DJIA trade ideas
dow jones down 15% -Some time ago, I identified a strong resistance zone near the 45,000 level on the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart, based on historical price action and technical indicators. Since then, the index has experienced a notable correction, declining to approximately 38,314 as of the most recent close — representing a drawdown of nearly 15% from the identified resistance level. This move reinforces the significance of that resistance area and suggests heightened market sensitivity around those levels
DOW JONES You will regret not taking this buyDow Jones / US30 remains under heavy selling pressure as it has been yet again rejected under the 1week MA50, failing to hold the closings over it of the past 3 candles.
This is the strongest correction of the index since the September 26th 2022 bottom and the start of the Channel Up.
Despite the negatives, the 1week RSI is almost on the 37.50 level, which is where the last higher low of the Channel Up was formed on October 23rd 2023, again under the 1week MA50.
Obviously even though the downside may continue for a few more days, the extent is limited technically, especially since the worst of the tariffs have been priced and only new and more aggressive ones can inflict more non-technical fear on the market.
This is a unique long term buy opportunity, the likes of which saw 2 rallies before of +21.10%.
Even in the event of one more dip, a 48000 target towards the end of the year is very realistic.
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Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis🧠 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis
📅 Chart Date: April 2, 2025
🔍 Pattern Observations
Previous Uptrend (Left Section of Chart):
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern that formed after a strong uptrend.
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder were clearly formed and confirmed.
The price reversed strongly after completing this H&S, indicating a bearish reversal.
Current Pattern Forming (Right Section of Chart):
A new H&S pattern is now forming, suggesting another potential bearish setup.
The Left Shoulder and Head are already in place.
The price is currently moving upward toward what may become the Right Shoulder.
Expected completion of Right Shoulder around the 40,000 level.
A trendline support from the prior lows aligns with this area, strengthening this level as a possible resistance zone.
📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Pattern Confirmation)
If price reaches ~40,000, forms the Right Shoulder, and then starts to decline, the pattern will be complete.
A decisive breakdown below the neckline (drawn from the lows of Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder base) would confirm the bearish H&S pattern.
In that case, projected target zone would be calculated as:
Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline)
Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline)
Depending on exact neckline placement, target could be around 38,000 or lower.
🚫 Invalidation Scenario (Pattern Failure)
If price breaks above the Head region (~42,500 - 42,800), then the current H&S pattern gets nullified.
In this case, the structure becomes bullish again, potentially leading to new highs beyond 43,000+.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
42,500-42,800 Head Resistance / Pattern Invalidation
40,000 Expected Right Shoulder Peak
38,000 H&S Breakdown Target
41,000 Interim Support
39,500 Neckline (approx.)
⚠️ Risk Factors
H&S is a reliable reversal pattern, but like all technical patterns, confirmation is key.
Right Shoulder is still under formation; premature trading before confirmation could lead to false signals.
Market sentiment, macroeconomic news (like inflation data, Fed announcements), or geopolitical events could override technical patterns.
✅ Conclusion
DJI has already completed one H&S pattern post-uptrend and saw a bearish reversal.
Now, it's potentially forming another H&S, and 40,000 is a key level for the Right Shoulder.
If the price rejects at 40,000 and breaks below neckline, bearish trend may resume, targeting 38,000 or lower.
If the price breaks above the Head (~42,800), the bearish structure is invalid, and we may see a bullish continuation.
📢 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The chart patterns discussed are based on historical price action and do not guarantee future performance.
US30 will drop by another 10% in next 4 weeks📊 My Macro Analysis Breakdown
Covid Crash:
Sharp -25% collapse.
V-shaped recovery, before another -10%
Inflation Explosion (2022):
-21% drop due to Fed rate hikes.
Choppy sideways market after.
Inflation Cooled (Nov-Dec 23):
Big +22% rally when markets priced in rate cuts.
Trump Re-Election (Nov 2024):
Stocks rallied ~8%.
US Tariffs "Lib Day" (April 2025):
Current Phase: Huge initial crash of -10%.
Projection: I am forecasting another -10% to -12% downside toward 32,352 area.
🧠 Why My Prediction Makes Sense:
Markets always overshoot after a major policy shock (tariffs are no small thing — this is bigger than inflation).
Fed won't act yet (cut rates) until serious economic data deterioration happens.
Global slowdown fears are increasing (China, Europe showing signs too).
Corporate earnings for Q1 2025 are about to be revised down = next catalyst for more selling.
Technical structure resembles past correction patterns (Covid, Inflation explosion).
📅 Timing (based on past crashes I charted):
Covid crash: 5-6 weeks.
Inflation crash: 2-3 months.
This one: Likely 4-8 weeks of choppy downside.
⚡ Conclusion:
✅ A prediction of another ~10% drop is totally aligned with both macro fundamentals and technical history.
✅ Expect violent bear market rallies (sharp 2-5% spikes) inside the downtrend — that's normal.
✅ Bias: Sell the rallies, buy safe havens (gold after the dip, bonds).
US30 BUY NOW!!!!!!!!!!US30 completed +2500pips from my yesterdays call analysis today we have price resting at the sell side liquidity with a liquidity sweep and also made a strong gap that need to be filled on the buy side am in now on buy hold till price run all the liquidity above to the buyside my goal target is 42,888
LETS KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS ON THIS..........
Dow Jones INTRADAY key trading levels ahead of US employmentKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40540
Resistance Level 2: 41000
Resistance Level 3: 42000
Support Level 1: 38940
Support Level 2: 38175
Support Level 3: 37320
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Wall Street - Printing a very Dangerous Move!The Dow Jones (US30) is currently testing a critical level within its long-term ascending channel. The next move depends on whether the price holds or breaks this structure.
🔹 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Bounce (Channel Holds) ✅
If price finds support within the 38,000 - 36,000 zone, we could see a strong rebound.
A bounce from this level may lead to a retest of 42,000 - 44,000, with potential for another attempt at the upper channel near 46,000+.
Confirmation: Look for bullish price action like long wicks or a bullish engulfing candle.
2️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Channel Breaks) ❌
If the price breaks below the channel and closes under 36,000, this could signal a trend shift.
A breakdown may accelerate selling, leading to further downside targets at 32,000, then 28,000.
Confirmation: A strong weekly close below support with increased volume and no immediate recovery.
📌 Key Takeaway:
Channel intact → Buy dips for potential continuation.
Channel break → Expect deeper correction towards long-term supports.
Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on US30? 🚀📉
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for US30 Index.
Resistance 1: 40650 - 40850 area
Resistance 2: 41150 - 41300 area
Resistance 3: 42550 - 42850 area
Support 1: 40000 - 40250 area
Support 2: 39470 - 39650 area
Support 3: 38400 - 38650 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Warning Signs Flashing: Dow Jones Breaks Key SupportThe Dow Jones Index has officially broken its rising trendline support, signaling a possible shift in the medium-term trend. After losing this key ascending structure, price is now hovering near the psychological support zone of 40,000, which has historically acted as both resistance and support.
This level is crucial. If it holds, we could see a temporary bounce or consolidation. However, if the 40K zone fails to provide support, the index may head toward the next major support area around 38,000, aligned with the longer-term trendline support.
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Trade Idea : US30 Short ( MARKET )Technical Analysis Overview:
1. Daily Chart:
• The index is in a clear downtrend, with price action breaking below the moving average.
• MACD is deeply negative, with a bearish divergence and downward momentum.
• RSI at 37.28, indicating approaching oversold territory, but not yet reversing.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Strong downward momentum with sharp drop visible.
• MACD is heavily negative, confirming bearish momentum.
• RSI is at 32.71, indicating oversold conditions, but no clear sign of reversal yet.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Sharp sell-off followed by consolidation.
• MACD is negative but appears to be flattening, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or continued consolidation before the next move.
• RSI at 44.38, showing mild recovery from previous lows but still below the midpoint (50).
Trade Idea:
• Position: Short (Sell)
• Entry Level: 41,250 (near minor resistance or after a weak bullish retracement)
• Stop Loss (SL): 41,800 (Above recent consolidation zone or resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 40,400 (Previous support area with good potential for price to test)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Do Or Die!The past few weeks have caught out many bulls as Trump tariffs wreck the markets.
41K support today may just be the bottom, this area must hold, otherwise we are heading not just for a correction but a bear market.
The falls have been consistent and steady, no real plunges which points to a correction, although we do have a double top from the Dec highs and early Feb highs.
Gold and silver have been the standout performers, 3000 gold will be blown away.
A mix of Trump threats of tariffs and many beginning to wake up to media attention in PM's....a hedge against turmoil.
Any close below the Dow low is a short, from here bottom fishing just may produce a rally of significance, perhaps a rally to sell.
Appreciate a thumbs up and God Bless you all!
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Break Out Setup – 42150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearih Break out Setup – 41730 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19100
Key Level / Equal Highs Formation
Strong Rejection from 18800 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 41740 : 42150 – Liquidity Engineered
BOS @ — 41750 | 42050 – Directional Shift Confirmed
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 March 17, 2025 – First Retest @ 41830
💯 March 20, 2025 – Second Retest @ 41830
💯 March 24, 2025 – Third Retest @ 41830
💯 March 31, 2025 – Fourth Retest @ 41830
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?