We are not in a recessionary bear market yet....This analysis overlays US Recessions over CBOE:SPX on the top pane.
Bottom pane is a technique shared by famous trader , Larry William - recently presented at a NAAIM Conference. The technique looks at US job market as % of population. You can find more on Sentimentrader.
Larger declines in sto
About Employment-Population Ratio
US Employment Figures: July 2020The markets reacted positively from the news that employment data saw a bounce, but we need to be honest with ourselves here. Several states 'reopened for business' through this period; but the participation rate is the lowest it has been since the end of WW2. Just think about that for a minute. Th
Civilian Employment to Population Ratio -great toolThe head and shoulders formation is a classic sell setup that traders are familiar with. A close below the neck line is a sell signal for traders. Well, as you can see this was a signal of an economic downturn and it predicted it in the summer before the market crash in the fall. This would have ale
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