FIL/USDT: Possible Movement ScenarioFIL — Fractal Repetition? Third Wedge Formation Under Long-Term Pressure
FIL is forming its third wedge pattern within a broader downtrend that has lasted for over 2.5 years. The chart reveals a clear fractal symmetry, where each previous wedge was followed by a strong upward breakout.
Currently, the price shows signs of a local uptrend and accumulation near the lower boundary of the channel — increasing the probability of a rebound. Immediate targets are $4.38–$4.81, with potential for further upside.
FILUSD.P trade ideas
FIL: X Wave Flat - Trendline Break & Bullish DivergenceFilecoin (FIL) Elliott Wave Analysis: Decoding the X Wave for Potential Upside (May 2025)
exprwebdev | Date of Analysis: May 24, 2025
Introduction: Navigating FIL's Corrective Structure
Filecoin (FIL), the decentralized storage powerhouse, has experienced significant price movements since its All-Time High (ATH). This analysis delves into FIL's price action using Elliott Wave Theory, complemented by crucial support/resistance levels and trendline breaks, to project its near-term and long-term trajectory. Our current focus is on identifying a potential long opportunity within a larger corrective pattern.
Higher Timeframe Perspective: The WXY Correction
Following its ATH, FIL underwent a sharp and extended decline. Based on our Elliott Wave count, this initial significant drop is interpreted as a Double Zigzag (labeled as the W wave) within a much larger corrective structure.
Currently, the market is in the process of forming the X wave of this overarching WXY corrective pattern. This X wave is a critical juncture, as it often acts as a bridge between two larger corrective or impulsive moves.
Decoding the X Wave: A Flat Correction (abc)
Upon closer inspection, we are identifying the internal structure of this major X wave as a Flat corrective pattern (labeled as abc).
Completion of 'a' and 'b' waves: We observe that the 'a' and 'b' sub-waves of this flat correction appear to be complete. The 'b' wave typically retests or slightly exceeds the start of the 'a' wave, and in a flat, it can be quite deep.
Anticipating the 'c' wave: Our analysis suggests that FIL is now poised to embark on the 'c' wave of this flat correction. Crucially, in a flat, the 'c' wave is often an impulsive wave, indicating a strong, directional move.
Technical Confluence for the 'c' Wave (Potential Long Setup)
The conviction for the impending 'c' wave to the upside is strengthened by key technical signals:
Trendline Breakout: We've observed a significant breakout of a key trendline, which has been acting as resistance. This break provides strong confirmation that the bullish momentum required for the 'c' wave is building.
Bullish Divergence Confirmation: Furthermore, a bullish divergence has been confirmed on relevant indicators (RSI) when comparing the low of the 'b' wave with previous lows. This divergence signals a weakening of bearish momentum and a potential reversal to the upside.
Support & Resistance Alignment: The low of the 'b' wave has found strong support, potentially aligning with historical price levels or Fibonacci retracement levels from prior moves. This confluence reinforces the validity of this area as a strong demand zone.
Invalidation & Risk Management
For this specific long trade setup targeting the 'c' wave, our invalidation point is the low of the 'b' wave.
Crucial Level: If the price falls below and sustains a break of the 'b' wave low, our current Elliott Wave count and bullish bias for the 'c' wave would be invalidated.
Alternative Plan: Should this invalidation level be breached, it would necessitate a re-evaluation of the wave count and potentially lead to an alternative, more bearish scenario.
Risk Management: This invalidation point serves as a critical stop-loss level for any long positions taken based on this analysis, emphasizing the importance of disciplined risk management.
Future Outlook: The Impending Y Wave
While we anticipate a strong impulsive 'c' wave to complete the X wave correction, it's vital to maintain a broader perspective.
Post-X Wave Downtrend: After the completion of this major X wave (the flat correction), our Elliott Wave projection indicates that a major Y wave will likely run to the downside. This suggests that while there may be significant upside in the near to medium term, the overall higher-timeframe corrective structure points towards a continuation of the downtrend afterward.
Conclusion: Positioning for the 'c' Wave
Filecoin (FIL) presents an intriguing technical setup. The confluence of a trendline break, bullish divergence, and the Elliott Wave count pointing to an impulsive 'c' wave within a flat X wave suggests a potential long opportunity. Traders should carefully monitor the price action around the 'b' wave low for invalidation and plan their trades accordingly, keeping the larger corrective structure and the eventual Y wave in mind.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Elliott Wave Theory is a subjective form of technical analysis, and interpretations can vary. Cryptocurrency investments are highly speculative and carry significant risk. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
FIL 1D – Compression Before DecisionPrice testing confluence zone at $2.78–$2.86 (50 EMA + prior support shelf).
Bear Load 75% but fading momentum — low volume on red candles.
MACD histogram printing higher lows. Signal lines coiling.
100 EMA still overhead, but bulls defended 50 EMA with conviction.
Shorts pressed, but no follow-through — market indecisive.
Holding above $2.74 keeps structure intact.
Break back above $2.93 reactivates bullish bias toward $3.20+.
#FILUSD #Filecoin #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets #Quant #SwingTrade #EMA
FILECOIN - A less risky bet to make $$$FILUSD shows to be a good bet for the below reasons.
a. All time low reached on 07th Apr 2025 and will support the price.
b. Started showing Higher High and Higher Low on daily charts.
c. It is still the #1 decentralised storage network.
d. A huge potential for upside movement with current marketcap of $2B when compared to $12B at all time high.
e. Organisation adoption is significant. For example - The Internet Archive, a non-profit digital library, uses Filecoin for archival data storage (1000TiB). OpenSea, an NFT marketplace, uses it for NFT storage. Shoah project Starling Labs, an academic research lab, uses it for archival data (6000TiB)
FIL 8H – Bull Load Rising | Momentum BrewingFilecoin flashing strength on the 8H.
Bull Load at 75% and climbing.
EMA50 reclaim — golden lift-off zone.
MACD crossed above signal, histogram flips green.
Volume build on breakout candle supports the push.
Red EMA100 overhead is next target.
Above $2.78, shorts begin to cover.
Next zones: $2.88 → $3.10
Let them sell. We accumulate.
#FIL #Filecoin #Altcoins #CryptoTA #QuantTrading #8HBreakout #CryptoMomentum #DeFi
FIL 1D – Bear Load Hits 75% as Bulls Face Critical SupportFilecoin trades below both EMA 50 ($2.82) and EMA 100 ($3.03), signaling trend weakness.
Heikin Ashi structure confirms continuous downside pressure.
Bear Load at 75% — trend intensity tilted short.
MACD still below zero line with no crossover in sight.
Last defense sits at $2.50 zone — a break could trigger liquidity sweep into $2.30s.
Reclaim of $2.82 (EMA50) flips short-term bias.
Volume increasing on red — smart money may be prepping the trap or acceleration.
Let price speak — stay tactical.
#FILUSD #Filecoin #CryptoTA #TrendAnalysis #HeikinAshi #EMAStack #BearLoad
FIL 1D – Compression Build-Up Below ResistancePrice consolidates just below the 50 EMA.
Support holding tight at $2.86 — bulls defending the base.
MACD flatlining but with bullish divergence on histogram lows.
Volume thinning during pullbacks — classic bullish continuation structure.
Higher low structure still intact from April base.
Daily close above $2.94 opens momentum window to $3.30–$3.45.
Patience favors the bid. Smart money waits for the breakout.
#FILUSD #Filecoin #TechnicalAnalysis #EMAStack #Quant #CryptoTA #FILBreakout
FIL 1W – Compression Building at Multi-Year SupportFIL is trading near multi-year support between $2.50–$2.90.
Downtrend persists, but momentum is flattening.
MACD on 1W nearing a bullish cross after long suppression.
Volume is gradually increasing — early accumulation signals.
Price is compressing under 50/100 EMA on both daily and weekly.
Funding rate remains negative → crowd is still short.
Risk-reward is asymmetric.
If price reclaims $3.35, breakout structure is confirmed.
First targets: $4.00, then $6.50 (macro lower high).
Stop invalidation below $2.40.
Setup favors patient positioning.
FIL 1D – Structure Retained, Momentum RebuildingFIL defends key structural zone above 2.87 (50 EMA) with a decisive reclaim of the $3 handle.
The Bull Load prints 75%, confirming momentum shift.
MACD converging, signaling potential bullish inflection.
Recent bid-side volume suggests controlled accumulation post-pullback.
Setup remains constructive while holding above 2.87.
A clean break through 3.15–3.20 opens up 3.45 and beyond.
Risk defined. Opportunity clear. Execution critical.
#FIL #CryptoTA #QuantitativeStrategy #DigitalAssets #PriceAction
FIL 1D – Holding the LinePrice holding under 50 EMA after testing downside.
MACD bearish, but histogram compression suggests exhaustion.
Bear Load 50% – pressure persists, but structure not broken.
Key zone: $2.8–$2.9. Holding = accumulation.
Watch volume. Tactical long if bulls defend.
#FIL #CryptoTA #QuantTrading #Filecoin #DePIN
Filecoin - Still in accumulationHello everyone, as you know if you follow me, one of the coins I’ve been accumulating for years is FIL. From both a technical and fundamental analysis perspective, I believe it’s the bet with the absolute highest potential in the crypto world. Speaking of my analysis, as you can see, we’re still in an accumulation phase for about 2-3 years now, with a range between $2.3 and $7-10. In recent weeks, we’ve seen a retest of the all-time low, and right now it’s testing the lowest monthly close of the previous cycle. That said, I expect a fairly rapid rise toward $7 soon, with the possibility that it finally breaks out of the range and starts running toward the previous ATH at $230. In any case, the risk/reward is truly excellent, probably the best in the entire crypto market. Thanks to everyone for your attention, and I hope the video is helpful for your analyses.
FIL 1D – EMA Test, Compression Phase LoadingPrice tests 100 EMA from above.
Volatility compressing post-spike.
MACD still bearish, but flattening.
Volume tapering = potential reload zone.
$2.75–$2.85 = structural defense zone.
A bounce here could set up the next leg.
Let the algo do the work. Patience is positioning.
Exploring Filecoin: The Future of Decentralized Storage and InveFilecoin: A Leading Decentralized Storage Solution in the Blockchain Space
Current Market Position
Filecoin (FIL) currently holds a significant position in the cryptocurrency market, ranking 48th by market capitalization with approximately $1.98 billion market cap. This demonstrates substantial market presence and investor interest in the project.
Technological Innovation and Infrastructure
Filecoin has established itself as a pioneering force in decentralized storage solutions with several notable achievements:
Storage Capacity and Network Growth
The network has secured an impressive 2.1 exbibytes (EiB) of data storage, with available raw storage capacity of 7.6 EiB. Network storage utilization increased to 23 percent in Q1 2024, showing growing adoption. Over 2,000 clients have been onboarded, with 508 clients storing datasets larger than 1,000 TiB.
Technical Advancements
The introduction of the Filecoin Virtual Machine (FVM) supports over 3,700 independent smart contracts. The Total Value Locked (TVL) in the network is approximately $273 million. Additionally, advanced Proof of Storage mechanisms have been implemented to ensure data security and integrity.
Notable Partnerships and Enterprise Adoption
Filecoin has secured partnerships with several major technology companies and institutions. A significant partnership with Cloudflare was established in March 2023, enhancing accessibility to decentralized storage. A strategic collaboration with Microsoft was announced in February 2022, exploring decentralized storage applications. Partnerships with prestigious organizations such as the Smithsonian, Internet Archive, and MIT further demonstrate Filecoin's credibility.
Recent Achievements and Development Updates
Network upgrades have included the implementation of the NV25 "Teep" upgrade, improving network efficiency and economics. Community growth has been supported through funding and grants for over 250 teams, with more than 8,800 teams building within the ecosystem. Furthermore, the evolution into a Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network (DePIN) has been a key development, with integration into both Web2 and Web3 applications.
FIL 4H Technical OutlookEMA 50 reclaim attempt underway.
Bull Load signals shift from 25% to 50%, confirming early pressure reversal.
MACD crossover forming at the base — bullish divergence building with declining volume during the pullback.
Buyers defended the 100 EMA with precision. Structure remains intact.
We’re not guessing. We’re tracking signal alignment.
Let retail draw falling wedges. We follow strength where it forms.
Reclaim $3.00 → opens a clean path to test $3.18 resistance.
Above that? Shorts need a new plan.
FIL 4H – Yo Bear! You Blink, We Bid.Bear, we see your moves.
That wick under the 100 EMA? Classic bear bait.
We don’t chase fear. We load math.
Bounce holding above the 100 EMA.
MACD flatlining — momentum cooling, not collapsing.
Volume spike on the green candle, not the red.
Structure still higher-lows.
Price compression ≠ breakdown.
Market reset ≠ reversal.
This is accumulation inside volatility.
Next zone? $3.07 → $3.12 reclaim.
Bears fading. Liquidity rotating.
EMA squeeze incoming. Range break likely favors upside.
Let the bears short into strength.
We're here for precision entries, data-backed conviction, and upside slaps.
#Filecoin #FILUSD #CryptoQuant #FIL4H #TradingView #BullSetup #EMABounce #MarketTiming #SmartMoney #BearTrap #BuyTheBlood #VolumeMatters #QuantStyle
FIL 1D — Bull Flag or Bull Trap? Decision Point.Price tagged the 100 EMA. Sellers defended. Hard.
Pullback could now test the 50 EMA as support $2.86.
Volume died. Consolidation or exhaustion?
50 EMA still below — structure not broken.
MACD is crossing down but above zero — momentum slowing, not reversing.
Bear Load flips back to 75% but price hasn’t collapsed.
Key Levels:
Lose $2.86 = rotation toward $2.72–$2.68
Hold $2.86 and reclaim $3.15 = another attack on $3.42 likely
Prediction: Sideways grind into tight coil, followed by high-velocity move.
Still favor upside unless $2.86 fails.
#FIL #Filecoin #CryptoTA #QuantAnalysis #TechnicalSetup #EMAStack #VolatilitySqueeze #BreakoutWatch #Altcoins #BullVsBear
FIL 1D — Price Compression Before ExpansionClean follow-through after defending the $3.00 handle.
Back above all key short-term EMAs. Bull Load still at 75%.
Today's candle holds the higher low — structure remains bullish.
MACD widening under zero. Momentum still building.
Volume fades slightly, signaling controlled consolidation, not rejection.
EMA200 is the battleground.
Scenario A (bullish continuation):
Break and close above $3.42 = ignition. Room toward $3.80–$4.10 based on measured move.
Next resistance: $3.60 short-term, then $4.13 pivot zone.
If volume confirms — bulls get full control.
Scenario B (pullback):
If rejected at $3.42, expect rotation to $3.00–$2.95 for retest.
Structure only breaks if 2.86 (50 EMA) fails. That’s not on deck yet.
Prediction:
$3.42 gets tagged within 48h. If volume returns → breakout attempt.
Bias remains bullish until invalidated by structure.
Weapons free.
We trade setups, not hope.
#FIL #Filecoin #CryptoTA #TechnicalAnalysis #QuantTrading #BullishBias #BreakoutSetup #EMAStack #MomentumPlay #Altcoins
FIL 1D – Bulls Took the Hill. Now They Hold the LineAfter vertical breakout, FIL meets gravity.
Today’s red candle is not a trend reversal — it's a test.
We’re still above the 50 EMA and near 100 EMA.
Support zone 2.95–3.00 now under pressure.
Volume still elevated.
Bears showed up — late again.
No structure broken.
The battlefield is above . That’s the new warzone.
Lose it, and we reassess. Hold it, and we reload.
Bull Load: 75%
Structure: Intact
Trend: Still ours
FIL 1W – Precision ReversalClean bullish close.
MACD closer to a cross.
Volume confirms rotation.
7 weeks of base-building—now breakout.
50 EMA reclaim in progress.
100 EMA still distant. That’s opportunity.
No noise. No FOMO. Structure is king.
Baby bears about to cry.
We printed 2 green candles. And a statement.
Smart money rotated. Tourists still confused.
Eyes on $4.2 – 50EMA.
No mercy. No hesitation.
FIL 1D – Precision BullsAbove 50/100 EMA. No resistance.
MACD rising. Volume elevated.
Structure remains clean. Bulls disciplined.
Let bears draw downtrend channels.
We draw green blood.
+33% market cap in 30 days. Yet rank slipped two positions.
Undervalued narrative still in play. Volatility expected.
We hunt structure, not headlines.
200 EMA is the next chokepoint ;)
Eyes up. Trigger fingers ready.
#FIL #Filecoin #CryptoQuant #AltcoinSurge #MomentumTrade #BreakoutWatch #MarketStructure #DataDriven #QuantStyle #TradingView
FIL 1D – Structure Breached. Bears on AlertClosed above EMA50 and EMA100.
Volume confirmed. Big money stepped in.
MACD trending up. Momentum building.
Bull Load at 100%.
EMA200 just above. Break it, and bears are cooked.
Pivot R1 at 3.44 is next.
No time for triangles.
We trade structure. We trade flow.
FIL 1D – Structure Reclaimed, Bulls in ControlFIL breaks back above 3.00 with conviction.
Full daily reclaim of EMA50/100.
Volume expanding, momentum building.
MACD crosses zero — trend confirmation.
Oscillators remain mostly neutral — room to run.
13/16 moving averages flashing Buy.
Pivot flipped: 2.77 now confirmed support.
R1 at $3.44 is the next magnetic zone.
This is not a triangle. It’s execution.
Baby bear about to get punch.
Quants are rotating.
Momentum, structure, confirmation — we ride with discipline.
Risk is measurable. Bias is long.
#FIL #Filecoin #TA #QuantTrading #MomentumPlay #CryptoStrategy #TrendReversal #Web3Infrastructure #MarketRotation #BullStructure