How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly.
This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic.
Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range
Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing.
To do this correctly:
Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance.
Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range.
Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line.
Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount.
You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price.
Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters
The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive.
Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework:
Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups.
Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups.
The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation.
Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M
Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries.
But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind.
Here's what to do:
Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone.
The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG.
Wait for price to retrace into that FVG.
Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction.
Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move.
The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent.
Example: Long from Discount
Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG.
Now you wait.
If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because:
It’s inside 4H discount
The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in
The FVG is your refined entry zone
Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium.
Example: Short from Premium
Opposite logic applies.
If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG.
When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low.
Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M)
To keep your execution sharp, stick to these:
Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves.
The FVG must break intraday structure.
It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions.
Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop.
Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction.
This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value.
Targets and Exits
Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse.
If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels.
If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels.
More specifically:
Look for old highs/lows
Clean equal highs/lows
Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone
This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade.
Conclusion
Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades.
Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value.
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NDQ100 trade ideas
US100 - Liquidity sweep likely before bullish continuationFollowing a significant upward move last week, the US100 (Nasdaq 100 index) has entered a period of consolidation, currently exhibiting a ranging structure characterized by lower highs and relatively equal lows. This pattern typically suggests a tightening market where bullish momentum is cooling but not yet decisively reversed.
The presence of equal lows is particularly notable from a liquidity perspective. In retail trading behavior, such levels often attract a high concentration of stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Market participants perceive these lows as a reliable level of support, but in doing so, they inadvertently create a pocket of liquidity just beneath them.
Institutional players and market makers are well aware of these dynamics. It's common in such scenarios to witness what is known as a liquidity sweep, a short-term move below support levels to trigger stop-losses, fill large buy orders, and shake out weaker hands before the market resumes its dominant trend.
Given the current context, there's a high probability that we may see a downside sweep targeting the liquidity resting beneath the equal lows. This move would likely be swift and sharp, clearing out stop orders before a potential bullish reversal unfolds. If confirmed, such a move could mark the end of the current range and initiate a new impulsive leg higher in the broader uptrend.
Traders should watch for signs of price rejection or bullish divergence following the sweep as potential confirmation of this scenario. Until then, it’s prudent to remain patient and avoid getting trapped in the chop, especially near well-watched support zones.
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NASDAQ 100 on dayly This NASDAQ 100 chart shows an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. The "head" is near 18,800, with the "left shoulder" and "right shoulder" around 19,200-19,400. The neckline is at approximately 19,800, and the price has broken above it, indicating a bullish reversal. The measured target is around 22,800, based on the pattern's height projected upward.
US Tech 100 setting sight for ALL time highs - Target 23,671Buy the dip. Never fails as the American markets will always recover.
The question is however, where is the bottom of the DIP and have I considered what risk to take if it continues to dip.
That is what actually causes portfolios to get blown.
However, I don't buy Dips. In fact, I don't buy low, sell high.
I buy HIGH sell HIGHER. Always have always will.
When momentum is on the way, it is better to get on the trend and ride it on up.
And that is WHAT the US Tech 100 is showing or the Nasdaq.
Technicals look great too.
Inv Head and Shoulders
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 23,671
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq100/UsTech100 Higher Timeframe Analysis
Here we have my view, this is my first TV idea so don't butcher me please LMAO.
You can see on the chart we have had significant price moves to the upside over the past days after a huge decline in the index.
This decline was mostly driven by tarrif uncertainty to my understanding, followed me a huge panic sell off which spiraled the index further down.
However, with tarrifs seemingly easing and other factors driving the price increase, we will see 1 of 2 directions (Obviously).
Over the last few days we have been stuck in a major key level where buyers and sellers had a great fight. We have now broken that zone to the upside. I expect the index to have some sell pressure take over at around the 21,000 area give or take some points targeting the lower zone of 20,300 area.
This is where buyers had control pre tarrif implementation (21,000 PTS). Using the old saying of support becomes resistance and vice versa I expect the index to either stagnate in this zone for a while before breaking higher. Or it will simply sink back down to the lower key levels.
As it currently stands, The uptrend is back in tact on a higher time frame from what I can see. I am not saying here is a great place to long but with good risk management (For swing longs) this might be the confirmation we needed (Break of zone below) to enter long posistions with an SL of 20,000 area and TP of ATH giving a positive RRR trade.
I am personally a scalper hence why I do not post ideas. Usually the setup is done and dusted before I could even type it up XD.
Let me know what you think of the idea, Remember this is not financial advice. I am not liable for any losses incurred if you base your trades off my idea.
Remember trade what you see, not what you think.
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
NAS100USD: Discount Reversal & Bullish Continuation NarrativeGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe the market operating within a bullish institutional order flow—a clear signal for us to align with the prevailing momentum and look for high-probability buying opportunities.
Market Context:
The market has established a well-defined bullish swing, followed by a retracement that delivered price action deep into discount territory. Within this zone, a prior low was taken out, serving as a liquidity grab where institutions could execute order pairing—buying against the willing sellers (sell stops) positioned at discounted prices.
Key Observations:
Optimal Entry Zone: Price retraced into the 62%–79% Fibonacci levels, historically considered the optimal reversal zone. Following this, we observed a rejection—an early indication of bullish re-engagement.
Breaker Block Alignment: The rejection coincides with a breaker block array, a zone where previous selling orders are mitigated and fresh institutional buying begins. This strengthens the validity of the expected reversal.
Bullish Continuation Signs: Post-rejection, price action confirmed a shift in market structure, and prior order blocks have now begun to act as bullish support arrays.
Trading Strategy:
With institutional footprints aligning at key technical zones, I am anticipating further upside. Upon receiving confirmation on the lower timeframes, I will look to enter buy positions, aiming to target the liquidity pools resting in premium prices—the next logical draw for institutional interest.
Stay focused, follow the smart money, and let the structure guide your entries.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
NAS100USD: Bearish Confluence Builds as Market WeakensGreetings Traders,
Despite the broader bullish context on NAS100USD, current confluences suggest a potential short-term move to the downside. As we enter the New York session—with a key news release on the horizon—we anticipate heightened volatility. The critical question now becomes: where is price most likely to draw?
Key Observations:
1. Shift in Market Structure:
Price failed to break above the previous high and instead formed a lower high, signaling weakness and suggesting a possible reversal. This lower high, marked by multiple rejection wicks, forms what we identify as a rejection block—a zone often used by institutions to initiate sell orders.
2. Displacement and Bearish Arrays:
Following this rejection, the market displayed strong displacement to the downside, confirming a market structure shift. This supports the likelihood of bearish continuation and increases the validity of bearish institutional arrays holding as resistance.
3. Current Zone of Interest:
Price is now trading within a fair value gap (FVG) aligned with a reclaimed order block—a strong confluence area for potential bearish continuation. Just above this zone lies a bearish order block and another FVG, which may act as a secondary resistance should price wick higher before moving down.
Trading Plan:
Wait for confirmation at the current resistance zones before considering entries. If validated, look to target the liquidity pools resting at lower, discount price levels.
Stay patient, trade with precision, and let the market confirm your idea.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US100 - Correction Required Before Next Major Rally PhaseThe US Tech 100 index is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong recovery rally from April lows, with price action now facing resistance at the upper blue box around 20,200. The index appears to be forming a short-term top as momentum wanes, evidenced by recent candle patterns displaying indecision and inability to sustain new highs. The downward-pointing red arrow suggests a likely move toward the middle support zone around 19,000, which would represent a healthy correction of about 5-6% from current levels. This pullback would help reset overbought technical indicators and potentially shake out weak hands before establishing a stronger foundation for the next leg higher. Given the sharp rally we've witnessed from the April lows near 16,400, this correction would be technically justified and provide a more sustainable launching pad for continuation of the longer-term uptrend once complete.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$NAS100 / $QQQ – The 200 SMA Breakout... or Bull Trap?📈 Nasdaq just charged through the 200-day moving average like it wasn’t even there. But if you zoom out, this level has acted as a brick wall before — and we may be walking straight into a trap.
🔍 Key Observations:
The last failed breakout above this zone led to a major rejection.
We're back at horizontal resistance from prior tops.
Price action resembles a Rope-a-dope move — run up, suck in longs, then rug pull.
⚠️ No real breakout without confirmation + volume. Don’t let the short-term green candles distract you from the macro ceiling above.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Trade Idea - possible to outcomes2 potential scenarios. If the price action closes below the 1st dotted red line(MSS), we would expect the 30min iFVG to be respected as resistance, which would serve as our MSS + Displacement. The subsequent candle would then provide confirmation regarding the validity of the candle at 9am NY Time in relation to the next FVG to trade off to London Low.
Nasdaq100/Us100 Possible Explosive Up Move About To Happen
Hello everyone! In this idea I have posted a picture of my current setup. I have taken a long positions once the 1 hour candles broke out of and closed beyond this range (Box) My SL is just the other side of this box and I am targeting the ATH on this position.
If another 1 hour box starts to form higher up I will simple add another position and move Stop losses accordingly.
although we have moved back within the range, the buy pressure is squeezing the candles to the top side of this range. This is why I am execting an explosive move. Once sellers are exhuasted it will propell itself to the next key level.
Let me know what you think.
I am not a financial adviser. Trade at your own risk.
will the technical indicators catch up for the great melt up?!its my first published chart where i look at the broader picture. Weekly+ indicators dont seem to support the popular melt up, although the market is moving up but the TA isnt backing up the rocket rise. Maybe another flush on the way to finalize it!
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 21200
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
NASDAQ: Time for a 4H technical correction.Nasdaq is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.775, MACD = 371.830, ADX = 37.524) and has reached the top of its 4H Channel Up. The two HH that the pattern has both pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before the 4H MA50 provided the necessary support for the next bullish wave. Consequently we expect a small correction to at least the 0.382 Fib next (TP = 20,675).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bullish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950
We are watching this zone closely.
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20100 – Proven resistance
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap
USNAS100 SHORT SETUPThe USNAS100 4-hour chart shows a bearish setup following a clear rejection at resistance. A rising wedge pattern has broken to the downside, indicating a shift in momentum. Technical indicators support the bearish bias, with price falling below trendline support and moving toward key support zones. The first target point is 19,250, where minor support exists. Continued selling pressure could push price further to the second target point at 18,400. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with bearish signals aligning for a potential short trade opportunity. Risk management is advised above resistance.
Entry: 20,000
Target Points: 19,250 and 18,400