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US100 trade ideas

Bearish Flag Forming – More Declines Ahead?Nasdaq 100: Correction Confirmed - What's Next? March 11, 2025 The Nasdaq 100 is down 7.1% in 2025, with a 4% loss on March 10, its worst day since 2022. From its December high, it is in correction (-10.4%), closing at 17,468.32. Causes: New tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China fuel inflation fears. Economic indicators suggest a possible recession (JPMorgan: 40% probability). Tech giants like Tesla (-15.4%) and Nvidia (-5.1%) lead the declines. Bond yields at 4.79% and a strong dollar affect growth stocks. Consequences: Volatility on the rise, Nasdaq below its 200DMA. Focus shifting to defensive sectors. Pressure on ETFs like QQQ and Nasdaq futures. Outlook: Monitor key levels; critical support is near 17,000. If lost, we could see further declines. #Nasdaq100 #Correction #Markets (((The Nasdaq 100 (US100) is in a corrective phase in 1H, with a drop of 8.2% from 20,709.8 to 19,003.8. Points A, B, C, D and E form a possible bearish flag that if point E is completed, a prominent drop would be expected, projecting the mast downwards that goes from 2080 (daily opening) to 19250 (daily low). If this projection occurs, it would take the price to 18500 and 18000 in extension.)))
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
NASDAQ: Oversold at the bottom of 8month Channel Up.Nasdaq is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 26.693, MACD = -501.840, ADX = 53.670), which is the most oversold 1D RSI reading since August 15th 2015. In the meantime, it touched the HL bottom of the 8month Channel Up, a bearish wave that looks much like July 2025. The bullish wave that followed topped on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. If candle closings are contained inside the Channel Up, we expect it to attract a lot of new buyers and initiate the new bullish wave to at least the same Fib. Long trade, TP = 23,400. A closing under the Channel Up, should test though the 1W MA100 (TP = 18,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NAS100 SELL LIVE TRADE EXACUTION 10K PROFITWASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. President Donald Trump will meet the CEOs of America’s biggest companies on Tuesday, including many whose market value has dipped in recent days as recession and inflation fears soured consumer and investor sentiment. The Republican president is expected to speak with around 100 CEOs at a regular meeting of the Business Roundtable in Washington, an influential group of CEOs leading major U.S. companies, which include Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) and Walmart (NYSE:WMT). Trump met with technology company executives at the White House on Monday. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon will attend the meeting, the company said. Also planning to attend are JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, Citigroup (NYSE:C) CEO Jane Fraser, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf, said four sources who declined to be identified because the information is not public. A reception and dinner will follow the meeting, one of the sources said. Trump’s economic policies so far have centered on a blitz of tariff announcements - some of which have taken effect and others delayed or set to kick in later - that he has said will correct unbalanced trade relations, bring jobs back to the country and stop the flow of illegal narcotics from abroad. Markets have been spooked by the prospect that the policies could raise prices for businesses, boosting inflation, and undermine consumer confidence in a blow to economic growth. U.S. stocks on Tuesday extended last week’s selloff that has dragged the benchmark S&P 500 down nearly 3% since Trump’s election in November last year and 4.5% underwater for the year overall. The dollar hit its highest level in a week against the Canadian dollar
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by THEPROTRADERZA
Intraday Update: Indices may be ready for the SMT reversal👀 Clearly we have a bullish reversal from the clearing of a previous daily imbalance range. Of course we expect NAS to get a head start on achieving it's buyside targets and that's just what we get on today. 🧼 Clean buyside ideas happening although we are technically still bearish on the daily until we get a higher close over a previous daily block. This is fine, it just means we will still see heavy bearish flow above lower time frame highs until then no sweat! Share this with someone trying to learn 🫡
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades
NAS1000 5K PROFIT IN 30MIN TRADE LIVE UPDATEEconomic Data and Policy: Upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) data is a key focus for investors, as it will provide insights into inflation trends.   President Trump's tariff policies are creating uncertainty and contributing to market volatility.   U.S. equity positioning has been holding steady, even with recent losses.   Sector-Specific Trends: There are shifts in investment strategies, with some analysts upgrading European stocks while adjusting their outlook for U.S. equities. There is also information regarding individual stock movement, with information regarding companies such as Tesla, and other large tech companies.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by THEPROTRADERZA
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade ⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate. We do not react—we execute. Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword. 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters Key Break Confirms the Path – 19560 Zone our reversal always at key level even a reversal area is well studded reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
FX:NAS100Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 19976 Resistance Level 2: 20300 Resistance Level 3: 20660 Support Level 1: 19570 Support Level 2: 19124 Support Level 3: 18750 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
US 100 – What Next For Tech Stocks After The Capitulation?As an uneasy calm settles across the financial markets after yesterday’s 3.2% fall in the US 100, which brings the total slump from the all time highs of 22226 seen on February 18th to 12.5%, this can often be an ideal time to reassess the key chart levels and technical trends for the index going into the NY open later today, but more importantly so you are prepared to react to the outcome of the next potential volatility event on the horizon, which may well be tomorrow’s US CPI release at 1230 GMT. With traders and investors dumping US assets across the board in the last week as fears grow about the negative impact of President Trump’s tariffs and spending cuts on the US economy, positioning, in the short term at least, may be cleaner than it has been for a while going into this data release. Meaning there could be some potential to see an outsized reaction to a lower-than-expected inflation reading, or, if the number is higher than expected a continuance of the recent sell off in the US 100 to even lower levels. So, with that in mind, let’s reassess the technical outlook. Technical Trends: US 100 Since the all-time high of 22226 for the US 100 Index was seen on February 18th, there has been an inability to sustain further upward momentum, and a clear rejection of the advance has emerged. This has resulted in what some might describe as a bearish capitulation, as an acceleration lower has materialised over the last few trading sessions. So, where does this leave US equities and particularly the US 100 index, ahead of what is set to be another potential volatility storm in the sessions ahead? Technical Setup: The almost uninterrupted phase of price weakness since the mid-February all-time highs has been a move that has seen some important support levels breached. This includes the 20477 correction low posted on January 13th and also the 19904 low, which was the November 4th downside extreme. (see chart above). However, interestingly, initial declines this morning (Tuesday 11th March) have tested what might prove to be an important support at 19142. This level is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the August 5th 2024 to February 18th 2025 strength, so, traders may well be focusing on this price level as being a potential pivotal area for any move that comes next. Potential Upside Focus If the Support Holds While the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement isn’t a guaranteed support, it has held current declines, so far at least, and at present prices are attempting to recover. With this in mind, it is important to be prepared and have an idea of some potential resistance levels to focus on. Areas that if broken in a move higher, may lead to the possibility of a more sustained period of price strength. The first resistance to monitor could possibly be 19623, which is equal to half this week’s current range. Breaks above this level might open the potential for moves back to what could be a stronger resistance level for traders at 20306, which is the 38.2% retracement of February/March declines. Potential Downside Focus If the Support Is Broken Just because the 19142 retracement support has held so far this morning, doesn’t mean it will continue to do so. It can be wise to be aware of the next support levels on the downside if fresh selling pressure materialises and a break below 19142 develops. Closing breaks below 19142 may suggest the current weakness can extend, with the focus then switching to potential support at 18297, which is the September 6th session low. If this were to give way on a closing basis, then the August 5th downside extreme at 17235, may come into play. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100USD Will Move Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 19,535.5. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 19,253.5 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
How to Backtest a Trading Strategy on TradingViewBacktesting is an essential part of developing a profitable trading strategy. It allows you to test how your system would have performed in past market conditions before risking real money. In this guide, I’ll walk you through the step-by-step process of backtesting using TradingView’s Bar Replay Tool and other key methods. By the end, you’ll be able to analyze and optimize your strategy for better results. 📌 Step 1: Open Your Chart & Select a Timeframe The first step in backtesting is choosing the right chart and timeframe based on your trading style: Scalping → 1-minute (M1) or 5-minute (M5) charts Day Trading → 15-minute (M15) or 1-hour (H1) charts Swing Trading → 4-hour (H4) or daily (D1) charts Select the asset you want to test (stocks, forex, crypto, indices, etc.) and ensure there’s enough historical data available. Enough available data in this chart: ⏳ Step 2: Activate the Bar Replay Tool TradingView’s Bar Replay Tool lets you scroll back in time and simulate live market conditions. Here’s how to use it: Click on the "Replay" button in the top toolbar. Select a point in the past where you want to begin your test. The chart will "rewind," hiding future price action. At this stage, you’re looking at the market as if it were happening in real-time. This prevents hindsight bias, which is when you unconsciously adjust decisions based on already knowing the outcome. Enable it here: Then choose a point on the chart: 📈 Step 3: Apply Your Trading Strategy Now, it’s time to apply your chosen strategy. This could be: Indicator-based strategies (e.g., EMA crossovers, MACD signals, RSI divergences). Price action trading (e.g., support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, chart patterns). Algorithmic or rule-based trading (e.g., entry and exit conditions based on technical indicators). The strategies above are just some examples so make sure to use your own strategy. Make sure to document your trade setup, including: ✅ Entry conditions (What triggers a trade?) ✅ Stop-loss placement (Where do you exit if wrong?) ✅ Take-profit target (What is the goal?) ✅ Risk-to-reward ratio (Is it worth taking the trade?) Here is an example how to draw it out on your chart: ▶️ Step 4: Play the Market & Record Your Trades Now comes the real testing phase: Press "Play" or use the "Step Forward" button to move price action forward bar by bar. When a trade setup appears, log it in a trading journal or spreadsheet. Record: Entry price Stop-loss level Take-profit target Win/Loss outcome You can use a simple Google Sheet, Excel or Notion template to track results. The more data you collect, the better your analysis will be later. 📊 Step 5: Analyze Your Results & Optimize After backtesting at least 50-100 trades, it’s time to analyze the performance of your strategy. Here are some key metrics to review: Win Rate (%) → How many trades were profitable? Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Are your winners bigger than your losers? Drawdowns → What’s the worst losing streak your system encountered? Market Conditions → Did your strategy perform better in trends or ranging markets? 🚀 Final Thoughts Backtesting is a crucial step for any serious trader. It allows you to: ✅ Gain confidence in your strategy. ✅ Identify weaknesses and make adjustments. ✅ Avoid trading systems that don’t work before losing real money. However, keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. After backtesting, it’s best to forward-test your strategy in a demo account before using real capital. __________________________________________ Have you backtested your strategy before? What were your results? Let me know in the comments! 💬
FPMARKETS:US100Education
by TehThomas
25
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning, Those of you following the market would have seen that something in the world was going to happen. Yep we have it....trade war. The market is a great predictor at investor confidence which typically means - what is going on in the world to affect their assets. Right now we have a leg down in the NDX also in SPX & other American/Markets. The uncertainty of the trade war is causing investors to 2nd guess where they are putting their money. Currently on this chart we are seeing a bottom start to form - You will never be able to call a bottom 100% but can get close. This would be a good spot to start accumulating stocks that are matching the trend patterns of the market. Be careful, if this is only a corrective action it would go down after its reached target, again a time to sell your stocks and wait to see where it drops. It could also reach target and consolidate which would be a great area to review trades and see what you want to keep and those you may want to sell for profits. Thanks and have a great day!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by mindfullylost
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all! I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history. From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength. For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind. Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover. From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"? So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008. - How long do corrections and recoveries last? - How often do they happen? - What should investors know? - Can this help you in any way? DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more. Retracement Stats: - Average drop: -15% - Median drop: -13% - Biggest drop: -37.72% - Smallest drop: -10% Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom? - Average: 60 days - Median: 35 days - Longest: 325 days - Shortest: 14 days Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs. - Average: 165 days (~5.5 months) - Median: 119 days (~4 months) - Longest: 752 days (over 2 years) - Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months) Correction Frequency If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average. Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets - Corrections lasted 1016 days - Recoveries lasted 2801 days - Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days - Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years) Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising! What Can Investors Learn from This? 1. Accept Volatility Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns. 2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem. 3. Make Better Decisions Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better. 4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy. "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities. "The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm! So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Have great day, Vaido 💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by VaidoVeek
Nasdaq 100 Enters CorrectionNasdaq 100 Enters Correction As shown on the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart today: → The index has fallen below the psychological 20,000-point level, reaching its lowest in approximately six months. → The decline from the December peak now exceeds 10%, officially marking the start of a correction. Why the Nasdaq 100 Is Falling Today Bearish sentiment stems from a combination of factors, including (according to Zacks analysts): → The Trump administration’s tariff policies and their potential economic impact. Concerns increased after the latest jobs report showed unemployment rising from 4.0% to 4.1%. → Worries about AI investment costs and their long-term profitability. → Market anticipation of tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release at 15:30 GMT+3. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price movements indicate that the steeper growth channel (marked in black), which had been in place since last August, has lost relevance. A broader view of the chart reveals that the index has now approached the lower boundary of a long-term channel (marked in blue), which has been forming since early 2024. Key price formations that helped define this channel are highlighted in orange. Given that the index is at the lower boundary of the blue channel and the RSI indicator on the daily chart has dropped to multi-year lows, a short-term recovery may be likely. However, the fundamental backdrop will play a decisive role—clear signs of U.S. economic stability could support a rebound, while extreme fear (as reflected in CNN’s Fear & Greed Index) may continue to weigh on sentiment. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
Short-Term Opportunity in NAS100: Rebound in Play?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) three weeks ago, NAS100 has dropped approximately 3,000 pips, hitting a low near the 19,000 zone yesterday. Currently, the CFD price is rebounding, and this recovery could extend into the New York trading session. Although my overall correction target remains around 18,000, I anticipate a short-term relief rally at this stage. From a short-term trading perspective, the 19,000 level could present a good entry opportunity. With a tight stop and a target slightly above 20,000, this setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Market Update: Mean Reversion in Play? It never ceases to amaze how, in times of uncertainty, markets tend to revert to their long-term moving averages. Right now, US stocks are taking a hit, pricing in an expected slowdown. 🔻 Nasdaq has broken key technical levels, closing below its 2023-2025 uptrend and 55-week MA (19,770). A weekly close below this will confirm further downside risk, with major support at 16,765 (2021 high). 🔻 S&P 500 is now below its 200-day MA for the first time since Nov 2023 and has also slipped through its 55-week MA (5,611). A weekly close below here could open the door to 4,818 (2021 high). 🔻 Bond Yields are under pressure as markets price in a 50-50 chance of a Fed rate cut in May. Key support to watch: 4.02% (2022-2025 support line). 💵 US Dollar is sliding, with EUR/USD now testing its 200-week MA at 1.0866. Potential consolidation here, but the big level to watch is 1.1145 (2008-2025 downtrend). ⚡ Bitcoin has sold off to its 200-day MA, with a negative bias persisting below 93,000. Our downside target remains 72-72k. 🚨 All eyes on weekly closes for confirmation! 🚨 Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NASDAQ:NDX
by The_STA
NAS 100 Overextended – Brace for a Pullback! The NAS 100 is looking highly overextended at the moment 📊. Market conditions are precarious, with many instruments trading into key support and resistance levels on both the daily and weekly timeframes ⏳. A sharp pullback 📉 could be on the horizon, potentially offering a counter-trend buying opportunity on the lower timeframes for the US 100 💰. If it pushes higher, it may set up a potential short trade 🎯. 🚨 Not financial advice – trade wisely and manage your risk! ⚖️
CAPITALCOM:US100
by fxtraderanthony