US 100 (NAS 100) - Descending Triangle The US100 is testing 19500-19600 support in descending triangle on the 4H chart, with a bearish breakdown targeting 17200 if breached, or a bounce to 20500 if it holds. Look for buy or sell entries accordingly.
US100 trade ideas
NASDAQ: 4H MA50 broke. Time for a full recovery.Nasdaq is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.669, MACD = -426.120, ADX = 56.837) but crossed above its 4H MA50. The last time a bearish wave of this Channel Down crossed above the 4H MA50 was on August 9th 2024. It was achieved again after an oversold 1D RSI bounce and initially hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then peaked on the 1.382 Fib extension. The trade is long, TP1 = 21,500 and TP2 = 23,400.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Order Block @20140 |Sell SignalPrice was in an overall downtrend but has now retraced to mitigate an order block that created a break of structure. So now I'm waiting for a confirmation for short entries.
Confirmation can be anything from change of character on the order block to candlesticks confirmation depending on what I see first.
Nasdaq - Long Strategy I want to be onest.. this is not an easy trade.
This trade can have a final loss but in any case we have many poit to our side with a high propability for e long correction.
We arrive on 0.61 of Long Wave
RSI is in oversold
Attention to put correctly at BE the trade
NAS100 I Potential Gap Fill and More Growth to 21,000Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100.
Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's.
With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100:
1. Weekly currently at HL
2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session
3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session.
What does this mean for me?
Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes.
As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush.
Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future.
Have a great week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#aubersystem
Nas100 buy opportunity Nas100 breakthrough trend line should continue to top resistance levels GTE VIP
NAS100Unspoken truth: Bias may be on the rise, but don't overlook the opportunity to sell short-term. Keep an eye out for your next move in this ever-changing market. #trading #investing
BUYGod First
Minimum Risk Maximum Reward
Action Backed Believe
# faith, strategy, and execution all in one #
Good times still to roll on after correction.Bear flag forming at the edge of the channel. The flag pole came down with good volume and flag itself (consolidation) on decrease volume therefore good probability of more downside. If that happens that could create a Wycoff spring and resume the current trend.
NQ LONGS | server IC markets | 19700 key zone for longs entry points are 19700 - 19870
manage your risk accordingly
NAS100 - Potential TargetsHow I see it in the shorter term:
KEY LEVEL OF CONFLUENCE, NOW SUPPORT @ 19960.00
Potential "LONG" -
TP 1 = 20490.00
TP 2 = 20834.00
Potential "SHORT" - To Fill Imbalance
(Requires a break and hold below KEY SUPPORT)
TP 1 = 19975.00
Keynote:
Stocks had a GAP weekly open, which indicates potential bullish momentum.
At some point the GAP needs to be filled.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead 24th March '25NSDQ100 bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 20090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NDX using HiLo Ema Squeeze bandsUsing Hio Ema Squeeze band you can quickly find support/resistance levels as confirmed here with the trend lines. Here I have used 1000 for all the bands, this makes it look cleaner.
Another trick is use two bands one with 200,1000,1000 and the other with 1000,1000,1000 and you will double squeeze bands resulting in one with 200 and other with 1000
$NDX Bear Flag FlaggingAs we can see on the NASDAQ:NDX there is a Bearflag pattern that has yet to be broken. As it develops on the lower time frames we will watch for price to trade in this channel and develop on the higher time frames.
After struggling at the top, we expect a short term rejection of the channel back down to the 19,516 Level.
US100RSI indicates Bullish Divergence. Trendline Break: A break above a significant downtrend line signals a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This is a key technical signal that buyers are starting to gain control.
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels
US100 Buy Limit not a fan of indices but when opportunity shows themselves we go in , the Goal is bigger than the pairs🤞🏽🥺
Nasdaq 100: First Stage of a Major CorrectionThe Nasdaq 100 has plummeted over 11% from its record high of 22,222. With prices now testing key support at 19,437, the index closed slightly higher at 19,753 (+0.39%) on Friday. However, weakness remains evident, indicating the first stage of a potential major correction. Historically, corrections unfold in four stages as part of a healthy market reset.
If support at 19,437 holds, a short-lived rebound could target 19,932, 20,054, 20,433, 20,744, and potentially 21,050. Failure to maintain this level could trigger stage two, aiming for 17,825. Historical patterns suggest a possible four-stage correction of around 33%, targeting approximately 14,835.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish momentum to extend further?Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,873.89 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,370.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 20,971.93 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NDX Trading-RoadMap
Weekly
• Context: Overall uptrend from 2022 is intact but under pressure as price slipped below some key weekly moving averages and trendline supports.
• Key Takeaway: The bigger picture has not fully turned bearish yet, but momentum has cooled. If the weekly chart remains above ~17,800–18,000, that “long‐term uptrend” viewpoint is still viable.
Daily
• Trend: Lower highs and lower lows (short‐term downtrend). Price is below the 200‐day SMA (~20,300) and also below the 50/100‐day SMAs (~21,000).
• Focus: Watch if price can reclaim the 200‐day SMA (20,200–20,700 zone) on a daily closing basis. That’s a major pivot for a potential reversal to the upside.
• Support: 19,000–19,200 is the near‐term floor; losing that puts 18,400–18,800 in play.
• Resistance: 19,900–20,100 (initial supply), then 20,200–20,700 (200‐day + Fib).
4H (Shorter‐Term)
• Recent Development: A bounce off ~19,150. MACD turned bullish on 4H, RSI improved from oversold.
• Trendline: The steep 4H downtrend line has been broken; price is testing overhead supply near 19,900–20,000.
• Key Focus: Does the 4H momentum carry price above 20,000+? If so, next stops are 20,200–20,700. If it stalls, watch for a return to ~19,200 or lower.
2. Key Levels to Track
1. Immediate Support Zones
• 19,600–19,700: Minor 4H pivot / mid Bollinger band on 4H.
• 19,000–19,200: Major short‐term floor; also a bullish order block from prior lows.
2. Deeper Supports
• 18,400–18,800: Strong demand if 19k fails.
• 17,800–18,000: Critical weekly zone, where the longer‐term uptrend would truly be at risk.
3. Immediate Resistance Zones
• 19,900–20,100: Overhead supply on Daily/4H; first real challenge for bulls.
• 20,200–20,700: Major confluence (200‐day SMA, Bollinger mid band on Daily, Ichimoku lower cloud boundary).
• 21,000–22,200: Larger daily/weekly supply if the index fully recovers.
4. Fibonacci Confluences
• From the larger swing: 50% retracement ~19,893.
• From the smaller daily swing: 23.6% ~19,886, 50% ~20,706.
• Keep an eye if price clusters or reverses around these fib levels.
3. Indicators You’ll Watch Each Day
• Daily Ichimoku: Price below the cloud → short‐term bias still bearish. A daily close back inside/above the cloud (~20,200–20,400) would be a significant bullish sign.
• Daily MACD: Still negative, but flattening. A bullish crossover on the daily could confirm the 4H bounce is turning into a multi‐day uptrend.
• Daily RSI: Hovering near 40–45. If it reclaims 50+, that’s a better sign of daily upside momentum.
• 4H MACD: Already bullish; watch if it remains that way or starts to roll over near resistance.
• 4H RSI: Currently ~45–50 or slightly higher. Over 60 would reinforce short‐term upside.
• Volume / OBV: See if up moves come on higher volume or if OBV slopes upward. That would show genuine buying pressure.
4. Daily Checklist / “If‐Then” Triggers
Use this section as a morning or intraday reference when you see price approaching certain zones.
A) Bullish Attempt
• IF price breaks above ~19,900–20,000 THEN:
• Check for 4H or daily candle close above that zone.
• Confirm if 4H MACD/RSI remain bullish.
• Potential next target: ~20,200–20,700.
• IF price subsequently closes above 20,200–20,300 THEN:
• This reclaims the 200‐day SMA → a bigger shift to bullish.
• Daily RSI likely near or above 50.
• Next target: ~21,000–21,500, with an eye on the 22k supply zone.
• IF 19,600–19,700 holds as support on a pullback, THEN watch for 4H bullish patterns to confirm a bounce. Potential to re‐attempt 19,900–20,000.
B) Bearish Continuation
• IF price rejects ~19,900–20,100 (4H or daily closes back under 19,600) THEN:
• Expect a drift back to test 19,200–19,000.
• Check if 4H RSI crosses below 40, MACD turns down again.
• If that zone fails, 18,800–18,400 is next support.
• IF daily closes below 19,000 THEN:
• The bullish bounce scenario is invalidated.
• Target a deeper move to 18,400–18,800, possibly 18,000 if momentum is strong.
5. What to Avoid
1. Over‐Leveraging: With the index near pivotal levels, volatility can spike. Keep position sizes within your risk tolerance.
2. Chasing Mid‐Zone: If price is between major zones (e.g., 19,600–19,700), entering randomly without a clear signal can lead to whipsaws. Wait for a confirmed break or test of a zone.
3. Ignoring Conflicting Timeframes: Weekly vs. Daily vs. 4H may conflict. If you see a 4H bullish signal but daily is still firmly bearish, manage risk accordingly (e.g., smaller size, quicker profit targets).
6. Risk Management & Positioning
• Stop Placement:
• For short‐term trades, use 4H ATR (~300 points) or place stops just beyond key swing highs/lows.
• For swing trades, consider daily ATR (~400–450 points) to avoid normal intraday noise.
• Targets:
• Set at least two profit objectives. For bullish trades, T1 near 20,200–20,300, T2 near 21k+. For bearish trades, T1 near 19k, T2 near 18.4k.
• Moving Stops to Breakeven:
• Once T1 is reached or a clear pivot forms in your favor, consider moving your stop to entry to lock in any open profit.
7. Potential News/Events That May Override Technicals
• U.S. Economic Data: Watch for major releases (CPI, Fed announcements, Tech sector earnings). These can create sudden volatility that breaks your technical zones.
• Global Sentiment Shifts: If risk aversion hits equity markets broadly, NDX could gap lower through supports. Alternatively, any strong bullish news in major tech names could swiftly break resistances.
8. Weekly Summary Action Plan
1. Check Weekly & Daily:
• Are we still below the daily 200‐SMA (~20,300)? If yes, short‐term momentum is likely bearish unless proven otherwise by the 4H breakout.
• Is the index forming a weekly candle that regains the prior trend channel or 50‐week SMA? That would be a bullish sign.
2. Monitor 19,900–20,100 & 19,000:
• These levels will dictate a lot of the week’s direction. A break above 20,000 on solid volume is your bullish trigger; a fail at 19,900 or a breakdown below 19,000 reaffirms the bearish narrative.
3. Intraday (4H) Observation:
• If price hovers between 19,600 and 19,900, remain cautious until a decisive push emerges.
• Use the 4H MACD/RSI to gauge if momentum is building up (or rolling over).
4. Risk Profile Guidance:
• Aggressive: Trade around 19,600–19,700 with tight stops, aiming for quick breaks.
• Moderate: Wait for 4H closes above or below key pivot zones (19,900–20,000 or 19,200–19,000).
• Conservative: Look for daily closes beyond 20,200 or under 19,000 before committing to positions.
5. Adapt & React:
• If you see a bullish break that fails intraday (price wicks above 19,900 but closes back below 19,600 on a 4H candle), that’s a potential short signal.
• Conversely, if price dips intraday to 19,200–19,300, but the 4H closes back above 19,600, that’s a potential bullish reversal cue.
