Dow Jones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 42,400 zone, Dow Jones was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a corerction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 42,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 trade ideas
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone.
📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels.
Pivot: 42610
Support Levels: 42410, 42160
Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders close to a bullish breakoutDow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, having formed the Right Shoulder supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The price is now slowly rising to test the upper neckline and if broken, expect a strong movement upwards. Technically, such patterns target their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions. The current one is at 49200 and that's our long-term Target. If you seek lower risk, you may target the 1.5 Fib extension.
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Dow Jones Struggles to Reach 43,000 PointsThe Dow Jones has gained more than 1% over the last three trading sessions and is now attempting to consistently reach price levels not seen since March of this year. The bullish bias has remained steady as investor confidence has recovered, driven by ongoing economic negotiations between the United States and China. The potential easing of trade tensions has helped stabilize market sentiment in the short term, and if this trend continues positively, consistent buying pressure could emerge in the index's movements over the near term.
Sustained Uptrend
Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a steady upward trend, and so far, selling corrections have been insufficient to break that trend. However, price action continues to face resistance at the trendline, and if this ongoing neutrality persists, the trendline could come under pressure in the coming sessions.
MACD
The MACD histogram continues to oscillate very close to the neutral 0 line, indicating that momentum between the moving averages remains balanced. As long as this behavior persists, the current neutral tone could become even more pronounced in upcoming sessions.
ADX
The ADX line remains below the neutral 20 level in the short term, signaling that average volatility has been steadily decreasing over the past sessions. This has further intensified the market’s neutral tone near the current resistance zone where the price is trading.
Key Levels:
42,700 points: Current resistance zone, aligned with the recent multi-week highs. This level could become the base for a broader short-term consolidation.
43,800 points: A level not seen since February of this year. A return to this area could reinforce the bullish bias and support a more sustained upward trend.
41,000 points: A critical support level that coincides with the 200-day simple moving average. A move toward this level on the downside could threaten the current bullish structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43192
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW/US30 - TIME FOR RECOVER DURING UK MARKET OPENINGTeam, very sad day to see Israel missle flying
We can only hope the world in peace
We are now finding opportunity to entry LONG DOW/US30
Please set your target 1 and 2 ranges
Make sure take 50-70% at first target and bring stop loss to BE
then second target
Please review the chart carefully and pricing target
Good luck.
Rush and Choke: Why the Patient Dog Wins in the MarketsWhere I come from, the expression “the patient dog eats the fattest bone” is sometimes seen as a myth—mostly because people want to get it fast. But that mindset doesn’t work in trading.
In this game, you have to be patient. Rushing into trades, chasing the market, or trying to force profits will only lead to unnecessary losses. If you’re not careful, that "bone" you’re so eager to grab might just get stuck in your throat.
Patience in trading means waiting for the right setup, managing your emotions, and trusting your strategy. It’s about playing the long game, not the fast one.
So remember: in the markets, the patient dog doesn’t just eat—the patient dog feasts.
US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders.
Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows.
Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA.
Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone.
From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980.
I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks.
What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
US30: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 42,682.9 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 42,855.1 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Support
US30 shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A cup and handle pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a local strength of the buyers.
I expect a pullback to 42550
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US30 Trade Update – 06/13/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/13/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 broke below the key support at 42,605 and continued to slide, tapping into the 42,248 demand zone. Price is currently rebounding off this level, but sellers remain in control under EMAs.
✅ Key Observations:
Failed to hold above 42,605 ❌
Strong selloff to 42,248 zone ✅
Below both EMAs → bearish pressure
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793
Support: 42,248 → 41,947
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,605
→ Target: 42,793 → 43,021
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248
→ Target: 41,947 → 41,894
⚠️ Market showing weakness – wait for retest or breakout to confirm next move!
Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions.
However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term.
Consistent Bullish Trend
Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections.
TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend.
41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections.
41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
us30 outlook US30 Supply & Demand Outlook (1H–2H)
The market is currently trading within a fair value range (highlighted in yellow), with no clear edge for high-probability entries.
I'm waiting for price to move out of this range and into one of the fresh supply or demand zones marked above and below.
US30 Technical Analysis – 8th June 2025c US30 Technical Analysis – 8th June 2025
🔍 Chart Overview:
The chart shows a classic range-bound structure with clearly defined support and resistance zones.
📍 Key Zones:
🔼 Resistance Zone: ~$42,900 – $43,000
Marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price has failed to close above this area convincingly.
Sellers are actively defending this level.
⚠️ Bearish pressure likely to increase if price stays below this level.
🔽 Support Zone: ~$41,750 – $41,850
Marked by strong bullish reactions (🟢 green arrows).
Buyers have stepped in consistently in this demand zone.
A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum.
📈 Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around $42,781.3, just below the resistance zone.
The latest candlestick shows rejection from the top, forming a bearish wick, indicating potential reversal pressure.
The large downward arrow (⬇️) on the chart suggests a bearish bias is expected by the analyst.
📉 Outlook & Strategy:
🔻 Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break and sustain above $43,000, expect a move back down towards the support zone at ~$41,800.
A breakdown below support could lead to deeper downside, targeting $41,500 or lower.
🛑 Invalidation:
A clean breakout and daily close above $43,000 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest potential continuation higher.
🎯 Trading Tips:
🔹 Short Bias: Look for short entries near resistance with tight stops above $43,000.
🔹 Target: $42,200 → $41,800
🔹 Risk Management: Always maintain a good risk-to-reward ratio and use proper stop-loss.
📌 Conclusion:
⚠️ The chart favors a bearish reversal from resistance unless bulls can push decisively above $43,000. Traders should watch for rejection patterns or breakdown confirmations to align with the bearish move
DOW JONES: Turning sideways for summer. Massive rise afterwards.Dow Jones is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.389, MACD = 425.040, ADX = 23.083) but 1W is neutral, a natural outcome of the ranged trading within the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50in the last 3 weeks. It is possible to see the index staying sideways until the end of August and then attempt to complete a +39.50% rise from its bottom, like both prior bullish waves did. Regardless of this a test of the Channel Up top trendline, gives us a fair TP = 48,000 for the end of the year.
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US30 BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 42,200.7
Target Level: 42,556.5
Stop Loss: 41,963.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US30 Consolidates Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Overview – Market Caught Between Geopolitical Risk and Technical Boundaries
The ongoing Middle East crisis continues to weigh on market sentiment, keeping US30 (Dow Jones) in a consolidation phase.
Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading between 42160 and 42410.
As long as it holds above 42160, a move toward 42410 remains likely.
🔺 A break and stability above 42410 would confirm bullish momentum toward 42810.
🔻 A break below 42160 opens the door for a decline toward 41780, with further downside potential.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42410
• Support: 42160 / 41780 / 41310
• Resistance: 42610 / 42810 / 43210
US30 Breaks Trendline Support – Will Geopolitics Add FuelUS30 (Dow Jones) — Trendline Breach & Rising Geopolitical Risk
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 is currently trading at 42,339, showing early signs of risk-off sentiment following a clear break of both the ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low, with price rejecting from the 42,863 supply zone. This sharp decline aligns with growing tensions between Iran and Israel, which are weighing heavily on investor confidence. The breakdown suggests a shift in momentum, with further downside likely if key support levels fail to hold.
Key Technical Highlights:
Major ascending trendline support has broken, indicating a structural shift toward bearish sentiment.
Price broke below both the Previous Day Low (42,551) and Fib support, invalidating short-term bullish setups.
EMA 50 was lost, and price is heading toward the 200 MA at ~42,100.
Stochastic shows strong bearish momentum, currently in a downward cross and nowhere near oversold.
Major downside levels: 42,100, 41,900, 41,700, and 41,500.
Upside resistance: 42,550, followed by 42,863 and 42,970.
🌍 Geopolitical Factor – Iran-Israel Conflict:
The recent escalation between Iran and Israel has intensified risk aversion across global markets. Defensive sectors are gaining while equity indices like the Dow Jones face increased selling pressure. With concerns over possible oil supply disruptions and global uncertainty, traders are pulling capital from equities and seeking safe-haven assets like gold and bonds.
The volatility spike from this geopolitical conflict may overshadow technical setups, amplifying moves and reducing the reliability of support/resistance zones unless confirmed with volume.
Trade Plan:
🔻 1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Short Bias) – Most Probable
Trigger: Retest of 42,550 fails (previous demand turned supply)
Target: 42,100 → 41,900 → 41,500
Stop Loss: Above 42,600
⚠️ 2. Pullback Bounce (Short-term Buy) – Less Probable
Trigger: Strong bounce from 42,100 with bullish divergence on Stochastic
Target: 42,550 → 42,700
Stop Loss: Below 42,000
Risk Management Note:
Due to the unfolding Middle East conflict, markets may behave erratically and spike unpredictably. Use smaller position sizes, widen SL buffers slightly, and stay alert to news headlines. Prioritize confirmation over anticipation.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook
🔍 1. Fundamental Analysis
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by macroeconomic shifts and geopolitical tensions. Below is an in-depth review of current factors influencing its price action:
🏦 Monetary Policy & Economic Indicators
Federal Reserve Stance:
After a series of rate hikes between 2022 and 2024, the Fed has adopted a more dovish tone in 2025.
Market consensus now expects the Fed to cut rates by Q3–Q4 2025 as inflation cools and growth moderates.
Inflation:
The May 2025 CPI came in lower than expected at 2.7% YoY, signaling disinflation.
Core CPI and PCE data also reflect a slowing pace of price increases, strengthening the case for easing.
Labor Market:
Non-farm payrolls have stabilized, but wage growth is slowing.
Unemployment remains low at 3.8%, but job creation is skewed toward lower-paying service sectors.
Growth Metrics:
ISM Manufacturing PMI remains below 50 (contraction), but Services PMI is resilient.
Consumer confidence dipped recently, reflecting uncertainty, yet consumer spending remains robust.
🌍 Geopolitical Climate
Iran–Israel Conflict Escalation (Mid 2025):
The recent Iran-Israel military clashes have rattled markets, briefly triggering risk-off flows.
The conflict has led to spikes in crude oil prices, pushing energy stocks higher but raising concerns about inflation re-acceleration.
US–China Relations:
Ongoing trade tensions over semiconductors and AI have led to sanctions on key Chinese tech firms.
Despite this, tech-heavy indices remain resilient due to domestic demand and AI sector optimism.
Global Monetary Policy Divergence:
While the Fed is dovish, the ECB has already started cutting rates, boosting global liquidity.
This divergence supports capital inflows into US equities, especially defensive and industrial sectors represented in the Dow.
📉 2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
The daily chart of US30, as annotated, reflects a clear transition from a bearish structure to a bullish regime, validated by Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology:
🔄 Market Structure Shift
Bearish Trend: Price was forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) into early 2025.
Change of Character (ChoCH): A significant bullish shift occurred with a closure above 42842, invalidating the prior LH and suggesting institutional buying.
Break of Structure (BOS): Followed by a clean higher high, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
🧱 Key SMC Levels & Zones
Buy Zone (Demand):
Between 41,600 and 41,800, this region aligns with:
A previous Higher Low (HL)
A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance
Psychological support zone
Expected to be a strong institutional demand zone for a long setup.
IDM (Intermediate Demand Mitigation):
Minor liquidity grab possible before retest of buy zone.
An early sign of bullish intent may appear here.
Bearish Invalidation Level:
41,179 is the key structural level.
A daily closure below 41,179 would invalidate bullish bias and trigger a bearish BOS.
📈 Trend & Liquidity Outlook
Liquidity Pools:
Sell-side liquidity rests below recent HLs, particularly near IDM and the Buy Zone.
Buy-side liquidity above recent HH (~43,800) is the next target if price rebounds.
Trendline Support:
Ascending trendline from April continues to hold.
Acts as dynamic support intersecting the Buy Zone in late June.
Targets:
TP1: 43,000 (recent swing high)
TP2: 43,800–44,000 (liquidity magnet zone)
Final Supply Zone: 45,078 (historical resistance, visible on chart)
📌 Scenario Planning (SMC-Based)
Primary (Bullish) Scenario:
Price retraces into Buy Zone (41,600–41,800).
Forms bullish engulfing or displacement candle.
Entry long → Target 43,800+, SL below 41,179.
Alternate (Bearish) Scenario:
Price closes below 41,179 (breaks structure).
Bias flips to bearish.
Next support zone lies around 40,300–40,500.
NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE