NDQ100 trade ideas
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
nas100nas100 went for 484 pips off the bearish action i took an caught 325 pips after the price action close
Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone.
From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone.
Key levels:
Resistance: 19,371.9
Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920
Potential strategy:
Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370–19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
NASDAQ Recovery Looks Fragile Below 20,500After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH).
While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon.
Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by:
• The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,
• Psychological resistance at 20,000,
• Major horizontal resistance around 20,500.
As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NAS100 SELL 1 HOUR TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Fair value gaps to fill
Amazing Range 2:41 Risk Reward, Let's See!
NSDQ100 INTRADAY trend change supported at 18950 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19590
Resistance Level 2: 20070
Resistance Level 3: 20344
Support Level 1: 18460
Support Level 2: 17820
Support Level 3: 17330
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Ultimate Guide to Master ICT KillzonesWhy Timing Matters Just as Much as Price
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies are built on the idea that markets are manipulated by large players with precision. While most traders obsess over price levels, entry models, and liquidity zones, many fail to realize that none of those matter if they happen at the wrong time. Time is not an afterthought, it's a core part of the edge.
Price can show you where the move might happen, but time shows you when smart money is most likely to act. That window of action is what ICT calls the killzone.
What Are Killzones?
Killzones are specific time periods in the trading day when smart money typically executes large moves. These sessions have predictable volatility and institutional order flow. They are not just random hours, they coincide with major session opens and overlaps.
The most relevant killzones are:
London Killzone (LKO), 2 AM to 5 AM EST
New York Killzone (NYKO), 7 AM to 10 AM EST
New York Lunch/Dead Zone, 11:30 AM to 1 PM EST (low probability, often reversal traps)
Each killzone offers unique opportunities depending on how liquidity has been engineered prior. ICT-style setups are most reliable when they form within, or directly in anticipation of, these windows.
The Trap Before the Real Move
Smart money loves to trap retail traders. This trap usually happens just before or early in a killzone. For example, if price takes out a key high at 2:30 AM EST (London open), many retail traders see a breakout. But those in tune with SMC see it as a classic liquidity raid, bait before the reversal.
Once that external liquidity is taken, smart money shows its hand with displacement, a sudden, aggressive move in the opposite direction. This typically forms a clean imbalance (Fair Value Gap) or a breaker block. That’s your cue.
If the price returns to that level within the killzone, that’s the optimal entry window.
Confluence is King: Time, Liquidity, and Structure
The most reliable SMC setups happen when:
Liquidity is swept early into a killzone
Displacement confirms the real direction during the killzone
Entry happens via return to an FVG or OB created within that same session
The setup might still look right if it forms outside these windows, but without proper timing, it’s often just noise or engineered liquidity to trap impatient traders.
Real-World Example: NY Killzone Short
NY, At 8:30 AM EST, price runs above the Asian highs, sweeping liquidity
Displacement, Sharp bearish move breaks structure to the downside at 8:45 AM
Entry, Price retraces into the 5M FVG at 9:10 AM
Result, Clean reversal into a nice profit trageting liquidity, all within the NY session
Outside of this killzone structure, the same setup likely would have chopped or failed.
Common Mistakes Traders Make With Time
Chasing price outside of killzones, Setup might look good, but volume is thin and no follow-through comes
Assuming all killzones are equal, London setups are often cleaner in structure, while NY has more manipulation around news
Forcing trades in NY lunch, Midday reversals do happen, but they’re lower probability. If you're not already in a position by 11 AM EST, it's often best to wait for the next day
The Discipline Edge
Most traders overtrade not because they lack setups, but because they don’t filter based on time. By only trading when price interacts with your levels during active killzones, you immediately reduce the number of bad trades and increase your focus on meaningful opportunities.
Good setups are rare. Good setups in the right timing window are even rarer. That’s where consistency comes from.
Final Thoughts
Time is not optional. In SMC and ICT, it’s not enough to have the level, you need the timing. Killzones are your filter, your edge, and your context for every trade.
Once you understand how time and price move together, and stop treating every moment on the chart equally, your trading will start to reflect the true flow of smart money.
Wait for time, wait for price, then strike.
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NAS 100 EYESThis is where our eyes currently are, there is a clear gap that the low energy movement is heading toward, challenging a weekly low, with a 4 hour unconfirmed bullish trend. We hope to see more unfold today, Happy Trading. Hit me Up.
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias.
Key Observations:
1. Retracement and Institutional Support:
Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely.
2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone:
Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order block—a zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zone’s validity as institutional support.
Trading Plan:
We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
When the trade gives you much more than you believed was possiblStick to the plan on this one and enjoy! Doubled the move but that should have been expected since we are reaching the outer levels of price expansion.
Nasdaq analysis: 30-APRIL-2025Good morning. Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis and educational insights for price action traders.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19575
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level
➗ 19450 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19100 – Equal lows
• 19500 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19550
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 19450
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level
➗ 19450 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19100 – Equal lows
• 19500 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Fear @ Greed Index In Nasdaq.The potential future decline of the Nasdaq index is attributed to concerns surrounding the Fibonacci level of 1.138, as indicated by the harmonic shark pattern .
At the 0.88 level, the fear index has surpassed the greed index, and it currently stands at 1.138. This apprehension is also affecting those who are typically driven by greed.
NQ: Crumbs left to the upsideGood day!
Following the weekly analysis, here are possible movements for the next few sessions.
As I mentioned few times now, there is still small room left to the upside followed by a consolidation before resuming the down trend with the beginning of Wave 3 and its Initial Swing.
Price has already made a new HH. Price might continue up without making a new HL. But I see a HL first. GL!
It's all about TIME FRAME.For some, this seems a concept to understand...
Yes, you can be BOTH bullish and bearish stock markets at the same time.
It's all about TIME FRAME.
NAS100 SELLGiven the resistance levels and the hidden divergence, it returned to the previous support level.
NAS100USD: Institutional Selling Initiated at Premium LevelsGreetings Traders,
Today on NAS100USD, the market is currently operating within a clear bearish institutional order flow. In alignment with this directional bias, we are seeking selling opportunities supported by several key confluences.
Key Observations:
1. Liquidity Sweep at Premium Pricing:
Price has retraced deeply into a premium zone, sweeping the buy stops above a recent swing high. This suggests smart money is executing sell-side order pairing at extreme premium levels, utilizing retail liquidity for institutional distribution. When this occurs, price typically seeks rebalancing at fair value zones and continues toward discount levels.
2. Resistance at Fair Value Gap:
Following the liquidity sweep, price encountered resistance at a previously identified fair value gap (FVG). This FVG has held effectively, reinforcing the bearish outlook and acting as a high-probability rejection zone.
3. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The market has now confirmed a bearish market structure shift, further validating the downside bias. This shift positions us to anticipate a continuation move.
4. Mitigation Block as Entry Zone:
We are currently watching a mitigation block for potential re-entries. These blocks represent zones where smart money mitigates previous long positions and introduces new short positions in alignment with the prevailing trend. If confirmed, they offer a strategic point to enter short trades.
Trading Plan:
Monitor the mitigation block for confirmation and look to enter with the broader institutional trend. Targets will include fair value regions and deeper liquidity pools at discount prices.
Remain patient and disciplined, and always ensure your analysis aligns with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 19,189.77
1st Support: 18,580.75
1st Resistance: 20,258.77
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US100 H4 | Bearish Fall Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 19,514.93, which is ana swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 19363.72, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 19,637.23, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
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Lesson 10: Nas-Daq100 Wick trading analysisAnalyzing Nas 100 trading strategy using wicks as a point of entry.
