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NAS100 trade ideas

US markets have a little more downsideI had posted a similar chart a few weeks ago.....US companies fundamentals may be good, but price follows technicals. There is still some more downside, which I think would be where JPow said Inflation is no longer transitory, then we see some consolidation, then another fall to shake out the bulls, by which time we would reach the bottom of the monthly channel and then uptrend can resume after a bit of consolidation. Remember the Trump tariffs are just catalyst, a reason for market to get where it wants to be sooner. Do remember that market rallied when inflation hit a peak of 9%.....All this news is just noise....You know where the level of interests are and trade accordingly....Markets will not go up in a straight line neither will it go down in a straight line.....The Fear & Greed Index is at 4 as per CNN. This is only for investors, start buying small positions in your favorite stock....only a little, bit by bit, with every fall, or you can wait....Don't put all your savings in the market because it fell substantially...Selling begets selling, the opposite is also true.....Market can head to 14000 as well, I'm not ruling that out, but i'm expecting a really nice bounce from the JPow, however, be very aware of the overhead resistance.....Bears have not had a chance for a long time, and they will squeeze every ounce of blood from the bulls while they can....Just remember, Bulls are complacent, Bears are tactical.....Throughout history that has been the case....
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Roopesh80
ABC Correction on nas100!Trading plan SL:20,448.6 TP:17,000 / floating Trading set up (ABC) correction A-Wave: Initial sharp decline with increasing volume, breaking short-term support. B-Wave: Temporary recovery (typically 50-61.8% retracement) with lower volume. C-Wave: Final decline, typically final capitulation, targeting major support and weekly moving averages or 1,618 fib level around 17,000 level as target price for correction reasoning: Trade war, trump tariff ,geopolitical issue and stocks has been overpriced for the last couple of months.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by aryoTraderX
1
NQ sell explaining Hi traders as u see in the chart we have to LQ one higher and one lower . - The higher one should be internal LQ that were gonna target it after we took the lower - The lower is to close and we should focus to take it first 1-1 We observe on the last week huge fall on market and trump decision who affect on the market to move down down 1-2 I'm not sure but 100% the market well open on Gap and if that true we should be patience not take any trade until we got confirmation remember being patience 1-3 the analysis will be 100% if the market not open on huge gap we must wait London session probably were gonna see a Juda swing on London or new York session to move down and took the LQ this trade for short term not for long term to hold Good luck any question i would like to answer
FX:NAS100Short
by eslak
NASDAQ Long Wave 5 Targeting Supply Zone, Then Looking to ShortI’m currently holding long positions from the end of Wave 2 (entry around 16,849). I took partial profits after Wave 3 (around 19,000–19,200) and now waiting for 4H TF Wave 4 to pull back and give a re-entry. Once Wave 4H TF Wave 4 completes, I plan to scale back in and target the 19,500–19,900 zone. If price reaches that zone and shows rejection, I’ll look to switch bias and short as I believe that will begin a daily Wave 2 correction to the downside. Key levels I’m watching: • Wave 2 support: 16,849 • Wave 3 resistance zone / TP1: 19,000 area • Wave 5 supply zone / Final TP: 19,500–19,900 • Sell zone if confirmed reversal: 19,500–20,000 • Next short target (after confirmation): TBD once Wave 5 completes Will update this idea as Wave 4 forms and price action confirms the next leg.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by breeanapaige1
NSDQ100 INTRADAY key trading levels ahead of US NFPKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 18435 Resistance Level 2: 18800 Resistance Level 3: 19580 Support Level 1: 17680 Support Level 2: 17300 Support Level 3: 17000 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
2
The Trump's disruption of globalizationHello, The trump tarrifs are currently creating a perfect storm for long term investors. This is the best time to use the Newsflows & Tradingview news to understand whats going on & how it can impact your trading. Below are some of the things we see: President Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiation tool is not a new strategy, but his latest approach signals that President Trump is very keen on industrializing America. The president has made it clear that the tariffs have 3 goals They can be used to raise money for the government just like taxes They can be used to redistribute money from consumers towards domestic producers since they discourage against imports. They can be used to realign global growth strategically shifting industries We do not see a significant amount of money being raised from tariffs to offset taxes. However, as higher tariffs make it costlier for companies to manufacture abroad and export to the U.S., we anticipate a growing number of firms will relocate their production facilities to American soil. This will be great for the American labour force because it accounts for more jobs and will greatly align how global trade will move on going forward. However, this strategy is not without its complexities. In today’s interconnected world, manufacturing relies on intricate supply chains, with components sourced from multiple countries. Such disruptions will affect the US market as well and trickle down to the end consumer. Below are some of the tariffs imposed on major trade partners 25% on foreign made cars 20% on the European Union 34% on China 26% on India 24% on China Countries are threatening to strike back with countermeasures of their own. The USA treasury secretary has warned that countries that try to counter the tariffs will be dealt with separately. We see a direct impact on countries that heavily depend on exports to the USA as being the biggest losers in this conversation as they will have to relook at their markets once again. These countries may include China, Mexico and Germany. These countries may need to relook at the rest of the world to fill up the demand that used to go to the USA. While many analysts predicted that these tariffs would drive inflation higher, we see a different outcome. The economic slowdown caused by retaliatory tariffs could actually put downward pressure on prices. On top of that, oil prices have remained low, further helping to keep inflation in check. In the long term we see a stronger US economy and more opportunities for companies that manufacture in the USA and have greater demand there. www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com All the fundamentals coupled with technicals will give you better entry views and allow you better rest once you deploy your funds. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by thesharkke
Possible move for nasdaqI had to redraw my channels from my last view. Sometimes we really have to zoom out to get the bigger picture.....I believe we may have entered a bear phase for the market. I have noted the important levels on the chart. I have outlined the possible path the market might take...There are plenty of untested levels below where massive buy orders are sitting. Of course it will not get there in a day or 2. But it is very clear where bears are sitting. Bear market bull rallies are also quite strong and might give an impression that we will go to ATH. But there is a reason why channels work most of the time at least from a long term perspective. This is merely a conjecture, but if you view the larger time frame as a 5 min chart, you know what moves might take place. I'm not advocating a full blown market crash, but we might get to see lower highs and lower lows over the next few months.....I could be completely wrong on this....For investors these are the best levels to enter big, for day traders...well...vix is still elevated and we trade the day whether it is bullish or bearish...So keep your position size smaller than usual as you will need a wider SL. Trade small, trade safe....Investors can start accumulating good stocks bit by bit and average out with every 10-15% dip, of course in smaller amounts....As we don't know when a bottom will happen...
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Roopesh80
Tariff news push down market, V sharp recovery still possibleDisclaimer: The following reflects personal opinions only and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions. From Monday to Wednesday this week, the Nasdaq experienced a notable rebound, briefly climbing to 19,898 prior to the release of tariff-related news. However, the actual tariff figures and calculation methods far exceeded market expectations, causing a sharp sell-off once the announcement was made. On Friday, markets dropped further after China, the EU, and other countries announced retaliatory tariff measures. The VIX surged to 45.61 on Friday. On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell commented that the Fed remains in a wait-and-see mode regarding the future of tariffs. He noted that while tariffs could have short-term inflationary effects, current data shows inflation has significantly declined and the underlying U.S. economy remains strong. While this provided some support to the market, it was not enough to spark a meaningful rebound. Key market concerns include: 1. Higher tariffs could lead to rising inflation, potentially delaying Fed rate cuts. 3. Tariff hikes and retaliatory measures may negatively impact multinational companies such as Apple and Nike that rely heavily on global markets and supply chains, resulting in lower revenues and increased operational costs. 3. Escalation of the trade war and more retaliatory measures may further dampen sentiment. In the week ahead, markets will likely remain sensitive to policy developments. A. If the Trump administration manages to reach agreements with certain countries to lower tariffs in exchange for concessions. Market sentiment could shift quickly, with investors viewing the tariff hike as a negotiation tactic with only short-term implications. - Vshape recovery B. On the other hand, if the trade war continues to escalate, it would pose a clear negative for the markets. Another potential headwind is the threat of U.S.-Iran conflict. The Trump administration has repeatedly warned of possible military action against Iran. If such a conflict breaks out, markets may fear that Iran could block oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up energy prices and triggering a broad risk-off move. From a technical perspective, the market has broken below the upward trendline that has been in place since 2022, and continued to decline after retesting that level this week. Without a swift rebound, further downside is possible. Key support levels to watch are 16,962, 16,127, and 15,163. That said, the tariff news has been priced in to some extent, and the VIX has already spiked above 45. The U.S. economy remains fundamentally solid, making it difficult for bearish sentiment to persist over the long term. Given Trump's negotiating style, some positive developments on tariffs are likely in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the Fed has further reduced its balance sheet runoff in April, with QT now nearing its end. In my view, short-term bearish sentiment may be near a turning point. There is a high probability of a rebound, but it’s essential to wait for further confirmation — either for negative news to subside or for a technical rebound signal to emerge. At current levels, shorting the market carries high risk. Unless new negative catalysts or fundamental deterioration arise, I personally would not consider initiating short positions at this time.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
Understand Trump tariff war, Assess if market rebound is likelyIf you want to better understand Trump’s strategy for the tariff war and the underlying intentions—especially to assess whether a rapid market rebound is likely—you may refer to a paper by Trump’s economic advisor Stephen Miran, titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System.” Here’s a brief summary of the key points from the paper regarding the trade war: 1. Market Volatility Is Anticipated The paper acknowledges that sharply raising tariffs may trigger financial market turbulence, increase uncertainty, lead to rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and a stronger U.S. dollar—all of which could cause broader ripple effects. (In other words, the Trump administration is aware that such moves will shake the markets.) 2. Second Term: Focus Shifts to Legacy While Trump and his team prioritized stock market performance during the first term, in a second term—when re-election is no longer a concern—he may focus more on leaving a political legacy. This includes reshoring manufacturing, tax reform, reducing national debt, and shrinking the trade deficit. 3. Tariffs as a Strategic and Fiscal Tool This new round of tariffs serves not only as a pressure tactic , but also as a potential revenue source to fund Trump’s desired tax cuts. As such, the Trump administration may not rush to finalize new trade deals. Instead, tariff reductions would likely occur gradually, and only after securing substantial economic benefits. 4. Trade and Security Will Be Linked Future trade negotiations will likely tie economic cooperation to national security. The U.S. could use a dual standard—“tariffs + security”—to compel other nations to follow U.S.-defined trade and geopolitical rules. For example: Countries might be forced to join a tariff alliance against China. In exchange for market access, they would either have to tax Chinese goods or accept high U.S. tariffs and reduced security cooperation. For the EU, if it does not meet U.S. demands, tariffs would become a key revenue stream for the U.S., while freeing up American resources to focus on China’s rise rather than spending time and money on European security. 5. Big Picture Strategy: Build a Global “Tariff Wall” This paper lays out a grand strategy to use tariff warfare to pressure countries into forming a global “tariff wall” encircling China, aimed at constraining China’s economic influence. Strategic Implications Based on this approach, the U.S. goal in trade negotiations is not merely tariff reductions or market access, but achieving: 1. Market access for U.S. goods via lowered barriers abroad. 2. Adoption of U.S.-led trade and geopolitical rules, including encircling China and sidelining nations like Iran and Russia. 3. Increased U.S. government revenue— meaning tariffs might persist throughout Trump’s term and not be eliminated outright! Market Outlook If the U.S. follows this roadmap, it’s unlikely that a consensus with China or other China-dependent economies (like the EU) will be reached quickly. This suggests that market volatility could persist for some time if these strategies are enacted. Given the current asset declines showing signs of a liquidity crunch, without a clear positive catalyst (e.g., successful trade deals, tax cuts, or rate cuts), it may be difficult for equities, crypto, or even gold to see a meaningful rebound in the short term. As markets remain highly sensitive to news, it’s crucial to focus on risk control in trading and consider reducing position sizes when needed. Let’s keep the discussion going—what do you think about the future direction of U.S. trade policy under Trump?
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend. I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later). Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride! Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do). Good luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by yuchaosng