NDQ100 trade ideas
Nasdaq Short: completion of wave structureA few days back, on the weekend, I posted an idea about pending short but price went down first to create a 4th wave before going back up to complete the price target last night. So, this is the updated wave count. Wait for retracement to short. Stop above the high.
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context:
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Premium Buy Stop Sweep:
Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing.
Rejection Block Formation:
A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level.
Market Structure Shift:
We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase.
Breaker Block Retest:
Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning.
Targets:
Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models.
Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision.
Happy Trading!
The Architect
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 20720
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
NASDAQ US100 Overextended? Waiting for the Pullback🚨 NASDAQ #100# Analysis 🚨
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ (US100) 📊, and in my view, it's looking overextended. Price is now trading into previous daily highs 📈 without showing a meaningful retracement. Historically, when we look back at the chart, we rarely see such strong rallies without some form of pullback 🔄.
A healthy trend typically follows a natural rhythm — rally, retrace, rally or expand, pull back, expand again. In this case, that retracement is missing ❌, which raises caution flags for me 🚩.
🎥 In the video, I break down:
Price action & market structure 🧩
The current trend 📉📈
A potential long opportunity — but only if price pulls back into my point of interest (POI) 🧲 and we then get a bullish break in market structure (BoS) 🟢.
🔒 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
REPEATING 2022 PATTERN?We humans love to see patterns so we can try to understand our own existence and our perception of almost everything.
Very interesting comparison between 2022 and 2025. Though market conditions seem different we can see clearly the failed attempt to break above de 200 SMA in 2022. It may repeat again.
Nasdaq100 (US100) Bearish Reversal Opportunity from ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is trading within a rising parallel channel on the 4H timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion near 21,240. This area also aligns with a psychological resistance zone and may attract selling interest.
Trade Idea:
A potential short setup is forming, anticipating a rejection from the upper trendline and a move back toward the lower channel support.
Entry: Near 21,238
Stop Loss: 21,748 (above the channel)
Take Profit: 20,009 (lower channel + previous support)
Fundamentals:
With tech stocks appearing overbought and rising interest rate expectations still looming, a corrective move in US indices may follow. Caution is advised around key economic releases.
Call to Action:
👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios.
👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions.
Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights!
NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
Nasdaq 100 - Bull trap print begins circa April 30thThe Nasdaq 100 index is seriously oversold as market participants are gripped by fear. Understandable… however, markets do not crash in fear. Instead the opposite happens, counterintuitive as that sounds.
The Index shall continue display volatility until sellers are exhausted, which is around April 30th when the bottom shall print. So yeah, this week is probably going to suck what life remains of your account. However selling now is not in your best interest, I would argue the opposite. Let me explain why.
On the above daily chart the Nasdaq 100 death cross approaches, forecast to print on April 30th (the dotted lines). The death cross (On the Nasdaq 100 only) is defined as the 65 day Simple Moving average (blue line) crossing down the 240-day SMA with price action under the 240-day SMA.
Now the date has been changing a lot with recent volatility, to counter that behaviour the forecast for the cross uses the "Box Jenkins" forecast method (Ww is a data scientist and engineer specialising in probability theory and stochastic processes, will be adding the tool to my collection of scripts shortly!). Read more about Box Jenkins method here:
www.investopedia.com
Now I’m not normally a fan of moving averages, but on "looking left"… you’ll find me on the front row seat. I tell you all that to tell you this, look left. Look left at past death crosses using this method:
17% rally from death cross on March 15th, 2022
22% rally from death cross on December 18th, 2018
17% rally from death cross on February 16th, 2016
You get the picture. This behaviour continues to repeat with the previous ten death crosses until the print on October 12th, 2000, where the bull trap was followed by a market crash of 80%.
In terms of probability there is a 90% chance the death cross shall result in a positive rally. However, it is my guess many readers will place more weight on the 10% chance of a crash. That’s emotion, not reason! In fact if you scan over many of the published ideas on tradingview you'll notice the bearish slant is strong.
Is this time is different?
=====================
There are no certainties, only probabilities. Price action could continue selling off following the cross to reach new lows. That said, this idea is to forecast a bull trap, not a continuation in the market uptrend. The probability favouring a rally is incredibly high. After that, not so good. Not good at all.
Price action forecast on rally
=======================
Approximately 19.2 to 19.5k
Conclusions
=====================
The market is oversold as emotions run high. History tells us It is unlikely the correction ramps up in momentum after the cross prints. However the cross can indicate the index may be about to enter a bear market should price action reject the 50-day SMA, which it is very likely. That’s for the next post!
Ww
NAS100 Reaches Major Supply Zone – Will Bulls Hold or Fade?The NAS100 has just broken into a major supply zone around 20,139 – 20,470, previously tested in late April and early May. This zone has historically triggered sell-offs, as seen from the previous price reactions.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 20,139 – 20,470 (Visible Supply Zone)
Mid Support: 18,830 (Strong bounce level in April)
Demand Zone: 16,948 – 17,300 (Price base with historical accumulation)
What I'm Watching:
If bulls break and hold above 20,470, we could see a new bullish leg higher.
Failure to hold this zone could bring a sharp retracement toward 18,830 or even 16,948.
Upcoming U.S. economic events marked on the chart may be the catalyst for the next move.
Trade Ideas:
Short-Term Bears: Look for rejection candles or fake breakouts at current highs.
Trend Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest above 20,470 for longs.
Swing Buyers: Watch for bullish setups around 18,830 or the demand zone at 16,948.
Volume Profile + LuxAlgo Zones confirm this supply and demand setup. Smart money tends to react at these extremes—watch closely!
US100 TO MAKE A MASSIVE DROP !!Price recently made a new lower high after we had a previous lower high around 20,122 price remains bearish as our recent trend isn’t taken out yet. Meaning that there is no new all time high formation yet. I anticipate a drop in price (abound 1000pip ) back to the previous lower high of 20122. Therefore we are looking forward to selling US100.
US100 BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 20,075.8
Target Level: 19,221.3
Stop Loss: 20,643.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USTECUSTEC price is near the important resistance zone 21345 and 22244. If the price cannot break through 22244, it is expected that the price will drop.
**Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Lesson 12: NasDaq100 Price Consolidation and Breakout Zone NasDaq price action analysis on consolidation zone. Using a break-out strategy, we waited for price to consolidate ( $20,755-$20,812.30 zone) on the 15min timeframe to breakout at $20,812.30 for our indication, correction and bullish price continuation, targeting price at $20,888.50. Price closed above $20,888.50 (resistance) thus we hold profits until we see price reversal.
NASDAQ SHORT1. All timeframes are massively overbought with RSI
2. There is a triple top on H1 and H4 with a lot of divergence
3. Trend is still up, so look to exit with any indicator
4. There is a AB=CD pattern on H1 and H4 which shows that this trade will finally retrace
5. Target 1 is at 20200
6. Previous days high is not broken which shows there is a lot of resistance at this level.
Perspective CheckOANDA:NAS100USD | OANDA:SPX500USD – Perspective Check
We’ve moved nearly 5,000 points from the April lows on NASDAQ, and over 1,000 points on the S&P 500. Yet despite that clear, tradeable move, many are still waiting — either for a crash that hasn’t come, or a runaway rally that already happened.
Let’s keep it simple:
Say you caught just 50–60% of the NASDAQ move. That’s 2,500 to 3,000+ points. If you layered in properly, shaved risk, locked profits, and rode the structure, that’s meaningful ground gained — not theoretical, not hindsight — just reactive, structured trading.
But here’s the friction point:
The hardest psychological shift isn’t finding entries. It’s accepting when:
You’re wrong
The market has changed
It’s time to let go of a losing bias
Ask around, and you’ll hear it:
“I want it to drop because my TA says X”
or
“I need it to break even — I’m stuck in a position”
That’s not analysis. That’s hope. We always return to this principle:
Trade what’s happening, not what you want to happen.
Take profits, not chances.
You don’t need the full move. You just need enough of it, often enough, with a process that protects your edge. The rest is just noise dressed up as conviction.
NASDQhe image shows a daily chart (1D) of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) on TradingView, with a detailed technical analysis suggesting a possible continuation of the long (bullish) trend, supported by various price levels, trendlines, and visual cues. Here's a description based on the chart:
🟦 Current Context
The price has recently broken above a key resistance area around 20,016 – 20,038, which may now act as support.
The current candle is bullish (green) and closes above this range, showing buyer strength.
There is a clear upward trend starting mid-April, with higher lows and consecutive bullish candles.
📈 Key Technical Elements
A target is marked at 21,009.5, highlighted by an orange horizontal line.
A light blue rectangle represents a potential projected move range, starting around the 20,000 zone and aiming toward 21,000.
A red box below the current price likely indicates the invalidation area or stop-loss zone.
Intermediate support levels include:
19,756.0 (blue line)
19,226.9 (orange line)
18,304.8 (deeper support)
🔁 Potential Long Continuation Scenario
If price holds above the 20,000 – 20,038 zone, we may see an acceleration toward the 21,009 target.
The overall pattern suggests a breakout from a consolidation phase, followed by a retest of the broken level (now support), and a potential upward continuation.
The diagonal trendlines indicate the formation of a broad ascending channel.
📅 Timing
The projected target may be reached within the coming weeks: a vertical black line is marked on May 21, 2025, possibly indicating the expected timeframe for the move.
✅ Conclusion
There is a clear bullish market structure, with a resistance breakout and well-defended supports. Unless there’s a false breakout or negative macro news, the long projection toward 21,009 appears technically valid.