CHINA50This is the only bullish bet I can take currently. Not at this level for sure. Let is consolidate and make some contraction pattern then I will buy it
CHINA50 trade ideas
China A50 Surges on Stimulus, Bull Flag Breakout PossibleThe China A50 index has surged following significant stimulus measures by the Chinese government and central bank. The price is currently consolidating in a bull flag pattern, with a potential breakout above 15,156 possibly driving the price as high as 15,540.
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China Stock Market Rally To Continue?Chinese outlook is looking more positive after posted stimulus.
Rallies are occurring fast and come with significant risk.
Do not FOMO in. Do not short a massive amount. Just trade it carefully with light entries, only buy on significant dips.
Any shorts come with danger and must be light and spread out.
CN50 to turnaround?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 12400.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12500 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12600.
We look to Buy at 12400 (stop at 12340)
Our profit targets will be 12550 and 12600
Resistance: 12500 / 12600 / 12650
Support: 12400 / 12300 / 1250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50USD to continue in the rally?CHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 13200 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 13500.
We look to Buy at 12900 (stop at 12740)
Our profit targets will be 13300 and 13500
Resistance: 13200 / 13300 / 13500
Support: 13000 / 12900 / 12750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA50 to continue in the upward move?CHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12250 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12350.
We look to Buy at 12100 (stop at 12000)
Our profit targets will be 12300 and 12350
Resistance: 12250 / 12300 / 12350
Support: 12150 / 12100 / 12000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
China A50 Stimulus SurgeChina has announced a blockbuster stimulus package, sending the China A50 index surging higher. Let’s take a look at how this move is reshaping market momentum and what it could mean for the broader economic landscape.
Beijing's Bold Move to Boost Growth
In a bid to counter slowing growth, China has unleashed a wave of stimulus measures, including cuts to its benchmark interest rate and the reserve requirement ratio (RRR). The People's Bank of China reduced the short-term reverse repo rate to 1.5% from 1.7%, while trimming the RRR by 0.5 percentage points, injecting liquidity worth RMB 1 trillion ($142 billion) into the banking system. With a property sector slowdown and deflationary pressures dragging down consumer sentiment, the stimulus is aimed at boosting demand, encouraging investment, and stabilizing the financial markets. This move also comes amidst a backdrop of weaker growth projections, as economists lower their forecasts below the government’s 5% target for the year.
China A50 Breaks Free: A Shift in Momentum
The China A50 index responded with a sharp rally, breaking out of the descending channel that had capped price action for the last four months. On the daily chart, this breakout above key resistance was supported by a significant uptick in volume, signalling strong market conviction. However, the long-term technical picture remains bearish, as the 50-day moving average is still below the 200-day moving average. For short-term traders, the hourly chart offers potential entry points. Pullbacks to the 9-day exponential moving average (9EMA) could be a disciplined approach to capitalise on the newfound momentum, avoiding the risk of chasing the market higher.
China A50 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
China A50 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Unlocking Potential Opportunities from China’s Stimulus Surge
• Mining Stocks: With China’s stimulus likely to increase infrastructure spending, demand for commodities could rise. Mining companies, particularly those involved in copper, iron ore, and other raw materials, stand to benefit from renewed construction activity.
• China-Focused Financial Stocks: Banks and insurers with significant exposure to China, like Prudential and HSBC, could benefit from heightened lending and investment activity, while a recovery in the property sector could further boost their profitability.
• Luxury Goods Stocks: China's consumer base is pivotal for the global luxury goods market. Companies with significant exposure to Chinese spending, particularly in fashion and luxury retail, may experience tailwinds as the stimulus helps revive consumer confidence and spending.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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CHINA A50 Death Cross to push it lower but buy opportunity lurksThe China A50 index (CN50) completed yesterday a 1D Death Cross following a convincing rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and that should extend the Channel Down to a new Lower Low.
Technically it appears to far to be in good symmetry with the Falling Wedge's previous Bearish Leg, that found a temporary bottom after a -14.76% decline and rebounded to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, despite the current weakness, we expect this last push to stop around 11100 - 11000 and then rebound to 12100 (0.618 Fib).
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CN50 dips to continue attract buyers?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 11850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12000.
We look to Buy at 11750 (stop at 11670)
Our profit targets will be 11950 and 12000
Resistance: 11850 / 11950 / 12000
Support: 11750 / 11700 / 11650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Analysis of the CN50 Index and Its Significance by the MallicastMinor price fluctuations in the CN50 index can have significant impacts on the cryptocurrency and forex markets. According to Mallicast's analysis, the CN50 index is expected to enter a bullish phase. This upward movement is likely to result in an increase in USDT.D and the DXY index.
Analysis of the CN50 Index and Its Significance by the MallicastMinor price fluctuations in the CN50 index can have significant impacts on the cryptocurrency and forex markets. According to Mallicast's analysis, the CN50 index is expected to enter a bullish phase. This upward movement is likely to result in an increase in USDT.D and the DXY index.
CN50 remains mixed and volatile.CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 11500. A move through 11800 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 11950.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
We look to Buy at 11725 (stop at 11625)
Our profit targets will be 11925 and 11950
Resistance: 11850 / 11925 / 11950
Support: 11750 / 11725 / 11650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 rallies to continue attract sellers?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 11700.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 11650 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 11700 (stop at 11760)
Our profit targets will be 11550 and 11450
Resistance: 11700 / 11750 / 11800
Support: 11600 / 11500 / 11450
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA A50 Rebound expected.The China A50 index (CN50) eventually closed below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last time we looked into it (June 14, see chart below) and hit our 11800 downside Target:
The long-term pattern remains bearish in the form of a Falling Wedge, but right now we expect a medium-term counter-trend rebound similar to the one that followed the May 30 2023 Low and reached the 0.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we turn bullish on this index, targeting 12350 (0.236 Fib and top of the Falling Wedge).
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Fading the Risk RecoveryFundamentals & Sentiment
CN50A:
- The general narrative: China is struggling to recover, thus Chinese Indices fell behind the rest of the world during the recovery
- Balance of trade is down
USD
- Fed officials tried to calm the markets, Dollar Smile Theory
Technical & Other
-Risk recovery has been exhausting and CN50A was behind all other indices
Setup: TC(B)
Setup timeframe: 4h
Trigger: 1h
Medium-term: Down
Long-term: Down
Min target: Feb support
Risk: 0.64%
CN50 looks bearish nowhi traders
CN50 looks bearish.
Head and shoulders formation and bearish cross on Alligator .
The head and shoulders seem to be playing out. Break down occured and the bearish retest seems to be done.
Still early to enter short and the risk is low.
Target for shorts: 10,836
Good luck
Asian Tech Rally with China in DeclineAsian stock markets rallied on Monday, boosted by expectations of possible rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The technology sector led the gains, with Japan's Nikkei 225 rising 2.2%, and South Korea's KOSPI and Hong Kong's Hang Seng up about 1%. A solid close on Wall Street and signs of slowing inflation in the U.S. also benefited Asian markets. However, Chinese stocks remained laggards, with the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite falling 0.4% and 0.1%, respectively, due to concerns about China's economic slowdown and political uncertainty in the U.S. Investors await key economic data from China this week for more clues on business activity. Other Asian markets, such as Australia's ASX 200 and Japan's TOPIX index, also posted gains.
Looking at the chart, the A50 index gave us downside hints as early as the 22nd of this month. And at the moment the spread is located in a strong support zone, which if pierced could plunge in the direction of its lows at 10,701 points. This is not likely to happen as the current POC is at 12,200 points and the RSI is oversold at 31.05%. Therefore, it is likely that the index will start a bullish run in the direction of the current average started at the beginning of the year.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
CN50 to remain mixed and volatile?CHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Price action has stalled at good resistance levels and currently trades just below here (12100).
A move through 12000 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 11850.
We look to Sell at 12100 (stop at 12180)
Our profit targets will be 11900 and 11850
Resistance: 12100 / 12150 / 12200
Support: 12000 / 11900 / 11850
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
China A50 prints important swing lowThe China 50 row traced over 7% from a high to the June low. But a triple bottom formed at the 12,000 level, just above the 200 day average. A Bullish divergence also formed on the two-period RSI whilst the triple bottom formed.
On Tuesday we saw clear range expansion to the upside and a daily close above the 200 day exponential moving average. This suggests an important swing low has formed around 12,000.
On the hourly chart, a bullish divergent formed on the 14-period RSI. Resistance was met at the monthly pivot point and RSI became overbought on the daily and hourly chart, and prices now retracing lower. But with a significant low likely forming around 12,000, the prices to buy dips towards 12,100 and target 12,500 near the monthly R1 pivot point.
CN50 to turnaround?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 12150. Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 12300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 12200 (stop at 12120)
Our profit targets will be 12400 and 12450
Resistance: 12300 / 12350 / 12400
Support: 12200 / 12150 / 12100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA A50 Is this 1W MA50 rebound breaking the bearish trend?On December 21 2023 (see chart below) the China A50 index (CN50) gave us the best buy entry possible on more than 1 year span:
The price increased on this Bullish Leg and a month ago reached the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. At the same time, it broke above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since December 28 2021, giving the first long-term buy signal in years.
Regardless of this signal, the index got rejected at the top of the Falling Wedge and is on a 4 week decline. However it reached this week the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again and so far reacted positively by holding it. As long as it holds and closes the 1W candles above it, it is more likely that this will transition into a rebound, which will be the 2nd and final long-term buy signal.
In that case, we expect the index to finally break above the Falling Wedge and stage a long-term pursuit of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target will be 13550 (slightly below Resistance 1).
If however the 1W MA50 breaks (closes candle below it), we will take the small loss and open a sell, targeting 11800 (the 0.5 Fibonacci level), similar to the March 14 2023 decline. The confirmation for this signal will come if the 1W MACD forms a Bearish Cross.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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