New High. Flat Divergence Bearish Divergence due to highs within price action with a double top on our RSI index. Ultimately we're in a large chopping block waiting to be released. If you assess SPX prior to downfall, you don't see unusual large rejections, it's progressive and it has been for a while. Safe bets... to 21,400
NDQ100 trade ideas
NAS100 ATH or what? optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyNAS100 ATH or what?
optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyna? or no CHyna? let us know~~
we caught april bottom now run ATH?
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NASDAQ 100 at Heavy Supply – Time to Sell the Top?The US100 (NASDAQ) has entered a strong supply zone near 21,800, and history suggests this is no time to get greedy…
🧠 Key Observations:
Price is now inside a critical resistance area marked by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
We've had multiple rejections at this level going back to March.
Momentum is slowing even as price pushes higher — divergence alert 🚨
📉 Potential Drop Zones:
21,765 = immediate resistance-turned-support to watch
19,185 = former consolidation + breakout base (likely bounce zone)
16,948 = demand cluster where bulls are likely to reload
📆 Timing Is Key:
With macro catalysts (⚡🌍📰) scheduled in the coming week — including inflation and Fed signals — volatility could spike and force a sharp move down if sellers take control.
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📌 My Setup:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,800, I’m watching for bearish confirmation to short, targeting 19,185 short-term and 16,948 mid-term.
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💬 What’s your take on NASDAQ?
Do you trust this breakout or is it just another bull trap?
👉 Comment below, leave a ❤️ if this helped, and follow for more chart breakdowns.
NASDAQ Initiated a standard short-term Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up ever since the November 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The recent Trade War correction that started early this year, bottomed just before the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounded.
As this chart shows, every break below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has technically started a new Cycle. During this 16-year pattern, we have seen two types of Cycles, a short (blue Rectangle) and long (green Rectangle).
Based on the sequence since the start of the Channel Up, the index should have now just initiated its new short Cycle. Both previous ones peaked on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension before a correction below the 1W MA50 again. As a result, we expect to see 28000 at least before the next meaningful technical correction.
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USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus
Overview:
USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data.
Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780.
A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360.
On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 21780
Support: 21635, 21470, 21360
Resistance: 21920, 22200
Workforce participation is declining, government debt is risingWorkforce participation is declining, government debt is rising. Are we seeing the makings of major military conflicts?
This chart shows two key economic indicators for the U.S. from 2001 to 2025:
- U.S. labor force participation rate: the percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively looking for work.
- U.S. government debt as a % of GDP: the ratio of total federal debt to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), but the scale is flipped - meaning higher debt appears lower on the graph, and vice versa.
What does “government debt as a % of GDP” mean?
This ratio shows how much the government owes relative to the size of the entire economy. If the ratio grows, it means debt is rising faster than the economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio surged sharply after the 2008 crisis and again during the COVID-19 pandemic. By 2024, it reached around 124% and is expected to keep rising. Since the chart uses an inverted scale, the red line drops lower as debt increases.
This graph clearly illustrates an inverse relationship between labor force participation and government debt as a share of GDP:
As workforce participation declines → government debt grows. This pattern is especially visible during major economic shocks like the 2008 crisis and the 2020 pandemic.
Why does this happen?
- Economic downturns: when fewer people are working or job-hunting, economic growth slows, tax revenues fall, and the government tends to borrow more to support the economy and social programs.
- Demographic shifts: as the population ages (e.g, baby boomers retiring), fewer people remain in the labor force. This slows down growth and increases the strain on government programs, which also drives up debt.
- Government policy: during times of crisis, the state often increases spending - and thus borrowing- to support the economy, pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio higher.
NAS100 - Will the stock market reach its previous ATH!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. It is better to wait for confirmation on the break in order to control further risk.
U.S. President Donald Trump announced that an American delegation will meet with Chinese representatives in London on June 9 to discuss a potential trade agreement. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated, “I’m pleased to announce that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials on Monday, June 9, 2025, in London to discuss a trade deal.” He added that he expects the meeting to go “very well.” U.S. stock markets rose on Friday, and Chinese markets are now following suit. The Hang Seng Index has reached its highest level since March.
Meanwhile, Amazon has completely halted its hiring budget for office workers in its core retail business. This decision applies only to white-collar staff and excludes warehouse employees and those in its cloud computing division. According to Business Insider, which cited internal company emails, the hiring freeze affects Amazon’s online marketplace, logistics operations, and grocery business.
Having doubled its workforce between 2019 and 2021 to 1.6 million, Amazon reduced that number to 1.55 million last year. Since late 2022, the e-commerce giant has laid off at least 27,000 employees.
This move comes as the U.S. jobs report released Friday helped ease some concerns, though signs of broader economic challenges remain. Experts suggest that such a hiring freeze could reflect broader economic trends—where mass layoffs are avoided, but hiring slows down significantly.
In May, the U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in April. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, staying within the narrow range it has held over the past year. The labor market has remained resilient, dismissing fears that tariffs would cause a significant slowdown. So far, tariff-related disruptions have not been severe enough to destabilize the job market—at least not in May.
Data indicates that employers continue to refrain from layoffs, even as hiring has slowed considerably compared to the post-pandemic surge. Labor market analysts expect signs of weakness to emerge in the coming months, as businesses become more cautious about hiring due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs—according to recent surveys. For now, however, the labor market remains strong.
The absence of red flags in employment may give the Federal Reserve more room to maintain its patient stance on interest rate cuts. This year, Fed officials have kept interest rates higher than average to curb inflation by increasing borrowing costs. The Fed’s dual mandate is to keep inflation low and employment high, and it may opt to cut rates to stimulate the economy if the labor market weakens.Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other FOMC members have said they are waiting to see whether President Trump’s trade wars will stoke inflation, trigger job losses, or both. So far, neither scenario has materialized. Strong labor market data may give them further justification to stay in wait-and-see mode. Rosner wrote, “Given the Fed’s sharp focus on inflation risk management, today’s stronger-than-expected jobs report is unlikely to alter its patient approach. We expect the Fed to remain on hold at this month’s meeting and believe further deterioration
SELL NAS100This is my analysis of NAS100. These are the sell confirmations:
1. Doble top
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. Currently retesting the neckline of the double top
4. The trendline has been touched 3 times and therefore it is a weak trendline. It will be broken.
5. Please do not follow my take profit positions - when your profits make you smile, close the trade.
Trade what you see and not what you feel!
Indices Breakdown (US30-S&P500-NASDAQ)Market Outlook:
- Indices: Bullish trend emerging, potentially set to challenge or surpass recent highs in the coming weeks.
- USD: Bearish confirmation supports the bullish case for indices, as a weaker dollar often boosts market sentiment and drives stocks higher.
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📊 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP
Trade Plan & Market Outlook
The NASDAQ is currently trading within the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00 – 22158.00) after a bullish rejection from the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00).
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Demand Zones:
H4 Demand: 21524.00 – 21404.00
Strong H4 Demand: 21136.00
Daily Demand: 20740.00
🟥 Supply Zones:
H4 Supply: 21767.00 – 22158.00
Daily Supply: 21736.00
🔹 Market Outlook & Scenarios:
If price breaks out above the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00), there's potential for a continued rally toward the strong Supply at 22158.00
However, if price gets rejected from this supply area, a pullback may occur toward the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00), and possibly extend lower to the strong Demand at 21136.00
📌 Monitor price action closely around the current supply area.
Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation before entering trades, and always manage your risk properly.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always conduct your own analysis and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
NAS100 Range Low Entry Aligned With TrendNAS100 is stuck mid-range on the 4H — neither pushing up nor breaking down. This idea plays it safe: placing a long at the bottom of the range, aligned with the overall bullish trend. If the channel holds, this may never trigger — but if it does, we ride it to the highs.
NQ tumbles?Good day traders, I don't know why but I get a bit scared when it comes to analyzing NQ. I always doubt myself with it.
On the weekly TF price is trading inside an order block and for the past two weeks price has visited the order block two times. In the two times that price revisited the order block it failed to close above the midpoint indicating the strength of the order block, going into the new week I am going to use the discount zone of the OB+ as my resistance.
On the daily TF before I say much, THERE IS A GAP, and price did not trade to it since opening high on the 12th May. That gap is my target and I want to see price go and fill that volume imbalance as ICT calls it.
Still on the daily TF...when you read price for past two weeks on NQ, you'll quickly come to a realization that price has been expanding higher since Tuesday 3rd June, but expanding to where?...well liquidity resting above the high of the candle booked on the 29th of May.
Now on the 4 hour TF things are opening up and price is becoming clearer and it goes to show the importance of multi time frame analysis. The lows of Tuesday and Thursday make the relative equal lows that are shown on the chart. The internal liquidity shown below is my short term target or TP1. The red triangle represents that 4H inverse FVG and once price is trading below the inverse any movement inside that inverse should show weakness!
US100 (NASDAQ)🔍 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days)
✅ Structure Highlights:
Market recently made a Higher High (HH).
Strong bullish BOS occurred after reclaiming the $21,600 zone.
Currently trading inside the brown supply zone (Area of Interest) between $21,775–$21,839.
0.236 Fibonacci retracement is holding as support — a sign of bullish control.
🟢 Short-Term Bullish Signals:
Strong bullish momentum with higher lows and internal BOSs.
If price breaks and holds above $21,839, the market may rally toward:
Target 1: $22,000
Target 2: $22,150 (psychological level)
⚠️ Short-Term Bearish Scenario:
If price gets rejected from the current supply zone:
Pullback expected toward $21,670 (0.382) or $21,597 (0.5 Fib)
Further dip to $21,500–$21,400 is possible if buyers fail to hold structure
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bullish with a possible pullback
Enter long on pullback to 0.382–0.5 Fib with bullish confirmation
Avoid fresh longs if price shows strong rejection at $21,839
📈 Long-Term Outlook (1–4 Weeks)
🧠 Macro Trend:
Consistent bullish structure from below $19,000 in early May
Every correction has been shallow with strong continuation
As long as $21,400–$21,200 holds, macro trend remains bullish
📊 Long-Term Fib Zones:
0.5–0.618 retracement (strong accumulation zone) = $21,400–$21,250
Last confirmed Higher Low (HL) at ~$21,000, structure break below this = trend invalidation
💡 Long-Term Bias: Strong Bullish
Any correction into the green AOI or Fib zone = potential long opportunity
Next upside expansions could target:
$22,500
$23,000
NAS100 Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,771.1.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,767.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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