STOCK MARKETS FALLING APART PRICED IN GOLD !!!STOCK MARKETS FALLING APART PRICED IN GOLD !!!
Where the Dow Jones Industrial Average goes, so will the S&P500 and the Nasdaq.
It's a questions of time.
DJIA trade ideas
U.S. Stock Market Hits Extreme Fear: Understanding the Decline aThe U.S. stock market has reached an extreme fear level, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 24, signaling heightened uncertainty and risk aversion among investors. This sharp decline coincides with a notable drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), which fell by 427.51 points (-0.99%) to 42,579.09.
Why Is the Market in Extreme Fear?
1. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy
Investors remain on edge about the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. With recent economic data showing persistent inflationary pressures, the Fed might delay anticipated rate cuts. Higher interest rates for longer could hurt economic growth and corporate profits, driving fear in the markets.
2. Weak Corporate Earnings and AI Stock Sell-Off
Some major technology and AI-driven stocks, previously market leaders, have shown weaker-than-expected earnings. For example, Marvell Technology reported disappointing revenue guidance, raising concerns about a slowdown in AI infrastructure investments. This led to a broader sell-off in the tech sector.
3. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policy Uncertainty
The announcement of new U.S. tariffs on key imports has reignited fears of a global trade war, affecting investor sentiment. Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 Index have been hit particularly hard due to their reliance on domestic manufacturing and global supply chains.
4. Bond Market and Recession Signals
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen from 4.8% to 4.2%, reflecting a shift towards safer assets. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has adjusted its real GDP forecast to -2.4% for Q1 2025, reinforcing concerns about an economic downturn.
5. Technical and Psychological Market Factors
The Nasdaq Composite has entered correction territory, down more than 10% from its recent peak.
The S&P 500 is testing its 200-day moving average, a crucial technical level.
The Fear and Greed Index at 24 indicates extreme pessimism, often associated with oversold market conditions.
Investor Advice in the Current Market
1. Stay Calm and Avoid Panic Selling
Extreme fear can create attractive long-term buying opportunities. Historically, markets recover from corrections, and selling out of fear may lead to missed gains when the market rebounds.
2. Focus on Quality Stocks with Strong Fundamentals
Look for companies with durable competitive advantages, strong balance sheets, and consistent cash flows.
Defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples may offer stability during market uncertainty.
3. Diversify and Hedge Risks
Consider increasing exposure to bonds or dividend-paying stocks for more stable income.
Holding gold or other safe-haven assets can provide downside protection.
4. Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy
Instead of trying to time the market, gradually invest in tranches to reduce the impact of short-term volatility.
5. Watch Key Economic Indicators and Fed Signals
Pay attention to upcoming CPI inflation reports, job data, and Fed meeting outcomes for clues on interest rate direction.
A clear signal of rate cuts could trigger a market rebound.
Final Thoughts
While extreme fear in the market reflects investor anxiety, it also presents potential opportunities for disciplined investors. Understanding the driving factors behind the sell-off and taking a strategic, long-term approach can help investors navigate this period of uncertainty. As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
Dow Jones: A Make-or-Break Buy Setup with Smart Money BackingDow Jones Industrial Average - Buy Setup
Technical: U.S. markets have struggled recently due to uncertainty over tariffs imposed by President Trump. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken key support levels, the Dow remains resilient, holding the critical 41,648 support. A break below would confirm a large double-top pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. This is a pivotal moment. The rebound from overnight lows is encouraging, but with the U.S. CPI release tomorrow, caution is warranted. While speculative, COT and seasonal data favour a short-term move higher.
Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increasing long interest in the Dow, suggesting "smart money" accumulation.
Seasonal: Historically, from March 12 – May 2, the Dow has posted gains 84% of the time, averaging +3.68% over the past 25 years.
Setup:
Entry: 41,800 – 42,000
Stop Loss: 41,285 (below the Nov 2024 low at 41,648)
Target: 44,290
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 - Reversal in Play, Key Levels to Watch for ConfirmationUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – March 11, 2025
The price dropped over 800 Points, as mentioned in yesterday’s analysis.
Technical Outlook:
The price reversed from the 90-day low and is now attempting to test the 42,212 level. As long as it trades below the resistance zone, further downside is expected, targeting 41,560 and 41,030.
However, a 4H candle close above 42,385 would signal a potential bullish shift.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,200 | 42,385 | 43,588
Pivot: 41,950
Support: 41,785 | 41,560 | 41,345
US30 LongsThis is my weekly analysis for US30. After the introduction of tariffs we saw a decline of the Dow,price nearly retraced 100% from itsintial bullish move from the 41,750 Daily Key Level.I think this was a perfectly time correction that was inevitable after an almost parabolic amount of bullish momentum the past few months. I do believe that the down trend is becoming exhausted judging by the wicks we are seeing around the Monthly 42,450 level. I am also seeing a 4H head and shoulders pattern which is distinguishable on some higher time frames as well. There is a possibility to see some consolidation between the Daily 42,150 area and the Monthly key Level @ 42,450. I could also see potential for a liquidity grab below 42,150 before a strong bullish move up. This prediction is being made based on past price action around these same key levels. With the bullish engulfing forming on the 4H time frame and the doji closing above the 42,750 4H key level there is a possibility to see price go straight through that 42,900 Daily Level without anymore liquidity, time will tell.
Long US30 Trade: Targeting 43,200 for Potential Upside1. On-Balance Volume (OBV) Analysis
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a strong bullish signal:
Current OBV value: 122 billion as of March 7, 2025
Trend: Consistently rising (115B to 122B over the last 5 periods)
2. Volume RSI and Market Sentiment
The Volume Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides insights into the market's momentum:
Current RSI: 40.5 as of March 7, 2025
Interpretation: Not oversold, potential for reversal
3. Trading Volumes and Market Participation
Recent trading volumes indicate strong market participation:
Average 3-month volume: 571,237,219
Recent daily volumes: 378,263,925 and 355,151,349
Last 24-hour volume: 543,817,886
4. Institutional Money Flow
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report and other indicators suggest strong institutional presence:
Institutional traders maintaining substantial positions in US30 futures
High trading volumes indicating active institutional participation
Rising OBV confirming institutional accumulation
This institutional involvement provides a solid foundation for the long position, as large players often have the power to drive market trends .
Dow Jones at the bottom of the trading rangeGiven the recent emotional decline in the Dow Jones and S&P500, the Dow Jones is expected to make an upward correction from the bottom of its confirmed trading range. The stop loss is equivalent to the closing of the 4-hour candle below today's last low, with a target of 43,500 in the final step.
Highly probable cause you know..Liquidity sweep +fvg + order block
Seem to previously raid sell stops and created a fair value gap
We look to go long should price retrace to the fair value gap and the bullish order block
Hanzo l US30 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 US30 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 41400
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 41100 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
T/R zonesThis idea is based on transient/recurrent zones
Very high probability (90%+) for the price to hit TP.
Probability was calculated on TF 15min.
change the trendThe downtrend is expected to end at the current support level, then a start of an uptrend is possible.
Otherwise, a continuation of the downtrend is possible to the next support level.
Dow Jones on the weekly chartAs you can see, due to recent economic news and Trump's economic approaches, we have unfortunately witnessed a decline in major indices, including the Dow Jones. We are currently at the last available support level, which is the bottom of the Dow Jones long-term channel, and we need to see how it reacts to this level in tomorrow's news and the CPI release.
uptrendIt is expected that there will be fluctuation within the current support area and then we will see a trend change and the start of an uptrend. If the support area is broken, the downtrend will likely continue.
US30 BUY?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Technical Analysis of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 1H 1. Trend Identification
The price action is currently within a range-bound consolidation phase (highlighted by the blue box), oscillating between 42,600 - 42,800.
A volume profile analysis reveals a strong point of control (POC) at 42,639.47, indicating a key level where most volume has been traded.
There are two potential future scenarios illustrated by the bullish (blue) and bearish (red) channels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
42,600 (POC & previous demand zone)
42,200 (lower bound of projected bearish channel)
Resistance Levels:
42,800 (current upper range resistance)
43,200 - 43,600 (upper bound of the bullish channel)
3. Chart Patterns & Volume Analysis
Volume Analysis:
The last 60-bar volume comparison shows a slight bullish bias (Up Vol > Down Vol by 1.97%), but the price remains indecisive.
A breakout of the 42,800 resistance or 42,600 support with a volume surge would confirm the next trend direction.
Possible Patterns:
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 42,600 may lead to a decline towards 42,200.
Bullish Scenario: Breakout above 42,800 can drive the price to 43,200 - 43,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
🔵 Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout Play)
Entry: Above 42,820, upon a confirmed breakout with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,600 (below POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 43,200, then 43,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔴 Bearish Trade Setup (Breakdown Play)
Entry: Below 42,580, upon breakdown with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,800 (above POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 42,400, then 42,200 (lower channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5
2025 US30 Beautiful Golden BATThe harmonic Bat pattern has swooped into the Dow Jones, flapping its wings and signaling a potential price lift-off from the tip of its batty little tail at the 39k mark.
Looks like this market Will be ready to take flight—just don’t forget to buckle up, because even bats have a tendency to pull off some unexpected acrobatics mid-air!
DowJones The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 43145, followed by 43600 and 44000.
Support: Key support is at 43303 followed by 42000 and 41650.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Analysis: Bearish Trend Holding Below 42,385US30 Analysis & Market Impact – March 10, 2025
📉 The price remains in a bearish trend, as projected last week.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Stability below 42,385 confirms the continuation of the bearish trend toward 41,785.
As long as the price remains below 42,385, the bearish momentum stays intact.
A 1H or 4H candle close above 42,385 could lead to a push toward 42,588, and a break above 42,590 would indicate a potential bullish reversal.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: 42,588 | 42,820 | 43,020
🔹 Pivot Level: 42,385
🔻 Support: 42,040 | 41,790 | 41,560
Previous idea Here
US30 BULLISH FOR 9000PIPSThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a popular index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. A forecast of a 9,000 pips bullish movement in the US30 would imply a significant upward trend in the index. Here's a breakdown of what this could mean and factors to consider:
US30Trend: Bearish market.
Take Profit Levels:
TP 1 at 41681.00: Previous quarter’s low.
TP 2 at 40000.00: Key psychological level.
Confirmation: Breaking the 42568.00 low will confirm bearish momentum.
COT Data: Confirmed bearish sentiment from Commitment of Traders (COT) report, supporting the bearish outlook.
this is new update about us30. what do u think?new update of us30 in 4h timeframe. lets discuss about it
Potential longUS30 may find bullish pressure from the 41,500, as it was a previous resistance turning into support.
As long as price action is below 41,500 - 41,000 region, the indice will likely continue it's downward trajectory.
Remaining above the 41,500 may lead to a rise aiming for the above resistance barriers.
