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JPN225 trade ideas

Stocks - Nikkei on Last LegsIdea for Nikkei: I'm waiting for Asia markets to drag down US markets, but why not just short Asia itself first? - The sugar rush of QE is over, and Japan is rolling over. Expecting its bear market since Feb to resolve in a capitulation at least down to a monthly support. - Nikkei under 100D and 9M and at critical support. (50W) - Expect to quickly capitulate to 24k~ support levels when this floor breaks. This is not US markets, which rises based solely on gamma, and the slowing global economy is weighing down on it. IMO, any rips here should be sold. 50W: 20M: GLHF - DPT
TVC:NI225Short
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
6
Death cross is here.After a major bull run, we can see a death cross forming. What is a death cross? The death cross is a chart pattern that indicates the transition from a bull market to a bear market. This technical indicator occurs when a security’s short-term moving average (e.g., 50-day) crosses from above to below a long-term moving average (e.g., 200-day). The indicator gets its name from the alleged strength of the pattern as a bearish indication. In short, traders who believe in the pattern’s reliability say that a security is “dead” once this bearish moving average crossover occurs. Three Phases of Forming the Death Cross: There are three primary phases in the formation of the cross of death pattern. The first phase involves the existing uptrend of a security, when it begins to reach its peak as buying momentum tapers off. Then the price begins to fall as sellers gain the upper hand in the market. The second phase is the decline in the security’s price to a point where the actual death cross occurs, with the 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average. This downside shift of the 50-day average signals a new, bearish long-term trend in the market. The final phase occurs with the continuation of the downward movement in the market. The new downtrend needs to be sustained in order for a genuine death cross to be deemed to have occurred. If the period of downward momentum is merely short-lived, and the stock turns back to the upside, then the cross of death is considered a false signal.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by georgio777
JP225USD Great opportunities aheadI am currently long in this pair since the previous idea that I posted I think last week ago. I have managed to scalp this pair on multiple occasions with great profits. Although long term I do expect price to break from the pattern that has formed, has of right now this are the movements that price could provide us on the four hour chart. After completion of current move is complete and price reaches marked area, it could provide with two profit target levels for shorts, and then long opportunities could be taken again. Either the one marked on the first arrow or the second one. A position could be opened if, and only if, price manages to reject on multiple occasions the marked area. Entries could be taken from your preferred entry strategy e.g. Wyckoff Schematic on lower timeframe, Fibonacci from smaller swings, etc.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by UnknownUnicorn9610108
Stocks - What Next?Idea for indices: - As expected, Robinhood IPO was the trigger for global sell-off (other factors involved obviously, but I have been posting about everything macro related in other posts). - China continuing to lead down. - Look how the deflationary wave hits HSI > Nikkei > EU > US. Dome tops forming everywhere. - ECB actually has greater QE than US, so EU index performance is a critical tell for deflationary forces vs. QE. - Watch China Tech ETFs to lead US indices down. Managers will need to also liquidate US positions as their portfolio % exposure becomes overweight. I've been enjoying watching Nikkei lately - it just broke a critical support and 200 DMA (6m low), officially a bear market if it consolidates losses. However, it is still holding 50 WMA and 200 DMA in real performance... waiting for US markets for confirmation. Bearish bias here, turning point is due. Aug 2 debt limit will be in focus. Early August is my trigger for reversal confirmation. If it holds, we can back off and try again later, but rugpull is definitely due. Already short US indices (long vol). Nikkei real performance (relative to currency): Here is what I think will happen to Nikkei next: GLHF - DPT
TVC:NI225Short
by UnknownUnicorn1043646