DJIA trade ideas
TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR LONGBuying US30 from 42,300 to 42,200 with a target of 43,100 appears to be a bullish strategy. To justify this move, let's break down the fundamental analysis.
*Market Trend*
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has been on an upward trend, with a 13.7% increase over the last six months ¹. This suggests a strong bullish momentum.
*Technical Indicators*
- *MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)*: Although the MACD lines remain in bullish territory, the histogram has started to tick lower, indicating a potential weakening of the bullish momentum ¹.
- *RSI (Relative Strength Index)*: The RSI is approaching overbought territory, a level often associated with trend exhaustion ¹.
*Economic Factors*
- *Strong Labor Market*: The US labor market has shown resilience, with strong payroll data and wages growing at 4% ².
- *Interest Rates*: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will impact the US30. A rate cut could boost the index, while a rate hike might lead to a correction ².
*Trading Strategy*
Given the bullish trend and strong labor market, buying US30 from 42,300 to 42,200 with a target of 43,100 seems reasonable. However, keep a close eye on technical indicators and economic factors, as they can impact the index's movement.
*Risk Management*
- *Stop-Loss*: Set a stop-loss at 42,000 to limit potential losses.
- *Position Sizing*: Manage your position size to maintain a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
By considering both technical and fundamental analysis, you can make an informed decision about your trading strategy.
Keep your best wishes to the Travis 👍
The possibility of the upward correction ending and the decline Considering the zone marked on the chart and considering that the price has seen a lower low, it seems that the upward correction in the price will end soon and we should wait for a new downward movement. Targets and stop loss of my position are marked on the chart.
us30This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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US30 Sells Idea for the New York SessionUnless we see some news come out on tariffs, we could see some downside on US30 today. It is falling inside a wedge pattern right now, and I expect the price action to fall within that wedge with a potential to go down during the New York session. I will be waiting for a break of the upper green zone (around 42150), then a pullback and rejection, to take sells down towards the 42000 (and possibly lower) areas.
I am not looking for any buys on US30 today, unless I see some really big green candles towards the upside during the 9:30 am EST.
Dow Jones Analysis for the Coming DaysEntering a buy position on the Dow Jones requires confirmation on the 15-minute timeframe after breaking out of the classic triangle, with a risk-free position around the 42,500 level. If the price breaks out of the triangle and then pulls back with strong momentum—most likely intended to shake out retail traders and trigger stop hunts—it is possible to enter with a larger-than-usual position and a very tight stop-loss.
If the support level is broken, the analysis will be considered invalid. The "strong momentum pullback" to the support level refers to the red rectangle. If the price returns to the support zone with very strong momentum, an entry can be taken with a very tight stop-loss.
DJI US stock market forecast 2025-2026Assumption:
oct-22 — nov-24 (1-2-3-4-5) wave is over.
correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected.
likely structure is a 3 wave regular flat.
Time:
the correction is expected to last until at least sep-25.
Price:
it's too early to predict final price for wave (c).
anticipated range is 35000-39000.
wave (a) shall reach 39600.
Long term waves:
Major uptrend lasts 25 years.
Major correcting downtrend lasts 9 years.
Next major downtrend is expected to start in 2033-2034.
US30 Trade Outlook – 28/03/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 28/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is holding just above key support at 42,159, after a sharp rejection from the 42,787 - 42,872 resistance zone. Current price action suggests potential for a breakdown if buyers don’t step in.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔻 Bearish Pressure – Lower highs forming + rejection from supply
🔹 Critical Support: 42,159
🔻 Break below = downtrend continuation
🔹 If held = range/reversal potential
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short below 42,159 → Target 41,529 – 41,462
🔹 Long only if strong bounce above EMAs & 42,400 reclaimed
⚡️ Let the level guide you. Stay disciplined.
Support and resistance: navigating all-time highs with US 30Trading the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) with support and resistance is a powerful strategy, especially when the index approaches or breaks into all-time highs (ATHs). Key support levels often form at previous resistance zones, while psychological price levels (like round numbers) can act as both barriers and breakout points. When US30 reaches new ATHs, traditional resistance no longer exists, so traders must rely on Fibonacci extensions, trendlines, and volume analysis to gauge momentum. Watching price action near key levels and using stop-loss strategies can help manage risk in these uncharted territories. Always stay adaptable—ATH breakouts can lead to explosive rallies, but false breakouts are just as common.
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 42,114.80
1st Support: 41,410.00
1st Resistance: 43,012.90
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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DOW JONES: Are you ready for what's coming?Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.157, MACD = -244.290, ADX = 38.724) as it is attempting to recover the 2 month correction. It appears that the bottom has already been made as not only did the price rebound on the LL trendline but it did so on an oversold 1D RSI. This draws comparisons to the last big such correction of Aug-Oct 2023, which also declined by more than -9.40%. They key there was the formation of a 4H Golden Cross.
Right now the price is stuck inside the 4H MA50 - 4H MA200 range, so if it crosses now over the 4H MA200, it will most likely confirm the start of the new bullish wave as it will form a 4H Golden Cross. Technically it can achieve a similar price rally as then, so our thesis remains bullish aiming at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 50,000).
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US30 longHere is why:
All the timeframes (3M, M,W and D) are showing very bullish signs after the recent downfall we have seen in price due to political factors. However, there is no clear targets in those timeframes as of now.
However, there is a distinct target on the 4H timeframe.
The target is at 42,980.
The reason is we saw price collecting a lot of orders at 41,500 and the next major liquidity point is at 42,980.
So basically, all price is doing is collecting orders in order to reach that target.
We know this to be true because we have seen bullish indications in the way price has been collecting orders between the consolidation region of 42,660 and 42,500.
Yesterday, price broke above that region, however, orders that were made at the time were not enough for price to reach the target of 42,980.
Price went all the way to 42,300 to collect more orders in order to go and hit the 42,980 liquidity region.
Currently, I am waiting for price to form any sort of bullish confirmation for me to buy.
The best signs for that is for price to retrace to 42,500, where I will look to buy to the next liquidity region at 42,650.