD and NZD show high volatility.
* JPY benefits as a safe haven currency.
* Commodity currencies remain reactive to geopolitical developments.
## 📉 ECB: rate cut and expansionary forward guidance
The European Central Bank has cut interest rates to 2%, marking the eighth consecutive cut. The governor opened up to further expansionary measures in the third quarter, should inflation fail to rebound towards the 2% target.
### FX Impact:
* The euro remains under pressure, despite the dollar weakness.
* EUR/CHF in congestion.
* EUR/USD in a sideways phase after the initial rally.
## 🚗 Emerging Markets: New Cycle of Strength
According to the World Bank, growth in emerging markets will slow to 3.8% in 2025. However, currencies such as the Brazilian real (BRL) and the Mexican peso (MXN) have gained momentum thanks to the dollar weakness and speculative inflows on carry trades.
### FX Impact:
* BRL and MXN strengthen.
* Long-term opportunities on USD/EM crosses.
* Beware of political risks and local inflation.
## ⛽ Oil rally: domino effect on currencies
Oil prices rose this week: WTI hit +6%, while Brent marked +4%. The rally was triggered by improvements in US-China relations and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
### Forex Impact:
* Strengthening CAD and NOK.
* EUR and JPY penalized as net importers.
* Correlation opportunities on USD/CAD.
## 🔄 Forex Outlook: what to expect now
The market has entered a phase of **macro realignment**:
* The dollar is in structural correction.
* The euro is struggling between ECB stimulus and USD weakness.
* Safe haven currencies (JPY, CHF) remain strong.
* Emerging markets and commodity currencies show momentum.
In the short term, the key will be the evolution of US data (PPI, retail sales) and new statements from the Fed.
Keep following me for updates and operational analysis always based on real data and institutional methodology.
EURUSD Targeting 1.19?Euro is in a bullish trend from the past months, and doesn't look like it want to stop now. Euro is strong and dollar is always more weak. I expect a continuation of the rally here, targeting 1.19 in the coming months, probably till September/October. A good buy point for swing traders
EURUSD(20250612) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1463
Support and resistance levels:
1.1556
1.1521
1.1499
1.1427
1.1404
1.1369
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1499, consider buying in, and the first target price is 1.1521
If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, and the first target price is 1.1427
POST NEWS📰 CPI News-Based Trade | EUR/USD Buy
We entered a long position on EUR/USD following the release of the US CPI data, which showed a significant deviation from expectations:
Actual CPI m/m: 0.2% below forecast
This meets our market-moving threshold of ±0.2%, indicating potential USD weakness
Weak CPI data reduces Fed rate hike expectations, leading to dollar depreciation
📈 Trade Setup:
Direction: Buy EUR/USD
Entry Reason: CPI m/m came in lower than forecast, signaling USD weakness
Strategy: News-based momentum trade
Stop Loss: 1.5 × 15-min ATR
Take Profit: 2 × ATR (risk-reward ~1:1.33)
🎯 Objective: Catch the post-news directional move based on fundamental weakness in USD. ATR-based risk management ensures volatility-adjusted levels.
EURUSD SNIPER Smart Money
🎯 EUR/USD – Sniper Smart Money Setup | June 11, 2025
By Talion-Promosale
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1H / 4H
Bias: Bullish (Smart Money Shift in Play)
Current Price: ~1.1435
🔍 Smart Money Breakdown:
Market Structure:
Internal structure has shifted bullish after a break of structure (BOS) at 1.1415.
Last significant swing low at 1.1380 has been liquidity swept (sell-side taken).
Now in a reaccumulation phase with bullish intent.
Liquidity Pools:
Resting buy-side liquidity above equal highs at 1.1460–1.1470
Clean sell-side liquidity was taken below 1.1380 (classic manipulation sweep)
Order Blocks (OB):
1H Bullish OB at 1.1405–1.1420
Price is currently reacting from this OB with displacement and market structure shift
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Imbalance (FVG) from 1.1430 to 1.1450
Potential short retracement into OB zone, before filling imbalance and expansion
🎯 Sniper Entry Plan:
📌 Long Setup:
Entry: 1.1420 (inside 1H OB)
Stop Loss: 1.1395 (below OB)
TP1: 1.1460 (liquidity grab)
TP2: 1.1500–1.1520 (premium array zone)
Risk: 1:2 to 1:3
Entry confirmation tools:
Displacement candle from OB
BOS after mitigation
RSI divergence confirmation optional
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,🏂 Smart Note from Talion-Promosale:
This is a classic Sniper-style setup:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ OB mitigation
✅ Break of structure
✅ FVG to be filled
I'm anticipating EUR/USD to run the highs above 1.1460 once 1.1420 is confirmed as a valid mitigation point.
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📈 Remember: Wait for confirmation. Let price come to your level. The sniper doesn’t chase — he waits. 🥷
#SmartMoney #EURUSD #SniperTrading #OrderBlock #LiquiditySweep #FVG #PriceAction #Forex #TalionPromosale #ICTStyle #TradingView
Talion-promosale
