DOW JONES Pull-back possible but maintain long-term perspectiveA little more than 2 months ago (July 25, see chart below) we argued that Dow Jones' (DJI) correction wasn't over and called for a deeper buy, setting then a long-term Target of 42400:
The Target got finally hit on Friday, giving us an excellent risk/ reward ratio on our investment. As however the price almost reached the top of the 2-year Channel Up, we have to issue a warning for a potential short-term correction.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has successfully supported on September 11 last time and won't be odd to see another re-test after almost a month. The similarities after all between the first part of the 2-year Channel Up and the second (the one we're currently in) are still noticeable and on 1D RSI terms we may be symmetrically around the November 20 2023 level.
However, we may see this time the Channel Up break to the upside for the first time after the elections. Regardless of the short-term volatility, our medium-term Target as we will be heading into December is 44500. That is the 2.5 Fibonacci extension, similar to where the April 01 High was priced.
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