EURUSD_W trade ideas
EURUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers.
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump announced via Truth Social that he “expects Apple to manufacture and produce iPhones sold in the United States within the U.S.” and warned that “otherwise, Apple will be required to pay a minimum 25% tariff in the U.S.”
- Trump also warned the EU, stating, “It was very difficult to deal with the EU, which was established with the purpose of taking advantage of the U.S. in trade,” and recommended “imposing a 50% tariff on the European Union starting June 1, 2025.”
- Maroš Šefčovič, the EU Commissioner for Trade, commented that “the European Commission is ready to cooperate in good faith.”
- On the 27th, the Bank of Japan will hold a large-scale conference over two days under the theme “New Challenges for Monetary Policy,” with key financial figures, including Federal Reserve officials, expected to attend alongside Japanese participants.
This Week’s Key Economic Calendar
+ May 26: Speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Core PCE Price Index
EURUSD Chart Analysis
EURUSD has smoothly broken through the 1.14000 resistance line and is once again attempting to break above the previous high. While a decline is expected after forming a high near the 1.16000 level, it is worth examining further bullish catalysts. Once it reaches the 1.16000 level, we will reassess the market direction.
EUROUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis chart The EUR/USD pair has demonstrated a convincing upward momentum, which might suggest a sustained long opportunity. However, traders should exercise caution—this bullish move could be a classic trap. Despite the current strength, signs of exhaustion are beginning to appear in the price action and volume. The market may soon shift direction, and a downward correction or full reversal could be imminent. Now is not the time to chase the high—stay alert, as the fall could happen sooner than expected.
EURUSD Friday daily candle hint buyer in control for intradayEURUSD Friday daily candle closed hint to me that buyers are in control in my opinion.
today strategy :
waiting price to pullback at the marking zone in the chart.
zoom in into smaller time frame for any bullish movement.
good luck.
calculate your own risk & reward.
EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trump’s latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Friday’s engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals.
With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for.
While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply.
Good luck!
DS
EURUSD (STOP LOSSES SUPPLY + CONFIRMATION ON LTF)1) On top we have MSS + 705 Fib level.
2) Now price grab ST from demand and we can wait for confirmation on LFT.
3) NON mitigate Demand zone is OB 1H, i think price come back because 0.5 is still valid.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1429
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1572
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.1267
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1690
1st Support: 1.1058
1st Resistance: 1.1910
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EURUSD’s Wedge Break: Fakeout, Retest, or Takeoff?EURUSD has snapped its trendline and may now aim for the far side of a large monthly wedge. But the big question: does it pull back for a retest or push higher straight away? Two trade ideas here—one if it comes back, one if it launches. Here’s how we’re preparing for both outcomes and the key levels to manage risk.
EURUSDLooking for a gap-up this week.
It will be interesting really, a de-based USD competing China, and a secure EUR.
This is logical to me, if you reduce the value of your currency you can compete China for sure but if there is recession, reduced trades, then valuable EUR would also be logical. What a week to watch, shall we see a 20 year trend break on EUR this week or not?
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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SELL SETUP (Counter-Trend / Short-Term Reversal)Reasoning:
Price is at the top of the channel, where prior rejections happened (circled in orange).
Psychological resistance at 1.1370 and potential double top.
Sell Entry: 1.1365 – 1.1370
Stop Loss: 1.1390 (just above the upper channel)
Take Profit:
TP1: 1.1295 (0.236 Fib level)
TP2: 1.1257 (0.382 Fib + mid channel)
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 or higher.