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NDQ100 trade ideas

NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- We have two forces (Trump's team, policy and tweets and the FED) as market movers. 2- Trump's Team: Maintaining the UNCERTAINTY - Minimum tariffs is 10% which is at least 500% of the original tariffs. - Have a clear strategy: One screaming very high and the other one, the nice guy, offers 10-25% tariffs - All the deals won't be binding deals; so they might change at any time. So uncertainty is still there. - It's all about PR and looking good and winning - Market understands very well what is happening. Market sees the 10% tariffs as a huge barrier. =) So all what Trump is doing, including the final/big deals, are bad for stocks and equities. 3- The FED: - Last FED did not provide any hint about June rate cut. FED is data related. - Last macro-economic data did not help the FED Rate cut. Hence, the upcoming data is very relevant. - This week, we have key inflation data: CPI and PPI. Higher Inflation data means NO June Cut which is very bad for stocks and equities. Inline and lower inflation data will help FED Cut which is good for stocks and equities. =) From now on, Good macro-economic data is bad for stocks and equities and vice-versa. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: - From weekly perspective, we got a bullish weekly candle than closed inside a bullish candle. - Price seems exhausted and toppish. There is no need to go further up. But in any case, the chart shows two higher levels that price might reach in the case of bad economic data. Daily TF: - Friday candle was unable to close above the latest HH. - Price always closed inside the consolidation area. - Price will test the previous swing low (highlighted by a circle) in case Monday or US-China talks does not close above the latest HH. =) From weekly and daily TF, NQ should go south. Wish you a green week Everyone! GL! (Note: I won't be around this week beside quick in and out; So I won't post most likely)
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash (NASDAQ CFD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 19,964.8 Value Area Low (VAL): 19,799.3 Point of Control (POC): 19,936.4 (current session), 19,817.5 (previous session) High-volume nodes: 19,850 – 19,950 (sustained consolidation and acceptance) Low-volume gaps: 20,000 – 20,070 (inefficient move up; could act as a magnet on retrace) b) Liquidity Zones: Stop clusters likely at: Above 20,125 (recent high and breakout level) Below 19,800 (previous rejection and consolidation) Absorption zones: Near 19,820–19,850, where strong wicks and CVD upticks indicated passive buyers stepping in c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 20,125.8 (sharp rejection, low follow-through volume) Swing Low: 19,713.4 (high absorption, spike in CVD) d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Bullish (CVD rising, price confirming higher highs) ADX Strength: ADX ~22, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + rising price = strong demand Momentum stalling near 20,125, signaling potential short-term pullback 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 19,799.3 POC: 19,936.4 Swing low: 19,713.4 Resistance: VAH: 19,964.8 Swing high: 20,125.8 b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent swing low: 19,713.4 Retracement levels (from 20,125.8 high to 19,713.4 low): 1/3: 19,850.9 1/2: 19,919.6 2/3: 19,988.3 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish (ADX > 20 with CVD and price agreement) b) Notable Patterns: Bullish channel breakout forming Retest of 19,936 POC aligning with previous breakout level Potential continuation pattern (ascending wedge forming within purple projection channel) 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 19,925 – 19,940 (POC + Gann midpoint) Targets: T1: 20,070 (gap fill) T2: 20,125 (recent high) Stop-Loss (SL): Below 19,799 (VAL / swing low) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If rejection near swing high + falling CVD): Entry Zone: 20,120 – 20,125 Target: T1: 19,936 (POC) Stop-Loss (SL): Above 20,150 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
Technical Breakdown on US 100 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,080 Value Area Low (VAL): 19,720 Point of Control (POC): Recent Session: 19,828.32 Previous Session: 19,760.96 High-volume nodes: Between 19,750 – 19,830 (acceptance zone with strong historical interest). Low-volume gaps: 19,840 – 19,950 and above 20,100 (potential fast-move areas). b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters Likely at: Above 20,100 (psychological level and channel top). Below 19,720 (value rejection zone). Order Absorption Zones: 19,828 – 19,850 shows thick absorption based on CVD response and price stall. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 20,080 (volume spike with slight wick rejection). Swing Low: 19,700 (demand step-in area). d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Uptrend (strong green candle series with rising CVD). ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend. CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish price action → Strong demand from market buyers, aligning with breakout above POC. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 19,720 POC (Current): 19,828.32 POC (Previous): 19,760.96 Resistance: VAH: 20,080 Round number & psychological level: 20,100 b) Gann-Based Levels: Gann Swing Low: 19,700 Gann Swing High: 20,080 Key Retracement Levels (Range: 19,700 – 20,080): 1/2: 19,890 1/3: 19,827 2/3: 19,953 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX + CVD). b) Notable Patterns: Breakout from consolidation range above POC (strong volume confirmation). Ascending channel structure supporting higher lows. No divergence in CVD → healthy trend continuation signal. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 19,828 – 19,850 (retest of POC/consolidation base) Targets: T1: 20,080 (VAH/Swing High) T2: 20,200 (Channel Top) Stop-Loss (SL): 19,700 (below swing low) RR: ~1:2.3 minimum b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX flip bearish later): Entry Zone: 20,080 – 20,100 (failure to break channel top) Target: T1: 19,828 (POC retest) Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (above channel breakout zone) RR: ~1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade. Avoid oversized trades in extended trends.
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
NSDQ100 INTRADAY awaits Fed Rate Decision Macro & Central Banks The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Officials say policy is well-positioned, despite political frustration. China is adding stimulus: cutting rates, reducing bank reserve requirements, and increasing gold reserves for the sixth month in a row. Markets U.S. stock futures are higher. The U.S. dollar is recovering after three days of declines. The U.S. and China will restart trade talks — the first since the Trump-era tariff war. Companies Novo Nordisk shares are rising on expectations of less competition for its obesity drug Wegovy. WeightWatchers has filed for bankruptcy. Earnings reports this morning: Walt Disney, Uber, Barrick Gold. Earnings reports this afternoon: Arm Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Carvana, Flutter. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 20,190 Resistance Level 2: 20,510 Resistance Level 3: 20,930 Support Level 1: 19,330 Support Level 2: 19,020 Support Level 3: 18,570 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators: 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00 Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22 Point of Control (POC): Recent POC: 19,979.52 Prior POC: 19,845.22 High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium. Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones. b) Liquidity Zones: Stops Likely Clustered: Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high) Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection) Absorption Zones: Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle). Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias ADX Strength: ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend. DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure. CVD Confirmation: Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: 19,845.22 (POC + VAL) 19,800 (swing low and absorption) Resistance: 19,979.52 (POC) 20,000 (psychological + rejection zone) b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Swing High: 20,000 Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845 Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000): 1/2: 19,922 1/3: 19,896 2/3: 19,969 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown. b) Notable Patterns: Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000. Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC. Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance): Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest) Targets: T1: 20,100 T2: 20,300 Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure) Target: T1: 19,700 Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
FX:NAS100
by ProspireWealth
NQ: Prior to the FEDAs expected, NQ is consolidating. Tomorrow is a big day in terms of looking forward. What should we expect from the FED? 1- FED Mandate is: Employment and Inflation 2- FED has always said: FED policy is data related. The latest data on both Employment and Inflation were not sufficiently bad to rationalize the rate cuts and feed Trump's pressure. Hence, I think the FED won't give any hint tomorrow about the rate cut on June. This will disappoint market and a Sell-off of stocks and equities will be massive. The start of Wave 3. The other scenario will send stocks and equities up in a zigzag move: Down then up. Gold as a lead indicator has resumed up its direction. This might be a sign of what is coming for equities. Have a good evening/night!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,050 Value Area Low (VAL): 19,800 Point of Control (POC): 19,927.77 Volume Nodes: High-volume node: Consolidation around 19,930–20,000 (strong interest/acceptance zone). Low-volume gap: Below 19,800 (potential area for fast price movement). b) Liquidity Zones: Clustered Stops: Above recent highs at ~20,100 (liquidity trap). Below recent lows near 19,650 and 19,500. Order Absorption Zones: Near 19,930–19,980: multiple rejections + high delta volume = passive sell pressure. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Volume spike highs: 20,050 (indicating rejection and potential reversal). Volume spike lows: 19,600–19,650 (reaction points with increased volume and defense). d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Turning bearish. ADX Strength: ADX slightly above 20 with DI- crossing above DI+ = Confirmed downtrend. CVD Confirmation: Falling CVD alongside price weakness = Strong supply taking control. Multiple failed bullish attempts above POC. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: 19,800 (VAL) 19,650 (swing low with high absorption) Resistance: 20,050 (VAH and rejection zone) 19,927.77 (POC, now resistance) b) Gann-Based Levels: Swing High: 20,100 (Gann reversal point) Swing Low: 19,650 Key Gann Retracements: 1/3 retracement = ~19,820 2/3 retracement = ~19,980 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bearish b) Notable Patterns: Bearish flag forming inside descending channel. Break below POC and VAL suggests breakdown continuation. Retest failure near POC confirms resistance validation. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: 19,920–19,940 (retest of POC) Target: T1: 19,650 T2: 19,400 Stop-Loss (SL): 20,060 (above VAH and swing high) Risk-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:2 b) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per setup.
FX:NAS100
by ProspireWealth
My NQ Long Idea 5/5/2025Been a while but I haven't been posting ideas because I have been scalping and doing smaller time frame trades. I think we have NQ at a nice price level where we might see a bull run soon with the market sentiment slowly "thawing" on the idea of "risk-off" sentiment to "risk-on" sentiment and environment with more uncertainties clearing out of the market scenes. We have US trying to negotiate deals with many countries including China which is very challenging and we can never know if it will be achieved or not. However, from an economic point of view we can agree that the US economy is in the Neutral-bullish. We have a very bullish price action in the past week or so. We also have healthy economic numbers but it is still unclear until Wednesday. On Wednesday the FED will speak on this matter and give us some clarity on whether it is a Risk-on or Risk-off environment. Anything will happen but I can see the "Gap" getting filled on FED day due to the SPIKE that will be delivered to us. Currently Edgefinder tool is giving us 8 for NQ with only the GDP and sPMI scores in the negative. However the net score is bullish and on the positive. I think 1 of those two ideas will be played out sooner or later anything can happen but from a technical view I would like to see the price reaching the 50% FIB and then take off from there. It is subjective though and everything in trading is subjective including what I do and say.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho