NAS100 short Sell We’re currently sitting at a very important level and if they continue closing below, we could expect a sell. Use proper risk management if you wish to take this trade. Targeting the next level beneath
NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations.
Key Observations:
1. Institutional Support Zone:
Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone.
This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance.
2. Liquidity Dynamics:
Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block.
This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity).
3. Price Positioning:
Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone.
The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups.
Target Levels:
Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones.
By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 15This week as usual, I am continuing with my bullish bias due to the fact that all the larger timeframes are still maintaining their HL structure.
A quick glance at the H1/H2 will show that a new Low has been formed...(one direct and one segmented). However, this does not affect the bias of the overall structure as when you zoom out and examine the larger timeframes, you will see that the structure is still being maintained on the largest timeframes the daily and above.
Last week price traded above the current H1/H2 trendline before the break on Friday.
This to me does not indicate a break in structure, however a temporary retracement to set up another HL for the larger timeframes.
If you have been tracking the Highs, you would have noticed that while they have been LH's since the last ATH back in December, they are still tracking higher, which confirms that the market is still in a consolidatory state and it will only be a matter of time before the ATH is broken again.
What does this mean for this week?
1. I still enter on my largest HL and exit on my HH's
a. In the event that I only get a LH...I take my profit and wait for another HL
2. My TP levels for 2025 still remain the same and I patiently trade the trend.
3. Continue being patient as I wait for the ATH to be broken again.
Remember this a marathon and not a sprint and as such consistency is going to be of utmost importance.
Have a great week and remember to always journal your trades, do not rush your entries and most of all trust your analysis as long as you are trading the trend.
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
Yen carry trade and NASDAQShort term trade - if Japan increases interest rates as it did in July, there's a high chance the Yen Carry trade will unwind again, causing a large drop. If Japan doesn't raise them, I'd close the trade soon after that.
THE SL is orientational the point of the trade is to hold till the decision on friday.
NAS100 15MIN SELLS The Bearish Reversal Entry Model is one of the most effective setups in 2025. Here's how it typically plays out:
- Sweep the High of the Asian Range: Price often manipulates above the Asian session's highs, taking out liquidity.
- Change of Character (CHOCH): After the sweep, price reverses, showing a shift in market structure.
- Retrace: The price pulls back, creating an opportunity to enter a trade(sells).
- Target Daily Lows/Asian Lows (SSL) : Set your take-profit level at the Daily Low.
9# Swing Trade Idea2025Price breaks below and retest a major area of interest (AOI) we will be looking for a short position Nas100.
nasdaqTreasury bills are a secure, short-term investment, offering you returns after a relatively short commitment of funds. Treasury bill rates in Kenya are attractive, providing an excellent investment opportunity that is readily available, as they are auctioned each week.
Treasury bills are sold at a discount. This means that investors choose the amount that they will receive when the bill matures, or the face value of the bill, and pay less than that amount when purchasing it.
Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips.
This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT.
I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time.
I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate.
Let me know your prediction :)
Nasdaq Drops 5% as China's Low-Cost AI Disrupts U.S. Tech SectorNasdaq Futures Decline as China's AI Development Challenges Big Tech
Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell significantly on Monday following the launch of a highly popular, low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence model, which triggered a selloff in AI-related stocks. Megacap companies, including Nvidia, experienced sharp declines as a result.
The downturn was driven by Chinese startup DeepSeek's introduction of a free AI assistant, which utilizes more affordable chips and less data. This development challenges the prevailing market expectation that AI demand will continue to boost a supply chain ranging from chip manufacturers to data centers.
USNAS100 Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq index has dropped by over 5.00%, primarily due to the release of a cost-efficient AI system in China. This development has disrupted market sentiment and negatively impacted U.S.-based AI companies, reinforcing bearish trends within the sector.
The market for indices is expected to remain highly volatile, but technical indicators suggest that the price is likely to oscillate between 20,660 and 20,990 until a breakout occurs. Currently, the price is attempting to reverse at 20,990. If the upcoming 4-hour candle closes below this level, it will likely decline to 20,660. Conversely, a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closing above 21,215 could signal a bullish trend, potentially driving the price upward toward 21,380 and 21,630, particularly if earnings reports reflect strong revenue performance.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 20880
Resistance Levels: 20990, 21215, 21380
Support Levels: 20660, 20550, 20330
Trend Outlook
Consolidation Zone: 20990 to 20660
Bearish: Below 20660 and 20550
Bullish: Above 21215
Previous idea:
Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
Us100 Buy Idea We should be seeing a nice Up trend to the top as you can see my blue line thats my buy line so that would be the best place to enter trades for a buy
Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum.
Technical Insight:
• Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce.
• Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation.
• Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher.
Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
US100 OutlookThe Overall Market sentiment on US100 and S&P 500 looks Bullish. A look at the S&P 500 chart shows it broke the recent ATH signaling a very strong Bullish momentum. Just waiting for confirmation on the 1HR timeframe on Nasdaq to make an entry.
Why DeepSeek Has Blown Up Nasdaq?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and the promising future it envisions.
Transforming Markets
DeepSeek has consolidated its position in the technology industry thanks to advances in natural language processing, computer vision and machine learning. These technologies have found applications in sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail and automotive. In finance, its AI tools have optimized decision making, trend prediction and risk management. Banking institutions and investment funds have managed to reduce costs and improve their operational efficiency, which has strengthened investor confidence.
It is interesting to see how a project in which only $10 million has been invested has surpassed projects such as OpenAI (ChatGPT) in which large companies such as Microsoft are involved and have invested more than $10 billion in them, not to mention large market makers such as NVIDIA that dedicate a lot of resources to this purpose. This may be highlighting a potential financial speculation bubble brewing among the Magnificent 7. According to my DeepSeek estimates it could be valued as high as $345 per share, a higher price than OpenAI, currently mostly sponsored by Microsoft, and one of the companies most affected by yesterday's drop, could be worth in the market. The Magnificent 7 fell sharply. NVIDIA down -16%, Microsoft , Alphaben and Tesla down -2% respectively,and Broadcom down -17%. During yesterday's session, DeepSeek shares drove a drop in Nasdaq and S&P500 that only seems to reflect that the only reasons the market seems to be bullish on the AI bubble. The market closed with corrections of -612.47 points for the former and -88.96 points for the latter. 2 Billion dollars have been lost in a single day in the market, the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the stock market led by NVDIA in absolute terms. All this has generated that hackers have tried to burst the DeepSeek service and for hours the registration of thousands of accounts that requested to have an account through Googleplay has been blocked. This impact has caused the index to partially recover its price.
What does it have to do with the fact that a small company has affected all the suppliers of all these outputs, even affecting companies from different sectors? Well, a company that has cost less to generate the same outputs with fewer inputs, i.e., with fewer hens, has obtained more eggs. Therefore, this has backfired on the U.S. government with the sanctions. If DeepSeek has just demonstrated that it is possible to reach the same result, consuming less capital, then the suppliers of these services will see their future sales negatively impacted (see GPU suppliers, energy, etc.), in order to continue developing and operating AI. This is a sledgehammer for very inefficient US AI companies, which can be replicated at fraction of the cost of what was currently considered.
Impact on Technology Companies
DeepSeek has redefined the dynamics in the technology sector by collaborating with giants such as software developers and hardware manufacturers. These partnerships have driven the integration of AI into products and services, from algorithmic trading platforms to smart devices.
For example, big data and cybersecurity companies have adopted its advanced algorithms to improve data protection and optimize resource management. This has generated a domino effect, where smaller technology firms have also leveraged DeepSeek's innovation to develop customized solutions.
The semiconductor sector has been another beneficiary, with increased demand for advanced chips designed to support DeepSeek's deep learning capabilities. This has increased sales and technology development in this segment.
Futuristic Advances
DeepSeek's future is promising. The company is focused on:
1. general AI development (AGI): they seek to create systems capable of performing human intellectual tasks, with potential impact in education, medicine and more.
2. Sustainability: Their algorithms help optimize energy use in smart cities and predict weather patterns.
3. Ethics and Transparency: Promote the responsible use of AI, gaining trust among regulators and consumers.
NASDAQ Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: USATEC)
Looking at the WACD in its three forms, on the overbought signal on the 24th and 27th there were already SELL signals indicating that the market was overbought. This was confirmed by the subsequent volume deltas shown in red candles and high trading volume in that direction. Later in the day yesterday, there were some glimpses of recovery and BUY signals were given again and the price partially recovered the decline to around 21,235 points. If we look at the 3 smoothed averages of the WACD we see that there has been a bearish confirmation and the direction has evolved strongly downwards and the direction seems to be softening slightly upwards. If conditions are right it could be that the Checkpoint (POC) at 21850 could be regained if the market decides that Deepseek is not as dangerous to its NASDAQ rivals. Technical indicators, yesterday put the RSI at 7% oversold, on the index, which has supported the index's recovery.
Conclusion
Three clarifications are in order, although we have been told that DeepSeek has received only 6 to 10 million, it is very likely that the Chinese state has funded the previous research cost, and this is not being imputed to the value of DeepSeek's R1, we also do not know if China has managed to circumvent the US chip and semiconductor sanctions, and they have underestimated the value on purpose, unofficially it could have employed more semiconductors than it has declared to avoid problems with the US government, and thus falsely demonstrate that the model in its training has employed less resources than they actually did. One can also take note that R1 has employed the chatgpt model O1, with shortcuts in its reasoning structure. If this were true, DeepSeek's R1 model has been developed thanks to ChatGPT and this could have been given thanks to OpenAI and would reduce the value of obtaining such success. The cost of using AI is one of the main arguments as to whether the demand for power and data targets is what will really determine the value of these companies. This has to be taken into account because if AI becomes a low-consumption standard, we will have AI in our soup and the aggregate demand for these elements will expand, and since we will be using it continuously, the high consumption of AI will increase.
This is what is known as the Jevons Paradox (the Jevons paradox implies that the introduction of more energy efficient technologies may ultimately increase total energy consumption and simultaneously lead to an increase in emissions) . Also to be taken into account is the AI recursive improvement paradox, of improving the mechanism of the AI reasoning process and efficiency. The positive implication is that small models would be able to distill the large AI models even if their model was closed and opaque, and this tool would not be monopolized by large companies but from the hand on a cell phone could apply improvements in these small models. The downside would be the opportunities and risks of AI, this recursive self-improvement brings us steps closer to artificial superintelligence, this has its risks.
The wisdom of Warren Buffet, often warns that no matter how clear we are that a certain industry is the future, it is very complicated to determine which will be the winning horses in that sector. A week ago NVIDIA AND CHATGPT were going to eat the world and overnight DeepSeek could end up sweeping the world in that specific sector. And any other startup could replace all of them. This already happened back in the day in the internet browsers era making what is Google Chrome today the main player or safari, when in other times there were other browsers like internet explorer, etc.
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USNAS100/ The Bullish Trend AheadUSNAS100
Technical analysis
The price has reversed from the resistance zone and is currently trading below it. To confirm a bullish trend, it is essential for the price to stabilise above this resistance zone by closing with a confirmed candle above it, potentially reaching the level of 22,400. However, as long as the price remains below this zone, there is a higher likelihood of testing the support level at 21,570. If this support level fails to hold, the next target would be the support at 21,370.
It is important to note that the support at 21,570 is a significant level that may provide enough strength to push the price upwards.
Buy or Sell? Read the caption. I told you...Hello guys
We came with NAS100 analysis.
Due to the heavy selling that has happened now, we need to maintain the defined twin bottom range to maintain the upward trend.
Otherwise, the drop will continue up to the specified limits.
Now, if the price is supported, you can see its growth up to the specified areas.
*Trade safely with us*
4-hr US100: 700 Points Drop on the RadarFollowing the formation of a Double Top pattern at the 21,930 level last Friday, the NASDAQ has experienced a significant decline, plummeting by nearly 800 points. This downturn has been primarily driven by unfavorable manufacturing data emerging from China, alongside the Bank of Japan's unexpected interest rate hike on Friday. The market reaction closely resembles the Yen carry trade unwind observed in August of last year, as investors are swiftly reallocating capital from high-risk assets such as equities to traditionally safer alternatives. The Japanese Yen, recognized as a classic safe-haven asset, has seen increased demand amid the current market uncertainty.
From a technical perspective, the US100 index currently exhibits an oversold condition, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). However, the prevailing downward momentum remains robust, suggesting that a potential reversal may not be imminent. The price action has decisively breached multiple Fibonacci retracement levels in succession and is now approaching the critical 61.2% retracement level. Historically, this level has acted as a strong and final support zone. Should this support level fail to hold, further declines towards the 20,500 threshold and potentially lower levels should not be ruled out.
Market participants should exercise heightened caution, as the Federal Reserve is scheduled to convene this Wednesday, with an anticipated decision to maintain interest rates. This forthcoming announcement is likely to exert additional downward pressure on the US100 index. Nevertheless, given the sharp recent declines, short-term corrective pullbacks to the upside remain plausible.
In light of the current market conditions, a prudent trading approach would involve entering short positions only after the NASDAQ convincingly breaches and closes below the 61.2% Fibonacci retracement level, thereby confirming further bearish sentiment.
Louw Swing LongWeekly Market is Bullish and also the Daily(D1) is also Bullish so waiting for the market to bounce at my Retest
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): To The All Time High
A strong bullish breakout of a key daily horizontal resistance cluster
indicates that US100 index will soon reach the All-Time High.
Be ready for more growth at least to 22085.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
