DJIA trade ideas
1-week US30: Could the Dow Jones Drop another 2000 PointsWeโre analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight upward trajectory. However, multiple technical and fundamental factors now suggest a potential downward correction.
From a fundamental standpoint, increasing tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration are fueling investor uncertainty, prompting a market sell-off. The prevailing risk-off sentiment is pushing investors away from stocks and into traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen and Gold.
From a technical perspective, the US30 has formed a double top pattern, a classic bearish signal. Additionally, the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, which initially acted as support, has failed, with prices now breaking below.
Given this setup, we are initiating a direct sell order at 41,000, with a stop-loss (SL) 2% above this level. Our take-profit (TP) target is set at 39,000, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which historically serves as strong support.
This strategic positioning reflects the heightened volatility and the likelihood of a further market decline in the short to mid-term.
DOW JONES One break away from a rally back to 45000.Dow Jones (DJIA) got stopped on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as the market paused ahead of today's tariffs implementation. This is the 2nd technical rejection since the March 13 bottom, the first being n the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) last Wednesday.
This bottom is technically the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 1-year Bullish Megaphone pattern, and is very similar, both in 1D RSI and price terms, to the first one (April 19 - May 20 2024). As you can see, we are currently within the sane 0.5 - 0.786 Fib range, where the price consolidated before the eventual 4H MA200 bullish break-out.
If it continues to replicate the 2024 Bullish Leg, then be ready for a straight Resistance test once the 4H MA200 breaks. Our Target is 45000.
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NOT TAGGED US30This setup was seen because of the resting highs spotted on the discussion dropped before this one, and the 15 m gap left as the market rose within the mids, I am not yet tagged but I am not on the rush to being tagged because the plan is a gap, zone, breaker block, premium price, and they all tick, if it does not, well well well, this will be just another day, no rush.
Happy Trading
DJIA H4 | Potential bullish bounceDJIA (US30) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 41,282.01 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 41,080.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 42,240.15 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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DOW JONES: 4 week bottom on the 1W MA50. Best time to buy.Dow Jones turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.611, MACD = -297.980, ADX = 37.851) as it is recovering today and more importantly keeps its price action above the 1W MA50. This is the 4th straight week that it trades and holds the 1W MA50, which is shaping up to be the natural long term support. That is keeping the 1W RSI neutral (47.224), which technically suggets that it is the most low risk level to buy. The 1W RSI made a double bottom due to this consolidation and the 1W MACD printed the first light red bar, all of which are similar to the October 23rd 2023 bottom.
Both have been bottoms after bearish waves of the 1.5 year Channel Up and as a matter of fact similar in decline rate (-9.50%). The highest probability level for a rebound and start of the new bullish wave is this, and based on the previous, it should aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 49,000).
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Updates on Our Last US30 analysis Update ๐ฏ๐ฏ
Market Structure
1. Trend: The market has been in a downtrend since mid-February, forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Recent Price Action: There was a strong drop in mid-March, followed by a recovery attempt.
3. Current Zone: Price is hovering around 42,090, attempting to push higher after a recent low.
Key Levels
โข Support: Around 41,500 - 41,800 (recent swing low area)
โข Resistance: Around 42,500 - 42,700 (previous supply zone)
Possible Trade Setups
1. Bearish Scenario (Short)
โข If price rejects the 42,500 - 42,700 resistance zone with a bearish candle, it could signal a short entry targeting 41,800 or lower.
โข Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or rejection wicks.
2. Bullish Scenario (Long)
โข If price breaks and holds above 42,700, it may indicate a trend reversal.
โข A clean breakout with retest can signal a buy entry, targeting 43,000+.
Feel free to leave a Comment below โฌ๏ธ
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ US30
The Path of Precision โ Hanzoโs Market Strike
๐ฅ Key Levels & Breakout Strategy โ 15M TF
๐ฅ Deep market insight โ no random moves, only calculated execution.
โ๏ธ Bearish Break Setup โ 41830 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
๐ฉธ 15M Time Frame Confluence
โโโโ
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 42160
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 42050
Key Level / Equal Highs Formation
Strong Rejection from 18800 โ The Ultimate Pivot
๐ฅ 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 42160 โ Liquidity Engineered
BOS @ 41830 โ Directional Shift Confirmed
โ๏ธ 4H Historical Market Memory
โโ
๐ฏ 27 March 2025 โ First Retest @ 42175
๐ฏ 19 March 2025 โ Second Retest @ 42175
๐ฏ 7 Mar 2025 โ Third Retest @ 42175
๐ The Market Has Spoken โ Are You Ready to Strike?
US30 Scalping Ideas for NYSE open todaySince the NYSE brings a lot of volume, we can look for both buy and sell ideas depending on how the candles behave. I will wait for the first 5-minute candle after the NYSE open to plan my trade.
Higher timeframes (weekly, 4H, and the hourly) all look bearish except for the bullish close yesterday, so my bias is still bearish. Unless we see some tariff related good news or any other fundamental news release, the continuation most likely can be towards the downside.
Happy trading!
US30: Target Is Up! Long!Key Levels & Breakout Strategy โ 15M TF
Deep market insight โ no random moves, only calculated execution.
Bullish After Break Out โ 40800 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Bearish After Break Out โ 40400 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
15M Time Frame Confluence
โโโโ
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 4850
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 40400
Strong Rejection from 40790 โ The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 39900 โ The Ultimate Pivot
1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 40500 โ Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 39850 โ Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 40800 zone โ Liquidity Engineered
US30 Trade Update โ 15/04/2025๐จ US30 Trade Update โ 15/04/2025 ๐จ
๐ US30 Testing Key Resistance!
The Dow is stalling just under 40,702, a critical resistance zone that has capped price multiple times. A breakout could spark continuation toward 41,500, but rejection here could drag price back toward 39,900 or even lower.
๐ Key Observations:
โ
Strong recovery from 36,743 low
โ
Price consolidating just under resistance
๐บ Breakout above 40,702 opens path to 41,500
๐ป Support zone: 40,060 โ 39,900
๐ฏ Trade Plan:
๐น Long above 40,702 โ Target 41,500
๐ป Short below 40,060 โ Target 39,900
๐น Range traders can fade the zone until breakout confirms
โ ๏ธ Patience is key โ this squeeze could go either way. Let price tip its hand.
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ US30
The Path of Precision โ Hanzoโs Market Strike
๐ฅ Key Levels & Breakout Strategy โ 15M TF
๐ฅ Deep market insight โ no random moves, only calculated execution.
โ๏ธ Bullish After Break Out โ 40800 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
โ๏ธ Bearish After Break Out โ 40400 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
๐ฉธ 15M Time Frame Confluence
โโโโ
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 4850
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 40400
Strong Rejection from 40790 โ The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 39900 โ The Ultimate Pivot
๐ฅ 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 40500 โ Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 39850 โ Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 40800 zone โ Liquidity Engineered
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart:
โข Trend: Recent strong rejection from the 36893 zone followed by a sharp V-reversal; currently recovering, but still under prior highs.
โข MACD: Deeply negative but showing signs of reversal (momentum slowing).
โข RSI: At 46.22 โ mid-range, suggesting room to go higher.
โข Bias: Recovery from oversold โ bullish short-term momentum within a larger corrective phase.
15-Minute Chart:
โข Trend: Strong impulse move up from 37092 area to 40395.
โข MACD: Positive cross and momentum flattening โ indicating potential short-term consolidation or continuation.
โข RSI: 45.36 โ still not overbought. Room to push higher.
โข Bias: Bullish continuation with potential pullback entries.
3-Minute Chart:
โข Trend: Recent micro consolidation with minor pullbacks.
โข MACD: Near zero but ticking up, signaling possible small continuation wave.
โข RSI: 45.87 โ similar mid-range, no bearish divergence.
โข Bias: Short-term bullish scalp opportunity.
โธป
Fundamental Outlook (Macro Context)
โข Recent Fed tone remains data-dependent, but no immediate rate hike expectations.
โข Inflation cooling and market anticipating a potential rate cut later this year supports equities.
โข US earnings season began; early sentiment is optimistic.
โข Risk-on sentiment may support indices like US30 to grind higher short-term.
โธป
Trade Idea: Long Position
Entry:
Buy Limit @ 40220
โข Just below current price, near recent minor support and EMA bounce zone (15M + 3M confluence).
Stop Loss:
SL @ 39870
โข Below minor support & key structure zone on 15M chart.
Take Profit:
TP @ 40990
โข Next resistance based on Daily chart supply zone and prior rejection area.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Long Term Market PredictionThis is based on 5 different indicators along with a deep analysis using AI. Based on repeating patterns. We see a 50% gain before dropping down to a 25-50% retracement of the total span, then a 100% gain from initial starting point at intervals. Looking at bar length:
From 1,400 up to 11,700 is +10,300
From 1,200 up to 6,400 is +5,200 (about half of 10,300)
From 2,600 up to 5,400 is +2,800 (about half of 5,200)
Seeing that these upward moves appear to be roughly halving each time, the next โupโ might be around half of 2,800, i.e. about +1,400. Adding 1,400 to the most recent term (5,400) gives
5,400
โ
โ
+
โ
โ
1,400
โ
โ
=
โ
โ
6,800.
5,400+1,400=6,800.
So a plausible next term (if we follow that decreasing-up-jump idea) is around 6,800 bars. This concludes how we will get to the next increase - though much slower than the previous 2.
US30 Trade Update โ 14/04/2025๐จ US30 Trade Update โ 14/04/2025 ๐จ
๐ Dow Jones Back in Bull Mode!
US30 has surged back above 40,600 and is now approaching the key resistance at 40,860. Bulls are pressing higher, but price is now near a critical decision point.
๐ Key Observations:
โ
Strong recovery from 36,743 support
โ
Higher highs + bullish EMA crossover
๐บ Resistance ahead at 40,860 โ 41,200
๐ฏ Trade Plan:
๐น Long above 40,860 โ Target 41,200
๐ป Short only if price rejects 40,860 & drops below 40,450
๐น Wait for breakout confirmation โ no rush!
โ ๏ธ Momentum favors bulls, but 40,860 is the gatekeeper. Let price prove itself.