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US100 trade ideas

Nasdaq 100 (US100) – Bearish Double Top PatternNasdaq 100 shows a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential bearish reversal after recent bullish momentum. Price has broken below the neckline, confirming the pattern, and is now heading toward the projected target around 16,500. Fundamentally, risk sentiment remains shaky amid rising interest rate expectations and mixed earnings reports, adding pressure to tech-heavy indices like US100. Pattern: Double Top Bias: Bearish Target: 16,500 Resistance: 18,000+ Trade Active: Short bias below neckline level NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
CFI:US100Short
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
US 100 Index - Is 17404/749 Support Important?As European traders return from their extended Easter break they turn on their screens to find US assets back under pressure. The US 100 index dropped 2.2% yesterday to close at 17779, which included a late rally from a mid session low at 17570. These moves are potentially reflecting a growing unease around numerous important issues, including, a lack of progress in trade talks with US allies, US economic growth concerns and President Trump's on-going challenge to Federal Reserve independence. Looking forward, US 100 traders have a lot to focus on this week, Tesla reports its earnings after the close tonight, against a backdrop of weekend news reports which suggested it may be about to delay production of cheaper EVs. That aside, investors may also be focused on sales projections for 2025, autonomous driving plans and the impact of tariffs on the company's profitability. It may well be a similar story when Alphabet reports its earnings after the close on Thursday. Throw in the latest April Preliminary PMI Survey releases on Wednesday from the developed economies, which could well start to show the impact of tariffs on growth, business sentiment and inflation, and it is possible that the recent US 100 index volatility could continue across the week. Technical Update: Could Potential Support at 17404/17749 Be Important? As impressive as the 18% recovery in the US 100 index from the April 7th 2025 low to the April 10th 2025 high (16290 up to 19222) appeared, after the latest price weakness, this upside may prove to be a limited reactive move, although further confirmation may still be required. As the chart above shows, the latest upside strength saw the index back to what some traders may have viewed as an important resistance, marked by a combination of the declining Bollinger mid-average (18992 at the time) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the February 18th 2025 to April 7th 2025 weakness, which stands at 19258. With the latest price activity seeing weakness materialise again, it might now be suggested this potential resistance range remains the important focus on the topside, although much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends. With this in mind, what are the potential supports we might wish to monitor, to help us gauge how much further the current weakness may have to carry? Possible Support Levels: Fibonacci retracements can offer an insight into potential support zones, with them possibly able to hold, even reverse price weakness back to the upside. Therefore, 17404/17749, which is equal to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the April price strength, maybe an area traders are currently focusing on. However, there could still be potential for a further period of price weakness if this 17404/17749 range is broken on a closing basis. In that case, the next support may well then be represented by the April 7th 2025 session low at 16290, possibly further, if this in turn gives way. Possible Resistance Levels: The 17404/17749 support range is still intact, and while this remains the case on a closing basis, attempts at price strength could still be seen. However, with the declining Bollinger mid-average currently at 18648 and having recently seen it reverse attempts at price strength, closing breaks above this level might be required to trigger a more extended phase of strength. That said, as proved the case in early April, 19258, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, may also now need to give way on a closing basis, to suggest further attempts to develop price strength towards higher resistance levels. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 16,779.34 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Short
by Tradu
NASDAQ-100 (NDX) daily analysis by TradingDONAlright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.📈 **When the Market Faked Us Out** I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes. **Key Zones:** - **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps. - **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight. **FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:** I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal. - Distribution hit the Premium zone. - Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs. - That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop. - 💡My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level. *This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
STOCKS LOWER??This is what Im gauging on the NAS100, as well as the Dow Jones and SnP500 (even though the charts aren't presented). Technically, I see a 4H QM which sets the high, with the lows not giving the same HTF strength that the highs have given. We've got a nice trading range as price hasn't realigned for the stocks to show its true bullish direction to the ATHs, meaning I see this huge sell off continue until those lows have been ran. I see price printing lower. Fundamentally, I like to think of the worst case scenario for Trump and the season we're in currently, its made me nice trades. Lets see
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by JUGGSONGO
2
NAS100 Buy Trade Analysis (4H Timeframe)Entered a buy position on NAS100 after price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which also aligns perfectly with the ascending trendline support. This area has acted as a strong confluence zone, showing signs of a potential higher low (HL) formation on the 4H chart. ✅ Confluences supporting the trade: Price bounced from the 0.618 Fib retracement. Respecting the trendline support indicating bullish structure continuation. Formation of Higher Low on both the 4H timeframe and also clearly visible on Daily and Weekly charts, indicating strong bullish momentum from a higher timeframe perspective. RSI is near the oversold zone (~30), showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. 🎯 Targets: First TP around the 18,863 zone (previous resistance area). Final TP in the region of 19,161–19,250, aligning with the 200 EMA and psychological resistance levels. 🛡️ Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline and previous swing low for protection in case of invalidation.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by The_Trading_G3ek
8
Definite downward trend. Great buying potential in near future.Hello all traders and learner charters. As you can see definite downward trend. Some are even saying sell everything. I added the five year percentages, as you can see its not very promising for the moment, but definitely promising for anyone wanting to get into nasdaq or SP500. There are seldom opportunities like this. I would suggest to keep watching it, as a lot of people who rode the bull market after Trump call, have taken there profits and sold. This trend will force others to sell as no one wants to make a loss on nasdaq. So with that in mind, it will be red all over for a while I would say about two weeks maybe even more, but if you just keep on buying little amounts DCA dollar cost averaging, you will get some good buying positions down low. And then hold them for the next few years. This is a great opportunity. Good luck.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by patrick58
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go. Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years. In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one. There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels. The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500. Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
1
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18160 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18000 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path. Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NAS100USD: Bearish Momentum Likely to Extend in NY SessionGreetings Traders! At present, NAS100USD continues to reflect clear bearish institutional order flow. This is evidenced by the consistent formation of lower lows and the way bearish arrays—such as fair value gaps and order blocks—continue to hold as effective resistance zones. Key Observations: Sustained Bearish Structure: The market has maintained a downward trajectory, with each rally being absorbed by bearish arrays. This behavior reinforces the dominance of institutional selling pressure. High Volatility Window – New York Session: With the New York session now underway, heightened volatility is expected. This presents a favorable environment for bearish continuation trades, particularly if price respects the key supply zones. Trading Strategy: Entry Consideration: I am awaiting a retracement into a key bearish array—either a fair value gap or a bearish order block. Upon confirmation of rejection from these zones, I will seek to enter short positions. Profit Targets: The primary objective will be to target liquidity pools residing at lower discount levels. These areas represent external liquidity where institutional participants are likely to complete order execution. By aligning with the prevailing bearish institutional narrative and waiting for high-probability confirmations within premium zones, we can strategically position ourselves to benefit from further downside momentum during this high-impact session. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐 Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment. 1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️ The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively. A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating. 2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️ My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4). This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area. Anticipated Scenario: I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it. Point of Interest (POI): The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍 3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫 The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level). What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows). Confirmation Signal: For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for: A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high). Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level. Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary). Synthesized Outlook & Strategy: The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback. The Strategy: Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘‍♀️ Confirmation: Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉 Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry. Targets: Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯 Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️ Fundamental Check: cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
3
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities. KEY OBSERVATIONS: Sustained Bearish Order Flow: Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower. Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity. Targeting External Range Liquidity: As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution. Profit Targets: Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit. By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key! Its good to be back, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect