DownTrending Nasdaq is showing retracement from major support.DownTrending Nasdaq is showing retracement from major support.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 Feb 27th Below are some general, educational ideas on how traders often approach markets under conditions like these. This is not financial advice—simply a high‐level look at potential strategies, risk‐management considerations, and scenarios based on the previous technical report. Always do your own due diligence and consider professional advice for your specific situation.
1. Short‐Term “Oversold Bounce” Play
• Rationale: On the Daily and 4H charts, the RSI/Stochastics and Bollinger Bands all suggest near‐term oversold conditions. When a market is oversold, a relief bounce often occurs—even within a downtrend.
• Possible Approach:
1. Entry: Some traders will look for intraday bullish signals (a strong reversal candle, bullish divergence on lower timeframes, or a break/retest of minor resistance) around the 20,200–20,500 zone.
2. Targets: Potential short‐term rebound levels near:
• 21,000 (initial pivot/confluence of 4H Fib & round number)
• 21,300–21,400 (Daily Ichimoku or 4H cloud base, stronger overhead supply)
3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation:
• Placed below the recent swing low (~20,500) or below the 200‐day SMA (~20,264). If price definitively breaks those on a closing basis, it can signal that the bounce attempt is failing.
• Risk: If the market continues sharply lower, oversold can remain oversold. A deeper flush is possible if we lose key supports.
2. “Sell the Rally” Within a Short‐Term Downtrend
• Rationale: The Daily and 4H structures are in a confirmed short‐term downtrend (lower highs/lower lows). Traders who believe the market has further to fall might look to short near overhead resistance.
• Possible Approach:
1. Entry: Wait for a bounce into known resistance or Fib retracement zones on the 4H or Daily chart:
• ~21,000–21,100 (minor)
• ~21,300–21,400 (major supply area / daily cloud)
2. Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns, a failed retest, or negative divergences on short timeframes to signal rally exhaustion.
3. Targets: Could be fresh lows below ~20,500 or deeper daily/weekly support at ~19,500–20,000.
4. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A sustained close above the daily Ichimoku cloud or prior pivot highs (~21,400–21,500) would indicate the short‐term trend shift might be reversing back bullish.
• Risk: A strong short‐covering rally can quickly stop out short positions if the broader weekly uptrend reasserts itself.
3. Longer‐Term Positioning Near Key Weekly Support
• Rationale: The monthly and weekly charts remain in a long‐term uptrend. Some position traders/investors view pullbacks into major weekly levels as potential accumulation zones.
• Possible Approach:
1. Key Level: ~19,500–19,600 is the last major weekly swing low. If price ever re‐tests that zone, it’s a critical decision area.
2. Confirmation: Wait for a weekly bullish reversal candle (e.g., a hammer, bullish engulfing) or a break back above the 10‐week SMA.
3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A weekly close below ~19,500 could signal a deeper structural breakdown.
4. Targets: Over the longer horizon, a rebound from weekly support might aim for retests of all‐time highs or upper monthly fib extensions (e.g., 24,000+).
• Risk: If the weekly uptrend fails and breaks below ~19,500, it can cascade into a more pronounced corrective phase.
4. Hedge or Manage Existing Long Positions
• Rationale: If you’ve been holding longer‐term bullish positions, you might want to hedge part of it during a short‐term downswing.
• Possible Approach:
• Options: Buying puts or put spreads to limit downside risk or selling covered calls to collect premium if you expect sideways to down movement.
• Futures: Small short futures/CFD positions to offset some exposure.
• Risk: Over‐hedging can cut into upside gains if the market rebounds strongly.
5. Patience / Sidelines
• Rationale: If the technical picture is uncertain—and you don’t have a strong directional edge—sitting on the sidelines and observing is a perfectly valid play. You can wait for more clarity or for the market to confirm a reversal/breakdown before committing capital.
• Risk: Missing out on a sudden reversal or failing to catch the next leg if it rebounds quickly. But if uncertainty is high, waiting for a clearer signal can preserve capital.
General Guidelines & Risk Management
1. Align With Your Timeframe:
• Short‐term scalps (4H or lower) require tight stops and nimble trading.
• Swing trades might look to daily/weekly structure for bigger moves.
2. Watch Volatility:
• ATR on daily/4H has risen. Expect larger intraday swings; position size accordingly.
3. Use Stop‐Losses:
• The market has shown it can move quickly in either direction lately. Protective stops or mental exit levels are crucial.
4. Monitor Macro Drivers:
• Economic data, interest rate shifts, or major earnings releases can override technical signals short term.
5. Be Prepared for Whipsaw:
• When multiple timeframes conflict (monthly/weekly bullish vs. daily/4H bearish), the market can give false breaks or frequent direction changes.
Disclaimer:
This outline is for educational purposes only, reflecting common approaches traders might take. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consider your own objectives, risk tolerance, and potentially consult a financial professional when making investment decisions.
US100 Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
US100 has retested a
A horizontal resistance
Of 20669.2 from where
A bearish reaction can be
Observed already and so
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NSDQ China & Canada trigger “tariffs retaliations selloff”The tech-heavy NASDAQ dropped yesterday, underperforming the market, while the Mag-7 fell 3.09%, now down over 10% in the past two weeks. Nvidia led the decline, plunging 8.69%. The Nasdaq 100 (USTec) index maintains a long term bullish outlook supported by its long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a corrective pullback following the all-time high, bringing the index to a key technical support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The 20280 level (200-day moving average) serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the long-term rising trendline.
A pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could reaffirm the prevailing uptrend.
Upside targets include:
21200 (key resistance)
21450 (50-day moving average)
21620 (20-day moving average)
A strong rebound from 20280 could reinforce bullish momentum and set the stage for further gains.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below 20280 with a daily close beneath this level would weaken the bullish structure.
This could trigger a deeper retracement, leading to downside targets at:
19990 (next key support)
19560, if bearish pressure intensifies
A sustained loss of 20280 may indicate a broader correction, potentially shifting sentiment in favor of sellers.
Market Outlook:
The 20280 level is pivotal—holding above this support will sustain the bullish trend, while a decisive break below it could signal extended downside risks. Traders should monitor price action and volume at this critical level to gauge the market’s next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Short IDEA for US100 At 15 Minute Time FrameMarket has touched the 0.618 Fib Level and there are chances that it goes down further.
This is a risky trade as there is no trend but chances of trend.
0.15% R:R
SL:21074
Entry: Current Price: 20852
TP: 20630
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price has form a a demand around area of 20676.30 which is likely to continue moving up as more traders will likely to come and push the price up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 21349.74 and 21946.22 . Use money management
NASDAQ WILL GO HIGHER, BUY AFTER PULLBACKFundamentals
Recent economic data indicates mixed sentiments in the tech sector, with rising interest rates and concerns about valuations weighing on growth stocks. However, optimism surrounds potential technological advancements, such as AI and renewable energy sectors, driving long-term bullish expectations.
Technicals
After the bullish spike following the CPI inflation reading, the price is expected to retrace to the 20,865–20,968 range, which corresponds to two key Fibonacci levels. The 20,968 level also aligns with a demand zone. Entry levels are: 20,865 (conservative) or more aggressive at 20,968. Before entering long, it is important to see confirmation of bullish pressure...
In terms of target, I think we will see new highs, but take profit partially and sistematically along the way..
Follow me to receive updates on this idea, including confirmations for entries, stop losses, and profit targets. Don’t miss out—hit that follow button now!
NAS100!Nasdaq is clearly in either the start or the end of a consolidation
The trend is still up.
Trade with care use a stop loss
Uncertainty until NFPYesterday close confirmed again the uncertainty and provided an inside, irrelevant daily candle.
It seems the upper TL working as resistance. It worked nicely yesterday.
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR NAS100 Analysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
The price approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure on the LTF to identify a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: An upward move is expected.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
NASDAQ BUYSWeve had quite an interesting run on NAS. The current potential for me at this point is upside, keeping the risk at a minimum. this could be an interesting trade from a long term view. trade executed. lets see how this plays out.
NAS100 | Bulls Fighting Back! Key Reversal Zones in Play SMART MONEY CONCEPT
🌍 Market Sentiment & Economic Factors
📉 NAS100 has been under pressure due to rising Treasury yields and hawkish Fed commentary. However, recent price action suggests buying interest at key demand zones. Investors are closely watching economic data releases this week, including NFP & CPI, which could determine the next big move.
💰 Federal Reserve & Interest Rate Impact
The market remains uncertain about the Fed's next rate move. If inflation cools down, expectations of a rate cut will likely boost tech stocks, pushing NAS100 higher. However, stronger data could keep pressure on equities, leading to further downside.
🏦 Tech Sector Strength
Big tech earnings have shown resilience, but concerns over valuations persist.
📉 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🔥 Market Structure & Key Levels
🔹 Demand Zone Holding Strong:
Buyers stepped in aggressively at 20,275.05, leading to a strong rejection and a shift in momentum.
A Change of Character (ChoCh) was confirmed, signaling potential trend reversal.
🔹 Resistance & Target Levels:
First Key Resistance: 21,141.25 🏁
Major Supply Zone: 22,113.51 (Break above = strong bullish confirmation 🚀)
🔹 Breakout Scenario:
A break above 21,141.25 would confirm bullish continuation toward 22,113.51.
A failure to hold current support could trigger a retest of 20,275.05.
📊 Volume & Liquidity Analysis
🔸 Recent high volume at demand zone suggests institutional interest.
🔸 Liquidity buildup above 21,141.25 could act as a magnet for price.
🎯 Trade Plan & Bias
📌 Bullish Above: 21,141.25 (Target 22,113.51) ✅
📌 Bearish Below: 20,275.05 (Downside risk if structure breaks ❌)
🔎 Final Thoughts:
The market is at a turning point – will bulls maintain control, or is this just a temporary bounce? Keep an eye on key resistance zones and macroeconomic events for confirmation! Drop your thoughts below! 🔥
IS EVERONE SHORTING?Take out the highs, aligning with the current momentum and liquidity dynamics.
Breaking more downside, we might slip 200 and begin bearish territory.
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
NASDAQ LAST LONGS RECESSION GONGS: its a TRUMPCESSIONWe have many takes for me ive been waiting for this moment my whole year FY24
somewhere around 23-24k its gonna be showtime im making this idea brief
price back at resistance expecting a break and retest after it rejects and goes higher
also impulse might not even complete considering how strong the support is
dxy wiped out months progress in 4 days
investors are gonna seek safe havens i hope trump listens to expert advisors
like steve hanke
in my opinion
the markets have always been too overbought - SELL
the u.s is losing trust and likeability among allies with these tariffs
the u.s has entered trade wars wether its too strong a phrase to bring up
booms and bust ou cant rig the economy the time cycle has arrived
CHART BREAKDOWN NASDAQ: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing an essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 20.520 to 20.560, respectively, are highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 20.520 and 20.560 serving as a low-risk sell.
Bearish Targets📉:
20.480: Possible retracement area.
20.400: Possible retracement area.
20.230: Liquidity area.
20.000: Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
TP FILLED ON NASDAQCouple minutes ago, I posted to sell NASDAQ, and now the market reached our TP.
Follow for more trades!
NAS100 BUY 15 MINUTE TIMEFRAMEStrong Demand Zone
Price has to fill the gaps to the left
4:63 Risk Reward
Let’s See:)
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 05-Mar-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
NAS100 at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is currently testing a major demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. The recent bearish move has brought price into this key area, increasing the probability of a potential bullish reversal.
If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a bounce toward the 21,655 level, aligning with a short-term recovery from the current dip. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a shift in momentum before considering long positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts below!
LONG ON NAS100Nas is oversold and has rejected a major demand area.
I will be buy nas to the next resistance level
Nasdaq trading insights: 27-Feb-2025Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
