Unemployment Level is about to spike even moreMoving Average convergence Divergence has reach the 0 line. This indicate an enormous possibility to start trending up in the few months. Guys, this will be your chance to scoop assets at a discount. Please stop buying stocks right now Shortby elalemiami2
The bearish case for risk-on assets during rate cuts.It’s interesting to observe how, historically, every time the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, we tend to see a rise in unemployment and a decline in the S&P 500. While rate cuts are often used to stimulate the economy, they can signal underlying economic challenges that lead to market downturnsShortby Ramiknfr1
UNEMPLOYMENT / FED FUNDS RATE - PLAY BOOKUNEMPLOYMENT / FED FUNDS RATE - PLAY BOOK This post I intend to explore with you the cyclic relationship we can observer between: 1) US Unemployment Rate (BLUE), 2) 21D SMA (Orange) based in unemployment data, and 3) Resultant Recessions (Gray Bars) Historically, the general play book / sequence by BrodieUpdated 114
UNEMPLOYMENT | FED FUNDS RATE | S&P500As requested (through a few personal DMs), I have created this companion post to allow for easy exploration of this relationship with respect to the S&P500. As always your thoughts and inputs are appreciated. Enjoy!by Brodie1
Unemployment & The Coming RecessionOnce the Unemployment Rate crosses the 36 mo MA this has historically marked a period of a coming Recession. As you can tell from the RSI indicator we entered into this phase a few months ago. I'm posting this chart because tomorrow Biden is going to tell everyone how great the Economy is doing Shortby cldx6
The Phillips Curve with SPY(Inflation/Unemployment)I had read something on the, "Phillips Curve" From Investopedia "The concept behind the Phillips curve states the change in unemployment within an economy has a predictable effect on price inflation. The inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation is depicted as a downward sloping, conby JustAHunch1
Inflation / Unemployment / Stocks2022 is most comparable to 1978 in terms of the current jobs & inflation situation. Seven decades of history concerning the 3, shows that the current drop in stocks is more likely a correction and not the start of a true bear market. 1972-73 scenario is 1 against 6 odds (and that's after demoting 19by Indotermes4
1973-75 Recession vs Fed Funds Rate and Unemployment The market didn't bottom until months after the Fed reversed course and Unemployment didn't reverse until much later.by GodsMoon1