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Dow Just crossed the infamous 200MA - Should we worry?The Dow Jones, continues to underperform international markets in 2025. The Trump Administration is an unstable one which is causing such fear and uncertainty. It seems like the very essence of policies, procedures and compliance are falling out with the ad hoc and sudden decisions being made by a small group of plutocrats. Here is why the Dow Jones might remain to stay in trouble and for further downside to come. Tariff Tensions: Trump's ramping up tariffs on Canadian metals, and it's freaking out investors 😱📉 Recession Fears: Mixed signals about a possible recession have everyone on edge 😬🔻 Tech Trouble: Tech giants like Tesla are tanking, dragging the whole market down 🤖📉 Global Trade Chaos: Uncertain trade policies are stirring global chaos and confusion 🌍🤯 Market Volatility: Investor nerves are sky-high with volatility spiking, making everyone super cautious 😟📈 And the technicals speak for themselves. The Price has broken below the M FOrmation and wait for it... The Infamous 200MA. So the signs of downside are strong. WIll the US markets allow such downside to come, we'll have to see but as things stand - we have a bearish outlook with a target of 36,296. What do you think? Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:US30Short
by Timonrosso
US30 Trade Outlook – 12/03/2025📊 Market Structure & Key Levels US30 is still in a downtrend, but we are seeing a bullish reaction from recent lows. Price is testing resistance around 41,718 - 41,800, a key zone for potential rejection or breakout. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Bearish Trend – Price remains below major EMAs, but attempting a recovery. ✅ Key Resistance – 41,800 level is a crucial decision point. ✅ Bullish Breakout? – If price holds above 41,800, we could see a push toward 42,200+. 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔹 Short if rejection at 41,800, targeting 41,628 & 41,400. 🔹 Long if clean breakout & retest above 41,800, targeting 42,200 - 42,400. 💡 Patience. Confirmation. Risk Management.🔥
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
US30 (Dow Jones) Buy Analysis: GTEUS30 has successfully pushed through an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price action suggests a continuation upward, with the next target being the top trendline around 41,950 - 42,000. With CPI news scheduled for tomorrow morning, we can anticipate further volatility, but until then, US30 is likely to maintain its bullish structure. As long as price holds above the recent support zone around 41,500, the bias remains bullish towards the higher resistance levels.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by US30EMPIRE
Flat correction in DOW JonesA flat correction differs from a zigzag in that the sub wave sequence is 3-3-5, as shown in chart. Since the first actionary wave, wave A, lacks sufficient downward force to unfold into a full five waves as it does in a zigzag, the B wave reaction, not surprisingly, seems to inherit this lack of countertrend pressure and terminates near the start of wave A. Wave C, in turn, generally terminates just slightly beyond the end of wave A rather than significantly beyond as in zigzags.
TVC:DJI
by imkhushal
Financial Apocalypse? Markets Crash as Billions Flow into Cash –A New Wave of Market Turbulence: How Trade Wars and Uncertainty Affect Investors The US stock market is currently undergoing a massive sell-off, which analysts compare to previous financial crises. Both institutional and retail investors are actively exiting equities and high-risk instruments, including cryptocurrencies. The accumulated anxiety is driven not only by the global economic cycle but also by specific political decisions: trade wars and protectionist measures are putting significant pressure on corporate earnings and market expectations. Early Signs: Tariffs and Escalation When Donald Trump announced increased tariffs on imports from China a few years ago, the stock market reacted sharply but briefly. Many analysts hoped the tensions would turn out to be short-lived negotiating tactics. Ultimately, however, the trade confrontation evolved into a prolonged phase, affecting not only the US and China but also European partners. Today we see a continuation of this policy, where new restrictions and tariff threats have been added to the previously introduced measures. This has prompted capital outflows and increased uncertainty, as global supply chains have come under question, and the prospects for global trade recovery are murky. Parallels with the 2008 Crisis Comparisons to 2008 are inevitable due to the scope and speed of the drop in stock prices. However, while the primary trigger in 2008 was the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and the banking sector, the current negative factors lie in the realm of trade and geopolitical tensions. Leading companies' financial results are declining because of rising costs for raw materials and logistics due to mutual tariffs. Global demand is weakening, and heightened instability is causing management teams to cut back on investment programs. All this is reflected in stock market indices, which continue to lose several percentage points in a single trading session. Buffett’s Role and the Cash Accumulation Strategy Warren Buffett, one of the largest and most conservative investors, prepared for such a scenario by amassing an unprecedented amount of cash. Buffett’s approach does not involve “catching a falling knife” at the peak of panic, but as soon as the situation stabilizes or compelling long-term opportunities arise, he will likely begin buying undervalued assets. This strategy is typical for major players who focus on fundamental indicators. They are not looking at short-term fluctuations but rather the potential gains when the market recovers and prices return to fair value. Cryptocurrencies: Expectations vs. Reality Many assumed that cryptocurrencies would serve as a haven during crises. However, experience shows that in periods of global uncertainty, risk-averse investors exit digital assets alongside everything else. Bitcoin and Ethereum have lost 20–30% since the latest “flare-ups” began, and even statements about a “national bitcoin strategy” have so far failed to influence their prices. Meanwhile, fundamental factors—limited supply, the development of blockchain technology, and IT-sector interest—have not disappeared. These arguments gain traction when investors’ risk appetite returns. But when the market is dominated by fear of further declines, they tend to avoid risky trades and prefer liquid, proven instruments. Where the Money Goes Unlike previous downturns, capital has not rushed into gold. While gold prices reached their peak a few weeks ago, their growth has since slowed, as some investors opt to keep their funds in cash, considered the safest choice. Such behavior may suggest that the sell-off is nearing its climax: when capital remains “on the sidelines,” it eventually starts seeking new opportunities—whether in bargain-priced shares of large industrial giants, the tech sector, or even the cryptocurrency market with its depressed valuations. The volume of outflows from the US stock market is colossal; over the last couple of weeks, the total market cap of leading indexes has fallen by several trillion dollars. It is expected that a substantial portion of this money will re-enter the market, though likely redistributed among different asset classes. Medium- and Long-Term Outlook Investors with a six-month or longer horizon often see the current levels as potential entry points. Historically, global conflicts and economic crises end sooner or later, opening opportunities for those who can tolerate temporary volatility. However, short-term trading remains extremely risky: as uncertainty persists, we may see more waves of sell-offs that knock out speculators with weak nerves or insufficient liquidity. During such moments, those who remain disciplined and steadfast can find profitable opportunities. Conclusion Today’s financial market conditions stem from a convergence of factors: aggressive trade policies, geopolitical risks, and the natural winding down of certain economic cycles. The mass sell-off of stocks and cryptocurrencies indicates that investors are unwilling to take on new risks until tariff disputes calm down, a clearer picture emerges for corporate profits, and major economic centers reach some form of agreement. Nevertheless, the market retains its cyclical nature: historical parallels show that after the steepest drops, recovery periods often follow. The only question is when the turnaround will occur and who will be the first to capitalize on it.
TVC:DJILong
by StarTradePro
US30🚨 US30 Trade Outlook 11/03/2025 🚨 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels The Dow Jones (US30) remains in a downtrend, with price currently attempting a retracement after a strong bearish move. The market structure suggests that sellers are still in control, but a temporary pullback could be in play before further downside. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Bearish Trend – Price continues to trade below key moving averages. ✅ Major Resistance – 43,021.31 level is a key supply zone. ✅ Support Retest – Price bounced from the 41,717.11 - 41,491.21 demand area. 🎯 Trade Idea: If price rejects resistance at 42,021 - 42,176, a short opportunity could emerge, targeting 41,717.11 and 41,491.21. However, a break above 42,176 could lead to a bullish retracement towards 43,021.31. 💡 Patience is key. Wait for confirmations. Manage risk wisely! 🔥
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
Will it be a distribution or a re-accumulation The DJIA is looking at a crossroad and based on Wyckoff schematics, the index is looking at a possible distribution BUT the current price action is tilting towards a re-accumulation phase as the SOW (Sign of weakness) is not in yet. We think that the rebound is likely to happen TODAY. However, we would want to see a break above 43,100 resistance to confirmed the upside. Otherwise, there's a risk of the index correction towards the 123.6%. Well a rebound will happen there and high chance it will if it goes there. But the hope of new high will be dashed. BUT I'm still hopeful for a bull rise.
DJ:DJILong
by William-trading
US30USD - Short AnalysisThere has been a lot of consolidation in the market. I can see the bulls making a run on liquidity sweeping the previous internal highs before reaching the swing high, and the bears building momentum to the downside. I could see a retest of the 1h Low marked on the chart before sweeping liquidity above the current Range (Consolidation). Once price has swept the sell side liquidity, the Bears will enter the market at my Potential Sell Entry to continue with downside momentum.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by AndreBestTrading
US30 09/03/2025 Outlook🚨 US30 Trade Outlook 🚨 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels The Dow Jones (US30) is bouncing off a major demand zone on the daily timeframe, showing strong rejection from recent lows. A potential bullish reversal is in play, with price aiming toward key resistance around 44,500. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Daily Support Held – Buyers defended the 42,300 zone, signaling strength. ✅ Bullish Momentum Building – Short-term moving averages curling up. ✅ Break & Retest Setup – 43,000 level is crucial for further upside. 🎯 Trade Idea: If price clears 43,000, we could see a rally toward 43,700+ and potentially the previous highs around 44,500. Watching for confirmation and volume before entering longs. 💡 Stay disciplined. Trade smart. Manage risk. FX:US30
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey