T10Y2Y 3M chart: Plotted US recessions since 1980US recessions since 1980 plotted on the T10Y2Y 3M chart.
Orange circles indicate value on the curve and the Stoch RSI value at the start of the first month and year of recession.
Red vertical bars are length of recessions.
Orange vertical lines on the Stoch RSI are the first month and year of the
10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
No trades
About 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
Yield Curve Inversion Watch Chart - Fed Has To Cut!If you’re worried about a recession, you should be watching the Yield Curve Inverting.
Historically, an inversion signals a recession, but with a lag.
We can see this on the chart whenever the yield curve hits 0%
This shows the 2Y yield higher than the 10Y which is a signal that the market expect
The Inverted Yield Curve - A History LessonThe yield curve has just recently reverted back to normal after the longest inversion in history. The yield curve has been perhaps the most reliable and only indicator needed to predict recessions. This time is no different. We are entering the final stages now, we are seeing the type of extreme gre
Yield Curve Reversion Trade 2024The yield curve reversion is when the US10Y Treasury Yield becomes greater than the US2Y Treasury Yield and has a track record for signalling recession. I've been tracking the reversion for the past two years for any hint of sense of whether the US FED would cut FEDFUNDS rates or if bond traders wou
See all ideas