Nasdaq has broken the resistanceNasdaq has broken the resistance. It may pull back before continueing its uptrend.
NAS100 trade ideas
Nas100 - Weekly OutlookI wont be breaking this one down until smaller TF as this was the exact prediction I anticipated prior this bullish move but I will be looking at the 4H Demand zone to now buy from
Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis:
1- From macro-economic perspective, next week we have the Fed Minutes which is irrelevant and late in the week very relevant data to confirm the economic slowdown.
2- Trump likes attention; so expect every day at least one tweet.
TA Analysis:
1- Price reached last year high. Price closed very bullish in weekly and daily, but just below last year high.
2- Price completed the compression to the top.
3- My ST&MT Outlook is Sell . Hence, I see price going to visit the bottom of the weekly range.
Wish you a relaxing weekend and a green upcoming weeks!
Nas100NAS100 is approaching a key resistance level at 22,000—a strong barrier that has held firm in the past.
🔹 If price breaks above 22,000, we look for a confirmed breakout and take an entry.
🔹 If it gets rejected, our first support zone is 21,830 to 21,850.
Why is this level important?
✅ The 9 EMA aligns as support
✅ It previously acted as a key resistance twice before turning into support
If price drops further, our next key support is 21,820, and below that, we have a strong buy zone at 21,650.
Why?
✅ It aligns with the trendline support
✅ The 20 EMA adds confluence
By watching these levels closely, we can react accordingly and position for high-probability trades!
iamtradingdon | NAS100 Market Daily Technical AnalysisIf the VANTAGE:NAS100 trend continues to gain momentum, seize the opportunity by executing a SELL using the Z combination strategy. And when a bearish candle closes below 22.020, set your sights on a target of 21.899. Trust your analysis, stay disciplined, and let your determination guide you to success.
FULL TRADE-ABLE SET UPS FOR NASDAQ 100
1. Macro & Market Overview
Strong U.S. Economic Backdrop:
• The United States is outpacing other major economies, with ~3% GDP growth and inflation moderating near 2.9%, supporting a “soft landing” scenario. This underpins bullish sentiment for U.S. equities, including the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100.
Monetary Policy & Earnings:
• The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes, maintaining a tight-but-on-hold stance (Fed Funds ~4.25–4.50%). Markets expect no immediate cuts but anticipate eventual easing later in the year, keeping rate-sensitive growth stocks afloat.
• Nasdaq 100 earnings remain solid thanks to big tech’s strong profits; hedge funds retain net long exposure in Nasdaq futures, though they are more defensive overall.
Institutional Sentiment & Positioning:
• Hedge funds are selectively bullish on technology, while also hedging broader market risks. Retail investors remain optimistic, reinforcing tech’s upward bias.
• Global liquidity is no longer “superabundant,” yet no severe credit stress exists; interest rates remain high but stable, which still supports equity valuations for high-quality growth names.
Key Macro Risk Factors to Watch:
• Potentially hotter-than-expected inflation data could spark another wave of rate-hike concerns, pressuring high-valuation tech stocks.
• Any major escalation in trade policy (e.g. tariffs on key tech components) could weigh on the Nasdaq 100, given many constituents’ global supply chains.
Overall, the macro backdrop leans positive for large-cap U.S. tech, though caution persists due to high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties.
2. Technical & Institutional Flow Perspective
• Hedge Fund Positioning: Futures positioning shows hedge funds net long the Nasdaq 100, reflecting conviction in secular growth themes (AI, cloud), even as they hedge other parts of the equity market.
• Liquidity Conditions: There is no acute repo or funding stress, which generally supports risk assets. However, flows into money market funds signal that institutions are keeping some “dry powder” to buy dips.
• Options & Gamma: A positive gamma environment often stabilizes equity prices, yet heavier put buying late in the week signals an increasing desire to hedge. If put volume continues to rise, short-term volatility could pick up quickly.
3. US100 Price Action & Key Technical Levels
Overall Trend:
• Long-term (Weekly) and medium-term (Daily) trends remain bullish, with higher highs and higher lows since 2023.
• Recent price action is range-bound between roughly 21,400–21,500 (support) and 21,800–22,000 (resistance).
Consolidation Zone:
• The Nasdaq 100 (US100) has been coiling just under strong resistance at ~22,000. Price repeatedly bounces off the 21,400–21,500 region intraday, indicating institutional buying interest.
Momentum Indicators:
• On daily and 4-hour charts, RSI hovers in neutral territory (50–55 region), and MACD is near the zero line. This confirms a sideways consolidation within a larger uptrend.
• No significant bearish divergences have formed; momentum has simply cooled, awaiting fresh catalysts to drive a breakout.
Key Zones to Watch:
• Support: 21,400–21,500 (short-term intraday floor), then 21,000–21,200 (deeper daily support).
• Resistance: 21,700–22,000. A clear break above 22,000 could open upside targets (e.g. 22,500+).
4. Potential Trade Setups
Below are three sample strategies—one aiming for a range breakout, one for a pullback entry, and one for a range fade—depending on how price reacts around the current consolidation zone.
A) Bullish Breakout Trade
Rationale:
• The primary trend is bullish, macro data remain supportive, and hedge funds hold net long exposure in tech. A strong push above established resistance (~22,000) could trigger momentum buying.
Entry Trigger:
• Wait for a decisive breakout above 22,000 on a daily closing basis (or a strong intraday move with higher volume).
• Look for volume expansion and a clear candle close above the resistance band to confirm that buyers have absorbed supply.
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Set an initial stop just below the breakout zone, e.g. 21,700–21,800, to avoid whipsaws if the breakout fails.
• For extra caution, place stops under the last swing low near 21,400 if a wider stop is preferred.
Target Objectives:
• First target: ~22,500 (a minor psychological/round level).
• Potential second target: ~23,000–23,200 if bullish momentum accelerates and fundamentals remain supportive.
Trade Management:
• Consider trailing the stop if price quickly moves 1:1 or 1.5:1 in your favor, and lock in partial profits if momentum stalls near 22,500.
B) Buy the Pullback (Support Bounce)
Rationale:
• Institutions appear to defend the 21,400–21,500 region. If price dips back into that area without a major macro deterioration, it may offer a favorable reward-to-risk entry in line with the longer uptrend.
Entry Trigger:
• Look for a pullback to the 21,400–21,500 area, followed by bullish rejection candlesticks (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing on 1-hour/4-hour charts), or an oversold intraday RSI.
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Place a tight stop just below 21,400 (e.g. 21,350), as a break below may signal a deeper correction.
Target Objectives:
• Aim for a retest of the 21,800–22,000 resistance zone, capturing the move from the mid-21,400s to around the 21,900s.
Trade Management:
• If price fails to bounce and closes below 21,400, exit quickly to reduce downside exposure. Reassess lower supports near 21,000–21,200.
C) Range Fade / Mean Reversion (Short at Resistance)
Rationale:
• If macro data or headlines (e.g., tariffs) resurface concerns, the Nasdaq 100 may struggle to break 22,000 and continue chopping sideways. A short near the upper range resistance can work if the index keeps rejecting that zone.
Entry Trigger:
• Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern or repeated intraday rejections around 21,800–22,000. Confirm with short-term momentum rolling over (for example, a 1-hour RSI crossing below 50 from an overbought reading).
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Set a stop above 22,000 (e.g. 22,050–22,100), as a decisive break would invalidate the fade thesis.
Target Objectives:
• First target around the midrange near 21,600, and a second target near the lower bound at 21,400–21,500.
• This approach is suited for short-term traders who anticipate more sideways chop. Since it is counter to the main uptrend, be nimble with your exits.
Trade Management:
• If price breaks above 22,000 with force, cut short positions promptly to avoid a breakout squeeze.
5. Risk & News Catalysts to Monitor
1. Inflation / Fed Guidance:
• Surprise inflation prints or hawkish Fed comments can spike bond yields, pressuring highly valued growth stocks in the Nasdaq 100.
2. Earnings Releases (Late Q4 & Q1 2025):
• Watch guidance from top Nasdaq constituents (mega-cap tech). Strong outlooks can fuel upside, while cautious forward guidance may keep the index stuck under resistance.
3. Trade Policy Headlines:
• Any tariff announcements aimed at tech supply chains or key trading partners could weigh heavily on the Nasdaq, especially if margins for chipmakers or consumer electronics are threatened.
4. Dollar Strength or Weakness:
• A sharp dollar rally can sometimes hamper multinational tech earnings. Conversely, a softer dollar could boost foreign revenue translation, favoring further Nasdaq gains.
6. Final Perspective
• Macro Take: A late-cycle expansion with cooling inflation, decent consumer demand, and stable rates supports the tech sector’s growth story.
• Institutional Flows: Hedge funds remain net long Nasdaq futures, while retail sentiment is still positive for AI and tech. This tilt underpins potential rallies but is balanced by heightened hedging.
• Technical Backdrop: The US100 sits in a bullish consolidation, with strong support near 21,400–21,500 and key resistance at ~22,000. Momentum is neutral, awaiting the next catalyst to break out (or fail) from the range.
Bottom Line:
• The long-term uptrend remains intact.
• Near-term price action is range-bound.
• Watch for either a bullish breakout above 22,000 for a continuation trade, a pullback buy at 21,400–21,500 if support holds, or a range fade short if the index keeps rejecting the 21,800–22,000 region.
Always manage positions with clear stops and stay alert to macro data releases or sudden geopolitical news, as either can ignite volatility in the Nasdaq 100.
More possibilities here, but overall bullish on nas100From what i am seeing, market strukture looks bullish to me. Now the question is whether markets will make some pullback or just go straight up. I feel like markets will make pullback, take liquidity or fill 4h imbalance.
From fundamental side of thing, the pullback can be caused by 0.9% drop in retail sales. But that's about all of the importance that could support my idea.
Overall, I will be looking for long trades as the US economy appears to be strong despite the increased tariffs and the market structure suggests the same.
Tell me your perspective on the situation, I'd love to learn :)
Remains bullish and wait for reversal signalLast week, both CPI and PPI data came in below expectations, indicating signs of rising inflation. However, the market did not experience a sharp decline; instead, prices held above 21,432, demonstrating strong support.
This market reaction suggests that seller were not willing to enter at this stage. The market maintained its uptrend, broke through previous highs, and reached the target level on Friday, surpassing the 21,968 and 22,100 resistance levels consecutively.
As long as there are no technical signals indicating a market reversal, the overall outlook for next week remains bullish. The next price target is 22,465, and attention should be paid to the market's performance within the 22,300–22,465 range to further assess its direction.
From a long-term perspective, I still believe that U.S. tech stocks are overvalued, and various risk factors could trigger a downturn. And the potential correction could be significant. My specific views can be referenced in my previous market commentary from February 3–7, 2025.
Therefore, when taking long positions, it is crucial to remain vigilant about market sentiment shifts, as the market could reverse at any time. I will wait for technical confirmation on the 4-hour chart and enter short positions once reversal signals appear.
NAS100USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 21,661.7.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,981.2 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NASDAQ Massive Resistance breakout targeting 23000.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Channel Up, which is testing today its Resistance, the previous higher high of the pattern.
When this took place duringt the previous bullish wave, the price stayed supported by the 1day MA50 and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 23000.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Possible BUYThe Market would want make new all time highs but before it does that we looking to take out the internal liquidity marked on the chart. The external liquidity is the previous day low which seem unlikely to be taken out. There is also a Inverse FVG on (2H) that I'm looking at and from there i would be looking to buys. SL is previous low, TP1 is previous high and TP2 is ALH. The market could also take out the ATH before coming done but i would wait till it comes down first to enter
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price form a supply around level of 22014.86 and is likely to continue going down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 21769.60 and 21516.33 . Use money management
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT ZONE /4HHELLO EVERYONE
The price has changed direction and is now trading within an ascending channel, which increases the likelihood of a continued bullish trend. However, today’s CPI data release is expected to create market sensitivity and lead to strong price movements.
Technically, as long as the price remains above 21,570, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, with the next target at 21,930 and, if broken, further upside potential toward 22,120. On the other hand, if the price breaks below 21,570 and closes a 4-hour candle beneath this level, a bearish trend could begin, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Given the impact of economic data, increased volatility is expected, and traders should look for confirmation before making decisions.
NAS100 4H AND 1H ORDER BLOCK AND SUPPLY ZONENas100 is currently in a major supply zone and tapped into a 4h order block with a 1h order block little higher.
Could see a possblie retracement from these levels to the previous breakout zone. 100 points/ 1000 pips Stop loss range for a 300 points/ 3000 pips profit target.
NAS100The Nasdaq Stock Market is one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, known for its focus on technology and growth-oriented companies. It was the first electronic stock market and continues to be a leader in innovation and trading efficiency. The Nasdaq Composite Index tracks nearly all stocks listed on the exchange, while the Nasdaq-100 includes the largest non-financial companies. Trading on Nasdaq follows regular U.S. market hours, with extended pre-market and after-hours sessions available. Investors closely watch the Nasdaq for trends in the tech sector and overall market performance.
NASQ 100 - looking to a new higher highHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
NAS100 at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is currently testing a major demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. The recent bearish move has brought price into this key area, increasing the probability of a potential bullish reversal.
If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a bounce toward the 21,655 level, aligning with a short-term recovery from the current dip. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a shift in momentum before considering long positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts below!
US100 DOWN-TREND CONTINUES IN H1 TFPrice continues to drop in shorterm bear trend . A sell opportunity is envisaged From the current market price of the price. Our stop loss is at broken support price of 21446.5
Nasdaq trading insights: 27-Feb-2025Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
OUR SMALL TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQMy students and I earlier took this small trade on NASDAQ which was what we had for the day, as you can see, we entered based on the daily opening range and the FVG to target the LQ.
For any questions, the comment section is all yours!
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My NQ Long Trade Idea 26/2/2025I am long on NQ but with a very small lot size because we have NVIDIA earnings coming up and I don't want to fall a victim to the nasty spike that's about to happen.
I am going long on the NQ mainly because US stocks are well known to bounce back up. They are always likely to bounce back up than continue to fall down unless we are entering a recession and we are going through an AI bubble burst.
I believe Tariffs are some-what bullish for stocks but nothing is clear yet. I believe the FED are going to surprise us in the next few weeks with a data that will be bullish for US economy. So this could be the bottom for the next few weeks and months I am not sure whatever I say is just speculation based on what the economy is doing.
I will take the super safe trade style here. Trailing my SL whenever I enter into profit and I find a support on smaller timeframes.
NAS100 Price ActionThis note that I left was written when I hopped into the chart today, I came late this week but I promise that I will Catch Up, We will CATCH UP. Happy Trading!!!
