Adam and Eve pattern? Bullish?DXY is finding strong support, possibly forming an Adam and Eve pattern, which indicates a bullish reversal.
USDX trade ideas
DXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental Analysis
DXY has reclaimed momentum, trading at 99.300, after strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from Fed officials signaled policy stability — boosting short-term confidence in the U.S. dollar. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing a bullish structure reinforced by clean liquidity manipulation and institutional flow.
Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking above minor key resistance at 99.250, triggering a wave of buy-side momentum. A brief liquidity hunt below 99.250 followed — a textbook manipulation phase — before buyers stepped back in.
DXY then formed Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a well-supported uptrend. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, where smart money often positions for the next leg up.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 99.140 (Buy Limit)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 98.990 (Below liquidity grab and minor support)
🎯 Take Profit: 99.610 (Next minor resistance / 1:3 RR)
This setup aligns with institutional behavior, offering a high-probability entry for short-term trend continuation.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇺🇸 USD Strength Backed by Short-Term Fundamentals
Resilient U.S. Data: Retail sales and durable goods orders beat forecasts, signaling economic strength and limiting downside for the dollar.
Fed Stays Hawkish: Policymakers have reiterated their "higher for longer" stance, reducing expectations for rate cuts and supporting the dollar.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical concerns and weak economic data abroad have driven flows back into the USD as investors seek stability.
Yield Support: Elevated U.S. bond yields continue to attract foreign capital, giving additional strength to DXY.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
possibility of correctionGiven the behavior of the index in the resistance range and the resistance trend line, an upward trend is expected. Otherwise, a downward trend to the previous low is possible.
How strong is the dollar??Currently looking to take price lower as the DXY very bearish with lots weekly selling pressure.
USD INDEX PIVOT AREAThe USD INDEX is currently prefering the bears as long as the pivot area holds .However abreak above could bring some strength to the index with 99.29 and 99.90 as targets.
Highlighting the lagging inverse relationship BTC and DXY. This is crazy.
And if it continues to play out, it means that higher is next.
So what do we have here?
This is highlighting the lagging inverse relationship BTC has had with DXY since Bitcoin bottomed and DXY topped.
We can see that when DXY drops, BTC moves higher, but it has a lagging period beforehand.
The crazy part is that this lag has been 119 days until BTC moves back up to its recent local high.
EVERY single time.
From there, BTC enters an expansive phase, and every time this has been between 49 and 56 days.
Right now, we are right at that 119 day mark.
Is this continues to play out, we’re heading into price expansion next week for at least 49 days.
When you really dig into the charts you see that’s everything is actually very patterned and simple.
What makes it hard is our emotion.
Next week, expect volatility 🔥
Dollar Index Dips – All Eyes on 97.600?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading just below the 100.000 🔼 resistance area, following a series of lower highs and lower lows that reflect a clear bearish trend. Price is now approaching the 97.600 🔽 level, which has previously acted as a key turning point and could influence the next directional move.
Support at: 97.600 🔽
Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼, 104.223 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔽 Bearish: The trend remains bearish while price stays below 100.000. A break below 97.600 may lead to further downside continuation.
🔼 Bullish: A bounce from 97.600 followed by a move back above 100.000 could open the door for a recovery toward 101.500.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
$DXYThe U.S. dollar might face downward pressure as capital shifts into safer or high-demand assets:
💰 Stocks – High quality U.S. products still attract global demand.
🪙 Bitcoin – Emerging as digital reserves.
🥇 Gold – Classic portfolio leverage in times of uncertainty.
🇺🇸 U.S. Strategy – Dollar devaluation could be a smart move to attract foreign capital. Big market = big opportunity.
👉 The U.S. needs capital to grow. A weaker dollar might be the setup.
#Forex #DXY #Bitcoin #Gold #USMarkets #SmartMoneyMoves #TheMoneyAssociation
Bond Market Breakdown: Why Yields Are Surging and What It Means 🚨 Market Recap – May 2025 Edition
This week, markets sent a clear message: rising yields are shaking the foundation. In this video, I break down the key events driving the spike in U.S.
Treasury yields — the highest in nearly two decades — and what that means for major assets like:
💵 DXY (U.S. Dollar)
📉 XAU/USD (Gold)
🟠 BTC/USD (Bitcoin)
We unpack:
Why the dollar is showing strength despite long-term fiscal concerns
How bond market stress is impacting investor sentiment across all asset classes
What rising yields mean for your portfolio — in plain language
Why this might be the most important macro signal traders are missing right now
If you’re a trader, investor, or just trying to understand what’s really moving the markets, this recap connects the dots.
📊 Watch now to stay ahead.
🔁 Feel free to share or comment with your thoughts!
#MarketRecap #BondYields #DXY #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroAnalysis #TradingView #InvestorInsights #FX #Crypto #TradingStrategy
Dollar is turning into trash and people are rushing to buy EURODXY chart shows the US dollar is crashing down. From the peak beginning of this year to current price level, it has fallen nearly 10% already. I expect more to come and would be placing strategic bets on EURUSD.
correctionIt is expected that a trend change will take place within the current support range and we will witness the start of an upward trend. Otherwise, the downward trend will continue to the next support levels.
DXY Elliott Wave AnalysisThe dollar is finishing a corrective pattern. A good trade opportunity will present itself shortly. Stay tuned for updates.
DXYDXY in 1d fractals is bearish .It's overall swing is also very bearish but currently in retracement phase . Now in 2h it gave choch after swapping liquidity . so high chance to go down from marked supply zone . once confirmed choch in 30 min as well from supply then.
all xxx / usd pairs long .
SELL THE US DOLLARThis is a continuation of our previous analysis on DXY. As we had mentioned USD DOLLAR will drop all the way to 94.800 before we consider any bullish market movement. In the next session we will be monitoring DXY for selling positions (this means buying EURUSD, GBPUSD and GOLD). Keep your risk manageable and use proper risk management. Cheers to you all.
Dollar Poised for Further Losses as Confidence Erodes – Key LeveThe U.S. dollar is under mounting pressure, with a combination of fundamental and technical factors pointing toward deeper weakness. Investor trust in the U.S. economy is waning, evidenced by a wave of insider selling from top U.S. CEOs. Their net reduction in equity holdings signals caution at the highest levels.
The U.S. bond market is also flashing warning signs. Rising debt issuance, high interest costs, and concerns over long-term fiscal discipline are pushing risk premiums higher—not as a vote of confidence, but as a red flag. These pressures reduce the dollar’s attractiveness, especially with global alternatives gaining traction.
Geopolitically, renewed tariff discussions—particularly against China—raise concerns over trade frictions and global growth, adding to bearish sentiment.
On the technical side, the break below the 100.50 level on the dollar index (DXY) has confirmed downside momentum. The monthly chart signals a bearish structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming. If selling continues, the next major target lies near the 90.00 zone—a level last seen in early 2021.
DXY 4hAfter hitting weekly FRESH demand on the DXY weeks ago, i see clear draw on liquidity on the 4h timeframe, respecting the inversed FVG, going for the EQHS
USD Reversal From 2025 Downtrend- DXY Short-term LevelsThe US Dollar Index rallied more than 4% off confluent support with the recovery failing at the yearly downtrend this month. The decline is responding to initial support late in the week with the near-term recovery may be vulnerable as we head into the close of the month.
A look at DXY price actions shows the index rebounding off support today at 99.40/47- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the April rally and the May low-day close (LDC).
Initial resistance is eyed at the 38.2% retracement of the recent decline / 2024 low-close at 100.35 with key resistance around the 50% retracement at 100.65- note that the April trendline converges on this threshold over the next few days. Ultimately, a breach above the Friday close / 61.8% retracement at 100.97 is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / validate a breakout of the yearly downtrend.
A break below the weekly lows would threaten resumption of the broader downtrend towards subsequent objectives seen at the 78.6% retracement at 98.79 and key support at 97.71-98.39- a region defined by the 2018 swing high, the 2025 swing low, and the 61.8% retracement of the 2018 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar has broken below a multi-week uptrend with the bulls now attempting to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 100.65 IF the index is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 99.40 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.
Keep in mind we get the release of key U.S. inflation data next week with core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) on tap into the close of the month. Stay nimble into the release and watch the weekly closes here for guidance.
-MB
DXY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is making a bullish
Rebound but a horizontal
Resistance is ahead at 100.300
Level so after the retest a
Local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 99.468 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY_ DATE 22.05.2025DXY_ DATE 22.05.2025
Index starts from lower to higher
Let see US Dollar change character by next week
Cheer
Bullish DXY after Bearish MomentumDXY Expected to Turn Bullish
There was a fakeout observed on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a potential higher low (HL) formation and a possible breakout to the upside.
DXY Bullish Bias:
Consider buying USDXXX pairs or selling XXXUSD and Gold.
DXY Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 99.729.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 100.749 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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