Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 42,584.80
1st Support: 41,458.80
1st Resistance: 43,086.08
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US30 trade ideas
DOW Might Recover From Today's LossesIsrael's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities has unsettled the markets. After a weak start, the indices, such as the DJIA, initially made little headway and were unable to recover their losses.
We do not expect the markets to plunge to their doom now, but to recover soon.
For the Dow, we initially expect new lows in the entry area shown and then a recovery to the target zone in the coming week.
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
Click to see the Previous idea
DOW JONES: Will the 4H MA200 produce a rally?Dow is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.949, MACD = 356.820, ADX = 20.639), trading between its 4H MA50 and MA200 in the past 2 days. The price just hit the 4H MA200 for the 2nd time again at the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it holds, the pattern can initiate the new bullish wave. We exepct it to repeat the +3.74% rise of the one before, TP = 43,550.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
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US30(Dow Jones)The combination of the COT data showing a shift towards more short positions and the technical picture suggests that bearish momentum could continue. Sell/Short: Consider entering a short position at current market levels, ideally on any retracement or rally towards the resistance zone.
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US30 Update bullish📊 US30 Update 🚀
Great job team! ✅ Our first TP was hit 🎯 and we’ve now secured our second entry after a solid retracement back to our initial zone. This is a strong buy-back opportunity, and momentum is building up again! 🔥
We’re now expecting a push towards our second TP at 43,300. 📈 Stay sharp and remember:
🧠 Trade smart,
📉 Manage your risk,
💰 No oversized lot sizes — let the setup do the work.
Let’s keep winning! 💪
#US30 #CPI #TP1Hit #SecondEntry #ForexTraders #SmartTrading #TeamWork
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones
A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance
Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone).
Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M.
Stop: Above 43,250
Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800
B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest
Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand)
Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle
Stop: Below 41,770
Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193
C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep
Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base)
Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike
Stop: 41,670
Target: 42,200 > 42,500
US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is rebounding after holding above the 42,102 demand zone. Price is now reclaiming EMAs with short-term bullish momentum, approaching the 42,605 resistance level.
✅ Key Observations:
Strong bounce off 42,102 ✅
Reclaimed 42,341 EMA support
Bullish momentum building toward 42,605
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793
Support: 42,248 → 42,102
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,605
→ Target: 42,793 → 43,021
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248
→ Target: 42,102 → 41,947
⚠️ Market flipping short-term bullish – watch for breakout and confirmation above 42,605!
US30 Breakout Watch: 43,300 or Bust?US30 (Dow Jones) — Price Tests Key Fib Support with Breakdown Risk
Technical Outlook — 12 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently trading around 42,661 on the 4-hour timeframe, up +0.17% for the session. After rejection at the Previous Day High (43,121), price is now pulling back and testing the Previous Day Low around the 42,660 region, which also aligns with a Fibonacci confluence zone and the 50 EMA. This zone is acting as a last line of defence for bulls — if held, a push toward new highs remains on the table. However, a confirmed break could see the index slide further toward deeper support levels.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price is testing a major fib-based support cluster around 42,600–42,700, aligning with the Previous Day Low and 50 EMA.
The Stochastic Oscillator has crossed bearish from the overbought region and is now heading down, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
Resistance is now PDL and next one at 43,121 (PDH) and a break above this level would confirm bullish continuation.
Trade Plan:
✅ 1. Bullish Breakout (Long) – Most Probable if Support Holds
Trigger: Bullish candle or engulfing pattern above 42,660–42,700 zone with volume confirmation
Target: 43,121 (PDH) → 43,300
Stop Loss: Below 42,500
⚠️ 2. Bearish Rejection (Short) – Viable if Fib Zone Breaks
Trigger: 4H candle closes below 42,600 with bearish confirmation
Target: 42,300 → 42,100 → 41,900
Stop Loss: Above 42,800
📉 3. Dip Buy Setup – Least Probable but High RR Opportunity
Trigger: Price dips into 42,100 or 41,900 zone and forms a strong bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, bullish divergence on Stochastic)
Target: Bounce back toward 42,600–42,800
Stop Loss: Below 41,800
Risk Management:
Use conservative lot sizing and set clear stop losses to avoid whipsaw risk. With macroeconomic data and news expected this week, watch for volatility spikes. Always let the setup confirm before entry, especially near fib-based support or resistance zones.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DowJones INTRADAY important support retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43190
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
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Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality
Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart
Current Market Condition:
The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply.
This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones.
Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow).
Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low.
Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows.
EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports.
Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud.
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long):
Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume
Target: 42,900 → 43,100
Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws)
🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short):
Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing
Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850
Stop Loss: Above 42,650
⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade:
Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout.
Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss.
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 Long OpportunityUS30 had a break out to the upside from $42560 and we are not seeing a potentially retracement to the break and retest level where we can expect a further jump to the upside. Seeing bullish structure on the 15 min and higher timeframes with confluence at the breakout.
Price is currently above the 50 SMA on all timeframes above the 15min and momentum is bullish per the RSI trading above the 55 level, adding to the bullish confluence
Looking to the ride the bullish wave from $42560 to $42920 where currently resistance level is sitting
US30: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 42,877.4 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 42,798.2..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️