NASS1001. Nasdaq 100 (NASS100) Performance
As of mid-June 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index is around 21,600 to 21,700 points, showing moderate volatility with recent declines amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns.
Technology stocks, including semiconductor giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom, remain influential on Nasdaq movements.
Market sentiment is cautious due to escalating Middle East conflicts and US-China trade uncertainties.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.3% to 4.4% in June 2025.
Yields have edged up recently, reflecting inflation expectations and Federal Reserve monetary policy stance.
Rising yields often pressure growth stocks, including tech-heavy Nasdaq components, due to higher discount rates on future earnings.
3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics
The DXY has been relatively stable but showed some weakening in 2025 despite rising Treasury yields, reflecting complex market dynamics including geopolitical risks and shifts in capital flows.
A weaker dollar can support Nasdaq by boosting earnings of multinational tech firms through favorable currency translation, while a stronger dollar can weigh on exports and earnings.
4. Interplay Between NASS100, US10Y, and DXY
Rising US10Y yields tend to put downward pressure on Nasdaq 100 due to increased discount rates and borrowing costs for growth companies.
DXY movements influence Nasdaq via currency effects on multinational revenues and investor risk appetite.
Recent geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have increased market volatility, occasionally decoupling typical correlations.
Softer inflation and weak labor data have temporarily boosted investor sentiment, supporting modest Nasdaq gains despite yield pressures.
Conclusion
the Nasdaq 100 faces pressure from rising US 10-year Treasury yields, which increase discount rates on tech stocks, while geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties add volatility. The US Dollar Index’s relative weakness provides some support to Nasdaq earnings, partially offsetting yield headwinds. Market participants remain cautious, balancing inflation data, Fed policy, and global risks in their outlook.
#NASS100
NDQ100 trade ideas
Nasdaq100 OANDA:NAS100USD has reached the previous highest level.
We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it.
Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how
other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex...
My opinion on nasdaq100:
1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes.
2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level.
3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
US100 - USTEC - Sells....📉 Textbook Short with ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Tech 100 (USTEC)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: 25 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On 25 June, just after the New York open, ELFIEDT’s “DOWN” signals triggered in rapid succession—right near the session high around 22,296.
The market had been pushing upward aggressively, but ELFIEDT detected a shift in momentum and printed multiple clear short signals before the reversal even began.
💰 The Outcome:
Price dropped sharply from the signal zone, falling more than 70 points shortly after.
Anyone following the system’s guidance would have had:
✅ A clean short entry
✅ A tight risk level (just above the signal candle)
✅ A fast move in their favor
This is exactly how the ELFIEDT system is designed to operate—catching turning points early and cleanly.
📌 Why It Matters:
ELFIEDT doesn’t just follow price. It detects exhaustion, imbalance, and timing shifts with precision—giving you clear, visual BUY and SELL labels on the chart.
You don’t need to second guess or overanalyze—just follow the signals.
📈 Trade with Confidence:
This chart is a perfect example of how ELFIEDT helps traders stay ahead of reversals, avoid chasing, and trade with structure.
Let the indicator do the heavy lifting—your job is execution.
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals
Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down.
There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down.
Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless.
Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being.
Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally.
We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made.
Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement.
FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing.
How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity.
Thanks for reading.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 41)We are entering week 12 since the market signaled it's lowest point of 2025...and the 2nd week of the upper level consolidation between the last Daily Low and the current daily High...
This was confirmed by the the daily consolidation point created by the lowest point of last week on Thursday at 9:49 am... (See M1 Chart)
The market then bought 4,700 for a nice consolidatory trend move in favor of the bulls.
This was followed up with a quick hard sell which is expected in consolidated market such as we have.
There will be lot's of great opportunities favoring buyers and sellers, however the main moves for me are always the buys from my largest HL and the market has proven that over the last 11 weeks the lows have been intact.
Just remember any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to another HL on the largest timeframe.
I do not react to news as the market only trades the defined structure...any craziness that happens in the world only creates volatility within an already established market structure.
So for this week...it's business as usual...I wait for my next entry at the HL just below 21449.0 or at the next confirmed HL.
Happy trading...
My strategy is and will always be:
HL's to HH's Guaranteed!
#oneauberstrategy
Trade alert triggered! Tiqgpt setupAnalyzing the US Tech 100 CFD across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent bullish momentum from the daily down to the 1-minute chart. The daily and 4-hour charts show a series of strong bullish candles, indicating a robust institutional buying presence. The 1-hour chart confirms this trend with a continuation of bullish candles, although there's a slight pullback visible, suggesting a temporary liquidity grab before further upward movement. The 15-minute charts show a more detailed view of this pullback, which appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish trend. The 1-minute chart shows increased volatility and some consolidation, typical of lower timeframes where retail traders are more active.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions are likely in a phase of accumulation and distribution, using pullbacks to gather more positions before pushing the price higher. The consistent higher highs and higher lows across timeframes suggest a strong bullish bias. The recent pullbacks on lower timeframes are likely temporary, serving to trap bearish retail traders before continuation of the uptrend.
LEARNING POINT: The pullback seen on the 1-hour and 15-minute charts can be interpreted as a liquidity grab, where institutions are likely stopping out weak bearish positions before continuing the bullish trend. This is a classic example of "stop hunt" before trend continuation.
SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: US Tech 100 CFD ENTRY PRICE: $22,500.0 STOP LOSS: $22,480.0 (Below the recent minor pullback on the 15-minute chart) TARGET PRICE: $22,600.0 (Just below the recent highs to ensure liquidity for exit) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $22,500.0 following a confirmed bullish reaction off the $22,500.0 level on the 15-minute chart RATIONALE:
Market Structure: Consistent higher highs and lows across all timeframes.
Order Flow: Institutional buying evident from large bullish candles.
Liquidity Behavior: Recent pullbacks likely represent liquidity grabs.
Pressure Analysis: Strong bullish candles indicate institutional pressure.
Strategies Used: Liquidity grab and continuation, intraday accumulation. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (Based on the clear bullish structure and institutional buying signs) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$20.00, Reward=$100.00, Ratio=1:5.0
Risk = $22,500.0 - $22,480.0 = $20.0
Reward = $22,600.0 - $22,500.0 = $100.0
Ratio = $100.0 / $20.0 = 5.0
NAS100 | 15min | Breakout or Breakdown SetupPrice is currently testing the descending trendline and a key demand zone after a short-term selloff. Entry taken at a possible liquidity grab with bullish intent, targeting a breakout above the trendline. If rejection continues, a drop towards the lower liquidity area near 22,060 is likely. Watching for confirmation on the next 1–2 candles.
NAS100 | LTF viewpointWe are currently caught between 2 LQC candles that have both swept LQ and we are waiting for the break of the trend to the upside as we have tapped into to 68 & 72% fib levels
So the is a high chance we continue to the upside with NASDAQ BUT if market decides to disregard that setup o9f UPSIDE momentum the is a chance of sellers stepping into the market only if of LQC(liquidity swept candle) decides to not hold then we can begin looking for SELLING OPPORTUNITIES
FEEL FREE TO DROP A FEW ADVICES IN THE COMMENT SECTION IF YOU HAVE SOMETHING SIMILAR THAT SUPPORTS MY ANALYSIS OR IF YOU ARE SEEING SOMETHING DIFFERENT
USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
US Tech 100 CFD broke the Resistance level 22,365.0 range👀Possible scenario:
U.S. stock futures climbed on June 27, with the S\&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs as investors awaited May’s PCE inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge — due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Rate cut expectations grew following reports that President Trump may replace Fed Chair Powell by fall. The odds of a July rate cut rose to 20.7%, up from 14.5% last week. Soft GDP growth, rising jobless claims, and a rare earth trade agreement with China added to the dovish outlook. Also due June 27 final June consumer sentiment data and remarks from several Fed officials.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 21,360.0
Now, the resistance level is located at 22,570.0
XAUUSD
🚨 Smart Money Sniper Signal – XAU/USD (Gold)
🕒 Timeframe: M15 or H1
📅 Date: June 25, 2025
---
🔍 Market Context
Current price: ~$3,326
Market structure: Bullish on H1
Liquidity grab zone: Observed around $3,322
Order block support: $3,318 – $3,322
RSI: Above 50 (bullish momentum)
---
🟢 Buy Setup (Sniper Entry)
Entry zone: $3,322 – $3,324 (on bullish confirmation)
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or strong bullish candle on M15
Stop Loss: Below $3,318
Take Profit targets:
TP1: $3,330
TP2: $3,336
TP3: $3,344
🧠 Tip: Use a Risk:Reward ratio of at least 1:2. Set trailing stop once TP1 is reached.
---
🔴 Sell Scenario (If invalidation)
If price breaks below $3,318 with volume:
→ Wait for a retest of the zone and enter SELL
TP1: $3,312
TP2: $3,304
---
🔔 For TalionPromosal (TradingView page)
Use this caption for your idea post:
> 💥 Smart Money Signal (Gold – M15/H1)
Bullish structure still valid. Looking for sniper entry near $3,322 with OB + RSI confluence.
SL below $3,318. TP targets $3,330 / $3,336 / $3,344.
Risk-managed & institutionally aligned setup.
#SmartMoney #XAUUSD #Gold #SniperEntry #TalionPromosal #TradingView
Nasdaq longThe last bullish structure never did a deep mitigation, reach an demand and trade up to higher highs. Price is in a HTF consolidation, bears and bulls are pushing price between a large range at the moment.
Upcoming week will show a lot of high impact news events, I'm expecting price to continue bullish. It's a matter of time.
NASDAQ 100 Under Pressure –Watching 21470 Break for ContinuationUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 has reached the support level we highlighted yesterday and continues to trade within a bearish trend, especially after confirming a 1H close below 21635.
Bearish Outlook:
As long as the price remains below 21635, the next target is 21470.
A break below 21470 would confirm further downside toward the support zone at 21375 and 21250.
Bullish Scenario:
Bullish momentum may return if the price breaks above 21635 on the 1H timeframe, targeting 21780 and potentially 21930 and 22090.
• Support: 21470 / 21375 / 21250
• Resistance: 21780 / 21930 / 22090
US100 2H in a Symmetrical Triangle—Eyes on BREAKOUT!1. A Symmetrical Triangle in Play
Rising support line (green) connecting the sequence of higher lows.
Falling resistance line (red) connecting the lower highs.
Price is squeezing into the apex of that triangle – classic consolidation/indecision.
What to watch:
A clean break above the red trendline (~21,820–21,850) would be a bullish signal.
A break below the green trendline (~21,650–21,670) would open the door for a move down toward 21,500 or even the 21,400 zone.
2. Value & “Premium” Zones
The green shaded area around 21,500–21,600 is marked “Equilibrium/Value,” where buyers have stepped in repeatedly.
Above ~21,950 there’s a “Premium” supply zone (red) where heavy selling has shown up.
These zones can act as sensible targets or rejection areas once price breaks out of the triangle.
3. Key Reference Levels
PDH / PDL (Previous Day High / Low): ~21,860 / ~21,620
PWH / PWL (Previous Week High / Low): ~21,960 / ~21,430
Traders often use these to confirm break-outs (e.g. holding above PDH now that it’s pierced).
4. Momentum Indicators
MACD: Lines hovering just under zero, histogram weakening → suggests the bulls aren’t quite firing on all cylinders yet.
RSI: Sitting around mid-40s, neutral but with a slight downside bias.
Neither is over-extended; momentum is “sleepy,” which aligns with the triangle/consolidation picture.
5. What This Means for Traders
Neutral bias until one side wins the breakout.
Bull scenario: Triangle → breakout → retest of ~21,820 → rocket toward 22,000–22,200 supply zone.
Bear scenario: Failure at the red trendline → drop through support → test 21,600 then 21,400 demand areas.
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Missiles in the Middle East, Headwinds on Nasdaq: NAS100 onHey There;
The trend line on the NAS100 has been broken to the downside. My target level after this breakout is 21,299.47. If the price moves towards this level, I think it will reach my target in line with fundamental analysis due to the broken trend line and Iran-Israel war tensions.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
US100 – Eyes on $22,040 as bulls take chargeIntroduction
The US100 is currently showing signs of a bullish breakout, moving above the boundaries of a previously established parallel channel. It is now approaching an important area of imbalance, known as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the 4-hour chart. If the index manages to break through this zone, there is a strong potential for continued upward momentum. Let’s take a closer look at the technical setup and what might come next.
Parallel Channel
For some time, the US100 had been trading within a downward-sloping parallel channel, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. However, today's price action has changed that narrative. The index has broken out of the channel to the upside and is currently pushing towards new short-term highs, which could mark the beginning of a bullish trend reversal.
4-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The current focus is on an open 4-hour FVG that ranges from approximately 21,840 to 21,870. This zone could serve as a significant resistance level, potentially rejecting further upward movement. However, if the US100 breaks decisively above this range, it could open the door for a rapid push toward previous highs. Such a move would signal strong bullish momentum and confirm the breakout as legitimate.
Possibility of a False Breakout
There is always the risk that this breakout could turn out to be a false move. If the US100 fails to hold above the 4-hour FVG and reverses back below the channel breakout point, it could indicate a bull trap. In that case, the index may resume its downward trend. Still, based on the current momentum and market structure, this scenario seems less likely at the moment.
Upside Target
If the breakout above the FVG is successful, the next significant target lies at the recent highs near 22,040. This level is expected to act as strong resistance. Should the US100 manage to break through it, we could see a test of the all-time high in the near future. However, it’s important to approach the market with patience and let each level confirm itself before expecting further upside.
Conclusion
While the US100 has successfully broken out of its parallel channel, it is now facing a key test at the 4-hour FVG. A clean break above this zone would likely shift market sentiment to bullish and set the stage for a move toward 22,040 and potentially beyond. Until then, traders should watch closely for confirmation and be mindful of the possibility of a pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21810
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21640
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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My View on NAS1001. Price has been trending up for a long time.
2. A possible Reversal Pattern spotted
3. Head and Shoulder Pattern
4. Almost all elements of the Pattern have appeared
5. Refer to the Chart for entry details
6. Apply proper risk management based on your account size.
"Direction is Better than Speed"
Aliyu Gital