US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup)
Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes.
We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry.
Key Zone:
Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277
Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000
Short Targets if Rejection Occurs:
Target 1: 43,350
Target 2: 42,500
Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low)
Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario:
If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond.
Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal.
At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
