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NDQ100 trade ideas

US 100 - Could The Recovery Continue?A press conference yesterday morning led by US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer outlined a positive conclusion to the first round of trade talks between the US and China. The news grabbing headline was a 90 day reduction in combined US levies on Chinese imports being reduced from 145% to 30% and Chinese duties on US goods dropping from 125% to 10%. This announcement put a further squeeze on weak short equity positions, and gave fresh impetus to the bulls, helping to fuel a 4% rally in the US 100, taking it above some interesting technical levels (more on this below). Now, with a framework in place for further talks between the world’s two biggest economies, representatives from the two countries have 90 days to work towards a broader agreement. However, US Treasury secretary Bessant did say that there may be a chance to extend the tariff reduction for a longer period if there is good faith, engagement and constructive dialog to keep moving forward. A slight caveat which outlines the huge amount of negotiation and focus that needs to be maintained from both sides to finalise a more long term agreement. While traders may still be focused on trade negotiations and potential trade deal updates with allies across the rest of this week, there is also some economic data to focus on. The latest US inflation reading in the form of CPI is due out later today at 1330 BST, where any deviation from market expectations may either add further buying momentum to the recent move higher, or give traders a reason to take profits against some potentially important technical levels. Technical Update: Breakout From the Late March Highs With a positive reaction to the US/China trade talks seen in US equities, the US 100 index has posted its highest closing level since February 26th 2025, as price strength has continued to emerge from the capitulation to 16290 on April 7th. Traders are possibly now viewing the ability of the index to close above 20871, the March 25th session high, as something that may lead to a more sustained period of price strength. Of course, a break of a previous price high isn’t always a guaranteed signal of price strength, but with the constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows in place since the April 7th low (16290), the question may now be asked, what are the next potential resistance levels to current strength? Potential Resistance Levels: Having seen a new recovery price high for the current phase of strength posted on Monday at 20914, traders may now be viewing this level as a possible first resistance, and how this level is defended on a closing basis could be important. However, following the latest price strength, if closes above this 20914 high were to materialise, traders might then shift their focus to 22226, which is the February 18th all-time high, as the next possible resistance area. Potential Support Levels: Of course, much depends on future market sentiment and price trends, and we know price strength can quickly fail, even reverse back to the downside. So, we must be aware of possible support levels that if broken, may see risks to turn towards potential of declines. A support focus might now be half of the latest price strength seen from last week’s low, which stands at 20252. If this level gives way, a deeper decline might then be on the cards back towards 19627, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May 2025 strength. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly. Current Market Context: Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction. Institutional Insight: This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative. Trading Focus: We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support. Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline. Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Prices are entering critical battleground between bulls & bears(The following is solely personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.) Last week, the market was driven by positive news and continued its upward breakout, now surpassing the 200-day moving average. This week, attention should be paid to price and volume performance. If prices fail to break higher convincingly, a pullback may begin. However, if positive sentiment continues to dominate, the upward trend could persist. Key resistance levels are at 20,700 and 21,070. If the price breaks above 20,700 this week without showing signs of significant retracement, the market may test higher levels. On the downside, the key support zone lies between 19,978 and 20,255. If the price struggles to maintain upward momentum and consolidates below the 200-day moving average, the likelihood of a downward reversal increases. The first target on the downside would then be in the 18,277 to 18,588 range. Last week’s performance serves as a reminder that when most expect the Fed’s FOMC decisions to trigger a market drop, prices often behave contrary to expectations. In the current market environment, it’s crucial to recognize that the market won’t rise or fall indefinitely. At critical price levels, risk control and timely position adjustments are essential.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
3 Consistent Winner Beliefs. Do you check off all 3?> Every trader comes to the charts with a story. Mine is one of obsession, resilience, and belief. This is what I tell myself every single day before I take a trade — my inner code. 1. Money can be made in markets I’ve seen the charts. I’ve seen the proof. Every day, money moves — and the ones with eyes to see take their slice. Markets aren’t random. They aren’t chaos. They’re an ocean of opportunity. The consistent winners? They’re locked in the present and spot opportunity moment by moment — then strike when it’s worthwhile. 2. I can make money in markets Not someone else. Me. I study. I adapt. I execute. I’m not here to gamble or guess. I’m here to observe human behavior and act with precision. I’ve trained my mind to see what others miss. And that edge? It’s mine. > “It’s so incredible how rich one can become without being perfect.” 3. I deserve to make money in markets This one’s the hardest — and the most powerful. Because without it, we self-sabotage. I’ve put in the work. I’ve sacrificed. I’ve endured losses, frustration, and silence. But I never stopped. So when profit comes, it’s not luck — it’s alignment with who I’ve become. > I post this not just as motivation — but as a mirror for others walking the same path. If you’re obsessed with mastering yourself through the charts, then we’re already on the same team. A belief is any thought you get attached to. The more you attach, the more you become it.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by theeOperator90
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction - Its implicationWhen Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure? Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
NASDAQ:NDX
by konhow
#NDQ - What does these lines say? Do they work?Hey, hope you are all doing great! I strongly believe that you are looking at these charts to your advantage. Are the lines marked in these charts make any sense? Do these lines really work? check out these charts at a lower time frames and see. Since these are directionless, how to read? Current Price: 20061.45 Mid-line: 19927.42 Upside: 20783.90, 21216.80, 21700.31 and 22183.83 Downside: 19072.54, 18638.04, 18154.52 and 17671.00 #NDQ
TVC:NDQ
by Abc_trades
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 21500.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 20220.00 (which has been reversing the index from March) and the resistance trendline of the Ascending Triangle from April. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2 from last month. Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21500.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by FxProGlobal
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NDX - NOW IT IS ALMOST READYMorning, I was a bit gun shy this morning for that trade - there was no rejection of resistance and it kept going, luckily without confirmation I never entered. However we are now seeing the start of a potential confirmation to retest down to previous support. Hourly: Oversold RSI with two tops forming. Volume is starting to dip and has rejected higher volume profile. Momentum is starting to top out just waiting to see if it wavers downwards. Just waiting on that candle to close lower on the hourly and will continue following if our RSI crosses the EMA point. I know being patience sucks but its better than loosing money! Enjoy
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by mindfullylost
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bullish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish After Break at 19950 We are watching this zone closely. 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19930 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19650 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19750 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20100 – Proven resistance Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap
FX:NAS100Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
NASDAQ Fall? US100 AnalysisHello everyone. We had a volatility at stock market last 2 month, it looks like market had good correction and found new buyer. BUT I DON'T THINK LIKE THAT. After MR. Trump inauguration we saw bear market signals, it was like hedge funds dumped stocks, but after strong sell new buyers came at market and show us pretty good market correction but what will be next? The last 2 months brought intense volatility post-Trump’s inauguration. Hedge funds sold off heavily (S&P 500 dropped ~8% from its December high), but buyers stepped in, pushing a 5% retracement. RSI on SPY shows oversold conditions fading, yet I’m skeptical of this bounce. Why? Bearish signals linger. VIX remains elevated (>20), and volume on up days is weaker than selloffs. Plus, geopolitics could derail this rally. Over the weekend, Ukraine and Russia discussed a 30-day ceasefire. If talks fail, the West’s new sanctions could spike oil prices (Brent crude already testing $80) and hammer energy-heavy indices like XLE or European markets (DAX). I’m watching SPY’s 200-day MA (~510) as key support. A break below could signal a deeper pullback to 480. Energy and tech (QQQ) look vulnerable if sanctions hit. What’s your take—buying this dip or bracing for more downside? Here is my 2 scene what i am expect from market, for me Scene and technical view scene 2 is more logical bur we will see what will be next step for stock market. For collaboration text me in DM!!! Always make your own research!!!
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by elmakacho
Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 21,280 Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190 Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75 High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution. Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top) Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions) Absorption Zones: Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume) c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection) Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support) d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure) ADX Strength: ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress CVD Confirmation: Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 21,190 Lower POC: 20,060.91 Resistance: VAH: 21,280 POC: 21,259.75 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291 Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060 Retracement Levels: 1/2 = 20,675 1/3 = 20,537 2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price) b) Notable Patterns: Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top) Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation): Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3) Targets: T1: 21,000 T2: 21,190 (VAL retest) Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup): Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH) Target: T1: 20,800 Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
FX:NAS100
by ProspireWealth
NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs. As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradingShot
3