High Probability or Nah?Is this setup justified, or is it just a seen Gap that SMT default settings had us spot?
US30 trade ideas
US30 BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 41,902.2
Target Level: 40,698.3
Stop Loss: 42,704.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
downtrendThe support trend line is expected to be broken, then a continuation of the downtrend is likely. If the index breaks through the previous ceiling range, an upward trend is likely.
US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (42200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (41400) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 43100 (or) Escape Before the Target
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US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 42,208.96
1st Support: 41,442.18
1st Resistance: 42,990.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
"US30 at a Crossroads: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Market Swings The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is currently experiencing heightened volatility as investors grapple with mixed economic signals from the U.S. economy. On one hand, strong corporate earnings and resilient consumer spending have provided support, while on the other, concerns over persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have weighed on sentiment. This reflects the broader state of the U.S. economy, which is navigating a delicate balance between slowing growth and inflationary pressures.
In the coming months, the US30 is likely to remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy decisions, particularly regarding rate cuts or hikes, as well as developments in the labor market and global economic conditions. Investors should brace for continued fluctuations, with potential upside if inflation shows signs of easing and downside risks if economic data points to a sharper slowdown.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Recession searches spike on Google!!Good day traders and investors.,
The term recession has had a few spikes over the years since Google has been around, but what does it mean? These searches are typical made by the common folks.
Did the herd get it right this time?? Probably not, I have generally bet against them. The Google search trends has the data to back the information. Generally this means the bottom is either in or close. Also on two occasions there have been a couple of back to back spikes. Almost like one was a precursor.
You can see very clear in this naked chart of the DOW JONES, that only includes the GOOGLE TRENDS search of the term “RECESSION”. I have time aligned the GOOGLE TRENDS data to the DOW JONES it really shows a clear picture. The herd is always a day late and a dollar short. By the time they are searching it most of the pain is gone and the market is at or near a bottom. The only question that remains is, how long? If it lasts too long it could hurt any forward movement.
Let me know what you think
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
TOP IS NOT IN YET (MORE UPSIDE AFTER THE MINOR CORRECTIONS)We discussed the 5-year bull cycle that starts off every 20-year cycle. We identified that the current 5-year bull cycle will be one of the wildest in the history of the DJIA market by virtue of the current energy level within the log expansion. We will start a new progressive series to discuss the current 20-year cycle in motion.
First we will look closely at these three different 20-year cycles
From the three cycles we can identify a peculiar recurring structure, that is, after the approximately 5th year top we have a wild decline that averagely bottoms below the starting price. We will not dwell much on this cycle as it's not the current cycle in progress. Between these cycles is an (Alternate Cycle) that also has a similar fractal construction.
The first two alternate cycles directly lie between the cycles identified earlier and have a similar fractal. The most striking identity of these alternate cycles is that the origin point is the lowest point within the 20 year trend. The correction from the 5th year top is not so steep and never goes below the origin
The 1942/1962 cycle lies between the 1921/1942 and 1962/1982 cycles
The 1982/2002 cycle lies between the 1962/1982 and 2002/2022 cycles
This means the next alternate 20-year cycle is the 2022/2042 cycle which will lie between 2002/2022 and 2042/2062 cycles. From the internal construction of this cycle we can dive deeper and model the structure forward in both price and time. Example, the vertical price axis for the 1942/1962 cycle was (+648.61 pts) and total horizontal time elapsed was (+1052 wks).
We have a (648.61 x 1052) structure showing a perfect golden ratio of price and time
(1052 / 648.61) = 1.6219
1982/2002 cycle had price axis = 1098.03 pts and time = 1052 wks
We have approximately a 1098.03 x 1052 square of price and time
By observing the cumulative growth pattern we can make projection of the current cycle in progress. We would go through the growth gradually and identify price and time resistances as price action progresses. Please check back as we build step by step the growth structure of the current cycle.
Trade safe
Trade idea: US30 short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Trend: Bearish correction after a strong uptrend.
• MACD: Negative, showing increasing bearish momentum.
• RSI: 38.25, indicating oversold conditions but with room for further downside.
• Price Action: The price has broken below the short-term moving average, signaling further weakness.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downward momentum.
• RSI: 62.60, indicating price has rebounded but is not yet overbought.
• Resistance: Around 41786, which aligns with prior price rejection.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Recent short-term uptrend, but likely a retracement in the larger bearish structure.
• RSI: 77.65 (overbought), indicating a potential short opportunity.
• MACD: Bullish but losing momentum.
⸻
Fundamental Analysis:
• Recent Market Sentiment: High volatility suggests caution. A larger correction is possible.
• Interest Rate & Economic Data: If the Fed remains hawkish, equities could see further declines.
• Geopolitical & Economic Risks: Uncertainty in global markets could weigh on the Dow.
⸻
Trade Setup:
• Position: Short (Sell) US30
• Entry: 41750 (near resistance on the 15-min chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 41880 (above previous highs, tight risk control)
• Take Profit (TP): 41450 (key support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Trade Idea : US30 Sell ( MARKET)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: The index is in a broader downtrend, with a recent pullback from highs around 42890 to 42060.
• MACD: Deep in negative territory, suggesting bearish momentum.
• RSI: 43.01 — indicating it’s closer to oversold but still has room to fall further before a reversal.
15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Short-term uptrend, showing a rally from a dip around 40900 to 42060, but nearing resistance near 42145.
• MACD: Positive, but momentum appears to slow down.
• RSI: 61.29 — heading toward overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback.
3-Minute Chart
• Trend: Micro uptrend, but showing signs of consolidation after the recent strong push.
• MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum is fading.
• RSI: 60.10 — also near overbought.
⸻
2. Fundamental Analysis
• Market Sentiment: Recent rallies seem more like a technical rebound rather than a fundamentally-driven bullish push.
• Geopolitical/Economic Factors: If the broader market sentiment remains uncertain (e.g., interest rate worries, inflation data), the US30 could face further downward pressure.
• Dollar Strength: A strong USD typically weighs on US equities, which aligns with the bearish technical outlook.
⸻
3. Trade Setup: Short Position (Sell)
• Entry: 42080 (near current price, just under resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 42150 (just above the last 15-min resistance level)
• Take Profit (TP): 41700 (previous support on the 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
The bear setup into Late March is still intactNo change in the analysis from yesterday. The pump today is just another attempt to breakout of the range and I don't think they will do it. More traps.
US30My opinion
Unspoken truth: The 3rd touch on #US30 can make or break your trading strategy. Don't underestimate its impact. Stay focused and stay informed with our expert market analysis. #tradingtips #stockmarket #investing
US30 Buy pullbackUS30 is in a bullish reversal considering current market structure.
I'll be using a limit order to buy at a lower price with good R:R.
Order Block @41721 |Buy SignalPrice gave us a break of structure and came back to mitigate the order block that lead to the break of structure. It gave us confirmation on a lower timeframe upon mitigating the order block. So now I am waiting for price to come back to my 1m timeframe for an entry.
US30 Trade Outlook – 20/03/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 20/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 has been on a bullish run but is now facing resistance at 42,101. A strong rejection has pushed the price lower, testing key support zones.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Attempt Faded – Price pushed into resistance but faced strong selling pressure.
✅ Major Resistance – 42,101 remains a critical level to break for further upside.
✅ Support Zone – 41,600 - 41,700 is where buyers may step in to hold structure.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long if price bounces from 41,600 with bullish confirmation, targeting 42,100 - 42,600.
🔻 Short if price rejects 42,100 again or breaks below 41,600, targeting 41,400 - 41,200.
⚡️ Stay cautious and wait for confirmations! 🚀
Long term outlook of Dow jones US 30Break of sec trendline may take US30 to Primary trendline. Due to Economic Uncertainty Dow jones is consolidating with bearishness. But we expecting recovery in last quarter of the year.
Bearish drop?Sow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 42,198.94
1st support: 41,416.44
1st Resistance: 43,014.27
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 SHORT IDEA Short idea for US 30 with the probability of price taking out the level 40668.0 But currently would target 41236.4 for TP and SL just above 41894.0 .. Drop me a comment and tell me what you think ..
US30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – Bullish Scenario to 42300The US30 (Dow Jones) 1-hour Heikin Ashi chart suggests a potential bullish continuation. Based on technical analysis, the price has shown resilience after a pullback and is currently positioned for a potential climb towards the 42,300 level.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: ~41,741
Immediate Support: 41,600 – 41,739
Major Support: 41,420 – 41,400 (Break of this level invalidates the bullish outlook)
Target Resistance: 42,300
Technical Indicators & Market Structure:
Price Action & Structure:
The price is currently consolidating around 41,750, forming higher lows, which indicates bullish pressure.
A clear breakout above 41,800 could trigger further upside momentum.
Failure to hold above 41,420 – 41,400 will shift momentum bearish.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD histogram shows a recovery, with a shift towards positive momentum.
The signal line is turning upwards, supporting a bullish outlook.
Support & Resistance Levels:
41,600 – 41,739 acts as a key support zone, where buyers have defended price recently.
42,300 is the next significant resistance, aligning with a prior supply zone.
Risk Management – Invalidation Level:
If US30 declines to 41,400 or below, this analysis will be considered invalid, as it would indicate increased bearish momentum.
Conclusion & Projection:
Bullish Case: If price maintains above 41,600 and breaks 41,800 with strong momentum, a rally towards 42,300 is expected.
Bearish Risk: A drop below 41,400 will invalidate the bullish setup and suggest further downside.
This analysis remains valid unless the price breaks below 41,400, which would signal a potential trend reversal.
US Wall St 30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – 4H Timeframe
📉 Overall Trend:
The index is in a clear downtrend after breaking strong support levels, which have now turned into resistance.
The price is currently in a corrective upward phase before likely continuing the downtrend.
📊 Key Levels:
🔴 Supply Zone (Potential Resistance):
43,150 - 43,290 (A strong resistance area where price may reverse downward).
🟠 Demand Zone (Potential Support):
39,500 - 38,900 (A key support zone that may see a price reaction).
📈 Bullish Scenario (Corrective Move):
✅ The price is expected to continue rising toward the 43,150 - 43,290 zone before a potential rejection.
✅ If the price breaks above this zone and a 4-hour candle closes above it, further upside movement could follow.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Expectation):
✅ If the price reaches the 43,150 - 43,290 area and shows reversal signs such as rejection candles or reversal patterns, a decline may begin.
✅ The first downside target would be the 39,500 - 38,900 support zone.
✅ A break below this area could lead to further downside movement.
🎯 Conclusion: We will wait for the price to reach the identified supply zone and observe for reversal signals before entering sell trades targeting the support area.
Us30 19 March 2025Hello traders , this was my us30 prediction, currently moving as anticipated. Let's shre more ideas together .
Happy trading
