Supply of Houses is at Crash Levels!This idea is explained on the chart because that’s the easiest way to explain it. If you start at the green “Start Here” star in the top right corner and follow the green arrows, my observations about the current market conditions and how they compare to previous market crash conditions are detailed. Please feel free to ask questions.
MSACSR trade ideas
Housing Market at a glance: Be very afraidThe amount of houses on the market and the death of Mortgage Backed Securities seems to be the elephant in the room once again, like 2008. Nobody is talking about it. Pundits dismiss it, cause "we had tighter loan requirements for 0% mortgages"; yeah and no anks want to hold those low-yield mortgage,s as the $SPMB chart shows. They'd rather buy your house back from you for half price after the crash. Get ready folks, it's about the get ugly fast.
Monthly Supply of HousesWill history repeat itself?
Is it time to call Ben Rickert, Jared and Vinny.
What would those guys think about it?
Any other time the houses supply was this high it was considered a recession.
I know what you’re thinking. Defaults are what caused the GFC.
Loan Defaults?
Delinquency rate bubbles are a result of higher interest rates and tight monetary and fiscal policy all of which are just now appearing.
The sudden increase in rates may be too quick of a shock to the system.
Who knows what other bubbles await.
There may be enough stimulus to keep it going a little while longer.
Could government spending be the bubble.
The real problems start when a negative wealth effect from falling home prices and high interest rates cause a tsunami of foreclosures.
Inflation isn’t going away and that means rates are here to stay.
MSACSR house marketHello receive a cordial greeting.
You have at your disposal the graph of MONTHLY SUPPLY OF HOUSES IN THE UNITED STATES and also in orange you have at your disposal
the ASPUS.
I recommend The Big Short both book and movie and seriously study what happened. Receive a greeting L.E.D
In Spain on 03/31/2022
MSACSR house marketHello receive a cordial greeting.
You have at your disposal the graph of MONTHLY SUPPLY OF HOUSES IN THE UNITED STATES and also in orange you have at your disposal
I recommend The Big Short both book and movie and seriously study what happened. Receive a greeting L.E.D
In Spain on 03/31/2022