Get started
Dow Jones Industrial Average IndexDow Jones Industrial Average IndexDow Jones Industrial Average Index

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

US30 trade ideas

The Great Depression 2025–2036: Here’s What Awaits UsThe Great Depression 2025-2036: Here's What Await Us Stock Markets: An expected decline of 80%, similar to 1929. Unemployment: Could rise to 30%, especially in the technology and manufacturing sectors. Housing Prices: A drop of 60–80%, severely impacting homeowners. Construction Sector: Predicted decline in activity by 90%. Energy Production: A reduction of 30–50% due to decreased demand. Global Trade: Anticipated contraction of 60–70%. Banks: Increasing bankruptcies and declining trust in financial institutions. Cryptocurrencies: Potential loss of 80–90% in value as central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are introduced.
TVC:DJIShort
by EvertLenos
16
Dow Jones Likely Trending Up in the Next Four YearsCBOT: Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ) #Microfutures The United States will enter a new presidency on Monday, January 20th. Will the stock market continue its upward trend under the 47th U.S. President? Before we set our sight on the future, it’s prudent to look back in history first. While it is not a guarantee for future performance, history does provide good intelligence. To find clues for our answer, I conducted an analysis on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). How the Dow Performed Under Different Presidencies My research setup is as follow: • I look at DJIA daily close prices for the past 50 years (from Aug. 1974 to Jan. 2025). This period covers 9 presidents and 13 four-year presidential terms. • For all the presidents, I use their Inauguration Day January 20th as the start day, while setting the end day for January 19th four years later. I compare the changes in DJIA closing prices from start to finish for each 4-year term. • The exceptions: Gerald Ford, who started his term on August 9, 1974, after Richard Nixon resigned; and Joe Biden, for whom I use the latest trade day January 15th. Here is what I found: • Gerald Ford (Aug. ‘74 – Jan. ’77): DJIA went up 181.7 points (+23.4%) • Jimmy Carter (Jan. ’77 – Jan. ’81), down 8.4 points (-0.9%) • Ronald Reagon (Jan. ’81 – Jan. ’89), up 1,288.1 points (+135.5%). The data can be further broken down to +68.6% in his 1st term and +45.7% in the 2nd term • George H.W. Bush (Jan. ’89 – Jan. ’93), up 1,020.6 points (+45.7%) • Bill Clinton (Jan. ’93 – Jan. ’01), up 7,345.6 points (+226.6%), including +110.8% in the 1st four years and +54.7% in the 2nd four years • George W. Bush (Jan. ’01 – Jan. ’09), down 2,306.4 points (-21.8%), for which -0.4% and -20.9% for his 1st and 2nd terms, respectively • Barack Obama (Jan. ’09 – Jan. ’17), up 11,783.3 points (+148.2%), including +71.7% in the 1st term and +44.6% in the 2nd term • Donald Trump (Jan. ’17 – Jan. ’21), up 11,060.2 points (+55.8%) • Joe Biden (Jan. ’21 – Jan. ’21), up 12,202.8 points (+39.5%) Dow Jones advanced the most points under current administration (+12,203 points), with Obama coming in 2nd for 11,783 points. The DJIA index gained the most in percentage terms under the Clinton administration (+226%). Across all nine presidents, DJIA was lower for one, flat for another, but moved up 7 out of 9 times. If you look deeper into the worst-performing years under George W. Bush, you will find that 9/11 terrorist attack happened in his first term and the 2008 financial crisis occurred in his second term. Both can be considered extreme events and outliners in the dataset. Regardless which political party commands the White House, the Dow is more likely to move up than down. From the first day Gerald took office to the last week of the Biden administration, DJIA went from 777 to 43,133, a huge gain of 5,449%! Trading with Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures The above analysis gives us comfort in the upward mobility of the US stock market. Further analysis of the DJIA shows strength in its Top 5 component companies. • As of January 15th, DJIA went up 15.5% in the past 12 months • Gold Sachs, which holds an 8.2% share by index weight, was up 57.5% in a year • 1-year returns for the other top components are: United Health (+4.2%), Microsoft (+9.0%), Home Depot (+12.2%), and Caterpillar (+31.5%) An investor may simply deploy the time-honored “Buy and Hold” strategy. The longer the holding period, the better the returns, barring extreme circumstances. Given that the DJIA is trending up over the long run, active traders may consider using stock index futures to enhance their investment returns. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones futures (MYM) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s benchmark Dow Jones futures (YM) contracts. Micro futures have a contract size of 0.5 times the DJIA index, which is 1/10th of the standard contract. CME data shows that the E-Mini and Micro Dow Jones futures have a combined open interest of 103,077 contract as of this Monday. According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders report, as of January 7, 2025, Leverage Funds hold 17,504 long positions and 11,695 short positions. With DJIA nearing its all-time high, “Small Money” is still bullish. Longs outweigh shorts by a 3:2 ratio. Buying or selling one MYM contract requires an initial margin of $1,077. With Wednesday midday quote of 43,376, each March contract (MYMH5) has a notional value of $21,688. Compared with investing in stocks, the futures contracts offer a built-in leverage of about 20 times (=21688/1077). Hypothetically, if Dow futures price moves up 10% to 47,714 in 2025, the index gain of 4,338 points will translate into $2,169 for a long position, given each index point equal to $0.50 for the Micro contract. Using the initial margin of $1,077 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 201.4% (=2169/1077). Futures contracts have expiration days, and you may not hold them forever like stocks. To stay Long in the DJIA, a trader may consider a futures rollover strategy. An illustration: • A trader would buy the lead contract March now, and hold it till the end of February • He would then sell March and buy June, which will become the next lead contract • He would repeat this process: buy September and sell June at the end of May • Repeat this again to buy December and sell September at the end of August This series of trades allows a trader to establish a long position in the DJIA throughout the year, while holding the most liquid contracts. There is no guarantee that each trade will yield positive returns. But if the Dow is trending up over time, the winning would likely outpace the loses. The leverage feature in futures works both ways. It would magnify the losses as well as improving the winnings. The good news is, a trader could put stop-loss on his futures trades, limiting the downside risks. For example, our trader may set stop-loss at 42,000 when he buys the MYM at 43,376. If the Dow falls to 40,000, his position will be liquidated well before that when the price hits 42,000. The maximum loss incurred will be $688 (= (43376 - 42000) * 0.5). The combination of Futures Rollover with Stop-loss could yield higher returns (thanks to the leverage) while maintaining a limited loss exposure. If the index bounces up and down but trends up in the long stretch, the trader will see both wins and losses. Since the wins are unbounded but the losses are contained, the overall returns would likely be positive. The risk to long Micro Dow is that the US stock market enters a bear market, and DJIA trends down over a long period of time. The trader could incur a series of limited losses, and the gains were not sufficient to cover those losses. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DJ:DJILong
by JimHuangChicago
7
US30 4H - ATHDow Jones Analysis Previous analysis The market has shown its inability to continue the bearish move and started a bullish rally. I’m keen to see another sign of sellers’ weakness and look for a good buying opportunity. In the longer term, I anticipate the market will aim for a new all-time high, targeting 48,800. The invalidation level for this analysis is the market's failure to break above the 45,000 resistance. Pro Tip: Always stick to your risk management plan and continuously compare the market’s movements with your prior analysis. Remember, analysis is a roadmap, not a guarantee. Follow for updates!
OANDA:US30USDLong
by GreyFX-NDS
4
Dow Jones - Trading 2025 Is Pretty Clear!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create another green year: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past 15 years, the Dow Jones has been respecting two significant rising trendlines. With each of the previous cycles being around +80% and corrections always starting with the new year, everything is pointing towards another phenomenal stock market year. Levels to watch: $50.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:DJILong
by basictradingtv
5
US30 - 15 min ( Best Sell Scalping Area After Break Out ) The recent analysis of the US30 index, as provided by FXCM, indicates a bearish outlook following the breach of a significant key level on the 15-minute time frame, particularly in the 44040 area characterized by heightened trading volume. This opportunity underscores the importance of precise market analysis rather than reliance on numerical data alone, reaffirming our commitment to delivering accurate insights for informed decision-making. ⚡️US30 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 44040 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:US30Short
by GentleGoldenEngine
1
DOW has a full Bull year ahead based on PRESIDENT'S CHEATSHEETDow Jones (DJI) has started the year on a positive note and that is anything but a coincidence. On this 1W chart you can see Dow's price action since the early 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. That happened to be Obama's 1st year of Presidency. As you can see, 2009 was an incredibly bullish year with the index rising more than +60% from the year's bottom. Four years later in 2013, which was the 1st year of Obama's 2nd term in office, Dow had again a strong year, rising by +25% (naturally the previous term was more aggressive as the market had tremendous upside potential to recover from one of the worst economic crises in history). Moving forward again 4 years (2017), we can see yet another bullish (+35%) 1st year of Presidency, this time Trump's first term. Biden also had his fair share of bullish 1st year of Presidency in 2021 (+23%). The pattern is evident and shows the euphoria the market has when the U.S. President assumes his duties on his 1st year. It also shows that (excluding as mentioned 2009, which was natural to see a stronger recovery) on average it is fair to expect a price increase during the 1st year of around +25% to +30%. In fact, the price action that led to the current 1st year of Presidency that has just started (Trump's 2nd term), is very similar to the one that preceded Obama's 2nd term (2013). Both formed a Channel Up after the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) was tested and held. That pattern pushed the price higher until the 1st year of Presidency, that found the index on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Even the 1W MACD sequences that preceded this, are similar between the two fractals. As a result, investors have a strong reason to be bullish in 2025 and if pattern achieves the bear minimum of 2021 (+23%), we can expect to see 51000 by the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
US30 - 15 min ( Sell Scalpng After Break Target Range 300 PIP ) In the context of US30 trading on the FXCM platform, a significant bearish breakout has been identified at the key level of 43,240 points on the 15-minute time frame. This analysis is underscored by high trading volume, indicating substantial market interest. Our approach prioritizes delivering precise opportunities and analyses, guided by qualitative insights rather than mere numerical data. ⚡️US30 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bearish Break Out key level + High Volume / 43240 Point ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:US30Short
by GentleGoldenEngine
7
us30 - 15 min ( Buy Scalping Target Range 400 PIP ) ⚡️US30 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf The analysis of the US30 index, as provided by FXCM, indicates a significant bullish reversal at the key level of 43,620 points based on 15-minute time frame observations. This reversal is further underscored by a notable increase in trading volume, suggesting a robust market sentiment. Our approach emphasizes delivering precise opportunities and thorough analyses rather than mere numerical data, ensuring that clients are well-informed to make sound investment decisions. 🚨Bullish Reversal Out key level + High Volume / 43620 Point ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:US30Long
by GentleGoldenEngine
Heading into 78.6% Fibonacci resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is an overlap support. Pivot: 44,343.65 1st Support: 43,729.99 1st Resistance: 44,765.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
2
US30 Analysis breakout occurred.Hello Guy's Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section Thanks Trade Safely In My Analysis of US30 (Dow Jones) on a 4-hour timeframe, showing a descending channel as the dominant trend until a breakout occurred. Key Observations: 1. Descending Channel: The price was in a bearish trend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows within the channel. 2. Breakout: A breakout to the upside is evident, signaling a potential reversal or bullish momentum. The breakout point is marked and supported by increased buying activity. 3. Support and Resistance: Support Level: Identified near 43,000, where price consolidated before the breakout. Resistance Level: Marked around 44,800, acting as the potential target for the bullish move. 4. Potential Price Movement: Post-breakout, the chart suggests a bullish projection toward the resistance level. However, price may retest the support level (previous resistance) for confirmation before continuing upward. Technical Outlook: The breakout from the descending channel indicates a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Buyers are likely dominating in the short term, with a probable continuation toward the resistance zone unless invalidated by a re-entry into the channel. NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
OANDA:US30USDLong
by David_Josh_Trader
3
US30 D1 | Falling from Fibo Confluence Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44,332.62, which aligns with a pullback resistance level and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fiboancci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 43,320.27, a pullback support. The stop loss is placed at 45,172.32, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Short
by FXCM
1
US30 - 15 min ( Sell Scalping After Break Targe Range 300 PIP )Introduction to US30 Analysis: This document aims to provide an insightful analysis of the US30 index, utilizing the 15-minute time frame to identify key breakout levels and bearish trends. Key Level Identification: The primary focus is the critical breakout level at 43,110 points, which serves as an important indicator of market sentiment. Market Sentiment: A bearish outlook is projected following the breach of the key level, corroborated by high trading volume, indicating a potential downward trend. Trade Recommendations: Traders are advised to closely monitor price action around the identified key level to capitalize on potential short-selling opportunities. Emphasis on Accuracy: Our analysis prioritizes precision over volume, ensuring that only the most accurate opportunities are conveyed to our clients. Conclusion and Guidance: Continued vigilance and adherence to this analysis are recommended to navigate market movements effectively and maximize investment potential. ⚡️US30 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 43110 Point ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:US30Short
by GentleGoldenEngine
1
US30 I Potential Pull Back and More Growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** US30 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by BKTradingAcademy
DOW JONES: Crossed above the monthly Channel Down. Buy signal.Dow Jones turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.829, MACD = -79.310, ADX = 34.732) as it crossed over the Channel Down that is the bearish wave of the long term bullish trend. The 1W MA50 held and we have to go back to October 30th 2023 to find the last time that the index was under it. If the 1W RSI crosses above the MA trendline, we will confirm that most likely we are going to have a November 6th 2023 type of bullish breakout. The major rallies of the past years have been at least +20%. Buy and TP = 50,500. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope