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Relation between DXY BTC TOTAL#📄 Analysis of three price charts and comparison between dates and movement ◀️ So far, the anticipated rise in alternative currencies has not occurred, and the rise that has happened is considered small and weak since the bottom of 2022 📄 In the first price chart, we see the movement of the US Dollar Index (DXY) 🔽 Each time the index breaks below the 100.00 level, it has a path to test 90.00, and this path has been achieved twice before during the periods of 2017 - 2018 and 2020 - 2021, with each time lasting approximately 320 days ◀️ At the moment we are in, there has been a break below the 100.00 level in DXY, and we are currently on day 84 of this break ⭕️ In the first break between 2017 - 2018, Bitcoin moved up by 2128%, and alternative currencies moved up by 3030% ⭕️ In the second break between 2020 - 2021, Bitcoin moved up by 608%, and alternative currencies moved up by 1668% ⭕️ In the current third break, which is still in its early stages, Bitcoin has moved up by 48%, and alternative currencies have moved up by 23% ⌛️ This period may extend into the first quarter of 2026, and it is essential to monitor developments closely with daily and weekly follow-ups
TVC:DXYLong
by mehmetwehbe
DXY Long-Term Technical Outlook: Channel Structure, Pullbacks & ## **DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis – 2W Chart** ### **1. Uptrend Since 2008** The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a **long-term uptrend** since the 2008 bottom (around 70.70). The chart shows a clear pattern of **higher highs and higher lows**, establishing a bullish market structure over the past 15+ years. --- ### **2. Ascending Channel** The price has been moving consistently within a well-defined **ascending channel**. Several reactions from the channel boundaries are visible: - **Support (lower trendline):** 2008, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2024 - **Resistance (upper trendline):** 2009, 2017, 2022 This suggests that the market is respecting the technical boundaries of the channel remarkably well. --- ### **3. Historical Pullbacks Within the Channel (13.5% – 15%)** The chart highlights major **pullbacks** from local tops, all falling within the **-12.6% to -16.9%** range, showing high consistency: | Year | Drop | % Decline | |-------------|----------|----------------| | 2009 | -14.76 | -16.47% | | 2010 | -14.97 | -16.90% | | 2017 | -15.17 | -14.61% | | 2020 | -13.65 | -13.25% | | 2022 | -14.90 | -12.98% | | 2024/2025 | -13.90 | -12.61% | This implies that **a retracement of 13–15%** from a local high is a historically "normal" correction within the ongoing uptrend. --- ### **4. EMA Analysis – 24, 120, 240** (2Y,5Y,10Y) The chart includes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reflecting short-, medium-, and long-term trends: - **EMA 24 (white line):** Reacts to short-term price action. Price is currently breaking below it, suggesting weakness in short-term momentum. - **EMA 120 (red line):** Reflects the mid-term trend. Price is **right at the edge**, often acting as a **support level** in bullish markets. - **EMA 240 (blue line):** Represents the long-term outlook. **Price has never stayed below this level for long** over the past 15 years, making this EMA a **critical support** for the long-term trend. --- ### **Conclusion & Potential Scenarios** 📉 **Bearish Scenario:** If DXY breaks below the **EMA 240** and the **lower channel boundary**, it could indicate a **reversal of the long-term uptrend**, which hasn’t happened since 2008. 📈 **Bullish Scenario:** If DXY holds above the **EMA 120** or bounces from the **EMA 240** and the **channel support**, we could expect a rally toward the **Fibonacci levels** (0.5 at 102.04 or 0.382 at 105.04), or even a retest of the highs around **114.78**.
TVC:DXY
by Aleksin_Aleksandar
“The Dollar Job: Break-In Strategy for 99+ Profits”💸 “DXY Heist Blueprint: Thieves’ Bullish Breakout Play” 🏴‍☠️ 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Welcome, Money Makers & Silent Robbers 🕶️💼✨ This is our next big Thief Trading Heist Plan targeting the 💵 DXY Dollar Index Vault. Armed with both technical precision 🔍 and fundamental insight 📊, we're ready to strike smart — not just fast. 🎯 THE MASTER HEIST PLAN: 🟢 ENTRY POINT – “Heist Entry Protocol” 🎯 Wait for price to break above Resistance @ 99.000 and candle to close ✅ 💥 Plan A: Place Buy Stop Orders just above breakout 📥 Plan B: For Pullback Pros, use Buy Limit at recent swing low/high (15m–30m TF) 📌 Tip: Set alerts — don’t get caught napping while the vault opens! ⏰🔔 🛑 STOP LOSS – “Thief’s Escape Hatch” 🧠 Use 4H swing low at 98.100 as SL ⚖️ Adjust based on your lot size and number of open positions 🚨 Don't rush to set SL for Buy Stop entries before confirmation! Patience is part of the plan. 😎 🎯 TARGET – “Mission Objective” 💰 First Exit Target: 100.000 🏃‍♂️ Optional: Escape earlier near high-risk zones (Blue MA Line Trap Area) ⚔️ SCALPERS' CODE – Stay Sharp! Only scalp on the Long side. 🔐 Use Trailing SL to guard your loot! 💸 Big wallets? Jump early. 🧠 Smaller stack? Follow the swing crew for coordinated execution. 🌐 MARKET OUTLOOK: WHY THE VAULT’S OPENING 💡 Currently seeing bullish momentum in the DXY 📈 Driven by macroeconomics, sentiment shifts, and intermarket pressure 📰 Want the full debrief? Check our analysis across: COT Data Geopolitics & News Macro Trends & Sentiment Fundamental Forces 📎🔗 See full breakdown ⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT ALERT 🚫 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news 🔁 Always use Trailing Stops to lock in profits ❤️ Support The Heist – Boost the Plan! Every boost powers our underground crew 🐱‍👤. We rob the markets, not the people. 💼💰 Like & Boost to help grow the Thief Trading Gang 👊💥 Stay tuned, robbers – more heist plans dropping soon. 💸🚀📈🤑
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
Overlap resistance ahead?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 98.50 1st Support: 97.21 1st Resistance: 99.30 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Testing Long-Term Channel SupportBy MJTrading: Chart Overview: The US Dollar Index has now approached a major technical confluence zone that could define the next directional move. Price is pressing into the Danger Zone near the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel, with an Ultimate Oversell Target sitting just below. 🔹 Key Technical Highlights: Long-Term Down Channel (Daily & Weekly): The DXY has respected this structure for several years. Price is currently challenging the lower boundary, a zone where reactions often occur. Danger Zone (~95–96): A historically reactive area. Prior demand and channel floor converge here. Ultimate Oversell Target (~89–90): Marked as a deeper potential exhaustion area if the channel fails. Moving Averages: 15 EMA ~97.8 60 EMA ~99.3 Price remains below both EMAs, confirming persistent bearish momentum. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: Scenario A (Green Path): A bounce off current support could trigger a relief rally back toward 98–100, targeting the mid-channel and EMAs. Scenario B (Red Path): A breakdown below ~95 could accelerate selling pressure, aiming for the Ultimate Oversell Target (~89). 🔹 How I See It: This is a high-risk inflection zone. Any bullish setups here remain counter-trend and require confirmation via strong reversal signals. Conversely, a decisive breakdown could have significant implications for USD pairs and commodities. 💡 Notes: This chart includes the weekly inset view for broader context. Keep risk management tight in this volatile area. 🔹 Reminder: This idea is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. 💬 How are you positioning around the USD? Share your thoughts and charts below! #Hashtags: #MJTrading #DXY #USDollarIndex #Dollar #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #FX #USD #Majors #DollarWeakness #DollarStrength #SupportAndResistance #TrendAnalysis #MarketOutlook
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by MJElahifx
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
DXY Technicals Add Pressure on FED Data〽️Weekly RSI Divergence Spotted in the US Dollar Index (DXY) A bearish divergence has emerged on the weekly RSI chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY), signaling a potential loss of upward momentum. Historically, such divergences often precede price corrections or reversals. ✅Market Implications: USD pairs, gold, and crypto assets may see retracement as dollar strength wanes in response to technical exhaustion. Traders should watch for signs of consolidation or reversal in assets inversely correlated with the dollar, such as gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD). 📈Macro Outlook: All eyes on the Federal Reserve: The divergence adds weight to market speculation that the Fed might pivot toward a rate cut at its July 15 meeting. If confirmed, rate cuts could further pressure the dollar, accelerating moves in risk-on assets and emerging market currencies. #XAUUSD #DXY #BTCUSD #tgifx
VANTAGE:USDXLong
by LestradePh
1
US Missiles Flyin'! Buy USD vs EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 22-28th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY. The USD is the world's reserve currency. When there are geo-political hot spots in the world, the USD sees inflows from investors. In light of US strikes against Iranians nuke sites last night, buying the USD versus other currencies is prudent and wise. The USD should see more gains as long as the current tensions are high. If Iran comes back to the negotiations table, then the environment switches back to a risk on scenario, where the outflows from the USD go back into riskier assets like the stock market. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
17
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.59 1st Support: 97.69 1st Resistance: 99.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders, DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers. With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392). There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach. Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week. Until the next update, wish you many pips!
TVC:DXYLong
by FundedTraderMarkets
4
DXY Short-term rebound quite likely.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within almost a 3-year Channel Down, which has assisted us in choosing the right levels to sell high and buy low. Despite being now on its 2nd major Bearish Leg, we see a short-term bounce possibly up to August quite likely based on the previous major Bearish Leg. As you see, the current setup resembles the April 13 023 Low after which the price rebounded short-term just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level, only to get rejected later and complete the bottom on the 1.1 Fib extension. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical. Therefore, before diving below 96.000, we believe a 100.000 test is quite likely. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
1
$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0. If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown. Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time. It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year. The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market. The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending). Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities. What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years. All the best, Tim April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
TVC:DXYShort
by timwest
5