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NAS100 trade ideas

USNAS100/ New ATH Historical Price, and CorrectionTechnical Analysis The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21,800 and continues to build positive momentum, with the next target set at the resistance level of 21,770. However, this upward movement is expected to resume after completing a correction toward 21,670. So now any stability above 21,770 will get the price toward 21,880 which is a new high level. Otherwise, stability below 21,675 by closing the 4h candle under it, means will drop to 21,535. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21770, 21880, 22000 Support Levels: 21,675, 21,535, 21420
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ 100 10 Rules for Market Dynamics (Translated to English) If the price "accepts" a value area, it is highly likely to reach the other extreme. If the price is within a value area, the expectation is for it to remain INSIDE until there are clear signs otherwise. Price tends to be "choppier" within a consolidated value area due to high liquidity. Define tolerance zones. Do not trade in the middle zone (POC). If the price is accepted OUTSIDE the value area, the expectation is for the condition of the market to change and likely expand.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by robert_carl
nas100 update Key Observations: 1. Trade Progress: • The price has moved significantly in your favor, reaching Target 1 at 21,582.04 and continuing upward toward the higher target at 21,939.56. • The current price is at 21,825.54, showing strong bullish momentum. 2. Updated Elements: • Profit Metrics: The trade has generated 445.38 USD in profit (based on the updated lot size and risk percentage shown in the position calculator). • The 4-hour bearish order block (OB) has been respected so far, with no major reversals threatening the trade. 3. Risk Management: • The note on the chart (“Narrow stop for any added positions”) suggests you’re managing risk effectively for scaling into the trade while locking in profits on the original position. 4. Key Levels: • Entry Zone: 21,235.54 remains valid. • Stop-Loss: Still set at 21,186.05, providing protection. • Fibonacci 50% Retracement: The bounce from this level was accurate, reinforcing your initial analysis. 5. Trading Psychology: (“Patience, react, don’t predict. If it isn’t in the press, it’s in the price”) reflects a disciplined trading mindset. Scaling In on a Retracement: 1. Retracement Zones: • Set pending buy orders at 21,700 and 21,582.04, where price may retrace. 2. Smaller Lot Size: • Use 50% of the initial lot size for added trades to minimize overall risk. 3. Entry Confirmation: • Look for bullish engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support levels, or price respecting the Fibonacci retracement (50% or 61.8%). 4. Stop-Loss Placement: • For the added position, place your SL just below the retracement zone: • If entry is 21,700, SL can be at 21,582.04. • If entry is 21,582.04, SL can be at 21,186.05. 5. Profit Targets for Added Positions: • First target: 21,939.56. • Final target: 22,130.78.
FX:NAS100Long
by Saint876
Below is a quick, high-level read on what the chart suggests for1. Recent Downward Momentum Price has clearly dropped from a swing high (around the mid‑21,400s to 21,480 area) and is now trading in the low 21,300s. The series of lower highs on the way down suggests near-term bearish pressure or at least a corrective pullback. 2. Key Support Zones There’s a notable support band around 21,280 – 21,250 (green boxes/lines on your chart). This area appears to have propped the market up once already. Below that, the next region of interest is near 21,200 – 21,180, which may act as a secondary support if the first zone fails. 3. Overhead Resistance Near-term resistance looks to be the 21,360 – 21,400 zone. The market rejected in that region not long ago. A break and hold above 21,400 could indicate buyers are regaining control, potentially setting up a run toward prior swing levels in the 21,450–21,480 range. 4. Volume Profile Observations There’s heavier volume around the mid-21,200s and again in the upper 21,300s/21,400 region. These are likely to remain “hot spots” where price may stall or pivot due to heavier trading activity. The 21,250–21,280 band also shows a fair amount of transactional volume, reinforcing that support zone. 5. Short-Term Bias As long as price stays below the 21,360–21,400 ceiling, the immediate tilt is mildly bearish or consolidative, leaning negative. If bulls manage a strong push above 21,400, it would suggest short-term buyers are stepping in; failing that, watch for a retest of the 21,250 zone or potentially the 21,200 handle. Bottom Line Short-Term Bearish Bias: Lower highs and a clear downward swing off recent highs. Immediate Supports: 21,280 → then 21,250 → deeper support near 21,200. Immediate Resistances: 21,360 → 21,400 → beyond that, 21,450+. Keep an eye on how price reacts at those volume-rich zones—if momentum breaks above 21,400, that could quickly shift sentiment more bullish in the immediate term. If support near 21,280/21,250 fails, expect a further leg down.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by peteramner
US Nas 100 . 4H4-Hour Timeframe Analysis for NAS 100U In the 4-hour timeframe, we have observed a confirmed bullish trend. The price has reached a short-term peak and established this level, allowing for a pullback that can facilitate liquidity accumulation. If this pullback holds, we anticipate upward movement toward our identified target. However, we must remain cautious. If the Order Block Decisional fails, we will revise our selling strategy accordingly. In addition, should the Order Block Extreme be confirmed in the specified area, we may reconsider re-entering a buy position. It is essential to keep trades open until we hit our Fibonacci-based take-profit targets.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights NAS 100U Chart Analysis Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart. However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target. Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024) To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week: 1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U. 2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets. 3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices. 4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations. Scenarios Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point. 2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation. 3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels. By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
TEMPORARY SELLS ON NASDAQGood day traders, today we have beautiful market structure on Nasdaq as you can see on the 15m timeframe the market gave us a bearish market structure shift after reaching the FVG on the right, we are in the london killzone i am looking for this market to trade down to the level @21098.7 so that I can execute my buys(long term positions) so do not worry if you missed the perfect entry on this one, there will be more during the day.currently we are selling to buy ENTRY:21538.1 SL:21616.8 TP:21098.7
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Mokgethoa_MK
NAS100 - Nasdaq, waiting for the final days of Santa Rally?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the demand zone will provide us with the conditions to buy it. The Federal Reserve, in its latest meeting, reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.25%–4.50%. However, FOMC members now forecast the 2025 interest rate to hover around 3.9%, higher than their September projection of 3.4%. Markets were largely surprised by the Fed’s hawkish stance, especially following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, indirectly emphasized during the post-meeting press conference that policymakers are currently assessing the impact of Trump’s economic policies on inflation and growth. This shift has unsettled investors, dampening the optimistic market sentiment that typically precedes the Christmas holiday. Concerns are rising that if the Trump administration follows through on its campaign promises regarding taxes, tariffs, and immigration, the Fed may have to reverse its rate-cutting trajectory and adopt rate hikes instead. The outlook for 2025 has also seen adjustments. The Federal Reserve now expects only two rate cuts in 2025, compared to four cuts forecasted in September. This adjustment reflects the persistent inflation that remains above the central bank’s target range. Following the Fed’s announcement, the S&P 500 experienced its steepest decline in 27 months, falling over 3.5%. The last time the U.S. stock index saw such a significant drop was in September 2022, during peak inflation and amid aggressive monetary tightening. Similarly, the Nasdaq dropped by 3.6%, marking its worst decline in five months. Morgan Stanley also revised its outlook for the Fed, predicting two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, instead of the previously anticipated three cuts. On the economic front, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, scheduled for release today, is likely to draw market attention. This index has risen steadily over the past two months, while one of its components—the sub-index measuring “job finding difficulty”—has declined during the same period. Given its strong correlation with the official unemployment rate, a further drop in December could signal job growth and a stronger dollar. On Tuesday, November data for durable goods orders and new home sales will be released. Durable goods orders, which grew by 0.3% in October, are expected to decline by 0.4% month-over-month. However, investors often focus on the more specific “non-defense capital goods orders (excluding aircraft),” which tends to exhibit less volatility and is a key input for GDP calculations. Overall, if market volatility persists during the holiday season, equities and bonds are likely to be impacted. The Fed’s hawkish tone is unfavorable for stocks, suggesting continued selling pressure as Treasury yields rise. The U.S. Treasury plans to auction two-year, five-year, and seven-year notes this week. If demand falls short of expectations, bond yields could face additional upward pressure. Deutsche Bank, in a recent note, highlighted a significant shift in the Fed’s tone. Although the Fed reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%–4.50%, analysts noted a more hawkish stance than expected. One key indicator of this shift is the upward revision of the 2025 median inflation forecast to 2.5%, which Deutsche Bank described as “notable.” According to this report, the Fed does not anticipate inflation returning to its 2% target until 2027. Furthermore, the Fed’s updated forward guidance lacked any clear indications of future rate cuts. Jerome Powell described the December rate cut as a “difficult decision,” which faced opposition from Loretta Mester, President of the Cleveland Fed. Deutsche Bank analysts believe the Fed is unlikely to take any action during its January meeting, and the current pause could extend into a prolonged hold throughout 2025. Forecasts suggest that interest rates will remain above 4% next year, with no additional cuts anticipated.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NDX positive move for the next two days.Riding the Nasdaq Wave: Navigating Market Swells and Dips Let’s dive into the Nasdaq 100 Index. Flashback to a year ago, and you'll remember a 4.05% dip from December 28, 2023, to January 4, 2024. Technology stocks took a hit, shaken by rising interest rates. The market trembled under hawkish whispers from Federal Reserve officials, who hinted that rates might stay elevated to tame inflation. This stirred up volatility, causing a sell-off in high-growth tech stocks — notoriously sensitive to interest rate ripples. Fast forward to today, and we’re staring down a similar barrel: fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 and pesky inflation hanging around. Technically, the NDX boasts solid support at around 21,000. It would take some seriously bad macro-news to dip below the 50-day moving average. Expect some range trading between 21,000 and 22,000 this week. For traders, the game plan mirrors that of the S&P 500 Index. Pocket some profits during market highs and keep some cash handy for snagging better deals in 2025. Stay sharp, and ride the wave!
NASDAQ:NDX
by IrinaTK
NASDAQ: Dancing on the Edge of a Techno-Financial TightropeMarket Overview The NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has recently corrected by approximately 5.5% from its all-time high of 22,133 on December 16, 2024. This comes after a historic rally driven by resilient megacap technology stocks, robust earnings, and the continued dominance of AI-led innovation. Despite the correction, the index remains up 18% year-to-date, outpacing broader indices like the S&P 500, fueled by optimism around productivity-enhancing technologies. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds could temper this growth into 2025. Technical Analysis Trendlines Short-Term: The NDX remains in a rising trend channel since March 2023, with the lower boundary around 20,500 acting as critical support. A recent breach of its 21-day moving average suggests growing bearish momentum. Long-Term: The index's long-term trendline, extending from the pandemic lows in 2020, remains intact, underscoring investor confidence in the broader tech narrative. Key Levels Support Immediate support: 20,790 (50-day moving average). Strong support: 20,500 (trendline and Fibonacci retracement zone). Resistance Near-term resistance: 21,900 (upper boundary of rising wedge). Critical resistance: 22,133 (all-time high). Momentum Indicators RSI: Declining from overbought territory (currently at 64), signaling potential for further downside before resetting to neutral. MACD: A bearish crossover suggests weakening momentum in the near term. Macroeconomic Context Interest Rates The Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, with the terminal rate hovering around 5.75%. While inflation has moderated to 2.4%, core inflation remains sticky at 2.8%, keeping rate cuts off the table until mid-2025. Elevated borrowing costs could weigh on tech valuations, particularly for growth companies reliant on cheap capital. Economic Growth U.S. GDP growth is forecasted to decelerate from 2.6% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025, reflecting weaker consumer spending and tighter financial conditions. This slowdown could dampen earnings growth across the NASDAQ-100 constituents. Corporate Earnings Analysts expect NDX earnings growth of 8% in 2025, down from the blistering 14% in 2024, as cost pressures and a plateauing of AI-related tailwinds take hold. Geopolitical Landscape China-U.S. Relations Increasing tensions over Taiwan and heightened scrutiny of U.S. tech exports to China remain a wildcard. Any escalation could disrupt semiconductor supply chains and impact heavyweights like Nvidia and AMD. Europe Persistent instability in Eastern Europe and ongoing energy challenges pose risks to multinational tech firms with significant operations or customers in the region. Middle East Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from conflicts in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated (~$95/barrel). Higher energy costs could indirectly affect tech earnings by squeezing consumer and corporate budgets. 2025 Outlook Base Case The NASDAQ-100 ends 2025 up 8–12%, driven by resilient demand for cloud computing, generative AI, and green technology innovations. Support from stable core earnings growth and moderating inflation provides a favorable backdrop. Bear Case Prolonged high interest rates, coupled with weaker-than-expected global growth, lead to a flat or mildly negative year. Key risks include geopolitical flare-ups, regulatory actions on Big Tech, and waning investor enthusiasm for speculative assets. Bull Case A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve in H2 2025, alongside breakthrough advancements in AI or biotechnology, propels the index to new highs (~24,000). Conclusion The NASDAQ-100 is entering 2025 with a cautiously optimistic outlook, balanced between robust technological trends and mounting macro/geopolitical risks. Investors should monitor key support at 20,500 and resistance at 21,900 as barometers of sentiment. While near-term volatility is likely, the index remains a cornerstone for long-term growth portfolios. For 2025, the focus is on being smart: diligent monitoring, disciplined allocations, and adapting to shifting conditions. "There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat." – John Tuld – Margin Call (2011)
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by WHSelfInvest