NASDAQ Potential Bullish Reversal OpportunityNASDAQ price action went through a massive correction during the global tariff war.
However after potential recent developments, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the Daily and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20440
Stop Loss @ 19500
TP 1 @ 21380
NDQ100 trade ideas
SHORT NAS100Updated Market Read on NAS100 Footprint
🟠 1. Trend & Price Action:
The overall short-term structure remains bearish.
The rally seen around 07:00–08:00 AM failed to hold above 21,220 and got rejected quickly.
Price has rotated back below the 21,200 key level and is currently printing at 21,194.5, below the VWAP-style center line.
🔴 2. Delta & Volume Shifts:
Look at 06:30–07:00 AM:
Strong positive delta: +290 with 11.51K total volume → Buyers were active.
However, the next few candles (07:00–08:00) show delta flipping negative again (-303) despite decent volume (13.49K).
This indicates buying effort was absorbed, and sellers regained control.
📉 3. Sell Imbalances Reappear:
From 07:30 onward, you see clear sell imbalances (left-side red/black clusters) starting to stack again.
Especially at the top of candles — typical of aggressive selling into buyer attempts.
🧊 4. Absorption Failed at Resistance:
The previous support zone at 21,220–21,240 is now acting as resistance.
Price was rejected right at this level, with sellers stepping in forcefully.
✅ Current Bias: Bearish Continuation
Key Supporting Evidence:
Failure to hold above 21,220 resistance.
Return of negative delta dominance.
Rejection after attempted bullish response (failed absorption).
Sell imbalances resuming into highs.
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,140 – held earlier and could still see responsive buyers.
Breakdown Level: If 21,140 breaks on heavy sell delta, next move could extend lower.
Resistance: 21,220–21,240 – current supply zone.
🔁 Trade Implication:
Short bias below 21,200, targeting 21,160 → 21,140.
Invalidate if price closes above 21,240 on strong positive delta and imbalance flip.
NAS100 | Footprint Chart UpdateKey Developments:
Price just closed above the 21,200 key level with a modest bullish footprint.
Positive delta (+18) with relatively light total volume (~110 contracts) suggests controlled buying rather than aggressive initiative buyers.
Buyers successfully absorbed the heavy selling pressure from the previous candle (delta -293) and pushed price higher — a short-term bullish signal.
📊 What This Means:
The market is showing signs of potential reversal after holding 21,160 and reclaiming 21,200.
If buyers can maintain strength above 21,200, we may see a move toward the 21,240–21,260 resistance zone.
Watch for increased buy imbalances and stronger delta on the next candles to confirm follow-through.
⚠️ Caution:
A failure to hold 21,200 and a drop back below it could signal a bull trap, leading to a re-test of 21,160 or even 21,120.
📍Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,200 → 21,160 → 21,120
Resistance: 21,240 → 21,260 → 21,300
🧩 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish – Awaiting confirmation from next candle’s order flow.
📌 Stay disciplined. React, don’t predict.
NY AM Silver BulletHigher TF manipulating highs, 7:30 NY high swept at 9
With MSS lower NY swing high and low after 930 and before 10am. OTE entry at 61& of Fib aligns with iFVG to sell. Moerse void below London Low.
Lower TF 5min iFVG that pushed into 7:30 high.
Entry criteria Casper Silver Buller>>$$$
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Nasdaq Tests Key 20,900 ResistanceAs shown in chart above, price action is hovering near the neckline of a well-defined double top pattern, formed between December 2024 and February 2025, similarly across the Dow and SPX500 charts.
This reinforces a key resistance zone that could either validate a more sustainable bullish outlook into 2025 — or trigger another correction if rejected.
Nasdaq Upside Scenario: A confirmed hold above 20,900 may extend gains toward 21,500, and 22,200.
Downside Scenario: A pullback below 20900 and 20,500 could find support at 20,200, 19,600, and 19,170, respectively.
Markets are currently holding on trade optimism, yet key economic reports are likely to test the narrative
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Nasdaq 100 breaks above 200MA: is the bull market back?The Nasdaq 100 is once again trading above its 200-day moving average after spending 64 days below it. Breaks like this often signal major moves ahead. Watch the video to learn more.
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Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,336.30 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,500.25 which is a pulback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,780
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,020
Point of Control (POC):
Recent: 20,066.23
Historical: 19,824.71
High-volume nodes: Dense volume around 19,820–20,070 suggests strong accumulation
Low-volume gaps: 20,200–20,400 and 20,600–20,780 (rapid price movement zones)
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops likely clustered:
Below 20,070 (last breakout support)
Above 20,800 (recent intraday high)
Absorption zones: Near 20,066 – notable price base before rally; high delta confirms buying interest
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,808 – fresh high with slowing momentum, possible exhaustion
Swing Low: 19,824.71 – firm bottom established, high volume zone pre-breakout
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Strong uptrend confirmed by consistent CVD rise and price breakout
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- – Confirmed bullish trend
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + sustained price breakout = strong buyer demand in the rally leg
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
20,066.23 (POC and structural breakout base)
19,824.71 (historical accumulation and value base)
Resistance:
20,808 (recent high)
21,000 (psychological level + projected target zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing Low (Gann): 19,824.71
Retracement Levels from 20,808 High:
1/2: 20,316
2/3: 20,482 (key support if price dips)
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish trend established (confirmed by CVD & ADX)
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation with volume near 20,066
Parallel ascending channel forming – healthy trend structure
Price currently testing upper boundary of channel – watch for breakout or pullback
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 20,320 – 20,400 (pullback into Gann retracement zone)
Targets:
T1: 20,808 (prior high)
T2: 21,100 (channel projection + round level)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,020 (below VAL + swing low support)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 20,800 – 20,850 (if rejection pattern forms with falling CVD)
Target:
T1: 20,066 (volume base)
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,100
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade, based on distance from entry to SL
NS100 IS BULLISHPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 , The journey to NAS100 ATH is all about to kickstart, and it will do us good not to miss this moves. On this post, i shared analysis about NAS100 combining both H4, Daily and WeeklyTF together to form this analysis, for further details, see the content of the post.
Silver Bullet 10am-11amPrior to previous idea shared. Setup to go long and fill FVG in 1hr-30min 930 Est. With no key level sweep, it was clear but risky as price needs to be balanced before challenging the highs or lows. As there was not clear Bearish BOS in NY. The NY low made after 930 used as sweep to enter and challenge FVG.
Trade managed well, secured profits at CE of 30min FVG in NY
5min IFVG in leg of sweep + counter FVG confirming bulls stepping in wit lows being manipulated. +- 1:2 secured.
Tomorrow same thing...$$$ ;)
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US100: Ready to Explode !!US100: Ready to Explode !!
Hey Traders,
Price is showing a bullish momentum on Nasdaq and created some bullish configurations, suggesting continuation to the upside.
Target : 20898.1 - 23599.4
#US100 #Nasdaq #BullishSetup #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading #Indices #ChoCH #TradeIdeas #StockMarket
NAS100 - Stock Market Expects a Devastating Week!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index corrects towards the demand range, we can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
U.S. stock futures responded positively to signals from both Chinese and American officials. Looking ahead to the coming week, investor focus is squarely on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States—marking the first chance to assess the impact of the new tariffs implemented on April 9.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain a crucial factor, with significant implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market expectations. In addition to inflation data, retail sales figures and the preliminary results of the University of Michigan sentiment survey could influence market outlook regarding interest rates—especially since price stability and full employment remain core mandates of the Federal Reserve. At present, Fed officials are working to maintain a cautious stance in order to anchor inflation expectations. However, if clear signs of economic weakness emerge, that stance could shift rapidly—something that several Fed officials have already openly acknowledged.
Retail sales, in particular, could provide a different narrative about the health of the economy. After a notable 1.5% jump in March, estimates suggest that growth in April slowed to just 0.1%. This deceleration may reflect consumer reluctance to spend, stemming either from inflationary pressures or broader economic uncertainty.
Thursday’s data release will include the Producer Price Index (PPI), industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index—offering a clearer picture of supply-side dynamics and the performance of the industrial sector.
On Friday, attention will turn to a fresh batch of economic indicators: building permits, housing starts, the New York (Empire State) manufacturing index, and especially the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey. This survey has gained importance in recent months due to notable increases in both one-year and five-year inflation expectations. As recent charts indicate, while consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, inflation expectations have trended upward—a worrisome combination that could limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy.
Although concerns about a U.S. recession persist, recent data suggest more of a “gradual slowdown” rather than signs of an imminent crisis. In March, both the CPI and PCE indices declined, indicating a temporary easing of inflationary pressures. However, this trend may reverse in April, as the broad implementation of reciprocal tariffs likely raised import costs—particularly for Chinese goods, which now face duties as high as 145%.
New estimates indicate that these tariffs could add 2.25% to core inflation over the next year, effectively reversing the progress made in 2024 on taming price pressures.Prior to the Trump administration’s tariff announcements, economists had differing views on inflation, with some expecting it to approach the Fed’s 2% annual target by year-end. Contrary to trade experts, Trump claimed that sellers would not pass these price increases on to consumers.
Goldman Sachs’ analysis this week suggests that Trump’s tariffs could push inflation to levels not seen since the post-pandemic price surge. The broad import taxes announced between February and April may have a substantial impact on the economy, and consumers are likely to feel the effects first at the checkout counter. Goldman economists estimate that the tariffs could drive annual inflation—as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—to 3.8% by December, marking the highest rate since 2023. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.6% last year.
This metric remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has shown limited progress toward that goal since 2023. The last time inflation was below this benchmark was in January 2021.
A renewed wave of price increases could severely strain American household budgets—particularly if the labor market also weakens, as many economists anticipate. This would also represent a significant setback for the Federal Reserve, which has kept interest rates elevated since 2022 in an effort to combat post-pandemic inflation.
While inflation hovered around 3% at the beginning of 2024 with little change, it saw a notable drop in March. Many analysts forecast that inflation will continue to decline and approach the 2% target by the end of 2025.
Walker and Peng’s analysis factored in both the direct effects of tariffs—most of which will likely be passed on to consumers—and several indirect consequences. The trade war has unexpectedly weakened the U.S. dollar, reducing Americans’ purchasing power.
Moreover, some manufacturers may shift production away from China, where tariffs are particularly severe, to locations with higher production costs. As a result, American consumers may end up paying significantly more for imported goods, especially in categories like consumer electronics and apparel.
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,500
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,000 (approx. based on volume shading)
Point of Control (POC): 20,062.08
High-volume nodes: Dense around 20,050–20,100 – indicative of value acceptance.
Low-volume gaps: Sharp price movement through 20,150–20,250 – price could revisit here swiftly.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Cluster Zones:
Order Absorption Zones:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High Volume Spike: Near 20,500 – rejection occurred with CVD flattening.
Swing Low Volume Spike: 20,000 – strong reversal point, indicates buyer interest.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend currently, but potential divergence forming.
ADX Strength:
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Confirmed High: 20,506
Recent Confirmed Low: 20,000
Retracements:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Short-term Bullish, but with early signs of divergence (based on projected price/CVD path)
Confirmed by breakout above POC with rising CVD initially.
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel Breakout: Strong push above upper boundary on momentum.
Volume Gap Fill Potential: Price may return to 20,250 or lower on exhaustion.
POC Retest Scenario: High probability of price testing 20,062 if strength fades.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If uptrend sustains):
Entry Zone: 20,250–20,300 (channel midpoint or pullback after breakout)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (below volume gap midpoint)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If divergence confirms):
Entry Zone: 20,500–20,525 (fakeout/stop hunt zone)
Target:
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.