EURUSD_W trade ideas
EUR USD Technical Analysis.This chart shows the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Current Price: 1.13373
Recent Trend: The price recently dropped and is now consolidating.
Highlighted Zones:
Support Zone (Bottom): Around the 1.12750–1.13200 range, marked by a shaded area where price previously bounced.
Resistance Zone (Top): Around the 1.13700–1.14100 range, also shaded, where the price previously faced resistance.
Forecast/Trade Idea:
A bullish reversal is anticipated from the current level.
The chart suggests a potential "cup and handle" or inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Target: 1.13805 (noted with a bullseye icon).
Path: The green arrow suggests an upward move toward the target zone.
This is a technical bullish setup anticipating a move upward to retest the resistance zone near 1.13805. The analysis assumes support will hold and momentum will shift upward.
Smart Money waits for the retracement, not the breakout.” TradingView chart for EUR/USD (30-minute )
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Breakdown:
🟨 Bullish Zone (Demand)
Marked in yellow, this is the strong demand zone where price recently reversed.
This zone aligns with a potential order block or a liquidity grab.
🟩 Green Box (Potential Re-entry Zone)
This is your optimal trade entry (OTE) zone.
Price is expected to retrace to this zone after facing resistance at the red supply zone.
It aligns with the discount level (below 50% of recent move).
🟥 Red Box (Supply Zone / POI)
Price is currently reacting to this zone.
This may be a short-term rejection point leading to the expected retracement.
🟦 Blue Box (Higher-Timeframe POI / Supply)
A major target zone likely acting as liquidity above swing highs.
If price breaks and holds above red zone, this is the next target for longs.
🟩 Light Green Box (Final Target / Weekly Level)
Likely a weekly supply level or final target for a full bullish expansion.
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📈 Projection (Dashed Arrows):
1. Short-Term Bearish Move: Price dips into green demand zone.
2. Long Entry from Demand: Potential bullish continuation from green zone to break above red.
3. Target Blue Supply: If red is broken, price will head to the blue zone next.
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Highlight entry point near green box for 1:3+ RR.
Show retracement plan instead of immediate breakout.
Emphasize liquidity hunt at red zone before continuation.
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Would you like me to do analysis of. Other pair , mention in comments,🖇️
EURUSD: Bullish Megaphone unfolds its new bullish wave.EURUSD just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.015, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 31.789) as it maintains a sustainable short term uptrend through a Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MA50 has assumed the role of the medium term Support and the 3rd bullish wave is already under way. We expect it to repeat at least the previous +2.59% wave, having a TP = 1.14950.
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EURUSD SHORT IDEALooking to take a sell position on EURUSD. Price has broken market structure that was in an uptrend and is now returning to an OrderBlock that I’ve refined from the 4h timeframe to the 1hr timeframe. As always I’ll be keeping a close eye for confirmation that price wants to go down.
What are your thoughts on this pair?
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.13626 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.13164.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
#AN003 News of the Week and Impact on Forex
Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo, and today I present to you a detailed analysis of the most important news of the week (26–29 May 2025) and their real impact on the Forex market, with strategic observations to immediately include in your trading plan.
In this article we will examine the 7 most significant macroeconomic and geopolitical events that have affected the main currency pairs, evaluating the effect on USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, AUD and emerging currencies. Everything is filtered according to the SwipeUP v9 Elite FX model, based on institutional data, real sentiment and candle-by-candle simulations.
📌 1. USA: Court stops Trump Tariffs
One of the most relevant news of the week comes from the United States: a federal court has blocked the application of Donald Trump's trade tariffs, declaring them illegitimate. This event has caused an immediate reaction in the currency markets.
🔍 Forex Impact:
The US Dollar (USD) had an initial technical bounce, but then lost strength in the European session.
Pairs such as EUR/USD and USD/JPY showed strong reactivity. EUR/USD was rejected from 1.1250, while USD/JPY found support.
📊 Strategic Implications:
Risk perceptions on the greenback are rising.
Interest in alternative safe haven currencies such as gold and the Swiss franc is growing.
📌 2. US Q1 GDP Downward
US Q1 GDP was revised down from -0.1% to -0.2%, confirming a mild economic contraction.
🔍 Forex Impact:
The dollar lost momentum, reinforcing the narrative of a possible rate cut.
EUR/USD could consolidate above 1.1200 ahead of stronger EU PMI data.
📊 Key Pairs:
EUR/USD long on confirmation of 1.1200 support.
Possible breakout on AUD/USD if US data continues to disappoint.
📌 3. US Inventories and Oil Rebound: CAD on the Boost
US crude inventories fell more than expected, and WTI price is back above $79.
🔍 FX Impact:
CAD strengthens on fundamental and intermarket basis.
Potential short on USD/CAD with target area 1.3550.
📌 4. UK: Very Strong Data and Resilient GBP
UK macro data surprised to the upside: services PMI and core inflation stable, supporting the British pound.
🔍 Forex Impact:
GBP/USD above 1.2700 with room for expansion.
EUR/GBP rejected by 0.8600: potential for bearish continuation.
📌 5. Forex Options Expirations and Expected Volatility
Thursday and Friday are crowded with large option expirations, which can act as price magnets.
📍 Levels to Watch:
EUR/USD: 1.1200 and 1.1250 → potential for spikes or rejections.
USD/JPY: 145.00 → technical and options confluence.
AUD/USD: 0.6650 key zone with volumes in compression.
📊 Trading advice: avoid new entries near option levels without confirmation of real breakout.
📌 6. Nvidia and US Tech Rally: Anti-Yen Effect
Nvidia’s results have boosted the entire US tech sector, causing a wave of risk-on.
🔍 Impact on FX:
JPY and CHF weak on low interest in safe-haven assets.
Great setups on AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY, EUR/CHF long.
📌 7. China: PMI Above 50, Support for AUD/NZD
Chinese manufacturing PMI data has returned above 50, signaling expansion.
🔍 Impact on FX:
AUD and NZD find technical and macro support.
Watch out for AUD/CHF, where macro divergences could generate a bearish reversal.
🧠 Forex Trading Strategy for the Next Week
✅ Strong Currencies:
CAD (oil + risk-on sentiment)
GBP (macro data + technical momentum)
EUR (resilience on USD and supports held)
❌ Weak Currencies:
USD (negative GDP, political uncertainty)
JPY (no safe haven demand)
AUD (potentially vulnerable on risk-on downside)
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal in Motion, Fair Value Gap Draws Price EURUSD has recently reacted strongly to a major resistance zone, where price previously stalled and reversed in the past. After running into this area again, we saw a sharp and immediate rejection, which confirms the presence of aggressive selling pressure. This rejection was not just a weak pullback, but a strong displacement candle that shows real intent from institutional participants.
This kind of price action is typically a sign that the market has found a short-term top, and will now look to rebalance lower, especially if there are inefficiencies left behind during the last move up. With the rejection now confirmed and price starting to rotate lower, the odds increase that we see a deeper retracement in the coming sessions.
Resistance Reaction and Liquidity Story
The price reached into a well-defined supply area and rejected cleanly. This level was likely filled with buy-side liquidity from breakout traders and late longs, which institutions needed in order to fill their sell orders. After sweeping above the previous highs and triggering breakout entries, price snapped back below, creating a shift in short-term structure.
That move also created a market imbalance, a price inefficiency that the market tends to come back and correct. With bullish liquidity absorbed at the highs, price is now looking for sell-side liquidity, which can typically be found below the previous higher lows and inside unfilled value areas.
Fair Value Gap and Fibonacci Confluence
Below the current market, we have a clean fair value gap that was left behind during the most recent impulsive bullish move. What makes this area even more attractive is that it overlaps perfectly with the golden pocket zone, the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence creates a high-probability target area, not just because of the imbalance, but also because this level acts as a common retracement zone where institutional traders often look to reaccumulate or exit short-term positions.
This area is also likely to hold resting liquidity from traders who placed stop losses under recent higher lows. All these factors combined make the fair value gap plus golden pocket area a natural draw for price, the market tends to gravitate toward these zones when there’s unfinished business left behind.
Expectations and Potential Development
Going forward, I expect price to continue bleeding lower in a controlled fashion, possibly forming minor lower highs along the way. Once the fair value gap is reached and filled, we could see signs of support or accumulation, depending on the context at the time. It’s important not to blindly long from that area, but instead wait for a market reaction, ideally a shift in structure on the lower timeframes, to signal that buyers are stepping back in.
If the market holds that area and confirms support, it could launch a new leg higher. However, if the fair value gap fails and price continues to break down, it would signal that this move is not just a retracement but possibly the start of a larger bearish leg.
Conclusion
The rejection from resistance has opened the door for a deeper retracement. With a clear fair value gap and Fibonacci golden pocket below, the market now has a logical destination to correct toward. This level offers a clean narrative for continuation lower, and it aligns with both price action structure and algorithmic models. Patience is key now, the best opportunities come when price delivers into clean zones like this one.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish Breakout in EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch This WeekHi everyone,
EUR/USD had a strong week, climbing higher from the May 12 low and further reinforcing our view of a potential long-term bullish trend.
We anticipate further upside towards the 1.13768–1.13940 zone, followed by a possible pullback toward the 1.1200 area. We’ll share more updates on the expected path for EUR/USD if and when price reaches that zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, as long as price holds above the 1.10649 support.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURO - Price can make movement up and then drop to $1.1100 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price declined inside a falling channel, where it fell to $1.0735 points and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from channel and reached $1.1100 level, which it soon broke it and continued to move up.
Later Euro rose to $1.1425 points, and then made a correction, after which, in a short time, price rose higher this level.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1425 level again and entered to flat.
In flat, Euro bounced from $1.1100 level and started to grow inside a flat, and later rose to resistance level.
Recently price started to decline, so I expect that Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline to $1.1100 level.
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Market next move 🔻 Disruption Scenarios:
1. Resistance Zone at Target Level
The marked "Target" could coincide with a strong resistance level from a previous high.
Price may reject this level again, forming a double top or bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing).
2. Volume Divergence
The recent uptrend shows a slight drop in buying volume.
If price increases while volume decreases, it signals a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
3. Upcoming News Events (Fundamentals)
The chart shows several upcoming economic events (news icons).
Any negative surprise from U.S. data or positive Eurozone data could reverse the trend sharply.
For example, better-than-expected U.S. employment data could strengthen the USD, pushing EUR/USD down.
4. Overbought Condition
If we add an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Stochastic oscillator, the price might already be in the overbought zone, suggesting a correction is due.
5. Fake Breakout Trap
If the price hits the “Target” but then fails to close above it, it could be a bull trap, triggering short positions and leading to a sharp sell-off.
Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Trade Executed London 2 MacroEURUSD Trade Executed
London 2 Macro
Parent bias Bull
Discount coming into Asia
May 28 delivery
Sell off since Tuesday. Dealing range price expanded to the sell side rebalancing FVG and equal lows. Price gravitated to the Event Horizon.
Wick did the damage taking the equal lows.
Trade Notes
I anticipate for price to set up for a buy day after taking equal low liquidity/discount after the dealing range delivery.
*Note: GBP lower to and through its equal lows. Compared to EUR, EUR it just wicked through.
*Cross reference the DXY gapped open to the buy side taking its equal highs
London 2 Macro Logic
*Previous session NY closed in premium taking sell side liquidity in a consolidation
*Price comes into Asia in a deep discount
*DXY was in a deep Premium after its energetic dealing range
* I did trade Asia and closed the trade after I knew it would consolidate and don't have the mental capital to babysit the consolidation cycle-I do want to learn and toughen up to trade the days range. FOMO on 18 pips. Oh well.
I seen this so many times I am getting more and more trusting. ICT model 2022
1 minute analysis
0:30 expected swing low for engineered session equal lows, Judus swing
1:36 equal lows taken
1:46 another set of equal lows taken
1:50 price lowers to first presented FVG on candle 21:22
1:49 swing high created then 1:50 creates a swing low
1:50 wick also stops at a ORDER BLOCK? still discerning
1:53 displacement candle folks, validates the swing low shift occurring
1:59 was my entry but I missed getting in
2:00 1.2469 was my entry price
stop loss 1.12412
take profit 1.2757 target previous range 50 level
Very happy with this trade. Sloppy entry. Clean exit. I took a partial and let it ride until it predictively retraced as it should and again I am learning one model and next is to incorporate is holding for the day range. Especially when the range is 70 pips.
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12265 👀Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) dropped 0.32% on May 29, marking its third straight loss, after a U.S. court ruled Trump's reciprocal tariffs unlawful—beyond just the original plaintiffs. The decision, expected to be appealed, adds fresh uncertainty to U.S. trade policy and investor sentiment. Markets are also watching the U.S. Senate, where Trump’s tax and spending plan faces pushback. Meanwhile, the Fed’s latest minutes showed a cautious stance, citing inflation risks and possible rising unemployment—hinting at a delicate policy balance ahead.
Focus now shifts to key U.S. data due May 29 at 12:30 p.m. UTC—GDP and jobless claims. Strong numbers could delay Fed rate cuts, pushing EUR/USD below 1.1180. Weak data may lift the euro above 1.1300.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
Euro Weakens Near 1.1240 Amid Economic ReleasesEUR/USD extended its decline for a third straight session, trading near 1.1240 during Thursday’s Asian hours. Market attention is now turning to key upcoming U.S. economic releases, including Q1 Annualized GDP, quarterly PCE Prices, and weekly Jobless Claims. The U.S. dollar gained strength following a federal court decision on Wednesday, which blocked former President Trump’s attempt to enforce "Liberation Day" tariffs, ruling the measure unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority, according to a Manhattan court panel.
The key resistance is located at 1.1290 and the first support stands at 1.1200.
EUR/USD UPDATE 29 5 2025The chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart for the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair, published on TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the technical elements:
Key Levels and Zones:
Support Zone (lower yellow zone): ~1.12100 to ~1.12500
Current Price: 1.12776
Resistance Zones:
Mid resistance zone: ~1.12850 to ~1.13000
Upper resistance zone: ~1.13500 to ~1.13700
Observations:
The price is currently around 1.12776, just below the mid resistance zone.
The chart includes two blue arrow projections:
1. A bullish projection: Suggests a break above the mid resistance, heading toward the upper resistance (~1.13657).
2. A bearish projection: Indicates a potential drop toward the support zone before bouncing back up toward the upper resistance.
Volume:
Noticeable spike in volume during the drop before price stabilized near the support zone, suggesting strong selling pressure was absorbed.
Implications:
If the price breaks above the 1.13000 level with strong volume, it could signal a move toward the 1.13657 level.
A rejection from the mid resistance zone could lead to a retest of the lower support area before attempting another upward move.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis, or help planning trade entries/exits based on this chart?